Buyer Be-Wired: A Deep Dive into SOUN and the Startup PlaybookFor investors diving into the buzzing world of artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, SoundHound AI Inc. (SOUN) may appear enticing. As a niche AI company specializing in voice recognition and sound processing, SOUN has captured attention with its speculative rise in the stock market. However, the company's trajectory suggests a familiar Silicon Valley narrative—one that warrants caution for retail investors. A closer look at the charts, speculative buzz, and business strategy paints a picture of a company that may not be as sound as its name suggests.
A glance at SOUN’s daily chart reveals a rollercoaster of erratic price action. The massive spikes followed by extended consolidations scream speculation rather than sustained growth. These parabolic movements are likely driven by retail investor excitement, rather than a reflection of strong fundamentals. Volume surges during these spikes suggest FOMO (fear of missing out) behavior from buyers who may not fully understand the risks. For disciplined investors, this kind of volatility should raise red flags, not opportunities.
SOUN’s story fits neatly into the classic Silicon Valley “build, pump, and sell” playbook. This strategy, often seen in niche startups, involves developing a highly specialized product, generating buzz, and positioning the company for acquisition rather than long-term independence. SoundHound’s focus on voice recognition and sound processing positions it as a potential component of a larger ecosystem rather than a standalone powerhouse. The company’s niche focus might be valuable to a tech giant seeking to bolster its voice assistant or AI capabilities, but it does little to inspire confidence in its ability to sustain itself independently.
Speculative interest in SOUN likely stems from broader AI hype. The success of major players like NVIDIA has spilled over to smaller, less proven companies in the space. Social media platforms such as Reddit and Twitter (X) are notorious for amplifying small-cap stocks with big promises, and SOUN’s name may have ridden that wave. Additionally, the buzz surrounding its public debut or initial product announcements could have drawn in retail investors, further inflating its speculative valuation.
Startups like SOUN often face significant risks. Their business models typically prioritize scaling over profitability, leading to cash burn and reliance on external funding. For a company like SOUN, the ultimate goal is likely an acquisition by a larger player such as Google, Amazon, or Apple. However, if this exit strategy fails to materialize, the company could struggle to sustain itself, leaving retail investors holding the bag.
SOUN’s story underscores several key lessons for investors. First, it’s crucial to understand a company’s business model and long-term goals. Not every company is building for independence or market dominance; some are simply setting themselves up for acquisition. Second, technical analysis can provide valuable insights into a stock’s behavior. Erratic movements and volume-driven spikes are often signs of speculative activity, not stability. Finally, sticking to a disciplined strategy is essential. If a stock doesn’t align with your trading matrix or risk tolerance, it’s better to pass—no matter how much buzz surrounds it.
While SOUN’s niche positioning and speculative potential may appeal to thrill-seeking traders, it remains a high-risk play with more questions than answers. For long-term investors, the company’s reliance on hype and the possibility of acquisition makes it speculative at best. Before diving into stocks like SOUN, remember not every shiny opportunity is gold. Buyer beware—or in this case, buyer be-wired.
-For a detailed look at SOUN’s cash flow and financial health, you can review their financials on Yahoo Finance
SOUN trade ideas
SOUN
The only play for today using my scanner..
I’m primarily looking for either a gap give and go setup or a breakout with a retest. Ideally, I’d aim for a second entry if we move into the 50% pre-market range to achieve a better average fill.
I don’t use a price target; instead, I activate a trailing stop once I’m satisfied with the outcome.
Sound Hound AI now Exceeding all standard Fibonacci ExtensionsWhereas, I can account for an extended wave 3 hitting the 200.0% fib extension, I have no standard pathways for wave 3 extending past that fib target. Granted that is not to say that sort of price action is impossible...but this is rare.
SOUN is in no man's land...so we continue to look to the next fib area, and so on.
Best to all,
Chris
Trading JournalI had sold because it was too extended over the all key moving averages,
it set up again, bought again pretty much at sold price and made another move higher.
It is even more extended, hit the all time high price, it can certainly go higher but I rather book profit and let go of remaining profit and get out vs stay in
SoundHound AI Short Trade Setup with Targets📉 SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) – 1H Chart NASDAQ
Here's a short trade setup I’m watching:
Entry Zone: $17.64 - $18.41 (Fibonacci Resistance Zone)
Stop-Loss: $19.14
Targets:
- Target 1: $15.50
- Target 2: $13.60
Trade Rationale:
- Potential wave (5) completion based on Elliott Wave structure.
- Key Fibonacci levels (1.236 to 1.618) acting as resistance.
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio aligns with technical targets.
SoundHound AI Filling in the ideal subdivisions do farMuch has been made about the recent parabolic price action of SOUN. The news is confused if the stock price will collapse or if whales are involved and take this much much higher.
