$BTC.D... Dominance STUCK between 58.85% and 59.15%. NEXT MOVE..No man's land time in crypto atm as both CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH ETFs had a QUARTER billion worth outflows yesterday, which is not a good sign in the current situation.
I will make a separate #ETH update, but the Bitcoin DOMINANCE chart has been showing some signs of weakness, basically got stuck in a range between 58.85 and 59.15% creating a RECTANGLE.
Easy to use, it breaks down below the pattern - great for alts, it breaks out above it, very bad for alts. Why overcomplicate this. It works as the best fundament before making any leveraged decisions.
This is the HOURLY, but remember the DAILY is just bullish, still. Next post on the 4-HOUR chart👽💙
Trade ideas
BTC.DOMINANCE WEEKLY CHART UPDATE !!BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Weekly Chart Analysis
BTC dominance is currently at 58.94%, bouncing from the key support zone near 56%–57% (yellow area).
Resistance: Around 60%–61%, aligned with the 50-week MA.
Support: Strong support at 56%, critical for bulls to defend.
If BTC.D holds above 57%, it could retest 62%, strengthening BTC’s position over altcoins.
However, a break below 56% may trigger a drop toward 54%–55%, signaling a potential altcoin rally.
BTC Dominance !Important Levels to look for are;
1. 59.2%
2. 57.1%
It has to break 57% Level with a big red atleast on 4h.
A Rising Broadening Wedge on Weekly is also a positive signal for it to break 57% level.
POI: If we go step by step, POI is at 58.1% it has to break that if take it step by step! ALT Season will not begin until it breaks 57%!
$BTC.D ... INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERS hits its target at 59.07%Okay so I have been posting these CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE warning pieces and they get very few views, oddly.
I find it hilarious, actually, the fact that whenever I post about a hot shitcoin, I can get tens of thousands of views, and when I post the most important charts for the market, no reactions, the lowest views.
Anyways, the INVERSE Head and Shoulders breakout is slowly reaching its 59.07% target and now the HOURLY chart is showing a BEAR RSI divergence which suggests that the momentum is slowimg down for the #dominance which could help #Alts revover, at least temporarily.
Don't fall into a trap longing stuff just because it has corrected. Long the strongest looking ones with the BULLISH reaction signs like Bullish DIVERGENCES, good support bounces etc.
$ASTER post next, stay tuned💙👽
$BTC.D - INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDERS breakout attempt, WAVE5 is ONThis CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE question was in 4 of my posts yesterday as I was warning about the BULLISHNESS building and the impulsive WAVE 5 incoming.
Looks like we are seeing the worst case scenario (for #Alts lol) unfolding as #BTCdominance is attempting a breakout from its BULLISH chart pattern (inverse head & shoulders targetting 59.07%).
Details on the updated HOURLY chart and in the quoted post from yesterday.
Protect your capital, kids. 👽💙
$BTC.D - possible lower HIGH but we need a lower low FIRST 15-MOn the shortest timeframe I ever use for analysis, the 15-MIN chart it's looking like CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE could be starting to struggle with a very weak swing high right now, and under crucial resistances.
But to confirm this we basically need a breakdown below the immediate dynamic (50 & 200 SMAs, yellow and green right below the price, and just after a Golden Cross too) and horizontal support (yellow horizontal at 58.48%).
We really DON'T wanna see a breakout above the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern (above 58.7%).
It's all simple for me, no leverage positions until CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE has decided what it wants to do👽💙
$BTC.D 1-HOUR chart: BULLISH patterns, WAVE 5 up next?Zoomed in on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance HOURLY chart, and it's even more trouble for CRYPTOCAP:ETH and other #Alts due to the FALLING wedge breakout that happened overnight.
This short term pattern is pointing above 59% which would help the dominance cross above the resistance zone highlighed in light-blue overhead on my chart.
And to add to my thesis, a BULLISH inverted Head & Shoulders pattern has formed (neckline to break around 58.7%, target 59.07%).
Also WAVE 5 could be starting and its first target is sitting above 59% as well.
For the dominance to break down, we need it to crash below the immediate support zone (58.25% - 58.35%).
Watching the action closely on this 1-HOUR chart is a MUST today tbh💙👽
$BTC.D 4-hr chart.... BULLISH, unfortunately for altsCRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE zoomed in on the 4-HOUR chart then as we get more details here.
No good news as the market structure is in FULL BULL mode unfortunately (for #altcoins it has been painful) as we might have seen a rejection off the resistance zone highlighted..
