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BTCD Bear Market Confirmed · Altcoins Bull Market ConfirmedThis is a rising wedge pattern and it broke for the first time after 792 days. We are looking at Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the monthly timeframe, super long-term. A classic long-term double-bottom in 2022 launched a massive uptrend. This uptrend developed within a perfect rising wedge. Last month BTC.D broke this pattern with a full red candle and the highest volume since November 2024. To add some perspective, the highest volume months were last month (red) and November 2024 (red). The highest volume before these two only happened during the climax of the 2021 bull market, so you can have an idea how strong the volume is this time around. Since Bitcoin Dominance has an inverse relation with the growth in prices of the Cryptocurrency an Altcoins market, when Bitcoin Dominance was ultra bearish and crashing down, 2021, the Cryptocurrency market was ultra bullish and moving up. Seeing this major long-term signal, the highest bearish volume month to break a 792 days long uptrend, reveals the start of another major crash on this index. The major crash on this index is the confirmation of the late 2025 altcoins bull market. Bitcoin and the altcoins market will continue growing on all terms. Thanks a lot for your continued support. If you agree, leave a comment. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
10
Is It Time for Alts? | 8-8 Double Luck Live Update🤩🍀 Is It Time for Alts? | 8-8 Double Luck Live Update 🐉💫 8-8 -2025 — In Chinese culture, 88 means double fortune, and in numerology it’s the angel’s number for alignment and abundance. Feels like the perfect day for a market check. Ethereum (ETHUSD) ✅ Tagged $4,000 exactly as tracked in my Unicorn Breakout ideas (Part 1 & Part 2). 💨 First-touch rejection is normal — needs time to reload for any break above $4K. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) ⚡ Holding above 115,800 — key structural support. 📈 As long as we stay here, bullish bias remains intact. 🎯 Next upside targets: 120k – 138k. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) — The Game-Changer 📉 Finally dropped under 60.80%, which is now major resistance. 💎 Staying below this favors altcoin strength, as long as BTC stays stable or climbs. ⚠ If BTC.D reclaims 60.80%, the edge shifts back to Bitcoin leadership. Altcoins Outlook ✨ ETH’s $4K tag sets the stage for alt rotation. 🔑 Conditions look favorable when: BTC > 115,800 BTC.D < 60.80% 💥 Weekend could be strong for selective alts. S&P 500 (SPX) 📊 Still in the same range since rejection at resistance. 🚦 No breakout yet — waiting for a catalyst. Summary: ETH hit $4K, now consolidating. BTC stable over support. BTC.D under resistance = potential “Alts Window.” SPX sideways. Plan: Hunt for strong alts while BTC.D stays under 60.80%. Guard BTC’s 115,800 support like a hawk. 📊 Charts attached: BTCUSD, BTC.D, ETHUSD, SPX One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by FX_Professor
BTC.D Are We in bullrun ? | BTC.D on Fibonacci Level💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC.D on the 1-Week timeframe . 🔜 On the weekly timeframe of Bitcoin dominance, here’s what we observe : 👀 In the weekly Bitcoin dominance chart , we had a sharp 46% drop after the Bitcoin halving in 2021, which led to the altcoin party . 🎮 Today, for the first time , its figures were adjusted and turned into a custom Fibonacci , drawn on the chart as follows : Our starting point in the Fibonacci is at the beginning of 2023 , from the breakout above 40.87 to the peak at 66.03, which, in terms of timing, coincides with the Bitcoin halving . A strong rejection from the 0 Fibonacci level caused a move towards the 0.13 level . A strong whale candle broke below this level , followed by a pullback to it, and then we moved towards the 0.23 level. With a break below the 0.23 level and losing that low , we can say that our bull run has started . ⚙️ Our key RSI zone is drawn at 41.49 . On the first touch of this area , we bounced and moved towards the 50 level , but were then rejected from 50 and moved towards the current low . Once this low is broken , we can say the altcoin party has begun . ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by FireHoseReel
Bitcoin dominance analysisIf you doubt my analysis, read my previous analysis on Ethereum and Bitcoin. Bitcoin dominance is moving towards 60% support but I don't think it has the strength to break it. Why? Divergence in "new RSI" as I SHOWN. I think we will have a small Pull back on Major Altcoins like Ripple for the coming days. This analysis is not a financial recommendation. Crypto is a very risky market and you may lose some or all of your money in it. Especially futures trading.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by setbet215
Bitcoin DominanceI'm hating it if I have to apologize to that lady who said stablecoins were going to prevent Bitcoin from closing the gap in the chart. So far, she's right, and that's aggravating. So far, the ratio is still in the bullish channel. It has not broken down, but it is staring at yet another retrace of the top of the descending fib channel, so..... It remains to be seen what happens. I'm still predicting a 95% test. It may come soon, or it may come later, but the price, or in this case the ratio, is drawn to the gap close - make no mistake. I've been pointing to the stock to flow model for a while now. If you haven't looked it up, and plotted Bitcoin price over it, then you haven't even begun to do your due-diligence. A real paradigm shift in Bitcoin price could bring about that gap close, just sayin
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Shammus01
Altcoin Season Still Nowhere in SighThis cycle is shaping up very differently for altcoins compared to what we’ve seen in the past. Typically, about a year after the Bitcoin halving, altcoins begin to rally hard against their USD pairs, with the run generally continuing until Ethereum tops out — which usually happens in Q4 of post-halving years. However, this time around, altcoins have remained largely dormant. With the exception of the pre-election pump in 2024 — when retail traders prematurely priced in perfection without fully grasping what lay ahead — the altcoin market has barely moved. To better visualize this, I’ve overlaid BTC Dominance (BTC.D) with the ratio of (TOTAL3 - USDT) to BTC. On that overlay, the 0.25 level stands out as a key historical marker. In previous cycles, once that 0.25 level was hit, BTC Dominance would peak and then drop rapidly, marking the beginning of the blow-off phase for altcoins. Ethereum and other major alts would then play catch-up, often resulting in massive upside. But as of now, we haven’t even touched that level, and BTC.D remains elevated. This deviation from past patterns likely stems from growing institutional interest in Bitcoin. Unlike previous cycles, capital is not flowing into altcoins at the same rate. Bitcoin has increasingly positioned itself as an asset in its own league, attracting large-scale investors who are ignoring the broader crypto space. That institutional support is creating a clear separation between Bitcoin and the rest of the market. I still believe we’ll eventually see an altcoin season, but it hasn’t happened yet. For that to occur, we need to see the 0.25 level on the TOTAL3/BTC chart get hit and for BTC pairs of altcoins to bottom. Only then will the conditions be right for altcoins to rally and for Ethereum to begin its catch-up phase. Until then, patience is critical.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by SleeperPete
2
Bitcoin Dominance at Critical Juncture – Triangle Breakout Could🔍 Technical Overview Bitcoin Dominance has declined from 62.6% to around 61.3%, forming a clear corrective leg within a rising channel. This drop has currently paused at a major static support, where price action is consolidating in a contracting triangle pattern near the channel’s lower boundary. ⸻ 🧠 NeoWave Interpretation We are likely in the final stages of Wave D of a larger Diametric structure, unfolding within a rising channel. The correction from 62.6% resembles a complex, slowing wave D that may be near completion. Two key scenarios are now in play: 1. 🔺 Breakout of the triangle’s upper boundary would mark the start of Wave E, pushing BTC Dominance higher and triggering a sell-off in altcoins. 2. 🔻 A breakdown of static support (61.3%) would likely be short-lived, as the channel’s lower trendline may provide dynamic support — still leading into a bullish Wave E. ⸻ 📊 Smart Money Summary • 🟡 Wave D likely completed near a strong confluence zone • 🔼 Watching for a triangle breakout — potential early signal for Wave E • 🟥 Failure of altcoins to maintain strength supports this thesis • 🧭 Bias remains bullish BTC.D unless 60.9% channel support decisively fails ⸻ 🎯 Strategy Outlook In such wave structures, Wave E tends to be sharp and sentiment-shifting. With BTC.D sitting on strong support and consolidating in a terminal triangle, exiting altcoins before a breakout is a risk-averse decision. ⸻ ✅ Conclusion BTC Dominance may be at the end of Wave D. If the triangle resolves to the upside, expect dominance to climb rapidly — likely reversing the recent strength seen in altcoins. A bullish Wave E appears imminent unless invalidated. ⸻ 📌 Save this analysis 💬 Share your altcoin views in the comments
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoPilot
6
Bearish Head and Shoulder Pattern = Bullish As you can see, a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern is forming on the BTC dominance chart, specifically on the 4-hour timeframe. The neckline has already broken down, which indicates potential downside movement in dominance. This could lead to a strong pump in altcoins in the coming days. So, if you're thinking about selling right now, it’s better to hold and wait. You may start seeing results within the next two to three weeks. Keep an eye on this setup and watch how it plays out
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Traderscorpion
