BTC DOMINANCE vs ALTs according to the last 2021 cycle towards The 2021 pattern saw a sharp BTC.D peak and crash early. The current cycle shows a resilient BTC.D challenging major long-term resistance. The timing of the next explosive Altcoin Season (rotation) is likely conditional on a clear rejection and subsequent drop of BTC.D from the 70% zone, which would signal the shift of institutional and retail capital into the broader altcoin market.
Trade ideas
$BTC.D (4-hour): nasty HEAD & SHOULDERS pattern. CRYPTOCAP:BTC with a nasty HEAD & SHOULDERS pattern and the ETFs (both Bitcoin and CRYPTOCAP:ETH and over a billion $ in inflows yesterday, combined) with a GOD CANDLE.
This is time for buying rather than selling.
The dominance chart still BULLISH on all timeframes and bang on at the top of my key support zone (highlighted on the chart, top at 58.85%).
Being a buyer makes sense here, institutional money is NOT going away, clearly.
They are preparing for Q4. Just saying.
👽💙
BTC.D Update – Monday 29.09.2025📊 📊 BTC.D Update – Monday 29.09.2025
Alright Members, let’s talk Alts! 🚀
As I mentioned in my last analysis, Bitcoin Dominance started a retracement last week and reached our black line (Arrow #3) perfectly ✅. So far, everything is moving according to plan.
We even saw dominance break below the black area for a moment, but the very next day it reversed right back inside. That tells us one thing 👉 dominance is still in a downtrend.
⚡ Here’s the key:
* If Bitcoin continues its uptrend and BTC.D breaks below our black line (Arrow #4 downside) → this would be a strong bull run signal for ALTS. 🌊
* Until then, expect accumulation near Arrow #3 and distribution near Arrow #4.
👉 My view hasn’t changed: Patience is power. Better to wait for a clear direction before jumping into new trades. The market is setting up something big — timing it right will make all the difference.
Stay sharp, stay motivated, and remember: discipline now = profits later. 💪🔥
Alright Memebrs, let’s talk Alts! 🚀
As I mentioned in my last analysis, Bitcoin Dominance started a retracement last week and reached our black line (Arrow #3) perfectly ✅. So far, everything is moving according to plan.
We even saw dominance break below the black area for a moment, but the very next day it reversed right back inside. That tells us one thing 👉 dominance is still in a downtrend.
⚡ Here’s the key:
* If Bitcoin continues its uptrend and BTC.D breaks below our black line (Arrow #4 downside) → this would be a strong bull run signal for ALTS. 🌊
* Until then, expect accumulation near Arrow #3 and distribution near Arrow #4.
👉 My view hasn’t changed: Patience is power. Better to wait for a clear direction before jumping into new trades. The market is setting up something big — timing it right will make all the difference.
Stay sharp, stay motivated, and remember: discipline now = profits later. 💪🔥
$BTC.D (4-hour chart): ROUNDED bottom HIGHER LOW, WAVE 5 onEverything about the CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE lower timeframes charts (1 and 4-hour tfs) is just bullish apart from the fact that it still has to cross above last bits of higher timeframes resistance zone (58.85 - 59%).
Which is what it is trying to do now. Once above 59% the impulsive WAVE 5 should explode upwards and aim as high as 60%+.
That would be ultra bearish for altcoins, I don't have to repeat.
Picking and choosing entries is the only strategy that can succeed this week. Tread wisely👽💙
BTC.D Alt coins updatewait for the monthly candle closure and to form a fvg / gap, whenever it taps into the monthly fvg, start acculumating altcoins, invest good in stronger altcoins like ETH, Link, ENA, SEI, INJ and stronger memes like Doge, Fartcoin, Bonk and Turbo. These pairs are my favourite and will outperform in alt season. Because btc.d is strongly bearish that's why not giving any short signal for alts, ignore what's BTC doing. Market makers are just flushing the long / buyers before a strong impulsive moves. October first week or maybe the 2nd week may go in red then the real strong move will start. Market makers are just showing the market is strongly bearish, shifted structre to the downside trapping all smc/ict traders and other breakout traders to trap for short selling as they did in feb. Best Of Luck.
BTC Dominance analysis!BTC dominance has fromed a harmonic pattern, and from the current structure I think it could rise into the 61–62% zone.
If that plays out, it would likely pressure altcoins to the downside, as money rotates back into Bitcoin.
It’s always tough to watch traders and investors lose money during these cycles — but unfortunately, that’s how markets work: capital flows shift, and not every phase favors every asset.
🎯 Conclusion: My view is that BTC dominance will likely climb into the 61–62% region, which may weigh on altcoins in the short term.
👉 For more structured market insights and professional analysis, follow along.
$BTC.D... Dominance STUCK between 58.85% and 59.15%. NEXT MOVE..No man's land time in crypto atm as both CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH ETFs had a QUARTER billion worth outflows yesterday, which is not a good sign in the current situation.
