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Day 62 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Burry’s Big ShortRecap & Trades Day 62 — started red from overnight orders but recovered fast by staying disciplined. The market opened strong but started fading right at Bia’s resistance, so I shifted my bias and played structure reversals instead of fighting the trend. By midday, I was back green, ending with a clean +$422 and 5-for-5 signal accuracy. Lesson & Mindset When big headlines like “Michael Burry shorting the market” hit, most traders panic. But in reality, it’s about staying grounded in structure. Noise doesn’t pay — consistency does. News & Levels Futures dropped as Burry’s short position went public and bubble talk resurfaced. It’s the perfect reminder that sentiment flips fast — and you’ve got to react, not predict. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6890 bullish, below 6865 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
Day 59 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$142 & Netflix Split Recap & Trades Day 59 — started off strong shorting 6930 resistance right out the gate. Those early plays hit perfectly, and I built up about +$300 in profit. Later, I got a little greedy — took a risky end-of-day setup, got stopped out right before a recovery, and ended up finishing at +$142. Could’ve been a bigger day, but I’ll take a green close any time I stick to the plan. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes the best win is walking away with discipline intact. Once you’re up early, your focus should shift from “how much can I make” to “how well can I protect it.” That mindset compounds long-term consistency. News & Levels Big market story today — Netflix just announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6920 bullish, below 6875 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by DiYWALLST
Week 10.26 - 10.31 PrepLast Week : Last week Sunday Globex opened up inside Value over all the hourly and daily MAs signaling trend change from Fridays ON Flush and RTH Return to Value. Price pushed outside of Value before RTH and we got a push into Edge Resistance area which then gave a two day consolidation that failed back into Value after build up instead of pushing higher. Hourly/Daily MAs below provided support as we didn't have enough volume to change the trend, instead price again rotated over the MAs and grinded higher into Resistance. Thursday Globex price grinded over resistance on low Volume and held over key area which brought in more buyers with morning Data giving it a push into new Ranges Value where those buyers could sell the product. If we had strength in new range we would have continued with buying into RTH to push price at least over New Ranges Mean but instead we stalled and closed with a rejection away from the Mean to end the Day. This Week : Pushes which are made on low volume and in ON hours over/under KEY areas like range tops/bottoms especially if they proved to be good resistance/support areas previously are very likely to fail and return back at least to the initial scene of the crime which looks to be the area under 780s after Thursdays Close. Of course anything can happen and price may hold/accept in new range and we can start building up inside it to then visit higher targets later but we have been seeing topping patterns in this areas at/under 800s for quite some time and this weak push over the resistance is something to be careful with as market may be ready for correction to our HTF trend to finally start after very long run up with this being sort of blow off top move. We will have to see how the price will open/hold Sunday Globex but things are pretty straight forward from here, if we cannot hold over/around Smaller Hourly's MAs over 820 - 10 area into or after RTH then this will signal failure in New Value which can trigger next steps to show failure in New Range and from there step by step could trigger a move back for lower MAs, back into/under Edge and eventually we would target lower targets like VAL / Move Into Value, from there we have to be careful because IF we actually go through Trend Change on Hourlys up here this time around then what we could see is holds that may seem like support but with changed trend market could continue giving continuation/holds/continuations lower as Failure in New Range can trigger a return all the way back into Previous Ranges Lower Edge. Does not mean it will or will not happen in one week but will eventually get there as long as price holds under upper Edge. IF this happens then I would also warn about trend changing for a bit longer than what everyone is used to already as we may target even lower correction areas but that is HTF trend change with HTF Targets I have recently posted Daily Outlook which shows those areas. Careful with slower down days as if trend changes we would still be getting buying/covering on the way down so it may not just sell off quick and instead have more of leak lower days unless there is high volume. For us to continue with strength and show acceptance in this new range we either need to Open and continue holding/pushing through New Value or at least hold over 780 - 90s on pull back with any dips into it having strong reaction away which would take us back over 805 - 10 area if we don't get that then we need to expect weakness.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by HollowMn
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Fri (Oct 31st)Kill-zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00; manage 12:00–13:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00. Event (Fri): 9:45 ET Chicago PMI (unaffected by shutdown). Upside continuation (LONG): 6,910 flips to support with a 15m close above → 5m pullback holds → 1m HL entry. SL: 15m trigger-wick ±0.25–0.50. TP1 6,928; TP2 6,945–6,955; TP3 6,980–7,000. Quick-reclaim bounce at 6,889–6,888: sweep and instant reclaim → ride to 6,898 → 6,904–6,910. Pop-and-fail shorts (SHORT): Reject 6,904–6,910 then 15m closes back under 6,904 → 5m LH entry. SL: 15m wick. TP1 6,898; TP2 6,889; TP3 6,879. Clean breakdown of 6,889 with a 15m close ≤6,887 → 5m LH entry. TP1 6,879; TP2 6,865; TP3 6,845. Management & risk Viability gate: only take a trade if TP1 ≥ 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1: close 70%, set the 30% runner to BE; runner aims TP2→TP3. Max two attempts per level per session.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
ES Update - Breakout backtestSorry that I'm fixated on the TACO gap a little too much, I realized that this drop isn't about the TACO drop, it's back testing the breakout, which is pretty typical, it did the same last year on the election news. Especially considering it broke out on fake news, lol. So market probably open right here at the line and decides whether to tank or go up. Seeing that there's an open gap above for NQ, I'm guessing up. The back test has to happen during actual market hours, so I'm thinking the market opens up somewhere in this area.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
ES bounces off KEY support: levels to watchAfter the sizeable drop in index futures overnight, we have seen dip-buying right where we needed to: at 6789ish, a prior resistance and point of origin of the breakout. This level is key - let's see if index will hold its own above here. Break that and 6750 could be next. A more immediate support is now seen around 6820. In terms of resistance, the area between 6843 to 6851 is key. The index was testing this zone at the time of writing. If we have seen a genuine reversal, or at least a temp top, i would expect the sellers to defend their ground here. Failure to do so could see the index squeeze towards 6875 resistance. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
CME_MINI:ES1!
by FOREX.com
ES - October 29th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 29th - 6:44am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yesterday at 4:05pm I wrote the following note on the Daily Trade Plan "Price has come back down to the VWAP session price at 6922. 6917 is a good support level and any reclaim of 6923 should give us a chance to retest the 6930, 6946 levels. FOMC tomorrow and I do not anticipate price losing 6917, 6908 in the overnight session. Any flush of 6901 and reclaim should give us a nice opportunity for some points." Overnight session low was 6922 and the overnight high is 6950. We bounced off 6930 around 5:30am and have been respecting this trendline all week. Today is FOMC & Big Tech Earnings after the bell. As I have mentioned many times in my trade plans that when ES sells off you need to just get out the way. October 10th, 13th, 16th, 22nd are the 4 big sell offs we have had this month. I expect another big sell off this week or early next week. The RSI is very extended and since we have end of month in 2 days. We could easily keep moving higher. I do expect some pullbacks for us to grab points over the coming days. We could easily reach 6980 today or fill the gap of Sunday's open at 6827. That is how unpredictable FOMC can be. Usually, the first move after FOMC can be a trap. Either way, today I would not trade unless your edge presents itself. I will be trying to grab points before noon today if at all possible! Key Levels Today - 1. Loss of 6930 and reclaim 2. Loss of 6922 and reclaim 3. Loss of 6901 and reclaim with (6908 being a level to be reclaimed for a safer entry) 4. Loss of 6889 and reclaim Below these levels and we will probably be selling off pretty hard, and I would probably let price find a support level below and build a base to move higher. Key Support Levels - 6930, 6922, 6917, 6908, 6901, 6889,6878, 6867, 6857, 6841, 6827, 6812 Key Resistance Levels - 6949, 6960, 6980 I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Wed (Oct 29)As we look at the current market conditions, the price is hovering just