Bitcoin Dominance Theory: Why It May Shrink More Than EverBitcoin dominance — the percentage of total crypto market cap held by BTC — has followed a fascinating evolution, each cycle telling a different story. 2017: The Altcoin Wild West In early 2017, BTC dominance was a whopping 96%, but it plummeted to 35% by the peak of the bull run. Why? Back then, altcoins were viewed as competitors, not complements. “Bitcoin killers” were popping up weekly — Bitcoin Cash, Bitcoin Gold, Bitcoin Diamond, SuperBitcoin — each claiming to fix perceived flaws in BTC. Ethereum itself faced internal rifts (remember Ethereum Classic?). Even niche projects with totally different aims — like Power Ledger or SpankChain — were riding the hype wave. Dominance dropped because belief in BTC’s sole supremacy wavered. 2019: A Comeback Without Conviction After the brutal crypto winter, BTC dominance rebounded to ~72% in 2019. But it never reclaimed its former glory. Altcoins were quiet, and BTC was seen as a safer store of value. Still, the seeds of change were being planted. 2021: Rise of Smart Contract Platforms The next bull run told a different story. BTC dominance fell under 40% again, but not due to forks or airdrops. This time, it was about DeFi, NFTs, and utility. Smart contract platforms like Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, and others were exploding in value — not by competing with Bitcoin, but by unlocking new economies. Bitcoin had no answer to smart contracts or decentralized finance. 2025: Enter the Integration Era Now in 2025, we’re seeing: Real-world adoption of DLT technologies (e.g., Hedera’s state-level integrations). Altcoins with real-world utility, not just speculative value. Governments and enterprises exploring blockchain for tokenized treasuries, identity, compliance, and more. This shift means BTC, while still the king of store-of-value, is no longer the entire castle. It’s digital gold in a world that’s now building cities, roads, and digital economies on other chains. Prediction In this cycle, BTC dominance may shrink even more than before — perhaps dipping below 35%, not because BTC is weak, but because the rest of the ecosystem is stronger than ever. But here's the kicker: this time, the total market cap could be soaring at the same time. A shrinking BTC.D might not signal weakness, but rather an explosion of utility across the crypto space.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by spencertradez
9
BTC DOMINANCE Analysis (4H)The previous analysis, which was for a higher timeframe, did not play out. The price bounced upward from higher support levels, which suggests that after the current sideways movement is over, we are likely to see another move to the downside in the coming weeks. But what's happening on the lower timeframes? Let's take a closer look. Based on the recent data, it appears that a triangle pattern is forming on the chart from the point where we placed the green arrow. Wave C could complete either in the supply box or within the FVG zone. With a drop in this index for wave D, altcoins may have a chance to recover. However, if a daily candle closes above the invalidation level, this entire outlook will be invalidated. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by behdark
3
BTC Dominance at a Critical Point – Is Altseason About to Begin?🔍 Technical Breakdown (BTC.D Weekly Chart) The weekly BTC Dominance chart shows Bitcoin's dominance is now testing a critical ascending trendline, which has supported its bullish momentum since early 2023. After hitting a major resistance zone between 70.33% – 73.67%, BTC.D faced a sharp rejection — signaling a potential capital rotation from BTC into altcoins, which is often the first clue of an incoming Altseason. --- 🧩 Structure & Pattern Highlights: ✅ Rising Trendline Support: A strong uptrend structure has been in place since the 2022 bottom (~39%), marked by consistent higher highs and higher lows. ⚠️ Minor Double Top near 70.33% – 73.67%: This classic reversal pattern at a macro resistance zone hints at possible exhaustion in BTC dominance. 🟡 Historical Accumulation Zones: Key horizontal levels at 55.41%, 51.27%, and 47.63% have acted as major decision zones in the past and will serve as critical support if the trend breaks. --- 🟢 Bullish Scenario (BTC Dominance Rises): If BTC.D can: Successfully hold above the ascending trendline Print a strong weekly bullish reversal ➡ Then a move back up to retest 70.33% is likely. A confirmed breakout above 73.67% would suggest BTC dominance could surge further. 📌 What it means? Altcoins would likely underperform, as BTC reclaims market control — usually a risk-off signal for crypto. --- 🔴 Bearish Scenario (BTC Dominance Falls): If BTC.D: Breaks below the ascending trendline Fails to hold the 61.91% support zone ➡ This could signal a significant capital outflow from BTC to altcoins — an early indicator of Altseason. Bearish targets below: 55.41% – First support area. 51.27% – Key psychological and technical level. 47.63% – A drop to this level would be a strong confirmation that Altseason is in full effect. 📌 In this case, we’d expect strong moves across sectors like AI tokens, DeFi, L1s, and mid/low cap altcoins. --- 📊 Key Confirmations to Watch: 1. Weekly candle reaction to the trendline 2. Volume – strong selling on breakdown confirms trend shift 3. ETH.D and TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap) – if rising while BTC.D falls, it's strong evidence for Altseason --- 🚨 Final Takeaway: BTC Dominance is now at a make-or-break level that could define the direction of the broader crypto market for the next several months. A breakdown = risk-on environment, favoring altcoins. A bounce = BTC continues to dominate while altcoins stall. Either way, the next big move is coming — this is the moment serious traders and investors have been waiting for. #BTCdominance #AltseasonAlert #BitcoinVsAltcoins #CryptoRotation #CryptoBreakout #AltcoinSeason #CryptoMarketAnalysis #BTC.D #CryptoTrend #SmartMoneyMoves #CryptoTA #TradingViewAnalysis
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoNuclear