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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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BTCETH.P trade ideas

Bitcoin: holds steady, eyes $118K breakDuring the previous week markets were fully focused on Fed moves regarding the US monetary policy, in which sense, the crypto market was in the second view of investors. BTC was holding at higher grounds, but with relatively slower moves around the $115K up to the $116K levels. The FOMC meeting and Fed's rate cut shortly brought a higher move to the upside, where $117,8K had been reached, however, the price of BTC soon bounced back, ending the week modestly above the $116K level. The RSI is still holding above the level of 50, showing that investors are still eyeing the overbought market side. The strength is evident within buying signals, however, it seems that the market is just waiting for the right moment to push the price of BTC further to higher grounds. The MA50 started a new round of divergence from MA200, indicating that the potential cross is certainly not coming anytime soon. Friday brought a short correction of the price of BTC, after reaching the weekly highest level at $117,8K. It seems that the markets needed to test once again the $116K support level, in order to consolidate for the push toward the upside. This is what current charts are showing. For the week ahead, charts are pointing on the potential that the $118K resistance line could be tested. A move toward higher grounds remains under question at this moment. However, in case that BTC reverts back, below the $116K level, then it will open a path toward the much lower grounds in the near future, where the $113K could be tested. Still, considering that RSI had set the path toward the overbought market side, a move below the $116K seems unlikely at this moment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
just grok rate cuts"Based on historical analysis of Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycles since 1965, there have been 12 such cycles. In 10 of them, rate cuts began after equity markets had already peaked, meaning the bear markets started before the cuts. In the remaining 2 cycles, cuts preceded the market peak, so the bear markets began afterward.These instances are:September 2007: The Fed's first cut on September 18 came just weeks before the S&P 500's peak on October 9, kicking off the Global Financial Crisis bear market (a 56.8% decline to March 2009). July 2019: The initial cut on July 31 preceded the S&P 500's peak on February 19, 2020, leading to the COVID-19 bear market (a 33.9% drop to March 23, 2020). In most cases, rate cuts respond to existing economic weakness or market declines, so bears rarely start after them. The two exceptions involved cuts amid perceived stability that later gave way to shocks (subprime crisis and pandemic). This pattern highlights the Fed's typical lag in policy action relative to market turns."
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by m3g4tr4d3r
Bitcoin: Buying Opportunity at Support Before the Next RallyHello everyone, today I’d like to share a brief analysis of Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD and some key developments in the market. Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a mild correction after a strong rally in recent weeks. During this phase, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are appearing, which could provide opportunities for the market to fill price inefficiencies and continue its prior trend. From a technical perspective, Ichimoku Cloud shows that the price is hovering around the Cloud area, a crucial region in determining Bitcoin’s next move. If Bitcoin fails to hold above its current support, we could see another slight correction before continuation. Macro Factors Impacting Bitcoin: US Bitcoin Reserves: The US government’s recognition of Bitcoin as a national reserve asset has strengthened investor confidence. Corporate Adoption: Companies such as MicroStrategy are ramping up Bitcoin purchases, injecting significant capital into the market. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts may enhance Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven investment. Bitcoin Outlook: Although Bitcoin is currently in a slight pullback, I anticipate that after retesting the key support zone between 113,000 and 115,000 USD, Bitcoin will attract strong buying pressure and begin to recover. If it holds these levels, the market is likely to resume its bullish momentum toward the next resistance levels, with the first target at 116,000 USD. Therefore, if you are monitoring Bitcoin, the 113,000 – 115,000 USD range is a strategic area to consider buying, with expectations of continued upside momentum in the near term. Wishing you successful trades and always exercise caution in your decisions!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
15
BTC H&S IN PROGRESS. WATCH FOR BULLISH SIGNS AROUND $111.3KMorning folks, So, everything has happened as we discussed last time. Minor H&S led us to the big one. And now price stands at the point, where it has to either start working or to fail. And for any trader, who would like to trade this pattern, it is a decision making moment. Thus, drop your time frame to 15 min chart and watch for market reaction around 111.3K support. If we get any bullish patterns there, then it is possible to try. Conversely, if H&S will fail - BTC probably will drop down to 100K area. Unfortunately currently I can't exactly tell whether this H&S will work or not, just because price has touched support level a few minutes ago. It needs time to show a reaction. Although fast drop is not good for bullish reversal pattern, but it not always leads to failure. I mark this idea as "bullish" but with some advance and mostly due to its nature. For position taking we still need clear patterns on lower time frames.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Fall?!Bitcoin is currently below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. In the event of an upward correction towards the specified supply zones, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward ratio. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Since early September, Bitcoin has shown a steady upward trend, largely fueled by expectations of a Fed rate cut at the FOMC meeting and optimism about its potential impact. When the Federal Reserve finally delivered the long-anticipated 0.25% rate reduction, Bitcoin declined by only about 1%. While the crypto market currently appears somewhat lackluster, the limited reaction can be viewed as a textbook example of the “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic. The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization remains above $4 trillion. According to CoinMarketCap data, the average performance of the top 20 cryptocurrencies was negative 0.43% during the past week. Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index stands at a neutral level of 51, down six points from last week, moving away from the “greed” zone. Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized the rate cut as “risk management” rather than a measure to support a weak economy. This framing may explain the subdued market reaction. Given that markets had already priced in a 96% probability of a 0.25% cut before the official announcement, traders effectively executed the classic playbook of buying the rumor and selling the news. The political angle of the decision also added uncertainty. Steven Miran, the newly appointed Fed member and former economic adviser to Trump, cast the only dissenting vote, advocating for a larger 0.5% cut instead of the 0.25% reduction. A chart circulating in the market highlights potential liquidation zones. Prices below spot indicate long positions at risk of liquidation, while prices above spot point to short liquidations. At present, the Max Pain level for longs sits at $112.7K, while the Max Pain level for shorts is at $121.6K, with spot Bitcoin trading around $117.2K. This illustrates the market’s fragile balance—downward movement could trigger long liquidations, whereas an upward breakout may unleash a wave of short squeezes toward recent highs. Michael Saylor hinted at possible additional purchases, remarking: “The orange dots are moving upward.” He also described Bitcoin as a calm, fair, and impartial tool for resolving conflicts among people. Meanwhile, last week the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved new general standards that pave the way for broad-scale issuance of crypto-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These regulations allow exchanges such as NYSE, Nasdaq, and Cboe to list spot market crypto ETFs without case-by-case reviews. As a result, the approval timeline for ETFs has been shortened from over 240 days to around 75 days, greatly simplifying the process for asset managers. Dozens of new ETFs for cryptocurrencies like Solana, Ripple (XRP), and Dogecoin are expected to launch starting in October. This development effectively ends a decade-long case-by-case review process that dates back to the first Bitcoin ETF application in 2013. While the Trump administration supported progressive crypto regulation, this approach contrasts with the slower regulatory stance seen under Biden. Despite the regulatory breakthrough, firms stress that legal work, marketing efforts, and support services are still required to successfully launch these ETFs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin just hit its golden ratio, SHORTS incoming.Bitcoin just hit the golden ratio at a critical zone. It's had two chances to go higher and have been heavily rejected. The market is also forming a head and shoulders pattern. I think institutions are going to try and hide their positions by accumulating shorts overtime at this level, leveling out the volume to hide any indication of a drop. This will be a large-short opportunity at these prices for Bitcoin. Good luck everyone. Trade responsibly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by PierreFX
BITCOIN Update: Stay Alert (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Read the analysis carefully Given the loss of the trendline, Bitcoin stalling, and decreasing momentum, the previous Bitcoin analysis needed to be updated. If Bitcoin fails to make a valid breakout above the yellow line at $116,520 and does not sustain above it, a bearish scenario will emerge, and the price will drop significantly A bullish outlook toward the supply zone shown on the chart above is only valid if Bitcoin executes a confirmed breakout above $116,520. So stay alert and follow the chart closely. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
Bitcoin Market Report – Liquidity Grabs Before Next ExpansionThe market is showing clear signs of engineered volatility, with strong impulsive moves followed by rapid retracements. This behavior reflects liquidity targeting, where price sweeps both sides before resuming its broader path. Current conditions suggest Bitcoin is in a redistribution stage, with momentum alternating to trap short-term participants. The repeated liquidity grabs signal that larger players are accumulating positions while clearing out weaker hands. The overall structure points to continued testing of lower liquidity pools before any major directional expansion. Once this phase is complete, the market is likely to enter a more decisive trend, supported by the buildup of institutional flow and reduced volatility pockets. In short, Bitcoin is cycling through liquidity collection and preparation, positioning itself for a larger move as market balance shifts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE