BTC Dominance % ?
HI
FOR THIS PRESUMEABLY BULLISH RUN TILL
1/Feb 2026
or/ and
1/July 2026
I had selected 11 jewels.. as so they say for my trading purposes .
Like all assets: They have ups and downs. In a bullish environment (so they say..) Focus on BUYS only.
The assets are:
APT
DOT
NEAR
AVAX
ATOM
OP
ADA
LDO
ONDO
SUI
XRP
For others they are worthless.. hahaha -- kidding
Will try to study on behavioral, % move
If you are not into crypto and such. Welcome to unfollow & nothing stopping yeah.
All the best & only wishing the best for you.
Not a guru.
I trade what I see. Sometimes I loose n sometimes I make. RAW.
From sunshine Malaysia
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC DOMINANCE UPDATE- So, all elements are annotated throughout the graphic, like always.
- Timeline.
- Older Top Dom (2021) (red doted line).
- New Top Dom (2025) (red line).
- Some supports ( Orange Line ).
- Some Bottoms ( Green Lines ).
- Most important in chart : Fibonnacci Retracements.
- After this chart, I’ll drop links to my older BTC dominance posts.
- Not much to say, just look at the chart :
- In 2021, BTC.D formed a double top because Bitcoin spiked twice and hit two all-time highs.
- That doesn’t mean BTC.D will behave the same way in 2025. I don't expect another double top, but who knows.
- We could see a retracement down to the 45–47% range. That would likely signal the start of a new bear market.
- For now, i don’t see the end of the bull run yet. I’m mostly waiting for a strong BTC push in price, a fast dip in BTC Dominance, and the kickoff of Altseason.
— it’s going to be wild and fast! Just my personal opinion.
Stay Safe !
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Dominance · Bitcoin Hits $1,000,000, ETH $200K Bitcoin Dominance is displaying the lowest reading in 8 months, since January 2025.
Bitcoin Dominance is in the worst condition possible in 4 full years. The Bitcoin Dominance Index chart predicts a major bullish cycle across Crypto; Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
This week we have a bearish continuation on BTC.D, which also works as bearish confirmation which reinforces the bearish continuation. The altcoins are already going up, it has been happening for months.
The market has been rising for months; Bitcoin has been rising for years but this isn't all. Seeing BTC.D here we know the bigger portion of the current trend is still to unravel.
The rounded top, a bearish reversal signal, is complete and the neckline, the main pattern support, has been broken. Trading volume continues to be high and the bearish bias strong.
There is more. It is the first time Bitcoin Dominance breaks below EMA55 weekly since June 2022. Coming from a high point, this event happened January 2021, the start of the previous bull market. The same signal again now means the start of the current bull market.
It is already happening, it is already confirmed.
It was the same back in 2021. In January/February 2021 it was already happening and it was already confirmed that Crypto was having a major bull market. Bitcoin was already trading near its previous all-time high. Market conditions are the same. Bitcoin is about to grow 20%. While Bitcoin grows this much, the altcoins will grow between 300 and 600%. Then Bitcoin will take a pause and the altcoins will continue to grow. Ether is likely to go beyond 10K.
Crypto is going up. This is the best possible ever. Your life can forever change.
Take a minute to think.
Stop for a moment. Engage your mind and visualize... What type of results can you produce?
What would you do if you knew with a high level of certainty that Crypto is going up? How would you take advantage of this information? What type of actions are you taking now to maximize profits in this bullish wave?
It is not about being bearish or bullish, it is about adapting to what is happening. Crypto is going up; Are you in or are you out?
Namaste.
BTC Dominance % : Key zone watch
BTC.D is still respecting its upward channel since mid-2022, currently testing the upper boundary ~64%.
🟡 Potential pullback on the table, targeting mid-range or lower channel support (~60%).
📌 This could hint at:
🔄 A short-term ALTcoin relief rally if dominance pulls back.
🛑 Or possible Bitcoin consolidation while alts catch up.
EMA 61.40% acting as dynamic mid-range support.
Stay sharp — dominance shifts often lead the broader crypto rotation.
Bitcoin Dominance: Breakdown Confirmed, Altseason Clock Ticking?BTC Dominance just tagged a well-defined monthly supply zone and got rejected hard. Rotation into alts, led by ETH, is picking up momentum. The charts are flashing early signs that the uptrend in BTC Dominance might be done. In my view, June 27th marked the top for $BTC.D.
A bearish BTC.D doesn’t mean Bitcoin itself is bearish. BTC can still push higher while dominance fades, that’s the classic setup for alt season. Bitcoin holds its ground, and capital starts pouring into ETH and high-beta alts . Right now, that rotation is clearly gaining traction.
If this holds, ETH likely continues to lead the rotation, followed by high-beta alts in trending narratives (AI, Memes, etc.). The “new altseason” is more selective and you need to rotate into strength, not sit in 2021 bags and pray.
The real question isn’t whether BTC.D is weakening — it’s how far it will fall, and how aggressively altcoins will respond.
📊 Market Structure
Monthly supply zone (66–70%) acting as macro resistance
Lower high confirmed on weekly after rejection
Daily: recent breakdown from lower high confirms near-term bearish structure
Dominance stalling at resistance while altcoins begin outperforming
📉 Moving Averages
Daily: rejection from 200MA cloud cluster (bearish sign)
No bullish crossover or momentum confirmation; trend is losing strength
Watch for interaction with 50MA below for short-term bounce attempt
Unless BTC.D can recover above the 200MA cluster (~62.8%), this rejection stays dominant.
📝 Support and Resistance
Resistance: 66–70% (monthly supply), 62.5–63% (daily & weekly confluence), 60% (psych level & recent breakdown)
Support: 56% (yearly open), 54% (minor level), 48.9% and 39.6% as key structural targets
Flip zones: 59–60% range is current battleground (retest zone)
⚡️ Technical Confluences
Weekly supply + breaker + FVG stacked = strong rejection zone
Current drop aligns with rejection off confluence
Daily demand around 59–60% may offer short-term support
Trendline support + prior accumulation zone near 49% is a key magnet if structure breaks
60% breakdown is key: flipping this zone confirms sustained altcoin strength
📈 Narrative
Since April, alt market cap added $830B
BTC.D fell from 66% to sub-59%, a 7-point drop
ETH moved from $1,300 to $4,700, showing clear leadership
TradFi inflows into ETH ETFs hit $1B in one day
Yet sentiment still lags, with disbelief about altseason widespread — classic early-stage behavior
🧠 TLDR
BTC dominance is rolling over from a heavy supply zone, and the technicals are stacked against the bulls. A break below 56% could open the floodgates toward 48–49%, giving altcoins their window to run. The bias here is bearish unless we reclaim 62.5% cleanly.
✅ What’s your read on this move?
Is this the real rotation to alts, or just a pause before BTC takes back control? Drop your take or send this to someone watching dominance this week. 📢
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor should it be relied upon as such. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any investment or trading decisions you make are entirely at your own risk, and you should always conduct your own research and due diligence. Where appropriate, seek guidance from a qualified financial professional before acting on any information contained herein.
(And if all else fails, you can still run it by your cat. 🐱)
BTC Dominance( Complete Analysis)
1️⃣ Pattern & Structure
We had a rising wedge formation earlier (yellow trend lines) — a bearish pattern.
The breakout happened to the downside, confirming bearish bias.
The chart is now printing Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a clear downtrend.
2️⃣ Current Situation
BTC dominance has just broken the 59% support level, which was a key horizontal support.
RSI is still low (around 38), meaning momentum is bearish but not yet extremely oversold — more downside possible.
Volume spikes during down moves show strong selling pressure.
3️⃣ Projection
Based on the technicals, BTC dominance could head towards the 56%–54% range (next major support).
This usually means altcoins may outperform Bitcoin in the coming sessions (alt season signs).
4️⃣ Trading Implication
If BTC dominance keeps dropping, money may rotate into ETH, SOL, other altcoins.
Watch for BTC dominance bounce near 56% — that could slow altcoin rally.
This might be the most bearish chart in #crypto right now.This might be the most bearish chart in #crypto right now.
BTC dominance has broken below a key trendline, rejected from the 200 EMA, and confirmed a death cross, all while slipping under the crucial 50% level.
The downtrend looks real, and if this move plays out fully, we could see #dominance drop toward the 55% zone.
That opens the door for altcoins to finally take the spotlight.
The time has come!
BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely.
-If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum.
- If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max.
- After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly.
- 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one.
- Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ).
- An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion.
For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC.DChart Overview (1D TF – BTC Dominance):
1. Pattern in Play: Rising Wedge (Bearish Bias)
The chart shows a rising wedge pattern forming with:
Support line (PA (D)s) in blue, sloping upwards.
