Novavax (NVAX): a super-risky investment value propositionWhile Novavax has some positives, it is not a good candidate for new money. Novavax's two marquee programs, RSV F for maternal vaccination and NanoFlu are not doing particularly well, as they are getting delayed.
RSV F for maternal vaccination is now in Phase 3, but many investors are wondering if it's a viable drug. Even if Novavax successfully meets the development challenges, it may face strong competition from other biotech companies.
One possibility for Novovax is to be bought out, in which case the stock may be underpriced.
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NVAX trade ideas
NVAX - Bullish Swing TradeThis is my second bullish swing trade on NVAX in a week. The first trade ended with a small gain, I exited the trade early because earnings were the next day and I didn't want to hold through earnings.
I entered the trade later in the day on Thursday. After a big pullback early Thursday NVAX recovered nicely so I entered at $2.05. NVAX looked pretty strong on Friday so I am hoping for more follow through this week.
NVAX - Bullish Swing TradeI am a little late publishing this chart, I entered the trade on Friday. NVAX has strong support at around $1.96 and has bounced there several times.
My target is $2.34 and depending on how strong NVAX looks I may just take a partial there and trail my stop behind the rest.
NVAX - Long from Pull back support at $1.73 to $2.37 & higher NVAX had huge run on very big volume, and now its pulling back to support. It has big % insider buying. We think it will continue upward from its current label.
* Trade Criteria *
Date First Found- January 17, 2018
Pattern/Why- Aggressive reversal play potential
Entry Target Criteria- Current label ($1.73)
Exit Target Criteria- 1st Target $2.37, 2nd Target Momentum
Stop Loss Criteria- $1.56
Indicator Notes- Big insider buying
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
Long NVAXLong term consolidation on NVAX. Volatile name. Time before a new earnings announcement so its volatility can be placed. Long postition with a stop at 0.95. Waiting for another sudden pop like the one highlighted. If not watching markets, probably worth setting a take profit order to be sure not to miss a bounce into above 1.30 range.
NVAX lottery ticketBeginning a move up from the BOTTOM - its a $1 stock. Most of these will go bankrupt. But this one has some nice data behind it and vaccines for Zika/ RSV etc in late stage clinical trials. keep this idea and look at in 1 year - stock has some predicting $12 -- if we get to $10 that is not doubling your money.. its 10x! Oh did I mention the BIll and Melinda Gates foundation are also behind it?? risk 5k to make 50k??
NVAX- Breakout Long opportunity from $1.55 to $2.37NVAX looks really good breakout opportunity. Its just tethering 50 day moving average, a break above will be Long Entry confirmation., and we think it will easily hit 2.40 area.
Trade Criteria
Entry Target Criteria- break above $1.55
Exit Target Criteria- $2.37
Stop Loss Criteria- $1.29
You can check our detailed analysis on NVAX in the trading room/ Executive summary link here-
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Time Span- 3:45"
Trade Status: Pending