But this was likely only WAVE 3, now we are probably seeing a WAVE 4 corrective move and once that's done (possibly already done) - we will see the last impulse WAVE (5), which is likely going to break above 59%.
RSI over 58, momentum healthy, higher highs and higher lows, just like the priceaction.
And on top of that all KEY moving averages are turning bullish and are stacked below as dynamic support.
Really strong reversal of the DOWNTREND happening here. Get ready for what's coming👽💙
bullish $BTC.DFALLING WEDGE breakout continues up (target 62%)The main card dealer of cryptomarket, the almighty CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE.
This chart dictates what most (not all!) coins are going to do, so let's see the daily chart to find out if any weakness signs coukd be detected.
The main thing to observe is the most recent FALLING WEDGE breakout with an ugly (for #Altseason at least) target of nearly 62%. That would be a disaster for altcoins for many weeks, no doubt in my mind.
The most important resistance zone is highlighted as a light-blue box (58.55% up to 55.86%) and that MUST hold to stop further bleeding in alts.
Otherwise it's a higher high and a support/resistance flip into bullish, so really bad news for #altcoins but this doesn't have to happen.
It is a likely scenario though, seeing a massive BULL RSI divergence. Already one small rejection off that zone but we better monitor the DOMINANCE on smaller timeframes.
Next posts💙👽
BITCOIN DOMINANCE has BROKEN DOWN Initially, we have a head and shoulders pattern that has yet to reach its target.
Additionally, there is a significant breakdown from a broadening ascending wedge.
Expanding wedge formations exhibit increasing volatility as they develop.
These ascending broadening wedge chart patterns emerge during uptrends, signalling trend continuation with higher highs and higher lows, often touching the upper and lower boundary lines of the wedge.
When the head and shoulders pattern was formed, it FAILED to reach the upper boundary.
This suggests a exhaustion of the uptrend.
The activation of the head and shoulders confirmed that a reversal was underway.
Now, we are witnessing the breakdown of the wedge, followed by back testing, which confirms the weakness of #Bitcoin compared to the #ALTS, particularly #Ethereum, of course.
I still believe that Bitcoin has higher price targets that will be achieved, so I remain optimistic about BTC.
If you own Bitcoin, it would be wise to stay with that asset and avoid getting caught up in the extreme volatility of alt coins.
For those of us who have been battling and enduring in the trenches over the past few years, the opposite holds true.
We CANNOT give in to Bitcoin maximalism at this point in the game!
This is our Time!
Bitcoin Dominance at Channel Resistance – Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has reached the top of its ascending channel around 58.5%, which is acting as a strong resistance.
🔹 Main Scenario (More Likely):
A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger a pullback toward 57.8% – 58%, giving some relief to altcoins in the short term.
🔹 Alternative Scenario:
If BTC.D manages to break and hold above 58.5%, the next upside target would be around 59%.
⚖️ Conclusion:
• Current levels are risky for further upside.
• Probability of a correction is higher.
• This setup may favor altcoin outperformance if dominance drops.
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) Update🚨 BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) Update 🚨
After completing the bearish wave I mentioned in my last analysis, BTC.D has now started retracing. The timing is very important here, because it happened exactly when Bitcoin was rejected from its bullish move. ⚡
👉 This is dangerous for altcoins – if Bitcoin falls while dominance rises, alts can face heavy pressure.
📌 Key retracement levels (Arrows):
* Arrow #3 → First retracement level. If dominance breaks this, expect continuation.
* Arrow #2 & Arrow #1 → Next important levels.
* Arrow #1 is the MOST important because it aligns with both weekly & daily retracement zones from the bearish move.
💡 But as I always remind: Monday is not a pattern day. We need the daily candle close to confirm the real direction.
✅ What to do if analysis confirms?
* Take profits on alts and park liquidity to re-enter later when reversal is confirmed.
* If you still want to hold, at least scale out partially to protect gains.
⚠️ Second Scenario: If BTC.D breaks Arrow #4 and the 58% level on the daily, that’s the bearish confirmation for alts.
🚀 Stay sharp, stay disciplined! The key is preserving profits and being ready for the next golden entry. Market always rewards patience.
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
BTC.D Analysis to Detect the Start of AltseasonBitcoin dominance has reached a dynamic support. In my opinion, in case
A: It is likely that the last growth of dominance will occur from this support and then the Altseason will start with a fall again from the 65% to 66% level. In case
B: It is likely that this dynamic support will be broken and we will officially enter the Altseason. As a result, the Altseason will definitely occur.






















