$OPEN - Falling Through the Trap DoorA good trading friend of mine asked for a fresh set of eyes on $OPEN. I figured I would share here.
I don't like the impersonal style of this company. When people sell a home- they want a personal relationship with their realtor.
Anyone with their chops would tell you it's best to expose the house to the market and let a bidding war take place. This model is smart, but I would never suggest friends or family use Opendoor.
Considering higher rates coming and dropping home sale numbers, look for this name to continue to fall further after a failed breakout and rejection. Especially after missing earnings recently.
More information about $OPEN from their website:
"Opendoor is a leading digital platform for residential real estate. In 2014, we set out to reinvent life’s most important transaction with a new, radically simple way to buy and sell your home. We have rebuilt the entire consumer real estate experience and have made buying and selling possible on a mobile device. We’ve served tens of thousands of customers who have come to Opendoor to make their moves easier. Whether it’s getting married, starting a family, taking a new job or simply making a life change, we help people get to their next chapter in one simple, seamless transaction. Our mission is to empower everyone with the freedom to move.
Opendoor currently operates in a growing number of cities and neighborhoods across the country. A full view of the markets we serve can be found here. Headquartered in San Francisco, we are a team of problem solvers, innovators, and operators building the largest, most trusted platform for residential real estate."
OPEN trade ideas
OPEN - bottoming process - covered calls to JanJust want to play, Bottom looks in with Zillow and technicals
Watching for MF and DMI divergence, Bernoulli (information) & volume turning up
Covered calls, Jan 15 @ 1.30 (~16.30 to 12.70 range for ranges) and wait for nothing to happen, to scrap the options tariff.
Company is still a dog, lossing a ton of cash with increasing debt, but revenue is growing, maybe they can grow their way out of this hole...
Strong support area provides a good R/ROpendoor $OPEN has delivered better than expected results in the past 2 QE. The fundamentals are strong and this past sell-off was due to the broad market sell-off. At $13.50-$13.75 range we have a strong support area that should hold. If so the minimum rise should be the resistance area of the range-bound rectangle at around $18.50.
Entering a BUY position at the current price would provide 2.5+ R/R which is pretty good. If we can get a small dip down to $14.5 then the R/R rises to 4.44 as shown on the chart.
Other notable technicals we can see are:
- the price should retrace back to 200SMA around $18-$18.5 area
- the retracement would be less than 50% Fibo
- the price is really over-sold and a counter-trend leg to the upside is expected
Not financial advice, DYODD
OPEN reporting play, short OPENI need some puts on $OPEN before they report this week. They're going to spin this Zillow flight into an increased market share story. I see the house flipping model only working in strongly uptrending markets, and, the shortage of men and material is several Qs out. $ARKK, $ARKF, $ARKW is exiting Z and $ARKF is in OPEN too.