below the 6939-6946 resistance level. We should anticipate a test of this ceiling soon. A solid acceptance above 6946 on the 15-minute chart would likely trigger a movement towards the 6965-6975 range, which we can expect to see during the afternoon session in NY. In terms of our range path, if we see rejection in the 6939-6946 zone, we will need to monitor for rotations between 6939, 6928, and 6916. A clean break beyond any of these levels will help establish our direction moving forward. On the downside, a decisive 15-minute close below the 6916-6912 area could lead us back to the 6900-6896 levels. If that support fails, we could see a drop to 6892-6888, and then down to 6883-6880. Persistent acceptance below our S5 level would promote a further decline towards 6868-6864 and potentially trigger the gap references. Lastly, I want to highlight that we should expect a compression-to-expansion behavior in the market. Thus, the first acceptance beyond R1 or below S0 will likely dictate the market's direction for the day. Level-KZ Protocol (15/5/1). Execute inside London 02:00–05:00 (opt), NY AM 09:30–11:00, NY PM 13:30–16:00. Working levels: R2 6965–6975; R1 6939–6946; MP 6928–6924; S0 6916–6912; S2 6900–6896; S3 6892–6888; S4 6883–6880; S5 6878–6874. SETUP 1 — Acceptance-Continuation LONG (through R1) Trigger: 15m close ≥ 6946, then 5m pullback holds above 6940 and re-closes; 1m HL entry. Entry: 6942–6946 on the reclaim/HL. SL: Hard SL below the 15m pullback wick (typically 6937–6939) ±0.25–0.50. TP1: 6965–6975 (R2). TP2: Leave runner only if momentum persists beyond R2 during NY PM. Invalidation: 15m close back under 6939 with a 5m LH. SETUP 2 — Rejection-Fade SHORT (at R1) Trigger: Sweep into 6939–6946 that fails → 15m close back inside; 5m LH + 1m first pullback failure. Entry: 6937–6943 on the fail. SL: 6948–6950. TP1: 6928–6924 (MP). TP2: 6916–6912 (S0). Stretch: 6900–6896 (S2) if acceptance forms below S0. Invalidation: 15m acceptance ≥ 6946. SETUP 3 — Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG (MP) Trigger: Fast flush into 6928–6924 that instantly reclaims on 1m and prints a 5m re-close. Entry: 6926–6929 on the reclaim. SL: 6923.25–6923.75. TP1: 6939–6946 (R1). TP2: 6965–6975 (R2) only after 15m acceptance through R1. Invalidation: 15m close back below 6924. SETUP 4 — Quick-Reclaim Bounce LONG (S0 flip) Trigger: Sweep/flush into 6916–6912, immediate reclaim → 5m re-close. Entry: 6917–6920 on strength back above 6916. SL: 6911.50–6912.00. TP1: 6928–6924 (MP). TP2: 6939–6946 (R1). Invalidation: 15m body-through below 6912. SETUP 5 — Back-Inside Failure SHORT (under S2) Trigger: 15m body close < 6896, then 5m retest of 6900–6896 holds from below. Entry: 6898–6900 on the fail. SL: 6903.00–6903.50. TP1: 6892–6888 (S3). TP2: 6883–6880 (S4). Stretch: 6878–6874 (S5) — expect bounce attempts. Invalidation: 15m reclaim ≥ 6900 with 5m re-close.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
4
ES - Weekly Trading Plan - October 26th - 31stOctober 26th - 11:30am We had a great week, and price continued higher with 6690 being the low for the week. We also finished close to the weekly high of 6840. We had some Trump/China Tweets over the weekend, and I am not sure how that will affect the open tonight. I do know that we need to hold 6811, 6792 on any quick flush out the gate at the open. 6760-66 is a key level this week and we should not see price move any lower than 6740-50 levels, IF price wants to keep running higher. We do have end of month window dressing coming up with a lot of earnings, Fed meetings and other economic events that should provide some volatility. Key Support Levels - 6811, 6792, 6763, 6742-50, 6703, 6690 Key Resistance Levels - 6840, 6855, 6891 Bullish Weekly Targets - 6855, 6891, 6946 Any flush of 6811 or 6792 and reclaim, should keep us moving higher overnight. I will have a better sense on Monday am when I post my Daily Trade Plan around 6am EST as to where price is and what levels we need to look for. If you have been following me for any length of time, you know I am looking for some pullbacks to enter long. The trend in ES is up and should remain bullish, until we lose a significant level such as 6690 then we would need to re-evaluate. Since we are on the last week of the month, my general lean is that we can continue to take price higher into the weekly targets above. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Purple Levels - Weekly Low Green Levels - Weekly Targets Yellow Levels - Daily Key Levels (See Daily Trade Plan) White - Trendlines that may produce support/resistance alongside the horizontal trendlines
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by jhill1618