I will make a separate #ETH update, but the Bitcoin DOMINANCE chart has been showing some signs of weakness, basically got stuck in a range between 58.85 and 59.15% creating a RECTANGLE.
Easy to use, it breaks down below the pattern - great for alts, it breaks out above it, very bad for alts. Why overcomplicate this. It works as the best fundament before making any leveraged decisions.
This is the HOURLY, but remember the DAILY is just bullish, still. Next post on the 4-HOUR chart👽💙
BTC.DOMINANCE WEEKLY CHART UPDATE !!BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Weekly Chart Analysis
BTC dominance is currently at 58.94%, bouncing from the key support zone near 56%–57% (yellow area).
Resistance: Around 60%–61%, aligned with the 50-week MA.
Support: Strong support at 56%, critical for bulls to defend.
If BTC.D holds above 57%, it could retest 62%, strengthening BTC’s position over altcoins.
However, a break below 56% may trigger a drop toward 54%–55%, signaling a potential altcoin rally.
BTC Dominance !Important Levels to look for are;
1. 59.2%
2. 57.1%
It has to break 57% Level with a big red atleast on 4h.
A Rising Broadening Wedge on Weekly is also a positive signal for it to break 57% level.
POI: If we go step by step, POI is at 58.1% it has to break that if take it step by step! ALT Season will not begin until it breaks 57%!
$BTC.D ... INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERS hits its target at 59.07%Okay so I have been posting these CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE warning pieces and they get very few views, oddly.
I find it hilarious, actually, the fact that whenever I post about a hot shitcoin, I can get tens of thousands of views, and when I post the most important charts for the market, no reactions, the lowest views.
Anyways, the INVERSE Head and Shoulders breakout is slowly reaching its 59.07% target and now the HOURLY chart is showing a BEAR RSI divergence which suggests that the momentum is slowimg down for the #dominance which could help #Alts revover, at least temporarily.
Don't fall into a trap longing stuff just because it has corrected. Long the strongest looking ones with the BULLISH reaction signs like Bullish DIVERGENCES, good support bounces etc.
$ASTER post next, stay tuned💙👽
$BTC.D - INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERS breakout attempt, WAVE5 is ONThis CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE question was in 4 of my posts yesterday as I was warning about the BULLISHNESS building and the impulsive WAVE 5 incoming.
Looks like we are seeing the worst case scenario (for #Alts lol) unfolding as #BTCdominance is attempting a breakout from its BULLISH chart pattern (inverse head & shoulders targetting 59.07%).
Details on the updated HOURLY chart and in the quoted post from yesterday.
Protect your capital, kids. 👽💙
$BTC.D - possible lower HIGH but we need a lower low FIRST 15-MOn the shortest timeframe I ever use for analysis, the 15-MIN chart it's looking like CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE could be starting to struggle with a very weak swing high right now, and under crucial resistances.
But to confirm this we basically need a breakdown below the immediate dynamic (50 & 200 SMAs, yellow and green right below the price, and just after a Golden Cross too) and horizontal support (yellow horizontal at 58.48%).
We really DON'T wanna see a breakout above the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (above 58.7%).
It's all simple for me, no leverage positions until CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE has decided what it wants to do👽💙
$BTC.D 1-HOUR chart: BULLISH patterns, WAVE 5 up next?Zoomed in on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance HOURLY chart, and it's even more trouble for CRYPTOCAP:ETH and other #Alts due to the FALLING wedge breakout that happened overnight.
This short term pattern is pointing above 59% which would help the dominance cross above the resistance zone highlighed in light-blue overhead on my chart.
And to add to my thesis, a BULLISH inverted Head & Shoulders pattern has formed (neckline to break around 58.7%, target 59.07%).
Also WAVE 5 could be starting and its first target is sitting above 59% as well.
For the dominance to break down, we need it to crash below the immediate support zone (58.25% - 58.35%).
Watching the action closely on this 1-HOUR chart is a MUST today tbh💙👽
$BTC.D 4-hr chart.... BULLISH, unfortunately for altsCRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE zoomed in on the 4-HOUR chart then as we get more details here.
No good news as the market structure is in FULL BULL mode unfortunately (for #altcoins it has been painful) as we might have seen a rejection off the resistance zone highlighted..
But this was likely only WAVE 3, now we are probably seeing a WAVE 4 corrective move and once that's done (possibly already done) - we will see the last impulse WAVE (5), which is likely going to break above 59%.
RSI over 58, momentum healthy, higher highs and higher lows, just like the priceaction.
And on top of that all KEY moving averages are turning bullish and are stacked below as dynamic support.
Really strong reversal of the DOWNTREND happening here. Get ready for what's coming👽💙






