Resistance line (PA (D)r) in red, also sloping up, but less steep.
This pattern typically has a bearish outcome, especially when formed during a downtrend as we see post-June.
Price is nearing the apex of the wedge, meaning a breakout (likely down) could be imminent.
2. Key Horizontal Support and Resistance Levels
Support at 60.27%: Price previously bounced from this level—very significant zone.
Resistance at 61.89%: Acting as a key ceiling; price got rejected here recently.
66.03% (Top Black Line): Major macro resistance and the 2025 peak trendline intersects near that level around October.
3. Trendlines and Long-Term Context
Macro Uptrend Support in red intersects around the 61.89%–62% zone in early October. If dominance holds this zone and bounces upward from the rising wedge, this trendline becomes crucial support.
Previous Uptrend Line (purple) was broken significantly in June, which triggered the sharp drop. BTC dominance lost momentum and is now in recovery/decision zone.
Interpretation:
Short-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish
As price is within a rising wedge post-downtrend, the probability of breakdown is higher.
Failure to break above 61.89% again and maintain momentum suggests downside towards 60.27% or even 58.60%.
Medium-Term Possibility:
If price breaks down from the wedge, support zones are:
60.27%
Then 58.60%
If price breaks up, it will need to reclaim 61.89% cleanly, then test toward 64%–66%.
Macro Trendline Intersection (~Oct 13): Could be a major decision point aligning with fundamental crypto market catalysts. Dominance could break sharply above or below that time depending on broader crypto cycles.
Altcoin season: 60% BTC dominance is DECISIVEThe bitcoin price continues to develop its upward trend this summer and the end of the cycle is approaching, the cycle linked to the halving of the year 2024 and which began in November 2022. It's usually in the latter part of the cycle that we can observe a rotation of capital in favor of altcoins, creating a period when altcoins do better than BTC in terms of price evolution.
In this new analysis, I present you with two major barometers that must be followed if we are to envisage the next start of a favorable sequence for altcoins.
Before doing so, I invite you to reread my last proposed analysis of the bitcoin price (by clicking on the first chart below) with the likely technical target for BTC at the beginning of September.
1) Bitcoin's 60% dominance threshold plays a decisive role in indicating whether or not there will be a revival of the altcoin season
Bitcoin dominance represents BTC's weight in total crypto market capitalization. When BTC dominance follows an upward trend, BTC outperforms altcoins. On the contrary, when BTC dominance gives a bearish signal, we can speak of an altcoin season.
Technical analysis of BTC dominance highlights a recent bearish divergence in weekly data, and also points to the 60% dominance threshold as the borderline between altcoin season and no altcoin season.
Clearly, a bearish break of this 60% threshold (as in the previous cycle in 2021) would be the starting point for a possible altcoin season at the end of the current cycle. As long as the 60% threshold remains a support, there will be NO ALTCOIN SEASON.
2) The technical configuration of the Altcoin Season Index indicator suggests that a favourable sequence for altcoins is about to be relaunched
The bearish divergence validated on the dominance of BTC gives grounds for optimism for the end of the cycle. The same is true of the technical analysis applied to the Altcoin Season Index indicator, which has broken out of its low zone at the top and is showing a Chartist bullish continuation formation. This indicator therefore suggests that the 60% threshold on BTC dominance could soon be broken on the downside. There should therefore be another favourable period for altcoins before the end of the cycle.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
Bitcoin Dominance Hits Channel Floor – Altcoin Storm Incoming?Bitcoin dominance has been sliding within a well-structured descending channel since early August. Now, it’s touching the channel’s lower boundary — a level that has previously sparked strong reversals.
A bounce from here could ignite a short-term uptrend in BTC dominance, targeting the channel’s midline and possibly its upper boundary.
If this happens, capital is likely to rotate back into Bitcoin, applying pressure on altcoins and triggering a corrective phase in the broader altcoin market.
Key Takeaway: Watch for bullish price action at the channel’s floor. A confirmed breakout in dominance could mark the start of an “altcoin cooldown” phase.
What season is it? It's ALT SEASONThe long-awaited, highly elusive period in cryptocurrency trading is finally here with the Bitcoin Dominance value crossing below the multi-year trendline.
This tells us that money is flowing into altcoins or stablecoins at a faster rate than it is flowing into bitcoin. It does not necessarily mean that bitcoin's price is going down as BTC.D can be going down while the bitcoin price goes up. As the provided cheat sheet shows, that is when altcoins will increase very fast.
