Has ATTENTION PEAKED on BTC & Crypto?Examining the daily BTC/USD HTF chart, several indicators suggest a potential market top scenario reminiscent of previous Bitcoin peaks. The chart highlights three core components: RSI, MACD, and price action versus trendlines. Notably, the recurring MACD pattern—with a sequence of five yellow-labeled local peaks and valleys—has appeared near each major high, further strengthened by the visible red arrows marking historical tops.
Context:
The MACD panel shows a clear recurring pattern—each market peak coincides with closely-clustered MACD bursts and subsequent reversals, labeled (1)-(5), that echo the structure identified at Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs in early 2021 and again in mid-2025. These bursts typically reflect maximum market participation and social/media attention, followed by rapid declines as momentum wanes.
RSI values in both instances remain elevated but subside as price fails to break the red resistance lines, indicating weakening bullish strength.
The price chart itself displays a series of failed attempts to break above strong horizontal resistance (red lines), directly aligning with previous market highs. Each peak aligns with a spike in market excitement and a corresponding cluster of MACD peaks.
The long-term green trendline underscores Bitcoin’s structural uptrend but also frames the risk—should price lose the trendline, historical price action suggests deeper corrections are possible.
Trading:
Given the repetition of this MACD burst pattern and multi-timeframe rejection at horizontal resistance, there is strong evidence that peak market attention and buying pressure for BTC have likely already occurred for this cycle. Previous instances saw significant corrections following similar technical conditions, suggesting caution is warranted.
Short Profit Target: Initial target for shorts could be set near the green trendline support, around $85,000-$90,000, with more aggressive bears aiming for major swing low zones near $65,000.
Short Stop Loss: Tight stop loss should be placed just above local highs, at $117,000-$120,000, to guard against unexpected breakouts to new highs.
Risk/Reward: Consider a minimum 2:1 ratio, moving stops to break-even if there is rapid price rejection and MACD follows through with sustained bearish momentum.
This analysis contextualizes both the technical signals and price action in terms understandable to traders and readers. Historical patterns suggest a strong likelihood that “attention” has peaked, reinforcing the probability that the next major move for BTC will be corrective rather than impulsive to the upside.
Always use position sizing and risk management tailored to each portfolio’s size and goals.
