kocurekc

kocurekc Updated 

BTC is looking to have a short consolidation to test a couple of key levels. Looking for the bounce to turn around and get long again. Just coming up on the radar for long on the hour-daily combination. If it blows down past 41000, this might indicate a turn to the bearish direction.

kocurekc

Just logging the idea. Market is pricing in 12.5% growth rates come down to rebase post pandemic volatility is up with inflation/Russia It is a $330 to $370 stock (DCF valuation) that I don't mind holding if we get a drop. Sold covered call, 315 Apr 14, $14.50 really wanting nothing to happen, but happy with a pop (lock in 5% in 30 days), happy with a drop...

kocurekc Updated 

Just want to play, Bottom looks in with Zillow and technicals Watching for MF and DMI divergence, Bernoulli (information) & volume turning up Covered calls, Jan 15 @ 1.30 (~16.30 to 12.70 range for ranges) and wait for nothing to happen, to scrap the options tariff. Company is still a dog, lossing a ton of cash with increasing debt, but revenue is growing, maybe...

kocurekc Updated 

Just a little weekend watch fun, homework to track ETHUSD over the next few days

kocurekc Updated 

Heading back down to test the trend line (Potential Exit Point - Profit Take) Still Long

kocurekc Updated 

The poor retail sector, TGT you looked so good before, lapping WMT , chasing AMZN , but then the 'rona. TGT still has great long term potential, current Mr Market is pricing in a -1%YoY growth rate on DCF to get to a $121 price point, 0% gets you $131, and current EBIT valuations have you around the $94/98 point. This should lag in the tight zone till earnings ....

kocurekc Updated 

Sorry, stuck in no-mans-land. Volume flow has been squeezing for the last 6-weeks, all the "low infomation" zones are trending down. Need to get down to test the gap up point to find if we've got any new buyers.

kocurekc Updated 

Getting ready to test again on the floor (support), should be turning up in the next day or two.

kocurekc Updated 

I like X longer term, on a value basis...Net incomes are now positive, debt is down over the past couple of years (and now looks manageable). Shorter term looks like a bear trap, unless a China miracle happens, bumping up against the longer term down trend. If it powers through (thank you value investors with a PE ~4), if it pulls back we're watching for a volume...

kocurekc

We've got lots of good data points for this rollover. Both price and volume don't have a lot of faith in the rally. BVI had a hot spot (turn) a couple of days ago, BOP diverged and is heading down. Fib levels say watch out that you don't plow through 2570~2520...cause we could test the Dec bottoms. Of course China and Europe and Trump could all be fine and you...

kocurekc

I think paypal is a great company, really interesting from a fundamental approach, but kind of expensive. Seeing some divergence in balance of power, money flow and price...with lots of low volume action days. Looks like the we (the little guys) are keeping PYPL "melting up" while the larger money is selling into the upward movement/momentum. The direction is up,...

kocurekc

TTM is approaching a resistance level, so far volume is moving with price. I feel TTM is still just a short dollar play, but still huge longterm potential for India autos. Longer term down trend is busted, but even long dollar strength has depressed the stock. Not a call for up/down, BVI looks to say (change in direction) so test and fall back, but lots of China...

kocurekc

Looks like a "weak" week next week, but we'll continue to drive positive longer term. Buyers at the bottom, and less sellers at top. Past month has continue to buy the dips

kocurekc Updated 

Some additional time analysis from a most excellent chart by www.tradingview.com There has been a nice harmonic to this cycle for the past 8 years. Due to QE1/2/3 we've broken this cycle in mid 2012. We are tracking at the next harmonic interface. I would like to think that we've hold this near-term...

kocurekc Updated 

This little break out should be watched and not acted on until confirmed...If you weren't buying OIL (Majors, Indep, Service Comps) since MAR/APR. Do not chase this little one, but if we can break out ~$51 (...and hold), then jump on the bandwagon. Oil is finally setting up to test the summer highs. We've got good support below, a couple of easy targets above....

kocurekc

CVX Bearish pennant seems to be holding. Moving into earnings now. CVX is in a weakened position, will of course oil, slumping...but also strong dollar exposure. CVX has a bunch of big gas projects overseas (Australia) and the strong dollar, weak gas, and high execution cost overseas may just be the drag to break it to the down side. Volume is nice here...strong...

kocurekc

I was inspired by a really poorly done analysis showing the current administration's (huge successes) policy on the markets and jobless claims. Basically making the claim about how much further we can still go with jobless claims. Also wanted to play with utilizing Quandl data within Tradingview. So, I took a step back (because they only published the last 5 years...

kocurekc

Finally, your cup of Joe may start getting cheaper (in 6 more months), commodity prices set the current contracts which usually don't arrive for 3 to 6 months. Maybe time to start locking in for 2015