We need to see the BTC.D value hold its position under the trend line for confirmation. Then we should see BTC.D move very similar to the '20-'21 altseason that I marked with the two blue vertical lines.
Historically, August is a month for the price of Bitcoin to have a pullback, and the timing of that seems to points towards late August or early September, but you never really know with trading markets.
This is cause for celebration! Congrats!
Note: I posted an BTC.D idea a few hours ago but decided to do a new one to add more context.
What season is it? It's ALTSEASONThe long-awaited, highly elusive time in cryptocurrency is finally here with the value crossing below the multi-year trendline in Bitcoin Dominance. Historically, August is a month for the price of Bitcoin to have a pullback, and the timing of that seems to points towards late August or early September. This is cause for celebration! Congrats to the bulls and HODLers!
Bitcoin Dominance · Downtrend Continues (Bullish Bitcoin)The uptrend ended 27-July 2025 with the highest reading on BTC.D since January 2021. Back in January 2021 BTC.D was also bearish, dropping, and this bearish period in this index matched the strongest bullish action ever, the 2021 bull market.
Now, the bearish phase on BTC.D is intensifying. I am bullish on Bitcoin and the altcoins market.
Bitcoin Dominance being bearish does not mean Bitcoin is bearish, it means the altcoins are rising. When the altcoins are rising, Bitcoin is already high and will continue rising.
Two days closed green on BTC.D and today back red. A few days green, many days red. A new low each time, lower low. A lower high shows up each time... This is only the start.
A reading of 60% is nothing to be proud of if you are a bear. The truth is that Bitcoin Dominance being at 60% simply means that the altcoins market has still plenty of room for growth. For example, Ethereum can hit $11,111 and Bitcoin $200,000+. Targets need to be updated because we will have an extraordinary bull market.
» Many pairs have been growing for months, since April.
» Other pairs have been sideways for months, since April.
» While still others continued lower.
Soon, the entire market will move in one rhythm, one flow. And this flow is an up-wave. Rising prices for the long haul. The best scenario possible if you love Crypto. The strongest bullish cycle since 2021. Possibly the strongest ever.
Prepare for higher prices.
» Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is going down.
» Bitcoin and the altcoins are going up.
Namaste.
Dominance - Deep dive into Dominance chart!Did you know that dominance is on the verge of collapsing in the coming days? Let me tell you why.
🔸On the 3-day dominance chart:
- We have the beginning of a break of the ascending channel, a close below it, and a retest.
- There’s also a break of an important support level at 0.618 Fibonacci, followed by a retest, and it’s currently trading below it.
- Plus, we have a death cross where the EMA25 crossed below the EMA50.
That’s three confirmations on one chart — can you imagine?
The coming days will likely see a strong pump in altcoins. Remember my words.
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
BTC Dominance Breakdown – Altseason 2025 Loading? The BTC Dominance chart is flashing a familiar pattern we last saw before the explosive 2021 Altseason — and history might be about to rhyme. Let’s break it down:
BTC Dominance has once again tapped the same multi-year resistance trendline (red line).
Price has been riding a rising wedge since early 2022 — a pattern that typically resolves to the downside.
Last week, dominance rejected from the resistance zone and broke below wedge support.
Key Technicals:
Resistance Trendline: Serving as a multi-year ceiling since 2019.
Support Trendline: Rising wedge support now broken, opening the door for a deeper decline.
Current Level: 60.81% — sitting right below the breakdown zone.
What This Means for the Market:
If dominance continues to fall, altcoins could see significant capital inflows.
A sustained drop could trigger an Altseason 2.0, with high-beta alts outperforming BTC.
Watch for BTC to consolidate or move sideways — this typically accelerates altcoin gains.
Confirmation & Invalidations:
✅ Bullish for alts if:
Dominance closes weekly candles below 60%.
Momentum builds to retest lower dominance support levels (50%-55%).
❌ Invalidation:
A reclaim of wedge support + breakout above 67% would kill the altseason narrative in the short term.
📌 Conclusion:
BTC Dominance is at a critical turning point. History suggests we could be on the verge of a powerful altcoin cycle if the breakdown sustains.
Patience and positioning are key — the biggest alt rallies start when most traders are still skeptical.
💬 What do you think — are we about to witness Altseason 2025? Drop your thoughts below.