I, on the other hand, have a more calm view, as the price action has been fairly predictable in terms of hitting standard Elliott Wave Fibonacci extensions. My perspective is as per the below chart.
Best to all,
Chris
SOUN - Funs over for now. Short Term Short. Target 9-10With a 52 week low of $1.62 to a high of $16.07 SOUN was a rocket ship. But just as it was fun to take a flyer on this company and throw caution to the wind, we closed our long position a couple days ago. Now that the top is in its time for a quick short position as SOUN has gotten a bit ahead of itself. Target is 9-10 range in the next 2-3 weeks as we are rolling over on the Stochastic RSI.
SOUN Breakout Setup | Ascending Triangle Targeting $17.68"SOUN is forming an ascending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart, currently testing the $16.00 resistance level. A breakout above $16.00 could confirm bullish momentum, with a potential target at $17.68.
Key levels:
Support: $13.36
Resistance: $16.00 (yet to break)
Target: $17.68
Traders should watch for confirmation with volume on the breakout. Until then, the pattern suggests potential upward movement while maintaining caution near resistance.
#Stocks #Trading #SOUN #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #BullishSetup #Investing
Closer to an interim peakThe outsized upside moves we are seeing in recent days of more speculative names within the market (e.g. SOUN but also Bitcoin mining stonks on the back of BTC breaking $100k) are symptomatic of a nearing tradable top for many names and the market as a whole even if this is only an "interim" top, a decent correction is likely to follow in coming weeks (maybe into 1Q 2025).
Ready to take a Flyer?Part of the fun of investing is accepting a bit of risk for outsized rewards. NASDAQ:SOUN fits the bill. Through 2 acquisitions in the the last couple of months they are predicting annual revenues north of $150 million. While not profitable they are in the hot space of AI software and have a plethora of customers across a number of industries. By rolling up smaller companies that already have revenues and customers they can establish their beachhead and start building their moats. They are by no means cheap and a value play but what they are is a potential meme stock that can 2x or 3x on the momentum. Going to take a flyer and see where this goes over the next couple weeks.
SOUN stock interviewSOUN stock
Voice artificial intelligence company founded in 2005
Provides a voice AI platform that enables businesses to offer customized conversational experiences to consumers
Looks amazing in the weekly time frame!
with a return to a trading range (back to where most trading candles are made);
bullish trend (positive)
In terms of Q3 news
Revenues increased by 89% from last year and amounted to 25.1 million dollars
Exceeding forecasts and its strong demand in various industries
Growth in the automotive and restaurant sector!
looking good to 13$ right now
SOUN stock interviewSOUN stock
Voice artificial intelligence company founded in 2005
Provides a voice AI platform that enables businesses to offer customized conversational experiences to consumers
Looks amazing in the weekly time frame!
with a return to a trading range (back to where most trading candles are made);
bullish trend (positive)
In terms of Q3 news
Revenues increased by 89% from last year and amounted to 25.1 million dollars
Exceeding forecasts and its strong demand in various industries
Growth in the automotive and restaurant sector!
looking good to 13$ right now
Soundhound - Who Let the Dogs Out SoundHound AI has shown significant revenue growth recently, benefiting from a rising interest in AI-driven technologies, particularly in voice AI. The company's Q3 2024 revenue exceeded $25 million, marking an 89% year-over-year increase and underscoring a promising trajectory in its voice AI solutions across various sectors such as automotive and customer service.
After a 2 year period of what may be an accumulation range from 2022-2024, the stock has broken out of the previous range, into a potential uptrend that can lead this stock back to all time highs.
There are a few confluence zones that I would like to see respected on the chart marked by several indicators to establish the direction of the trend.
Firstly, the volume profile can give me an idea where the support zone would be, you can see these zones marked in orange being the value area high, and value area low of the range. The point of control marked in blue is where the majority of the volume in the range is traded. At the moment we have broken out of this trend and are hitting resistance at the 0.618 retracement zone at approx $7.60 - $8.
I would welcome a pullback to look for high probability entry zones on this stock. As we can see, we have a nice confluence at approx $6.50 where the Value Area High sits, on top of the anchored vwap marked in green. Just below sits the 0.382 fib level which can confirm a strong upwards trend.
I would welcome an entry at $6.50 zone if we can find buyers and support to bring this one back to the liquidity zone at $10.30 for a total of 60%. Stop loss would occur when the Vwap is lost, as well as price losing the value area high that could signal lower prices to come.
While SoundHound's AI technology may hold long-term potential, it is not without risks. Investors need to consider the company's ongoing efforts to scale and maintain profitability, as well as the volatile nature of the broader AI market. It is not unusual for these stocks to swing 10-20% very quickly.
Therefore, while it may be an exciting speculative play, it is essential to have strict Risk management when trading and monitor market stability.