BTCETH.P trade ideas
BITCOIN Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 113,014.13.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 123,340.66 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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BTC BIAS IS STILL BEARISH, CAREFULLY AT ZONE 113.20 - 113.50 📊 Market Overview
The market remains in a downtrend, with price still trading below the descending trendline. Buyers are showing some short-term reaction, but overall momentum favors the sellers.
🔑 Key Potential Zones
Upside: price is likely to face strong reaction around the 113.20 – 113.50 area.
Downside: if rejection occurs, price can revisit 112.00 – 111.80 as the next potential target.
✅ Trading Plan
Scenario 1 (Bearish Continuation):
If price rejects around 112.80 – 113.40 (Fibo + FVG), potential short entries targeting 112.00 and then 111.40.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price breaks and closes above 113.50 trendline, it may test higher FVGs around 114.00 – 114.40 before any continuation.
👉 Summary:
Market bias is still bearish. Watch carefully how price reacts at 113.20–113.50. Rejection = continuation down. Breakout = potential retest higher zones.
BTC Pullback: More Downside Ahead?Bitcoin’s recent retracement has been driven by liquidation clusters, where leveraged longs were forced out as the price moved through key pressure zones. On-chain heatmaps reveal these concentrations of risk, showing how fragility in positioning amplified volatility. Long/short bias indicates traders have scaled back conviction, with net exposure lighter after weeks of aggressive leverage. Trading volumes have also contracted, reflecting a broader deleveraging cycle as speculative activity cools while institutional flows remain steady. Overall, on-chain data points to near-term stress, which may continue to weigh on bitcoin prices.
BTCUSD retreated below its recent highs with the price hovering near the support at 110800. A break below this level may prompt a further decline within the descending channel, with the following support 107500 as the next potential level. Conversely, a rebound above the support may prompt a retest of the resistance at 115000, which is also a bearish fair value gap.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Bitcoin near the end of a bull run (part 2)I want to show you something in the Bitcoin chart that not everyone will want to see, but it is worth considering...If Bitcoin retreats below 108k, then it may not go above 142k anytime soon. This comparison is with late 2020 earl 2021 bull run. A cool down is implied, at least.
Following BTC’s retracement and corrective phaseBTC underwent a sustained retracement yesterday, yet it failed to breach our downside support level at 111000. Subsequent price action formed a range-bound consolidation phase above this support zone. Consequently, we assess that following yesterday’s sharp pullback and corrective phase, BTC is now in a state of short-term oscillatory movement within the context of its broader uptrend.
Buy 112000 - 112500
TP 113000 - 113500 -114000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTC Continues to Range, Lower to come in wave C of 2?Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
Yesterdays BTC pullback could be wave 2 of 1 terminating with a swing below the daily pivot point straight into the demand High Volume Node. Bulls want to see this move back above the pivot at least today.
Alternatively wave B of the wave (2) pull back could be complete at $117k, wave C has a target of the S1 daily pivot, High Volume Node Support and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $102k. This would coincide with a swing below the daily 200EMA and recovery offering a long signal.
RSI is at the EQ and bearishly crossed.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Bitcoin standard deviation bands remain the same as price grinds along its upwards trend just above the fair value regression line after testing it as support. Not much to add here, all is normal!
Safe trading
BTC/USD – Trendline Break Could Trigger Drop to Equal Lows 107KBitcoin has broken below a key ascending trendline on the lower timeframes, signaling a potential shift in momentum. While higher timeframe confirmation is still needed, current price action suggests weakness around the $115K zone.
If bearish pressure holds and we see a daily close below the trendline, a move toward the equal lows at ~$107,297 is likely. This area aligns with previous liquidity pools and could act as a magnet for price.
📌 Key Points:
Trendline broken on lower TFs
Watching for daily confirmation below $115K
Bearish targets: $112K → $110K → $107K (EQ lows)
Invalidated if price reclaims the trendline with strong bullish structure
Let’s see how this plays out—waiting for confirmation before fully committing to the bias.
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
REAL VS FAKE CHOCK🔹 1. Real Choke vs Fake Choke
A **Choke** in ICT/SMC language usually refers to a **block of price action where liquidity is absorbed** and either the trend reverses or continues strongly. It is connected to the idea of **Order Blocks, IDM (Imbalance-Demand-Mitigations)** and **Liquidity Absorption**.
### ✅ Real Choke
* Happens when **genuine liquidity is absorbed** by institutions (big players).
* Price reacts to the choke level → gives a **clear displacement** in opposite direction.
* Characteristics:
* Strong rejection (impulsive move away).
* Volume & imbalance support the move.
* Leaves behind a valid **IDM / FVG / Order Block**.
* Usually aligns with **higher timeframe POI** (HTF OB, FVG, BPR).
👉 **Effect**: Becomes the base for a **true reversal or strong continuation**.
---
### ❌ Fake Choke
* Happens when price **pretends to absorb liquidity** but it’s just a **stop hunt / inducement**.
* Market sweeps liquidity near choke level → then continues in original direction.
* Characteristics:
* Small/weak rejection, no real displacement.
* No proper imbalance or absorption.
* Often formed just to **trap retail traders** thinking reversal is coming.
* Seen in **mid-range / liquidity inducement zones**, not at HTF POI.
👉 **Effect**: Leads to **continuation in same direction** after trapping liquidity.
---
## 🔹 2. Why IDM (Imbalance Demand Mitigation) is Important
**IDM** is the footprint of institutions when they:
* Absorb liquidity,
* Create imbalance, and
* Mitigate their positions later.
It’s important because:
1. **Shows Institutional Interest** → IDM confirms that Smart Money actually participated.
2. **Validates Choke** → If choke has IDM inside it → higher chance it’s **real**.
3. **Gives Entry Points** → IDM zones often become mitigation levels (precise entries with low risk).
4. **Separates Fake vs Real** → Fake chokes usually have no IDM footprint.
---
## 🔹 3. Role of IDM in Reversal & Liquidity Absorption
When market is reversing:
* First, **retail liquidity is collected** (fake choke).
* Then, institutions place **real choke + IDM** to absorb liquidity.
* The IDM ensures that:
* All **supply/demand imbalance** is cleared,
* Institutions get filled,
* Price is ready for a **clean reversal**.
👉 **In Short:**
* **Fake choke** = liquidity grab.
* **Real choke + IDM** = liquidity absorption + reversal base.
---
⚡So, the easiest filter is:
* If a choke has **IDM (clear imbalance & mitigation footprint)** → it’s **real**.
* If not → it’s just a **fake liquidity sweep**.
BITCOINUSD READY FOR RETEST READ CAPTIONHi trader's what do you think about bitcoinusd
Bitcoin price recently dropped into the support zone 11700–11200, which is acting as a strong demand area. Market is now attempting a retest of this zone.
📌 If the support holds during this retest, buyers may push price upward toward the supply area around 114500.
📌 But if support fails, the market may continue its downside move
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BTC: ALL GOING TO PLAN. TIME TO BAG SOME ALTS!Bitcoin continues to move within the framework we've been mapping out for a while now.
In crypto, unlike commodities, the waves are way too complex and nested. That's why relying solely on wave counts or any single specific scenario is pretty much pointless. Leveraged trading in crypto is like a bank heist: you see your signal, you go in, you grab the cash (or take a bullet to the shoulder), and you get the hell out without looking back.
But unlike other markets, crypto offers insane opportunities to diversify your trades across different assets.
The chart for BTC is looking bullish right now (ElliottWave count, moving averages support and also mind Fair Value Gaps), so I'm going hunting for opportunities on all the alts and shitcoins in my watchlist.
THIS IS WHY CRYPTO DUMPED!The flash crash we just saw in the crypto market is nothing compared to what I’m expecting next.
I’ve been anticipating this move in my previous videos, so it shouldn’t come as a surprise.
I’ll explain why this crash was only the beginning, what I expect to happen next, and the key ICT levels I’m watching for potential setups.
This isn’t about fear or hype — it’s about understanding price action, liquidity, and how smart money positions during volatile moves.
👉 Question: Do you think the crash is over, or is the real move still ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #XRP #CryptoCrash #ICTTrading #FlashCrash
$1.5 Billion Liquidations and Fed’s Cautious Stance Trigger BitcIn the past few hours, Bitcoin’s decline was mainly driven by massive leveraged position liquidations and the Federal Reserve’s cautious comments on future rate cuts. This drop has been triggered by these factors, and it remains uncertain how far it will continue. We now have to watch whether the $112K and then $110K support levels can hold and prevent further downside.
Bitcoin: holds steady, eyes $118K breakDuring the previous week markets were fully focused on Fed moves regarding the US monetary policy, in which sense, the crypto market was in the second view of investors. BTC was holding at higher grounds, but with relatively slower moves around the $115K up to the $116K levels. The FOMC meeting and Fed's rate cut shortly brought a higher move to the upside, where $117,8K had been reached, however, the price of BTC soon bounced back, ending the week modestly above the $116K level.
The RSI is still holding above the level of 50, showing that investors are still eyeing the overbought market side. The strength is evident within buying signals, however, it seems that the market is just waiting for the right moment to push the price of BTC further to higher grounds. The MA50 started a new round of divergence from MA200, indicating that the potential cross is certainly not coming anytime soon.
Friday brought a short correction of the price of BTC, after reaching the weekly highest level at $117,8K. It seems that the markets needed to test once again the $116K support level, in order to consolidate for the push toward the upside. This is what current charts are showing. For the week ahead, charts are pointing on the potential that the $118K resistance line could be tested. A move toward higher grounds remains under question at this moment. However, in case that BTC reverts back, below the $116K level, then it will open a path toward the much lower grounds in the near future, where the $113K could be tested. Still, considering that RSI had set the path toward the overbought market side, a move below the $116K seems unlikely at this moment.
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Bitcoin: Buying Opportunity at Support Before the Next RallyHello everyone, today I’d like to share a brief analysis of Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD and some key developments in the market.
Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a mild correction after a strong rally in recent weeks. During this phase, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are appearing, which could provide opportunities for the market to fill price inefficiencies and continue its prior trend.
From a technical perspective, Ichimoku Cloud shows that the price is hovering around the Cloud area, a crucial region in determining Bitcoin’s next move. If Bitcoin fails to hold above its current support, we could see another slight correction before continuation.
Macro Factors Impacting Bitcoin:
US Bitcoin Reserves: The US government’s recognition of Bitcoin as a national reserve asset has strengthened investor confidence.
Corporate Adoption: Companies such as MicroStrategy are ramping up Bitcoin purchases, injecting significant capital into the market.
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts may enhance Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven investment.
Bitcoin Outlook:
Although Bitcoin is currently in a slight pullback, I anticipate that after retesting the key support zone between 113,000 and 115,000 USD, Bitcoin will attract strong buying pressure and begin to recover. If it holds these levels, the market is likely to resume its bullish momentum toward the next resistance levels, with the first target at 116,000 USD.
Therefore, if you are monitoring Bitcoin, the 113,000 – 115,000 USD range is a strategic area to consider buying, with expectations of continued upside momentum in the near term.
Wishing you successful trades and always exercise caution in your decisions!