Generals Charge, Soldiers Stall: Reading Bearish Divergence1. Context: The Battle Line Between Large and Small Caps This week’s futures landscape paints a striking contrast between leadership and hesitation. In the CME equity index universe, the large caps — ES (E-mini S&P 500), NQ (E-mini NASDAQ 100), and YM (E-mini Dow Jones) — advanced as a united front, all opening above their prior week’s highs. The market generals were charging confidently uphill. Yet, on the same battlefield, the RTY (E-mini Russell 2000) lagged behind. The small caps failed to take out the prior week’s high and opened below the aggressive gaps that marked their larger counterparts. In trader terms, breadth was narrowing. In storyteller terms, the generals were calling “forward!” — but the soldiers weren’t following. Such divergences in participation often mark transition zones in market psychology. When large caps push while small caps stall, it doesn’t necessarily mean the campaign is lost — but it does mean confidence among the broader troops is weakening. 2. Reading the Divergence: When Breadth Narrows The relationship between large-cap and small-cap indices often reveals more than just price action — it exposes the structure of conviction. In sustained bullish environments, small caps tend to lead or at least confirm the move. Their participation signals that risk appetite is healthy across the field, not confined to the biggest names. When that breadth fades, the advance becomes fragile. A rally driven only by mega-cap components (the generals) can stretch further, but with decreasing participation, it becomes increasingly vulnerable to shocks. Traders who watch intermarket behavior know this phenomenon as bearish divergence — higher highs in the generals, lower or flat highs in the soldiers. From a practical standpoint, narrowing breadth implies that fewer sectors are carrying the index higher. In other words, the market’s engine is running on fewer cylinders. This is not a timing trigger on its own, but it is a powerful contextual clue suggesting that volatility could expand when the leadership stumbles. 3. Quantifying the Risk: Supports and Market Depth Looking beneath price, Order Flow (UnFilled Orders) provides a sense of where liquidity may reside once the current rally pauses. Key UFO support zones, acting as potential demand clusters, reveal how far the market might travel before encountering fresh buy interest. From this week’s open: ES shows its next support roughly 5.26% below current levels. NQ sits around 6.25% below. YM’s cushion lies approximately 9.39% beneath. RTY, however, faces a much deeper air pocket — the next notable UFO support sits nearly 13.99% lower. This asymmetry is critical. If markets retreat, small caps have the most unprotected downside terrain before reaching meaningful support. In other words, the generals may fall back a few miles, but the soldiers could tumble down the hill. These percentages don’t guarantee a move — they outline the potential amplitude of correction if risk-off flows accelerate. The deeper the distance to support, the larger the volatility zone beneath. 4. Strategic View: Large Caps Lead, but Are They Overextended? The current setup puts traders in a classic tactical dilemma: Are the generals inspiring a new advance, or are they overextended and exposed? Two plausible scenarios emerge: Continuation scenario: If the small caps (RTY) regain strength and take out their prior week’s high, the breadth gap could close. This would validate the generals’ move and reestablish a broad-based advance. Correction scenario: If RTY continues to stall while ES, NQ, and YM fail to sustain their gaps, it would confirm a divergence-led weakening. A close back below prior week’s highs could trigger a retreat toward the support zones identified earlier. The idea is not to predict a reversal, but to prepare a framework in case weakness unfolds. 5. Contract Overview: E-mini and Micro Versions To analyze or engage these markets, traders can study both E-mini and Micro E-mini contracts listed on the CME. These contracts represent standardized ways to participate in U.S. equity index movements, but at different notional sizes. E-mini contracts (ES, NQ, YM, RTY) are the long-standing institutional benchmark instruments that track major U.S. equity indices with efficient liquidity and tight spreads. Micro E-mini contracts (MES, MNQ, MYM, M2K) provide the same exposure pattern at one-tenth the size, offering more granularity in risk management and flexibility for smaller accounts or precise hedging. It’s important to understand that these futures allow directional and hedging applications without requiring ownership of the underlying equities. However, as with any leveraged product, margin requirements can amplify both gains and losses. Traders should familiarize themselves with margin-to-equity ratios and maintenance requirements before participation. S&P 500 – ES / MES Minimum tick: 0.25 points Tick value: $12.50 (E-mini) | $1.25 (Micro) Typical margin: ≈ $21K (E-mini) | ≈ $2.1K (Micro) NASDAQ 100 – NQ / MNQ Minimum tick: 0.25 points Tick value: $5.00 (E-mini) | $0.50 (Micro) Typical margin: ≈ $30K (E-mini) | ≈ $3.0K (Micro) Dow Jones – YM / MYM Minimum tick: 1 point Tick value: $5.00 (E-mini) | $0.50 (Micro) Typical margin: ≈ $13K (E-mini) | ≈ $1.3K (Micro) Russell 2000 – RTY / M2K Minimum tick: 0.10 points Tick value: $5.00 (E-mini) | $0.50 (Micro) Typical margin: ≈ $9K (E-mini) | ≈ $0.9K (Micro) Please note that all margin requirements are approximate and may be adjusted. 