Bitcoin: Investors hesitant, BTC holds supportThe Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but it is questionable whether another rate cut in December will occur, as previously expected. The US Government continues to be in a state of a “shutdown”. Fed Chair Powell noted that inflation might stay elevated in the future, while risks around the job market are emerging. Taking into account a lot of insecurities currently surrounding financial markets, investors are still not in the mood to place their funds into riskier assets. BTC price moves are pointing that investors are currently in favour of waiting for clearer signals in terms of macro clarity and regulatory moves in order to shift back their funds into the crypto market. In this sense, volatility is likely to remain elevated while the upside may be constrained until a clear trigger emerges in the future period.
BTC price tested the $116K level at the start of the week, but soon reverted back. The lowest weekly level at $106K was reached on Thursday, but the stronger down trend started after the FOMC meeting. The RSI is holding around the level of 45, but the clear oversold market side has not been reached. The MA50 and MA200 are getting closer to one another, but the potential cross is still not in store due to distance between lines.
BTC is closing the week by testing the $110K short term support level. Charts are pointing that the short recovery might lead BTC toward the $111K. A clear breach of this level would lead BTC back toward the $116K as currently strong resistance. Still, risks hold toward the downside, where levels around the $107K could be tested again.
Trade ideas
Bitcoin🚀 Bitcoin Breakout: Bulls Taking Charge!
Current Price: ~$110,000
Bitcoin has finally broken through key resistance levels, showing strong bullish momentum. The market sentiment looks extremely positive, and we could be entering the next leg of the bull run!
📈 Potential Upside Targets:
Target 1: $130,000
Target 2: $136,000
Target 3: $145,000
With rising institutional demand, decreasing supply, and strong on-chain metrics, BTC may continue its upward momentum in the coming days.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $105,000 – $108,000
Resistance: $130,000 and beyond
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing in cryptocurrencies involve significant risk — prices can be highly volatile. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade
Long term what ifs. If or when we start moving to these levels we should see different types of rejections.
My real thought is that we start to form an extensive channel slightly pitched lower for a great amount of time. Either A massive flag long term or just a bear move before a dump.
All speculation as we could breakout tomorrow. Currently bearish based on what this top is telling me.
BTC: Still on target and eyeing the 137k to 150k zoneBTC is still on track for the targets from my August 2025 analysis (chart below).
Applying the Wyckoff method, it's officially exited the multi-year trading range of $15,900 to $65,888 and is crawling upward.
Targets remain unchanged: $137k-$150k for the first leg, followed by $250k-$280k.
Today's Bitcoin Trading StrategyShort-term bullish core logic: Rapid accumulation of rebound momentum
(1) On-chain real-time funds: Strong short-term inflow validates the bottom
1.Hourly on-chain data shows that the net outflow of exchanges reached 1200 BTC (approximately 132 million US dollars), with 100-1000 BTC from whale addresses accounting for over 70%, which is a typical "bottom accumulation" signal. At the same time, the value of stablecoins increased by 42 million US dollars within 1 hour, and the USDT premium rate rose to 0.15%. The signs of short-term capital entry are significant. The SOPR indicator (realized profit / loss ratio) rose from 0.98 to 1.03, indicating that short-term traders have shifted from losses to profits, and the selling pressure has significantly weakened. This is highly consistent with the signal characteristics before the previous 108200 US dollar rebound.
(2) Technical aspect: Formation of minute-level trend reversal pattern
The 15-minute chart presents the "V-shaped reversal + volume coordination" feature: When the price recovered from 109300 US dollars to 110000 US dollars, the trading volume increased by 60% compared to the falling stage, forming a "volume-price synchronous recovery" structure. The 20-day moving average (109800 US dollars) has shifted from resistance to support, and forms a double support resonance with the integer level of 110000 US dollars. The RSI indicator on the 15-minute chart broke through the 50 strength-difficulty dividing line, and MACD formed a golden cross and the red bar began to spread, indicating a clear technical signal of short-term trend from short to long.
Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy
buy:109000-110000
tp:112000-113000
sl:108000
BTCUSD price await one time breakout below 109850 before selling#BTCUSD price await one time breakout below 109850 before selling.
Multiple rejection have happened between 110150 and 109850.
Sell from 109850, target 108900, stop loss 110531.
Above 110300 shows bullish continuation on 2 times breakout.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The trading session from last week was notably eventful. The Bitcoin market experienced significant volatility, fluctuating between the Mean Resistance level of 116,000 and the critical Mean Support level of 106,500. Currently, the price is actively navigating this range.
