Trade ideas
BTC Dominance:Still fallingBitcoin dominance has completely touched the target point and caused Ethereum to grow
I am currently expecting it to make a second move
To start the Alt Season, we need to wait for Ethereum to calm down. There is money in the Ethereum market right now
Altseason Loading?Hello, Traders!
You know, crypto has its own seasons. Just like spring brings blossoms and winter brings snow, markets sometimes shift from BTC Dominance into what we call altcoin season, or, if you’re in a hurry, altseason. It’s the phase when altcoins, from big names like ETH to more adventurous projects, start outperforming Bitcoin in terms of returns. But before we all start dreaming of endless green candles, let’s remember: no single chart or altseason indicator can tell the whole story on its own.
What Is Altseason, Really?
At its core, alt coin season is about comparison. BTC remains the benchmark, but when altcoins start delivering stronger percentage gains, traders call it an altseason. The altcoin season index, a popular tool, checks whether at least 75% of the top altcoins are outperforming BTC over the last 90 days. If they are, the meter swings toward “yes, it’s altseason.”
The chart you see above shows the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D), one of the cornerstones behind the altcoin season index. When Bitcoin dominance is high, it means BTC is absorbing most of the market’s attention and capital. But when dominance starts to fall, that capital often rotates into altcoins, fueling what many call an altseason. This is why the altcoin season indicator doesn’t live in isolation: it leans on the shifts in BTC dominance to determine whether the market is favoring altcoins over Bitcoin.
Sounds simple, right? But here’s the restriction: the altseason index isn’t a fortune-teller. It’s more like a scoreboard that tells us how things have been going recently, not necessarily what’s coming next. And just to underline it, this indicator always needs to be paired with others, never used in isolation.
How the Altseason Chart Looks
The altcoin season chart is a visual snapshot of this dynamic. When it spikes, it suggests altcoins are collectively outperforming Bitcoin. During true alt season crypto, you’ll often see Ethereum gaining faster than BTC, smaller-cap tokens doubling, and market sentiment turning euphoric.
But these surges rarely last forever. As quickly as altseason arrives, it can fade. Bitcoin dominance tends to rise again, pulling attention and liquidity back. That’s why most analysts treat the altcoin season chart as part of a bigger puzzle, not a stand-alone answer. Once again, let’s stress it: the altseason indicator must be read in combination with other metrics like BTC.D or ETH/BTC ratios.
Why Altseason Feels Important
For newcomers, altseason is exciting because it looks like the best chance to multiply gains quickly. The 2017 rally made household names out of projects that otherwise might have stayed niche. The 2021 altcoin season chart looked like fireworks, with ETH and even DOGE stealing headlines. Still, it’s dangerous to treat the altcoin season index as a golden ticket. Some tokens rise with the tide, but many sink just as quickly.
The Bigger Picture
So, is it altcoin season right now? The truth is, the altseason index offers a glimpse, the altcoin season chart provides context, and the altseason indicator adds structure. But none of them are designed to function solo. They’re like instruments in an orchestra. Together, they make sense, but alone, they’re just noise.
Right now, the market is in a balancing act. Bitcoin’s dominance has weakened, but it hasn’t collapsed. That leaves us in a classic “altseason loading…” phase, where traders debate whether we’re at the doorstep of a new alt coin season or just witnessing a temporary shake-up.
Whether you call it altcoin season, alt season, or just plain altseason, the lesson is the same: indicators are tools, not prophecies. They shine brightest when combined, never when isolated.
BTC Dominance – Topped Out and Ready to Break?BTC.D looks clearly topped and is forming what appears to be a triangle A–E pattern.
Drawing a line from the genesis block (start of BTC) and over the 2021 high, a resistance is formed precisely where BTC this year was rejected, and an important support level is broken but not yet confirmed, as the month is yet to close the candle. But I expect BTC.D to continue to fall.
This triangle pattern typically signals a breakout around August 27–28 after a bounce off the lower support.
If the pattern breaks to the downside, BTC dominance may find support around the 42% level.
Altcoins could benefit from a drop in dominance — keep an eye on volume and direction in the coming days and weeks. As mentioned in another post, alts could see a bounce around September 12th.
The Alt Season is still ongoing.As you can see, the Alt Season lasted 147 days from the price ceiling to the bottom of its channel.
Trading knots are always present along the way and are full of ups and downs But the goal remains the same.
So be patient and don't miss your golden opportunity, because whales and organizations want you to doubt and doubt.
History and charts never lie.
BTC is losing dominance, Alt season!With the passing of the Genius Act , ETH , ADA , and many other American altcoins gained strong momentum. BTC dominance is bearish, and with the Clarity Act in the process of being passed, I expect lower dominance for BTC in 2025 and 2026. As you can see in the weekly chart, BTC dominance lost its momentum within a key rising parallel channel and dropped into a lower channel. Alt season is coming!
BTC Dominance analysis – 1W OB & Market Structure/ AltseasonOn the weekly chart, Bitcoin dominance has rejected from the 70% Weekly OB supply zone and is now pulling back.
We currently have three major Weekly OB demand zones below:
54–55% OB
48–50% OB
40–42% OB
Possible scenarios:
1️⃣ A temporary bounce before continuation lower.
2️⃣ A steady decline into one of the OB zones (50% or 42%).
3️⃣ A strong breakdown below 50%, signaling a deeper shift in market structure.
⚡ Key Altseason Signal: If this decline in BTC dominance happens while Ethereum’s price rallies in Daily or Weekly timeframe, it will be a strong confirmation of the start of Altseason, with ETH leading and alts following aggressively.
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History Repeats: Death Cross Signals Altcoin Season Ahead !Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to talk about the most probable scenario for BTC.D and Altcoins in the upcoming months, so make sure to read until the end — and don’t hesitate to share your thoughts in the comments below.
Let’s get started:
As you might know, one of the most important EMA combinations is between the 20 and 50 EMAs. When the smaller one (20) breaks above the bigger one (50), we call it a Golden Cross — a strong bullish signal, especially on higher timeframes. And of course, the opposite situation is called a Death Cross, which usually indicates a bearish reversal.
And what’s happening now?
Before the last Altcoin season, we had a clear Death Cross on the BTC.D chart, aligned with other bearish signals such as RSI reaching the overbought zone on the weekly timeframe, testing a monthly resistance line, and forming a bearish pattern below it. All of that led to one of the most memorable Altseasons we’ve ever had.
Right now, I believe we are seeing the exact same setup again:
Price reached the monthly resistance line.
RSI is once again in the overbought zone (monthly).
A bearish reversal is forming.
BTC.D is breaking below key levels and trading under a 3-year ascending channel.
And now… another Death Cross is on the horizon!
If we also get a rate cut in the upcoming month, this setup could trigger another massive Altcoin season — and more pain for BTC.D dominance.
I hope you enjoy this idea and as always, remember our golden rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Alt seasonAlt season is so close we can smell it BTCD 2 monthly stoch rsi about the break down 🫠 let’s go
BTC dominance longTL;DR
- Pullback from 59.60 to 61.05% (bad for our bags)
- Trend continuation from 61.05% to 58.1% (Good for our bags)
- Major trendline breaks below 58.1%, means Altseason.
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Well.
Here how i think it will play out.
Now we have a bullish divergence on 4h tf plus trend change also on 4h tf.
This means one of two things, either a full reversal to the upside (which is unlikely) or just a pullback which iam more leaning towards.
So our first conclusion is that we will go through a pullback phase.
Then comes where we are pulling back to, from where. what i think is that (if we think as we are dealing with a traditional asset class based on the chart), then we have some resting liq at 59.60%, below that there is an FVG, a bullish one. So iam thinking we will visit the 59.60 level, then move upwards to 61.05%. And from there we will be revisiting a bullish trendline on a bigger tf at 58.1%.
If that trendline broke. Then we are officially in an altseason.
Berish BTC D To 57%Berish BTC D To 57%
Make 0 to A
retest A to B
Now i Think Will Go To C
Tp 59
Tp 58
Tp 57
Altcoin Season Vibes Loading🚀Altcoin Season Vibes Loading ... 🚀
Even though the price of Bitcoin has dropped sharply, the BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is still stuck in its range with no clear reversal or pump confirmation. 🔄
👉 That’s actually a super bullish signal for Altcoins! 💎✨
Why? Because when BTC loses strength without dominance shooting up, it often means capital is quietly flowing into Alts. 🌊📈
🔥 Stay focused, stay patient — the opportunities are building up. This could be the moment where strong Altcoins start shining!
\#Altcoins #BTC #Crypto
BTC.D PlanBTC.D
Entering into the bottom of this weekly parallel channel that’s been going on since 2023. Taking fibs from last cycles ATH to this cycles ATL we see that we almost tapped the .786 before coming down. Taking fibs from the lows of December 2024 to highs of June 2025 we see that the .618, .65, .705 and .786 are all on a weekly OB that is acting as DEMAND. There is a possibility that this acts as support and we get a push off of it. If not, then lower we go, to possibly as low as ~54%.
CRYPTO: BTC.D (1W)Currently, we are at a crucial point where the price is playing at the trendline. Once we see a breakout + retest, this is our time to shine! We can see BTC.D hitting targets from 47.06% to 43.68% On the other hand, if the price bounces on the trendline, it may reach to 69% to 73.59%.
I am leaning towards the breakout + retest as of the moment since it is showing clear signs that we are going to see a bull run in the coming months.
Altseason Trigger? BTC.D Test Crucial SupportOver the past two weeks, Bitcoin dominance has lost its upward trendline and is starting to turn bearish. However, for this scenario to play out, the support box highlighted in the chart (drawn using ichimoku) must first be broken.
Breaking this level = the start of Altseason
there are three possible scenarios:
1. A direct breakdown.
2. A pullback followed by a breakdown.
3. Sideway movement within the current range.
We should hope that the third scenario does not occur.
this analysis reflects a personal opinion and is not buy or sell signal.
Bitcoin Dominance Breaks Out: Altcoins in Danger?🔎 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – 4H Analysis
• The 5-wave decline has completed right at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (59.1%), confirming a potential bottom.
• A contracting triangle (A–B–C–D–E) has formed and just broke to the upside, coinciding with the breakout of the descending channel.
⸻
📈 Main Scenario
• With this breakout, BTC dominance is entering a new bullish phase.
• Next targets:
• 60.8% – 61.0% (key Fibonacci resistance + channel top)
• If broken, possible extension to 61.4% – 62.0%
⸻
⚠️ Implications for Altcoins
• Rising BTC dominance usually means capital is rotating into Bitcoin → leading to heavy sell-offs in altcoins.
• Alt traders should be cautious: this move can trigger a broad correction across the altcoin market.
⸻
📉 Alternative Scenario
• If BTC.D falls back below 59.3%, the breakout may turn into a fakeout, and a retest of lower levels could follow.
⸻
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout above the descending channel is a strong signal of trend reversal. As long as BTC.D stays above 59.3%, the path toward 61%+ is favored. This could mark the beginning of a tough phase for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance forming a falling wedgeIf we look closely at Bitcoin dominance, it has been sliding from 66% to around 59%, forming a textbook falling wedge. Normally, this is a bullish reversal pattern—and when it plays out, history shows it hurts altcoins the most.
Right now, there’s also a clear bullish divergence on RSI: while the dominance has been falling, momentum is actually climbing. This divergence often signals that a reversal is coming, and when Bitcoin dominance rises, it doesn’t hurt BTC much, but it usually triggers heavy selling pressure in altcoins.
At the same time, USDT dominance is showing signs of heading higher. When these two align—Bitcoin dominance moving up and USDT dominance ticking higher—it sets up a tough environment for alts. Money rotates into Bitcoin, stability is prioritized, and altcoins become the exit liquidity.
In short, the setup is hinting that Bitcoin dominance is preparing to move higher, which could trigger a rotation out of altcoins and potentially cause a sharp correction in the altcoin market. Traders should be cautious—what looks calm in the charts today may flip quickly once dominance breaks out of this structure.
$BTC.D On the Cusp Of Breaking Down - What to WatchNothing too exciting to write home about for the Weekly Closes today, but ₿itcoin Dominance shows continued signs of breaking down, now closing the past 2 weeks below the 50WMA.
If we get one more decisive Weekly close beneath it, I’d feel very comfortable calling Alt Season.
BTC.D is also on the verge of breaking below the 8-year trendline, as well as the 0.236 Fib which would add confluence.
Breaking below 57% should seal the deal.
This will be a big week to watch.
Bitcoin Dominance Below 60% & Below SupportBTCD just lost the 0.236 Fib. retracement support, the next level to be tested immediately is 55.64 followed by 52.44 followed by 49.23. All these are high probability targets.
The week closes today and is red. The chart drawings, patterns and signals are bearish; bearish confirmed, pointing lower and support additional bearish action. Everything points down for this index and the volume is just too strong. The downtrend is on.
The drop is about to intensify next week. Last week was the continuation and this week the confirmation. Now we will experience the meat of the current move. This is when bearish momentum intensifies.
Thinking of the inverse relation between Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the altcoins, this means that the 2025 bull market is about to speed up. We are about to see a massive influx of capital into the market and a large amount of bullish momentum.
Remember, Bitcoin will also grow.
Bitcoin and the altcoins market is going up.
Ethereum will continue growing.
Be prepared, no more red.
(As Bitcoin Dominance goes down, Crypto goes up.)
Namaste.
BTC DOMINANCE New Analysis (4H)Bitcoin dominance is in a bearish trend. After a pullback to the red-marked area, it is expected to drop further, potentially reaching the green-marked zone.
This means that in lower timeframes, money in the crypto market can still flow from Bitcoin dominance into altcoins.
Let’s see how this plays out.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Will the water.. fall??I think BTC dominance might have a little poopsie.. Let's see where it ends up on the first 🦵
