BITCOIN analyse// SO right now bit is trying to break the all time high and it comes with lots of fomo so you should be careful because if we brake that level there is no high and low or resistance but you must check the order flow and the money is coming in bit by checking volume order good and...
i think we can have a very very good move if we break that 123,200 with a candle closed above that and i prefer stop order because of that fomo that people don't want to miss a big move and they buy
// normally i would say btc.d MUST go up so we can have a real bull run but right now i dont think that so necessary but if btc.d go up its better but we can still have a bull run but btc.d ranging
// usdt.d is still down trend that is very good if we keep that bull run in bit can be better and bigger and now we are hitting a important support 4.20 that if we break that it could be very good
''/''/''/'' now you can wait for break in bit and enter early that i think even if you hit stop loss there will be no problem right now we have so many chance to enter so you can enter early but be careful dont be like ''oo we gonna hit tp get rich'' you can but still expect a stop loss do not put 100 percent of your balance
BTCETH.P trade ideas
BTCUSD 1W chart review• Currently BTC is at ~ USD 123,000 (+1.97%).
• Strong support visible in the area of 113 400 USD and USD 106,800.
• The next resistance is USD 124,500, and the next important is USD 133,500.
2. Trend:
• You can see the growing trend line (orange), which supports increases.
• The weekly candle is green and quite strong - suggests that the demand persists.
3. Medium walking (SMA / EMA):
• SMA 50/200 shows the Golden Cross (EMA CROSS 50/200), which is a long -term bull signal.
• SMA (red) is below the price → pro-rectification signal.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• Currently approx. 60 → Neutral-BYCZECZE territory.
• Not bought yet (> 70), so there is space for further increases.
5. MacD / Histogram:
• The histogram begins to grow green - growth moment is growing.
• This confirms that the buyers are taking over the initiative.
⸻
📈 Scenarios:
1. Bull (greater likelihood at the moment)
• If BTC pierces and stays above USD 124,500, the goal may be USD 133,500.
• Breaking over 133K opens the road even to around 140k.
2. Bear
• If the price does not pierce 124.5k and reject the resistance, it may drop to $ 113,400.
• Punction below this zone will give a signal of declines up to USD 106,800.
BTC 4-hour - PumpTober- ATH outlook for OCT 2025 It's Friday. It's been pumping PA. While I was making this chart this morning's PA was moving with very healthy volatility. Bulla's are pushing for the ATH. At the same time, if my 12345 leg is correct.. we are waiting for the finalized #3.
Oddly with the ATH at the #3 level... we have no clue what PA will do around the area.
We could have a normal healthy drop to #4 or a very very shallow drop to #4 .... and then ... not realize PA is already on it's way to #5.
With the weekend almost here, we might see the ATH crushed for a Friday's close, with lots of activity.
I will add that, weekends are usually dead, I don't except anything other than, low volatility with PA looking to correct into the #4 low position.
That's my bias for now... if PA doesn't follow this, then my bias will change.
Lastly with this Chart, I used the GannBox again and have some notable FIB targets for #5 (130K - 165K) and timeline is end of Pumptober into November.
There are two future fib target lines graphs.
One is extreme the other is minimal, and thus there is the posted forecasted regions. Until the 3-4 settles, it's still a guess, might as well take a look.
Good Luck
BTC 4H UpdateIn the last chart, we projected four upside targets:
TP1: $127,398
TP2: $130,077
TP3: $1302,845
TP4: $134,000 – $135,000
Price action has been moving in line with that projection and is now approaching the first key target (TP1).
If price breaks and holds above $126,000, continuation toward $130,000 (TP2) and higher levels remains the main scenario.
If rejection occurs at any of these zones, a pullback into local supports is likely before the next leg higher.
The reaction around TP1 will be decisive in confirming whether the path toward $135,000 remains intact.
This is not financial advice. Trade according to your own plan and risk management.
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Continuation in FocusBitcoin continues to demonstrate strength following its recent recovery. After periods of consolidation and controlled retracement, the market shows clear signs of accumulation, with buyers maintaining momentum. Each upward leg has been supported by liquidity absorption, reflecting steady confidence in higher valuations.