6. Risk Management Spotlight Breadth divergences can test patience and positioning discipline. Managing exposure becomes as important as analyzing the signal itself. Here are three core reminders: Position Sizing: Adjust to volatility. If the distance to the nearest support is wide, scale down accordingly to maintain a consistent risk percentage per trade. Stop-Loss Discipline: Predetermine exit points based on technical invalidation, not emotion. Capital Preservation: Capital is ammunition; running out of it limits participation when true opportunity returns. In the end, risk management isn’t about avoiding loss; it’s about surviving long enough to thrive when clarity returns. When markets are divided between generals and soldiers, maintaining balance becomes a trader’s greatest edge. 7. Educational Takeaway The “generals vs. soldiers” analogy reminds us that market structure is not just about price—it’s about participation. When large caps surge but small caps lag, it signals a potential exhaustion point in the broader advance. The healthiest rallies are those in which all troops move in sync. For traders and investors, breadth divergences serve as an early-warning system, not a countdown clock. They encourage a review of exposure, tighter stop placement, and a shift toward risk-awareness rather than return-chasing. At this stage, the technical setup across U.S. index futures reads like a fragile truce: ES, NQ, and YM maintain their gains above prior-week highs, while RTY still lingers below. Should the soldiers eventually follow, confidence could rebuild. But if the generals start retreating first, the path toward their UFO supports could unfold quickly. The core takeaway: breadth divergences don’t predict timing—they illuminate imbalance. Recognizing that imbalance early allows traders to respond intelligently instead of react emotionally when volatility expands. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
2
ES - October 28th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 28th - 8:30am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our overnight session high is 6917 (which we are coming into this area as I type this). We still have a massive gap that should be filled at some point this week. We have a lot of earnings, FOMC, Economic Data and Trump in Asia tour. It is also the end of the month with Institutions looking to keep price moving higher and trapping retail investors to fill their liquidity needs. We are very extended on RSI with all time frames needing a pullback to reset and continue higher. We can sell off all the way down to 6810 and still be in a bullish trend. My lean is that we fill the gap and work our way down to the 6812-17 level and then continue higher. Ideally, we would sell off hard, scare retail investors, lose yesterday's low at 6867, reclaim and squeeze us higher. That could take a couple of days to do that, or we could get a rug pull any time. Key Levels Today - 1. Loss of 6908 and reclaim 2. Loss of 6901 and reclaim 3. Loss of 6889 and reclaim 4. Loss of 6878 and reclaim 5. Loss of 6867 and reclaim 6. Loss of 6841 and reclaim Key Support Levels - 6908, 6901, 6889,6878, 6867, 6857, 6841, 6827, 6812 Key Resistance Levels - 6917, 6923, 6930, 6946 We have to view price action as bullish until the trend changes. That would need a loss of 6720, 6690 to become bearish. Until then I anticipate the overnight gap closing, losing the 6812 level and reclaim would be a great spot, but we can easily move up with the loss of the key levels above and reclaims to grab points at. In summary, IF price clears 6917 and then price can't hold 6906, we could flush lower. You can see the white trendline that has been respected overnight and below 6901, we are looking at 6889 to flush and reclaim. Below there and the loss of 6867 (yesterday's low) would be a great spot for some points. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Tue (Oct 28th)ES Context: The trend is upward on the higher time frame, approaching a "weak-high" area just above the previous day's high (PDH). With FOMC Day-1 and consumer confidence news approaching, I expect the Asia and London sessions to trade within a range around or below the PDH, with a risk of a sweep and retest before any potential extension. The bias is slightly bullish as long as we remain above yesterday’s value area. The invalidation point is a 15-minute close below the previous day's low (PDL). Setup 1 — Long above R1 (acceptance continuation) Trigger: 15m full-body close ≥ 6912, then 5m pullback holds/re-closes above 6912. Entry: 6913–6915 Stop: 6905 TP1: 6924–6930 TP2: 6965–6975 Cancel: if retest fails to hold above 6912. Setup 2 — Short at R1 (rejection fade) Trigger: Probe ≥ 6912 fails; 15m closes back below 6909; 5m LH re-close. Entry: 6907–6910 Stop: 6917 TP1: 6900–6896 TP2: 6883–6880 Runner: 6878 → 6867.50 if momentum continues. Setup 3 — Long from GMid (partial gap-fill reclaim ) Trigger: Wick into 6852–6855, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6856. Entry: 6856–6858 Stop: 6848 TP1: 6867.50 (GTop) TP2: 6900–6906 Setup 4 — Long from GBot (full gap-fill reversal) Trigger: Fast tag of 6841–6842, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6846. Entry: 6846–6848 on retest hold Stop: 6836 TP1: 6854.25 (GMid) TP2: 6867.50 (GTop) Cancel: 15m body closes back below 6841. Execution rules Trade inside kill-zones only (London 02:00–05:00 ET; NY AM 09:30–11:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00). Take a setup only if TP1 ≥ 2.0R versus the stated stop. At TP1 close 70% and set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2. Catalysts for Tue, Oct 28 (all times ET; all listed items expected to proceed despite the shutdown) 09:00 — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (private release). 10:00 — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (private release). All day — FOMC Meeting (Day-1) begins; Day-2 statement/PC tomorrow. 13:00 — U.S. Treasury auctions (notes/bills as scheduled). FYI tomorrow (Wed): 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (on schedule).
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
ES - October 27th - Daily Trade PlanOctober 27th - 7:15am *Before reading this trade plan, IF, you did not read yesterdays, or the Weekly Trade Plan take the time to read it first! (You can see both posts in the related publication section) * If my posts provide quality information that has helped you with your trading journey. Feel free to boost it for others to find and learn, also! My daily trade plan and real-time notes that I post are intended for myself to easily be able to go back and review my plan and how I did from an execution perspective. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We gapped up overnight with 6890 our high and 6867 our low for the session as of writing this post. We have a massive gap that will be filled at some point in the next couple of days. We have a lot of earnings, FOMC, Economic Data and Trump in Asia tour. It is also the end of the month with Institutions looking to keep price moving higher and trapping retail investors to fill their liquidity needs. We are very extended on RSI with all time frames needing a pullback to reset and continue higher. We can sell off all the way down to 6750 and still be in a bullish trend. My lean is that we fill the gap and work our way down to the 6784-92 level and then continue higher. Ideally, we would sell off hard, scare retail investors, lose Friday's low at 6777, reclaim and squeeze us higher. That could take a couple of days to do that, or we could get a rug pull any time. Key Levels Today - 1. Loss of 6878 and reclaim 2. Loss of 6867 and reclaim 3. Loss of 6841 and reclaim 4. Loss of 6812 and reclaim 5. Loss of 6792 and reclaim 6. Loss of 6777 and reclaim Key Support Levels - 6878, 6867, 6857, 6841, 6827, 6812, 6798, 6792, 6784, 6777, 6763 Key Resistance Levels - 6889, 6900, 6908, 6921, 6930, 6947 We have to view price action as bullish until the trend changes. That would need a loss of 6720, 6690 to become bearish. Until then I anticipate the overnight gap closing, losing the 6777 level and reclaim would be a great spot, but we can easily move up with the loss of the key levels above and reclaims to grab points at. I will post an update around 10am EST. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Couple of things about how I color code my levels. 1. Purple shows the weekly Low 2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (time of post) 3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low (also other previous day's lows) 4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest. 5. White shows the trendline from the August lows
CME_MINI:ES1!
by jhill1618
Day 57 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$27 & Staying DisciplinedRecap & Trades Day 57 — a slower day, but still a win for discipline. We had X7 sell signals flashing early, hinting at downside, but the market structure stayed bullish and DP buy signals kept showing up. I went long near the MOB zone at 11:30, got shaken out on a quick drop at 11:35, and eventually decided to step aside. Closed for a small gain of +$27.50. Lesson & Mindset Sometimes the right play is to walk away. When signals conflict, overtrading only leads to frustration. Days like this are great reminders that trading small and reviewing later can be just as productive as hitting big wins. News & Levels Main headline — S&P 500 hit a new record high today ahead of major tech earnings. Tomorrow’s levels: Above 6885 bullish, below 6840 bearish.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST