Today's Bitcoin Trading StrategyShort-term bullish core logic: Rapid accumulation of rebound momentum
(1) On-chain real-time funds: Strong short-term inflow validates the bottom
1.Hourly on-chain data shows that the net outflow of exchanges reached 1200 BTC (approximately 132 million US dollars), with 100-1000 BTC from whale addresses accounting for over 70%, which is a typical "bottom accumulation" signal. At the same time, the value of stablecoins increased by 42 million US dollars within 1 hour, and the USDT premium rate rose to 0.15%. The signs of short-term capital entry are significant. The SOPR indicator (realized profit / loss ratio) rose from 0.98 to 1.03, indicating that short-term traders have shifted from losses to profits, and the selling pressure has significantly weakened. This is highly consistent with the signal characteristics before the previous 108200 US dollar rebound.
(2) Technical aspect: Formation of minute-level trend reversal pattern
The 15-minute chart presents the "V-shaped reversal + volume coordination" feature: When the price recovered from 109300 US dollars to 110000 US dollars, the trading volume increased by 60% compared to the falling stage, forming a "volume-price synchronous recovery" structure. The 20-day moving average (109800 US dollars) has shifted from resistance to support, and forms a double support resonance with the integer level of 110000 US dollars. The RSI indicator on the 15-minute chart broke through the 50 strength-difficulty dividing line, and MACD formed a golden cross and the red bar began to spread, indicating a clear technical signal of short-term trend from short to long.
Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy
buy:109000-110000
tp:112000-113000
sl:108000
Trade ideas
Multidimensional short-selling strategies and in-depth analysisFunding situation: "Institutional wait-and-see + Small investors' takeover", with a disparity in takeover strength
ETF and on-chain data show a distinct divergence: During the rebound period, the net inflow of the US Bitcoin spot ETF was only 0.8 billion US dollars, significantly less than the selling scale (5.2 billion US dollars) during the previous decline. This indicates that institutions have a low recognition of the rebound; while on-chain small addresses (1-10 BTC) increased their holdings by 62% around 110,000 US dollars, contrasting with the net outflow of whales (1000+ BTC), presenting a dangerous structure of "small investors' takeover + large players' cash-out". The derivatives market exposes more risks: Although the short-to-long ratio of perpetual contracts has risen from 0.89 to 1.02, the long positions are concentrated on platforms dominated by small and medium-sized investors (such as Huobi, with a 54% long position), while the long positions on leading platforms (Coinbase, Binance) are only 49.3%, indicating a disparity in capital quality that suggests the rebound is unlikely to last.
Cross-market "risk assets' linkage retreat", with valuation anchors moving downward
The 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index dropped from 0.75 to 0.61, and the weakened synchronization is due to the overall pressure on risk assets: The earnings reports of leading US technology stocks like Apple and Microsoft were below expectations, and the Nasdaq 100 Index broke below the 50-day moving average, leading to a cooling of risk appetite; at the same time, the hedging attributes of gold and US Treasuries have rebounded, with the 10-year US Treasury yield falling from 4.2% to 4.05%, indicating a clear trend of capital shifting from high-risk assets to safe-haven assets. This combination of "stock-currency linkage retreat + risk aversion rise" has deprived Bitcoin of external upward momentum, and its own valuation (the current price is still 1.8% lower than the average cost of institutions at 112,300 US dollars) has partially released the demand for valuation repair through the rebound.
Emotional aspect: "Rebound overextension + expectation correction", optimism has peaked
The panic and greed index quickly rose from the "panic" range of 28 to the "neutral" range of 45, with short-term emotional recovery being too rapid, and the implied volatility (IV) of call options in the futures market (higher than put options IV) from -3% to +2%, indicating that the optimistic expectations for the rebound have been overpriced. Historical data shows that when the emotional indicator rises by more than 15 points within 3 trading days and the IV premium of options turns positive, the probability of a correction within the next 48 hours is 73%, and the overextension of the emotional aspect provides an opportunity for short sellers to reverse.
Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy
sell:109000-110000
tp:108000-107000
sl:111000
BTCUSD price await one time breakout below 109850 before selling#BTCUSD price await one time breakout below 109850 before selling.
Multiple rejection have happened between 110150 and 109850.
Sell from 109850, target 108900, stop loss 110531.
Above 110300 shows bullish continuation on 2 times breakout.
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The trading session from last week was notably eventful. The Bitcoin market experienced significant volatility, fluctuating between the Mean Resistance level of 116,000 and the critical Mean Support level of 106,500. Currently, the price is actively navigating this range.
Current market analysis indicates a likelihood of a retest toward the Mean Support level at 106,500, with a primary focus on the potential for further downward movement towards the Mean Support level of 101,000. This trajectory may ultimately lead to our key objective of reaching the Outer Coin Dip at 97,000. It is, however, essential to acknowledge the robust rebound potential at these pivotal levels.
Bitcoin Monthly Candle colour Close since 2011- Looking GOODOCTOBER CLOSED RED
October closed RED for the 5th time in Bitcoin History.
On 3 occasions, it was in a BEAR market, Once was in a Bull Run, in 2012 and the one that just closed Red,
We have to wait and see how things unfold from here.
Is this the End of this Bull run ?
Many will say so and this could be supported by the information above. The Majority of RED Octobers are in Bear markets.
Lets look closer
The left Box shows the only similar monthly Candle sequence, similar to the one we currently have. If you look closely, it is also a very similar "Curve" shape. Descent to low, rise, flatten out.
The Candle Sequence to see is Red, Green. 2 Red. 4 Green, 1 red, 1 Green
That Sequence was followed by a RED Candle, which we have just also done.
The Thin down facing arrow in the left Box, points to the equvilant candle to the one we just had.
The difference being when this happened.it was in Different months. the left box starting in September 2022.
IT WAS THE END OF THE 2022 BEAR market.....
The first Red candle in the current sequence was in December 2024
Some say we have entered a mini Bear a few months ago.......with long term holders selling coins, as is generally accepted as end of cycle action.
But these Coins all got bought right back up....Demand still exists.
The Large Green candle after the Red, Green. 2 Red at the start, in the left box , was January 2023, when we began this current "Cycle". The Bull Run.
Could we be about to see a repeat of this ?
But firstly, If we continur to follow this, we can expect a RED NOVEMBER !
But December will be Green and January would be EPIC, similar to the January 2023 Candle.......MAYBE
But this is all Hyposthosis.
The FACTS are :-
Looking ahead-->
Previous NOVEMBER Candle Closes
9 Green to 5 Red - Nearly twice as many Green as Red.
Only One Green November was in a Bear, November 2014.
The Red November in 2011 was the bottom and was the start of Bitcoins 2 year push to ATH.
The Red one in November 2022 marked the Bottom of the Bear, though December was red but a small candle.
Nearly half of the Red Novembers called the Bottom of a Bear, a turning point in market behaviour.
Some charts point to a RED start to November and the Red close fpr October certainly does not point towards a continued Bullish Sentiment.
I do not often point to TA in these month charts But the MACD will be reaching Neutral on Weekly charts by nid / late December.
To me, this points towards the time when Bitcoin has the ideal moment to push to a real New ATH. This could therefore point towards a Red November and then a Green December.... which follows the Sequence mentioned above.
But this is Bitcoin, it is its own Boss.
We have to wait..time will tell but I reman VERY Bullish
SELL BTCUSDPrice is currently retesting a descending trendline after a short-term pullback. The setup indicates bearish momentum as price approaches the supply zone (resistance area) between 110,100 – 110,750.
A rejection from this zone could trigger a downward continuation toward the 106,300 region, aligning with previous liquidity levels.
Bias remains bearish unless price breaks and holds above 110,800 with strong momentum.
BTC, They Will Call Us LuckyLong Term thoughts for BTC into 2024 and 2025. I was hoping for one more push into 20k before a larger breakout for some prime accumulation levels, but but this actually makes for a more bullish chart. This chart is a LOG chart and BTC never broke below that channel which is key. Picture perfect bounce of the lower trend line. This next wave should be aggressively bullish and not give the great dip buy opportunities that traders are wanting.
Bitcoin 30 Mints Support Rebound & Structure Break SetupBitcoin has shown a clean rebound from the 30-minute support zone, followed by a break of structure, indicating renewed bullish momentum. The market structure suggests a potential short-term continuation toward the 111,800 resistance area as buyers step back in control.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry: 109,700
Take Profit: 111,800
Stop Loss: 108,500
Reasoning:
Technically, BTC/USD has confirmed a structure break after retesting the support base, signaling strength from buyers. The formation of higher lows and the appearance of increasingly bullish candles reflect momentum continuation toward the next resistance.
Fundamentally , improving crypto market sentiment and stable U.S. dollar movement ahead of upcoming macro data are helping sustain Bitcoin’s recovery tone.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
BTC/USD BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP TARGET 111K, 113K, 115.Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around 109,800 – 110,000
Price is consolidating just above this level, indicating possible re-accumulation.
Stop Loss: Below 108,300 – 108,400
This sits under the recent swing low (a strong liquidity area).
Targets:
Target 1: 111,637 → Reclaim of structure high.
Target 2: 113,656 → Previous supply zone / liquidity pool.
Target 3: 115,249 → Full bullish objective and previous major high.
Structure & Smart Money Flow:
The chart shows BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals, implying the bearish trend may be reversing.
Price likely tapped into a demand zone below liquidity (Stop Hunt) before showing bullish intent.
The marked consolidation suggests Smart Money accumulation, preparing for a possible upside expansion.
Strategy Outlook:
✅ Bullish Confirmation: A clear break and retest above 110,000–111,000 zone would confirm buyers in control.
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below 108,300 would invalidate the bullish scenario and could resume the bearish trend toward 107,000–106,000 support.
🎯 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3 to 1:5, favoring long positions if executed near entry.
Summary:
Market Structure: Bullish Reversal Forming
Entry Zone: 109,800 – 110,000
Stop Loss: 108,300
Targets: 111,637 → 113,656 → 115,249
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound from Key Support Zone This chart shows the BTC/USD (1-hour) price action with key support and resistance levels. Bitcoin is currently trading near $107,904, slightly above a highlighted support zone around $107,629–$107,000. The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal from this support, with projected upside targets at $109,028, $110,093, and $111,075.
BITCOIN BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 106,482.62
Target Level: 113,901.05
Stop Loss: 101,549.96
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$111,661 and 25 cents: BTC Genesis fib to say "its Ova" or notShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The Genesis Sequence has called all of the major turns since 2015.
These are "very high gravity" objects that tend to capture into orbit.
$ 111,661.25 is a "minor" ratio between semi-majors.
$ 105,451.85 Is a "semi-major" and possible bottom
$ 117,868.00 is a semi-major above for next target if bull.
Bottom line:
Rejection here could add to the "its over" narrative.
Break-n-Hold of this fib would help dispel that idea.
We expect a few "orbits" here then escape upwards.
See "Related Publications" for previous EXACT calls such as our recent TOP:
Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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Could we see a reversal on the Bitcoin?The price is reacting off the pivot which acts as a multi swing low support nd could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 107,360.16
1st Support: 103,408.67
1st Resistance: 112,683.68
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could revert to the first support, which is a swing low support.
Pivot: 111,191.38
1st Support: 104,980.51
1st Resistance: 115,531.59
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin Crash, Correction or the Final Shakeout. What to Watch.In this video, I examine the narrowing window of opportunity for us to still push up to $150k this year, and potentially $200k by Q1 2026.
The weekly Bollinger Bands (Modified for Crypto @ 3STDev) show tightening which signals a likely bigger move is brewing. The question is, do we breakout to the upside...
Or continue lower, to the $100k - $105k range where I'm seeing buyers and placing my buy orders.
I've been in cash for weeks, waiting for the final shakeout which appears to be happening now.
Let me know your thoughts below and what you think comes next!
- Brett
BTC Update – FOMC AftermathRate cuts failed to lift Bitcoin — Powell’s “risk‑management” message kept liquidity tight. Despite equities hitting new highs, BTC momentum cooled near 110 K as profit‑taking dominated.
With fading dollar pressure but fragile liquidity, **a retest of 103 K support can’t be ruled out** before the next trend expansion.






