The current structure suggests that even if retracements occur, they are likely to serve as a foundation for further expansion. Market behavior highlights resilience, with the broader trend still pointing toward bullish continuation. Bitcoin remains positioned for progressive growth, with sentiment and structure both aligning in favor of buyers.
BTCUSD ATH retest ? The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective sideways consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 119,090 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 119,090 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
122,044 – initial resistance
123,280 – psychological and structural level
124,420 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 119,090 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
118,100 – minor support
116,950 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 111,180. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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Ready For the New Bitcoin Daily Bullish Cycle? Better Be. Set up for new Bullish Daily Cycle is almost completed. Our job is to get ahead of the crowd. The starting point of the New Cycle is marked by the vertical blue line (if not sooner).
We have a nasty Red Candle that shows enthusiasm of people willing to keep betting in the direction of the current downtrend. It will be nice to see Bitcoin printing a nasty bearish wick on the 4hrs to get rid off all the new wanna get rich quick traders that just entered with 50x and above, that will help to push the new Cycle to a good start.
With nasty wick or without it we are going UP even tho the Daily Trend as of now is weak but that can change during next week. We'll follow the move.
How high it will go this TIME that nobody knows, what I do know is that it will go and test its Zero Line of $112225 so Placing a long order (SPOT) below $107500 with low lev (10x or less) in case that a nasty wick is printed is a good idea.
Don't be afraid of get in early because we are going higher.
Play it right, play it safe. Know the rules of the game. Use low lev recommended.
Have a nice trading weekend everyone.
BTC at Critical Channel Midpoint | Breakout or Rejection?Bitcoin is now testing the $120K–124K resistance zone, right under the mid-line of the long-term ascending channel. Price action here will decide the next major move.
🔼 Bullish scenario: A daily close above $124K would confirm strength, opening the path toward $131K–136K, and eventually the upper channel trendline.
🔽 Bearish scenario: Failure to hold this zone could trigger a retrace back to $113K–117K, with deeper support at $105K and $95K.
We successfully anticipated the last downside move and closed our position around $109K, locking in profit before this rebound. At current levels, risk is elevated — some may consider short opportunities if rejection confirms. For buyers already in profit, we recommend setting stop-losses and being ready to close positions if the situation turns bearish.
Macro context: ETF inflows and cycle indicators support upside potential, but U.S. macro risks (government shutdown, Fed policy uncertainty) remain a strong headwind.
⚖️ Conclusion: Today is a decision day. Breaking the channel midpoint unlocks higher targets, while rejection could push BTC lower again.
❗ Disclaimer: This is not a trade recommendation. I’m only sharing my personal thoughts on the market.
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish Momentum Likely to ContinueBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the buy entry at 117,764.14, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 114,705.13, which is a pullback support that lines up with he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 124,031.38, which acts as a swing high resistance.
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BTC 03.10Bitcoin is reacting from an important zone, but I don't see any confirmation for a short position from the current levels. I expect a rally in the local range of 121-117-115. Alta might shoot up around that time, but I hope it doesn't hit my knees. There are no significant resistance levels above that, and there are important local supports – zones S1 and S2. The long setups are from yesterday, and I'll be assessing shorts based on the situation. I don't see any options other than the nearest 130,000.
Support zones:
116770-117410
115390-115890
113.9-114
Foreign Institutional Investors and Their Impact on Investment1. Overview of FIIs
FIIs have gained prominence in the last few decades due to globalization, liberalization of capital markets, and the increasing integration of global financial markets. They are different from Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) because FIIs primarily invest in portfolio instruments such as stocks, bonds, and derivatives, rather than acquiring a controlling stake in companies.
FIIs invest in countries seeking higher returns and portfolio diversification. Emerging economies often attract FIIs because of their high growth potential and relatively higher interest rates compared to developed markets. India, since the 1990s, has witnessed a substantial inflow of FII capital following economic liberalization policies.
2. Channels of FII Investment
FIIs invest through multiple channels:
Equity markets: Purchasing stocks of listed companies.
Debt markets: Buying government bonds, corporate bonds, and other fixed-income instruments.
Derivatives markets: Engaging in futures, options, and swaps to hedge or speculate.
Real estate and infrastructure funds: Though less common, some FIIs participate in structured investment vehicles.
In India, FIIs require registration with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and operate under specific investment caps to ensure market stability.
3. Positive Impacts of FIIs on Investment
3.1. Capital Formation
FIIs bring a significant amount of capital into domestic markets. Their investments contribute to liquidity, improve market depth, and facilitate capital formation. This influx of funds allows companies to access more resources for expansion, research and development, and operational efficiency.
For example, in the Indian equity market, periods of high FII inflows often coincide with rising stock market indices, signaling strong investor confidence and abundant capital availability.
3.2. Market Efficiency and Liquidity
FIIs bring in sophisticated investment strategies and advanced risk management practices. Their presence enhances market efficiency by improving price discovery—the process by which asset prices reflect all available information.
Additionally, FIIs increase market liquidity. High liquidity reduces transaction costs, narrows bid-ask spreads, and allows both domestic and international investors to trade large volumes without significantly impacting market prices. This is particularly beneficial for emerging markets where domestic investor participation may be limited.
3.3. Encouragement of Best Practices
FIIs often demand transparency, corporate governance, and accountability. Their investment criteria encourage domestic firms to adopt international best practices in financial reporting, risk management, and corporate governance.
For instance, companies seeking to attract FII investments may improve their disclosure norms, adhere to strict accounting standards, and implement robust board oversight. This has long-term positive effects on the investment climate.
3.4. Diversification for Domestic Markets
FIIs bring global perspectives to domestic markets. Their investment strategies, based on diversified global portfolios, encourage the domestic financial system to mature. This international participation mitigates market segmentation and reduces reliance on local investors alone.
3.5. Encouragement of Derivatives and Sophisticated Financial Products
FIIs often engage in complex investment products such as derivatives, structured products, and debt instruments. Their participation accelerates the development of sophisticated financial markets. India’s derivatives market, including index futures, options, and currency derivatives, has grown largely due to active FII participation.
4. Potential Negative Impacts of FIIs on Investment
Despite their benefits, FIIs can also have destabilizing effects on domestic markets.
4.1. Market Volatility
FIIs are often driven by global economic conditions, interest rate differentials, and risk appetite rather than local fundamentals. Rapid inflows during bullish phases can inflate asset prices, leading to bubbles. Conversely, sudden outflows during global crises or geopolitical tensions can trigger sharp market corrections.
For example, during the global financial crisis of 2008, many emerging markets, including India, faced abrupt FII withdrawals, causing stock market crashes and currency depreciation.
4.2. Exchange Rate Fluctuations
FII inflows increase demand for domestic currency, often causing appreciation, while sudden outflows lead to depreciation. Such volatility can impact exporters and importers, create inflationary pressures, and destabilize macroeconomic management.
4.3. Short-term Investment Focus
FIIs may prioritize short-term gains over long-term investments. This can lead to speculative trading, herd behavior, and excessive market fluctuations. Domestic investors may face challenges as FII actions amplify market swings, making long-term planning difficult.
4.4. Systemic Risk
High dependence on FIIs can make a country vulnerable to external shocks. Since FII decisions are influenced by global financial markets, policy changes in the US, Europe, or China can have an outsized impact on local markets. Emerging economies must maintain robust regulatory frameworks to mitigate such risks.
5. Regulatory Framework and Controls
Governments and regulators recognize both the advantages and risks of FII participation. India, for instance, has a robust regulatory framework managed by SEBI and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
Key regulatory measures include:
Registration requirements: FIIs must be registered with SEBI before investing.
Investment limits: Caps are imposed on FII investment in individual companies and sectors to prevent market dominance.
Disclosure norms: FIIs are required to disclose holdings and trading activity periodically.
Derivative restrictions: Limits are imposed on derivative trading to control speculative behavior.
Such measures aim to encourage long-term investment, stabilize markets, and maintain financial integrity.
6. Case Studies: FIIs in India
6.1. 1990s Liberalization
After India liberalized its economy in 1991, FIIs were allowed to invest in the stock markets. The inflow of foreign capital helped stabilize the Indian economy, provided liquidity to the equity market, and facilitated industrial expansion.
6.2. 2007–2008 Bull Run and Global Crisis
Between 2005 and 2007, India witnessed massive FII inflows, leading to a stock market boom. However, the 2008 global financial crisis triggered rapid FII withdrawals, causing a sharp market crash. This highlighted both the opportunities and risks associated with foreign institutional participation.
6.3. Post-2014 Reforms
After 2014, policy reforms, including the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), ease of doing business improvements, and liberalized FDI policies, attracted renewed FII interest. This stabilized markets, increased capital availability, and improved investor confidence.
7. Impact on Different Asset Classes
7.1. Equity Markets
FII inflows often drive stock prices in emerging markets. A surge in FII investment can boost market indices, while massive outflows can depress stock prices.
7.2. Bond Markets
FII participation in government and corporate bonds influences yields. Heavy FII purchases reduce yields, while sudden sales increase yields and borrowing costs for the government and corporations.
7.3. Derivatives and Commodities
FIIs engage in hedging and speculative strategies, impacting derivatives prices and volumes. Their presence enhances market depth but also introduces potential volatility in highly leveraged instruments.
8. Macroeconomic Implications
8.1. GDP Growth
FII inflows indirectly boost economic growth by increasing capital availability, encouraging investment, and promoting financial sector development.
8.2. Inflation and Interest Rates
Sudden inflows can appreciate the local currency, reduce import costs, and moderate inflation. Conversely, outflows may depreciate the currency, raising import costs and inflationary pressure.
8.3. Policy Challenges
Central banks must carefully manage liquidity and exchange rates to balance FII influence with domestic economic stability. This requires interventions in forex markets and prudent monetary policy.
9. Strategies to Optimize FII Impact
Governments and regulators can enhance the positive impact of FIIs while mitigating risks:
Encourage long-term investment through differentiated tax policies.
Monitor and manage liquidity to reduce sudden shocks.
Maintain transparency and improve market infrastructure to attract stable, quality investments.
Promote domestic institutional investors to reduce overdependence on FIIs.
10. Conclusion
FIIs play a pivotal role in shaping domestic financial markets. Their inflows bring liquidity, promote efficient markets, encourage global best practices, and contribute to economic growth. However, their short-term focus and susceptibility to global shocks can lead to volatility and systemic risk.
A balanced approach, combining regulatory oversight, robust domestic institutions, and market infrastructure, is crucial to ensure that FII participation benefits domestic markets sustainably. Emerging economies like India continue to benefit from FIIs, but maintaining equilibrium between foreign investment and domestic market stability remains a continuous challenge.
Bitcoin Harmonic Pattern , Target 105,000On the daily chart of Bitcoin, we can see the formation of a Gartley Pattern, one of the most well-known Harmonic Patterns. These patterns rely on Fibonacci Ratios and are typically used to anticipate a trend reversal after a strong move either upward or downward.
Recently, Bitcoin has reached a very important resistance zone between $120,000 – $121,000. The completion of the Gartley pattern in this zone increases the likelihood of a bearish correction.
Factors supporting a downside move:
Harmonic Pattern – Gartley: Completion at resistance provides a reversal signal.
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): Located near $120K.
Technical Indicators:
RSI shows overbought conditions, suggesting buying pressure is weakening.
MACD is close to a bearish crossover, another negative signal.
Volume: Buying volume is declining at recent highs, which often signals a distribution phase by large players and institutions.
📉 Support Levels:
The main target for the pattern is $105,500, a strong support level where price previously rebounded.
🎯 Trading Plan (Expected Scenario):
Potential Entry Zone: Between $120,500 – $121,000 (near resistance).
Targets (Take Profit):
TP1 = $114,000
TP2 = $110,200
TP3 = $105,500 (main target).
Stop Loss: Daily close above $121,800.
✅ Conclusion:
Bitcoin is currently at a very critical level, with the Gartley pattern completing right at resistance, combined with weakening technical indicators and declining volume. This supports the idea that the market may enter a short-to-medium term bearish correction with gradual downside targets ending near $105,500.
At the current zone, this is not considered a safe buying opportunity. Instead, it looks more like a selling opportunity or a case for waiting until price corrects to more favorable levels.
👍 Don’t forget to boost this trading idea if you found it helpful,
and follow me for more daily crypto insights and trade signals.
⚠️ Please note:
This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades.
Always do your own research before taking action.
Best of luck 🌹