Trade ideas
US30 - Updated Trader EdgeI will appreciate some feedback please, likes, questions ??🙏
🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
BREAKOUT LEVEL: 46,440.0-46,520.0
✅Dense HVN cluster (7+ stacked bars) with 3 POC alignment at right edge of VRVP
✅Untested high-volume area near all-time high with no significant rejection history above
✅51.7 points above current price - price consolidating before potential breakout
📊 PRICE TARGETS
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
🎯T1: 46,440.0-46,520.0 (Breakout through primary HVN cluster)
🎯T2: 46,640.0-46,720.0 (Secondary breakout continuation)
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
🎯T1: 46,140.0-46,220.0 (Primary Demand)
🎯T2: 45,900.0-45,980.0 (Secondary Demand)
⚡💎⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Long from 46,280.0-46,340.0 pullback zone targeting breakout through 46,440.0-46,520.0
then continuation to 46,640.0-46,720.0
🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
✅ Volume expansion on move toward 46,440.0 with bullish candle structure
✅ Break and hold above 46,460.0 with momentum or successful retest of 46,380.0
✅ Continuation pattern above 46,520.0 confirming breakout into new territory
📈 TRADE SETUP
🟢PRIMARY BIAS: BULLISH-BREAKOUT
Long Setup:
Entry: 46,280.0-46,340.0 on pullback
OR
Entry: 46,460.0+ on breakout confirmation
Stop Loss: 46,240.0
🎯Target 1: 46,520.0-46,580.0
🎯Target 2: 46,640.0-46,720.0
Risk/Reward: 1:2.4 / 1:4.0
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🔴TURNS BEARISH IF:
✅Hard rejection at 46,440.0-46,520.0 with close back below 46,360.0 and volume
✅Break and sustained move below 46,240.0 with bearish momentum shift
✅Failed breakout creating distribution pattern below 46,420.0
⚡Then Target:
🎯46,140.0-46,220.0
🎯45,900.0-45,980.0
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 100-120 points from entry to stop
Position Size: Risk 1-1.5% of capital maximum
Time Stop: Exit by end of session if consolidation extends without breakout
DowJones Key Trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46850
Support Level 1: 45960
Support Level 2: 45840
Support Level 3: 45670
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Can the 4H MA100 initiate a comeback??Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a 2-month Channel Up and today touched its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) for a second time after September 25.
Both in terms of price and 4H RSI action, this sequence is similar to the September 02 rebound fractal, which also following a Bull Flag, it touched the 4H MA100 for a 2nd time and then moved on to a rally that peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
The 1.5 Fib ext also priced the Higher High of the first Bullish Leg of the pattern, thus offers currently the highest probability for our next Higher High. Our long Target is slightly below it at 47000, representing a +2.80% rise from the recent Low.
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US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/01/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/01/2025
US30 slipped under 46,200, testing the 46,100 zone as support. EMAs rolling bearish → momentum shifting lower unless buyers defend.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Lower highs forming after 46,500 rejection
🔹 46,100 acting as intraday demand
🔹 Below 45,837 → stronger sell-off risk
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,250 → intraday barrier
46,400 → breakout ceiling
46,650 → bull target if regained
🔹 Support Zones:
46,100 → short-term demand
45,837 → key pivot
45,722 → deeper support
45,456 → bear target
🧠 Bias:
Leaning bearish ⚠️ unless price reclaims 46,250+
Bullish momentum only confirmed above 46,400 🚀
Will DOW JONES Repeat History???The Dow Jones 125-Year Timeline
- The oldest US Stock index is at the 125-year resistance trendline.
- The last time it perfectly tested the trendline - a period of The Great Depression started - 1929
- After, which the Dow fell around 90% - Check the blue supporting trendline.
A similar trendline could be perfectly drawn:
- The support of the trendline is 90% lower than the current market levels
US30 - TRADER EDGE
🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
SUPPLY ZONE: 46,380-46,440
➡️4 POC lines converge with prominent VRVP node forming major resistance
➡️Dense volume accumulation zone with multiple failed breakout attempts
➡️Price currently BELOW pivot - bearish structure intact
📊 PRICE TARGETS-
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
T1: 46,380-46,440
T2: 46,540-46,600
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
T1: 45,920-45,980
T2: 45,640-45,700
⚡💎⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Short from 46,320-46,380 rejection targeting 45,920-45,980 then 45,640-45,700
🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
✅ Price rallies to 46,340+ showing bearish reversal pattern (shooting star/bearish engulfing)
✅ Rejection wick forms at supply zone with failure to sustain above 46,360
✅ Volume surge on reversal candle confirming selling pressure activation
📈 TRADE SETUP
🔴PRIMARY BIAS: BEARISH
Short Setup:
Entry: 46,340-46,370 after confirmations
Stop Loss: 46,465
🎯Target 1: 45,920-45,980
🎯Target 2: 45,640-45,700
Risk/Reward: 1:3.8 / 1:6.5
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🟢TURNS BULLISH IF:
Decisive break and 2H close above 46,450
Volume expansion exceeds 1.5x recent average on breakout
Successful retest of 46,400-46,420 as new support floor
⚡Then Target:
🎯46,540-46,600
🎯46,700-46,760
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk: 110 points per contract
Position Size: Risk 1-2% of account capital
Time Stop: Only trade within NYSE's peak volume segments
US30 Technical AnalysisPrice has been respecting the uptrend supported by the 50 SMA, with pullbacks finding buyers around the dynamic support zones. Recently, US30 rejected 46,400.0 resistance and is consolidating above 45,700.0 support, while the broader trend remains bullish.
Support at: 45,700.0 🔽 / 45,000.0 🔽
Resistance at: 46,400.0 🔼 / 47,115.8 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A sustained hold above 46,000.0 and a breakout over 46,400.0 could extend the rally toward 47,115.8.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 45,700.0 would expose 45,000.0 and weaken the uptrend momentum.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30 buy order (5.72 RR)
Even though price did make a lower high , it has a higher low and when when price will reaches my order it means that bulls will be in charge of the market
Bullish price action will be validated when price reaches my level (higher highs , higher lows)
I will be targeting the new high made on Tuesday
Price went on a 2 day selloff after the new high
I have been waiting all week long for a trade (distracting myself with stocks ideas, need to stay in my jurisdiction)
The only clear setup I have seen this week
Price is creating a higher low on the 4h
Canceling order if price closes below 45 842.6 before triggering my order
Dow Oversold bounce back?Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46850
Support Level 1: 45960
Support Level 2: 45840
Support Level 3: 45670
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 46,224.50 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 46,164.12 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/30/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/30/2025
US30 is consolidating after rejecting 46,450, holding above 46,100 support. EMAs are tightening → market waiting for direction.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Sideways chop between 46,100 – 46,400
🔹 Sellers defending the upper zone
🔹 Buyers still holding structure above 45,800
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
46,400 → rejection zone
46,650 → breakout trigger
🔹 Support Zones:
46,100 → short-term demand
45,837 → key pivot
45,722 → deeper support
45,181 → bear target if broken
🧠 Bias:
Neutral → breakout mode.
Bullish above 46,400 🚀 / Bearish below 46,100 ⚠️
US30 – Bearish Below 46,300 With Downside Targets at 46,120 US30 – Overview
US30 is holding a bearish bias after stabilizing below 46,300.
As long as price trades below the pivot, the index is expected to extend the decline toward 46,120, with a further drop to 46,000 possible.
A confirmed 1H close below 46,000 would strengthen the bearish trend and expose deeper support at 45,690.
On the other hand, a 1H close above 46,300 would neutralize the bearish pressure and support a rebound toward 46,400 – 46,470.
Pivot: 46,300
Support: 46,120 – 46,000 – 45,690
Resistance: 46,400 – 46,470 – 46,620
US30: Rejects Resistance – Bearish Move in Progress
The SPREADEX:DJI index is currently forming a bearish short-term structure, especially after price entered the Resistance Zone 1 (46,279 – 46,445) — a key area where sellers have clearly stepped in with strong rejection.
🚨 CLEAR REVERSAL SIGNALS
At Resistance 1, we saw multiple rejection candles with strong bearish bodies.
Additionally, the MA Plot has turned downward, signaling a possible shift in trend.
Price also touched the 4-level structure zone of support/resistance, adding confluence to the area.
Immediately after, the market reversed and dropped sharply with strong bearish candles, confirming the presence of selling pressure and strengthening the short bias.
📉 PREFERRED SCENARIO – SHORT WITH THE TREND
With the current momentum, the preferred scenario is:
🔻 Price is likely to continue dropping toward the Support Zone: 45,459 – 45,798
This zone serves as a logical short-term target for any short positions taken at Resistance 1. Once price reaches this area, traders can consider partial or full take-profits, depending on market reaction.
🧠 TRADE IDEA
Action: 🔻 Short
Entry Zone: 46,279 – 46,445
Stop Loss: Above 46,550
Take Profit: 45,800 – 45,500
✅ CONCLUSION
US30 is under visible selling pressure after rejecting Resistance 1 and reacting strongly at multiple confluence levels. The technical setup favors a trend-following short strategy, with proper risk management and patience around key levels to confirm next moves.
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Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 46,123.56
1st Support: 45,765.51
1st Resistance: 56,704.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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