Current market analysis indicates a likelihood of a retest toward the Mean Support level at 106,500, with a primary focus on the potential for further downward movement towards the Mean Support level of 101,000. This trajectory may ultimately lead to our key objective of reaching the Outer Coin Dip at 97,000. It is, however, essential to acknowledge the robust rebound potential at these pivotal levels.
Multidimensional short-selling strategies and in-depth analysisFunding situation: "Institutional wait-and-see + Small investors' takeover", with a disparity in takeover strength
ETF and on-chain data show a distinct divergence: During the rebound period, the net inflow of the US Bitcoin spot ETF was only 0.8 billion US dollars, significantly less than the selling scale (5.2 billion US dollars) during the previous decline. This indicates that institutions have a low recognition of the rebound; while on-chain small addresses (1-10 BTC) increased their holdings by 62% around 110,000 US dollars, contrasting with the net outflow of whales (1000+ BTC), presenting a dangerous structure of "small investors' takeover + large players' cash-out". The derivatives market exposes more risks: Although the short-to-long ratio of perpetual contracts has risen from 0.89 to 1.02, the long positions are concentrated on platforms dominated by small and medium-sized investors (such as Huobi, with a 54% long position), while the long positions on leading platforms (Coinbase, Binance) are only 49.3%, indicating a disparity in capital quality that suggests the rebound is unlikely to last.
Cross-market "risk assets' linkage retreat", with valuation anchors moving downward
The 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index dropped from 0.75 to 0.61, and the weakened synchronization is due to the overall pressure on risk assets: The earnings reports of leading US technology stocks like Apple and Microsoft were below expectations, and the Nasdaq 100 Index broke below the 50-day moving average, leading to a cooling of risk appetite; at the same time, the hedging attributes of gold and US Treasuries have rebounded, with the 10-year US Treasury yield falling from 4.2% to 4.05%, indicating a clear trend of capital shifting from high-risk assets to safe-haven assets. This combination of "stock-currency linkage retreat + risk aversion rise" has deprived Bitcoin of external upward momentum, and its own valuation (the current price is still 1.8% lower than the average cost of institutions at 112,300 US dollars) has partially released the demand for valuation repair through the rebound.
Emotional aspect: "Rebound overextension + expectation correction", optimism has peaked
The panic and greed index quickly rose from the "panic" range of 28 to the "neutral" range of 45, with short-term emotional recovery being too rapid, and the implied volatility (IV) of call options in the futures market (higher than put options IV) from -3% to +2%, indicating that the optimistic expectations for the rebound have been overpriced. Historical data shows that when the emotional indicator rises by more than 15 points within 3 trading days and the IV premium of options turns positive, the probability of a correction within the next 48 hours is 73%, and the overextension of the emotional aspect provides an opportunity for short sellers to reverse.
Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy
sell:109000-110000
tp:108000-107000
sl:111000
Bitcoin Monthly Candle colour Close since 2011- Looking GOODOCTOBER CLOSED RED
October closed RED for the 5th time in Bitcoin History.
On 3 occasions, it was in a BEAR market, Once was in a Bull Run, in 2012 and the one that just closed Red,
We have to wait and see how things unfold from here.
Is this the End of this Bull run ?
Many will say so and this could be supported by the information above. The Majority of RED Octobers are in Bear markets.
Lets look closer
The left Box shows the only similar monthly Candle sequence, similar to the one we currently have. If you look closely, it is also a very similar "Curve" shape. Descent to low, rise, flatten out.
The Candle Sequence to see is Red, Green. 2 Red. 4 Green, 1 red, 1 Green
That Sequence was followed by a RED Candle, which we have just also done.
The Thin down facing arrow in the left Box, points to the equvilant candle to the one we just had.
The difference being when this happened.it was in Different months. the left box starting in September 2022.
IT WAS THE END OF THE 2022 BEAR market.....
The first Red candle in the current sequence was in December 2024
Some say we have entered a mini Bear a few months ago.......with long term holders selling coins, as is generally accepted as end of cycle action.
But these Coins all got bought right back up....Demand still exists.
The Large Green candle after the Red, Green. 2 Red at the start, in the left box , was January 2023, when we began this current "Cycle". The Bull Run.
Could we be about to see a repeat of this ?
But firstly, If we continur to follow this, we can expect a RED NOVEMBER !
But December will be Green and January would be EPIC, similar to the January 2023 Candle.......MAYBE
But this is all Hyposthosis.
The FACTS are :-
Looking ahead-->
Previous NOVEMBER Candle Closes
9 Green to 5 Red - Nearly twice as many Green as Red.
Only One Green November was in a Bear, November 2014.
The Red November in 2011 was the bottom and was the start of Bitcoins 2 year push to ATH.
The Red one in November 2022 marked the Bottom of the Bear, though December was red but a small candle.
Nearly half of the Red Novembers called the Bottom of a Bear, a turning point in market behaviour.
Some charts point to a RED start to November and the Red close fpr October certainly does not point towards a continued Bullish Sentiment.
I do not often point to TA in these month charts But the MACD will be reaching Neutral on Weekly charts by nid / late December.
To me, this points towards the time when Bitcoin has the ideal moment to push to a real New ATH. This could therefore point towards a Red November and then a Green December.... which follows the Sequence mentioned above.
But this is Bitcoin, it is its own Boss.
We have to wait..time will tell but I reman VERY Bullish
Bitcoin: 3 Indicators Under Close WatchThe BTC/GOLD, BTC/S&P 500, and BTC/NASDAQ 100 ratios are defending their major bullish trendlines, and as long as these supports hold, there remains a possibility that the Bitcoin bull cycle linked to the 2024 halving is not yet over.
Since the October 6th peak at US$126,000, Bitcoin’s price has been evolving in a consolidation phase that raises questions: is this a simple pause within a broader bullish cycle, or does it mark the end of the uptrend that began in late 2022 and was tied to the spring 2024 halving? To answer this, it is useful to move away from Bitcoin’s nominal price and instead examine its relative performance ratios against other major asset classes.
The three main barometers — BTC/GOLD, BTC/S&P 500, and BTC/NASDAQ 100 — are currently near their major bullish trendlines, established from the late-2022 lows. These supports, tested several times over the past eighteen months, structure Bitcoin’s relative dynamics against gold, U.S. equities, and the technology sector. Their preservation is therefore crucial.
As long as these three ratios remain above their ascending trendlines, the market structure remains technically bullish in terms of long-term trend. In other words, the underlying move in favor of Bitcoin, which began after the 2022 crash, has not yet been invalidated. The pullback observed since early October could therefore be interpreted as a cyclical support test, or even as an accumulation opportunity for long-term investors.
Conversely, a clear and confirmed break of these three supports simultaneously would signal a regime shift — indicating that Bitcoin has stopped outperforming gold and equity indices, opening the door to a prolonged phase of relative underperformance, typical of end-of-cycle behavior.
For now, however, buyers are still defending the key levels. The maintenance of the BTC/GOLD, BTC/S&P 500, and BTC/NASDAQ 100 ratios above their bullish trendlines means that, technically, Bitcoin’s bull cycle remains alive. As long as these supports hold, there remains a credible probability that the October 6th peak at $126,000 is not the final top.
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SELL BTCUSDPrice is currently retesting a descending trendline after a short-term pullback. The setup indicates bearish momentum as price approaches the supply zone (resistance area) between 110,100 – 110,750.
A rejection from this zone could trigger a downward continuation toward the 106,300 region, aligning with previous liquidity levels.
Bias remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above 110,800 with strong momentum.
BTC, They Will Call Us LuckyLong Term thoughts for BTC into 2024 and 2025. I was hoping for one more push into 20k before a larger breakout for some prime accumulation levels, but but this actually makes for a more bullish chart. This chart is a LOG chart and BTC never broke below that channel which is key. Picture perfect bounce of the lower trend line. This next wave should be aggressively bullish and not give the great dip buy opportunities that traders are wanting.
BTC/USD BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP TARGET 111K, 113K, 115.Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around 109,800 – 110,000
Price is consolidating just above this level, indicating possible re-accumulation.
Stop Loss: Below 108,300 – 108,400
This sits under the recent swing low (a strong liquidity area).
Targets:
Target 1: 111,637 → Reclaim of structure high.
Target 2: 113,656 → Previous supply zone / liquidity pool.
Target 3: 115,249 → Full bullish objective and previous major high.
Structure & Smart Money Flow:
The chart shows BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals, implying the bearish trend may be reversing.
Price likely tapped into a demand zone below liquidity (Stop Hunt) before showing bullish intent.
The marked consolidation suggests Smart Money accumulation, preparing for a possible upside expansion.
Strategy Outlook:
✅ Bullish Confirmation: A clear break and retest above 110,000–111,000 zone would confirm buyers in control.
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below 108,300 would invalidate the bullish scenario and could resume the bearish trend toward 107,000–106,000 support.
🎯 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3 to 1:5, favoring long positions if executed near entry.
Summary:
Market Structure: Bullish Reversal Forming
Entry Zone: 109,800 – 110,000
Stop Loss: 108,300
Targets: 111,637 → 113,656 → 115,249






















