BitcoinOver the past four weeks, Bitcoin first returned above the local level of 112k before falling below it. Potentially, it could now head toward the 100k mark. The long-term trend remains upward, but a break below 100k would signal a potential reversal to the downside. In light of the above, we are keeping our outlook neutral.
Long-term trend: No
Resistance level: 125000
Support level: 100000
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Was October Bitcoin's strongest month?BTC rose nearly $4,000 intraday, breaking through the $114,000 mark, but subsequently retreated lower. The 1-hour chart shows BTC trapped in a narrow range, fluctuating between $107,000 and $127,400. If the price falls below $107,000, a bearish double top pattern could form, leading to a further drop below $110,000. If the price rises above the moving average, selling pressure could weaken, potentially testing the all-time high.
Exchange reserves fell to 2.4 million Bitcoin in September, indicating increasing market accumulation and over-the-counter storage, and continued institutional support for Bitcoin.
Trading strategy: In the short term, Bitcoin prices remain uncertain. If they fall below the $113,200 support level, further declines are possible, so consider shorting. If the price rises above $117,500, consider entering a long position. For specific trading advice, please follow and contact us.
BTC TA 29.09After a three-day consolidation, with a ton of liquidity remaining and no major confirmations, the old man rushed higher overnight from Sunday to Monday. I glanced at July and August; there are very similar Mondays there, when they start dumping until the breakouts right around 10 AM. The only thing I don't like about the initial dumping is that the price didn't reach the normal resistance level, the SFP fractal at 112270, and that's it. Everything else behaved similarly, including Ethereum and Salt, which also began a morning rebound without tapping any important zones.
In general, for now, it would be more logical to see a rise through retests of local supports at least (or without retests) to the nearest resistance zones of 112.6-113k or 114-114.5k. From there, I'll consider shorts to continue the decline, and possibly take advantage of the longs I opened in the altcoin.
BTC vs AI? Start August 2025 till Mar 2026
Hi,
Sorry hodl.
This is only my POV & AI.
Start
You see btc is a play by dark web & d*rty money.
They make legal so movements of their money are smooth and safe keeping.
Now, they they are exposed. ( KYC etc ) They don't like that.
Now cashing it is easy. Transfer of wealth is happening, slowly and surely.
The bullishness is fading. They will putting more cash to support the price.
AI comments:
With the current price at 115,000 and data-driven modeling, a severe downturn of approximately -131.25% is predicted within 200 days from August 18, 2025. This forecasts a drastic collapse to around 35,940 by March 6, 2026, indicating an overwhelming bearish trend demanding urgent caution and strategic response.
NB/ Don't trust me. It's just a POV.
If this have an adverse views. Pardon me. You are much better
I'm not an analyst nor a guru.
BTCUSDDo you see what I see?? Another push to the downside... Let's see what Price does.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Analysis📊 Chart Structure:
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a descending channel / falling wedge pattern. The price recently bounced from the lower boundary and is now moving toward the upper resistance zone.
🔑 Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,800 – $120,000 (upper trendline + supply zone)
Major Support: $113,500 – $114,000 (demand zone / blue box)
Extended Support: $108,000 – $105,000 (200-day MA + channel support)
📈 Moving Averages:
Price is consolidating above the 20-day (green) and 50-day (yellow) MAs.
The 100-day MA (blue) is acting as short-term support.
The 200-day MA (red) sits near $105K and remains a strong long-term support.
📉 RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 63 – showing neutral to slightly bullish momentum. A push above 70 could lead to overbought conditions.
🔮 Outlook:
A breakout above $120K could trigger bullish continuation toward $124K – $126K.
A rejection at resistance would likely send the price back to the $114K – $113K demand zone.
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a critical level. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above $120K to sustain momentum, while a close below $114K would give bears an edge.
BTC SHORT 📊 BTC Short Setup Plan
Sell Limit: $121,429.4
Stop Loss (SL): $125,316.9
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $117,461.7
✅ Take partials
🔁 Move SL to Entry once TP1 is hit
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $113,266.7
🧠 Technical Confluence
1. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
Commercial positions are at extreme sell levels for Bitcoin, indicating large institutional players are heavily positioned short.
2. Structural Liquidity Sweep
Price has already swept structural liquidity, clearing out stops above prior highs.
This often marks the end of a liquidity grab and the start of a larger reversal move.
3. High-Level Order Block With Imbalances
The order block near $121,429 also contains multiple imbalance zones (FVGs).
These imbalances suggest that price is likely to retrace into this block to rebalance order flow before continuing lower.
Once price taps this zone, heavy sell orders are expected to react, pushing BTC downward.
BTC Price Action Parallels 2017We're still bumping along the baseline support, that means the real rally hasn't even started yet. But when it does the move off the baseline is the one you don't want to miss. This cycle is looking a lot closer to 2017 than 2021. I think we're going 10X higher from here, over a million per coin over the next 6 months with top potentially in April/May 2026.
Bitcoin establishes early Uptober support baseToday was a positive sign as bitcoin rose $3236, or 2.9%, to $114,3500. That move potentially helped establish a potential floor for the Uptober rally.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is holding above the rising 100-day exponential moving average, which has acted as dynamic support at times since April. The price has broken this trendline multiple times over the past few months, and each time buyers have stepped in to defend it.
Upside levels to watch:
$116,500 – First resistance from late September intraday highs.
$120,000 – Key swing high from July, a strong psychological barrier.
$124,000 – Major resistance from August.
$128,000 – Year-to-date peak.
$140,000 – Round number resistance and measured move target if Bitcoin clears $128K. Also lines up with Fibonacci extensions of the April–August rally.
$150,000 – Big psychological milestone.
Looking to Short Bitcoin From Here : Winter Is Coming !!Looking to short BTC for a continuation of the downtrend.
Trend is your friend is what they say.
So we're basically going to wait for a pullback to 113k range then enter a sell.
The sell entry caters for both H4 & Daily timeframe trend, so it's a strong one.
The sell entry range also has the VAL of the last rotation we had from Sept 21st to Sept 24th when we finally broke down from it at 112k. That VAL should be a strong point for rejection, it'll be one of the places where we'll truly get to test the strength of the bears ( that's if we even make it that far )
TP targets are based on ExoFade peaks of the H1, H4 and Daily timeframe.. You can add the ExoFade to your charts to follow on your own charts as well.
VAL - Value Area Low of the volume profile
Strategy => Volume + Trend + Lots of coffee
BTCUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for BTCUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 10923
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 11138
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ANFIBO | BTCUSD Analysis – Weekly Trading PlanHi guys! It's me, Anfibo. My plan last week gave us a good profit selling from 118,000 USD to 115,000 USD.
And over the past weekend, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD consolidated in a sideways range, consistently holding above key support. However, with the opening of the new week’s Daily candle, the market decisively broke down through this support zone, signaling that selling pressure is now taking clearer control.
From a technical perspective, the next critical support levels to monitor are:
• $113,000
• $111,000
• $109,500
Around the $110,000 region, I view this as a pivotal area to consider initiating spot entries or building larger long-term positions. This zone is not only a technically strong support level but also carries significant psychological weight for institutional and large-scale flows.
Imo, in the short term, BTC may still attempt a retest of the $115,000 level before resuming its downward trend, depending on lower-timeframe reactions. This creates an opportunity for traders to capitalize on corrective moves.
>>> My Trading Plan for the Week:
(1) SELL SCALP:
– ENTRY: around 115,000
– SL: 117,000
– TP1: 113,000
– TP2: 110,000
(2) BUY SETUP:
- ENTRY: 109,000 - 111,000
- SL: 107,000
- TP1: 117,500
- TP2: 122,000
- TP3: 128,000
This strategy is designed for short-term trades, taking advantage of volatility within the current range. For long-term investors, patience will be key—waiting for BTC to approach $110,000 or lower provides a strategic opportunity to restructure portfolios and scale into positions at more favorable prices.
👉 Conclusion: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has broken out of its weekend consolidation and is now entering a fresh leg down. Short-term traders should look to sell corrective bounces, while long-term investors should focus on accumulation opportunities near $110,000 - a level that could serve as a “strategic entry” for the upcoming cycle.
WISH EVERYONE A NEW WEEK FULL OF ENERGY! ;)
BTC rejected from key 114,228$ - down to 103,792$ now!Hey, guys
sometimes I wish I could do more regular updates to make you aware of things as they happen, but I don't get the chance to, saw this pump coming but was away from my computer and TV only allows to post on desktop and not mobile, if I am correct.
There's a strong support at 110,600$ but this should be broken to the downside, for price to see lows of 106,607$.
if 106,607$ is broken to downside, which I expect it will, then we will reach final target of 103,792$ for this move - we expect downside to 80k before EOY but, lets take things step by step as it most likely won't be a straight drop to that level.
so yes, we are still very much bearish on BTC.
Everyone will have the chance to dollar cost average on BTC between 30-50k in the long run before the next bull cycle, I will make sure you all achieve this.
BTC Outlook: Constructive Above 112k, Risky BelowLast week in my BTC analysis, I mentioned that the price could reverse from the 108k zone. That scenario played out, and while this was a positive development, I also noted that bulls needed to reclaim 112k for a brighter outlook.
The market delivered: BTC not only reversed but also broke back above 112k, pushing as high as just under 115k.
Now, the 112k zone has become crucial for two reasons:
1. If bulls hold above 112k – it confirms strength and validates the recovery as a genuine move higher.
2. If price breaks back below 112k – the recent move above would be revealed as a false upside break, with 115k locked in as a new lower high and a potential descending triangle taking shape.
With this in mind, I remain constructive on BTC. But the message is clear: 112k is the key level that will decide whether momentum continues or fades. 🚀
BITCOIN Can this pattern hold one last time?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is holding (so far) its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) as mentioned on our previous analysis, which is critical for the continuation of the bullish trend.
Today however, we bring you a pattern that may have gone unnoticed and as long as it holds, the market should be expecting a new High.
That is the transition of a former Resistance level (formed from a previous High) that turns into Support (new Low), which generates a rally that so far has measured a minimum +45.73% (from the High).
However every such Low was priced at or very close to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This time the 1W MA50 is at 100k and a way for this pattern to be fulfilled, BTC should at least trade sideways until it comes close to the 1W MA50.
In any case, as long as the Support level holds, a +45.73% rise, would take us to $157000.
Do you think we have chances for that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USD - TRADER EDGE💎 Diamond Difference Maker:
Everyone sees the same chart, but only those who read the full breakdown captures the edge.
🎯 KEY PIVOT ZONE
SUPPLY ZONE: $115,800 - $117,400
Dense cluster of session POCs converging at this level showing consistent resistance
Massive VRVP volume node indicating heavy historical trading activity and institutional interest
Price currently trading below this zone after recent rejection, confirming supply dominance
Multiple failed breakout attempts visible, reinforcing this as critical overhead resistance
📊 PRICE TARGETS
UPSIDE TARGETS ⬆️
T1: $115,800 - $117,400 (Primary supply zone retest)
T2: $119,000 - $120,800 (Secondary volume node with POC cluster convergence)
DOWNSIDE TARGETS ⬇️
T1: $111,600 - $112,800 (Immediate support volume node with POC alignment)
T2: $108,200 - $109,800 (Major demand zone with multiple POC convergence and high volume)
⚡⚡ EDGE - HIGHEST PROBABILITY PLAY
Short from supply zone rejection with targets at lower volume nodes where demand historically emerged.
🔍 PRE-ENTRY CONFIRMATION SIGNALS
These signals must occur BEFORE entering the trade and at appropriate price levels:
✅ Bearish rejection pattern forming at or above $115,800
(shooting star, bearish engulfing, or long upper wick)
✅ Failed breakout above $116,500 followed by rapid reversal back into the range confirming distribution
✅ Volume spike at $115,800-$117,400 zone with selling pressure exceeding buying, visible on volume bars
📈 TRADE SETUP
🔴PRIMARY BIAS: BEARISH @ Current Position
🆗➡️Short Setup:
Entry: $115,800 - $117,400 -
(wait for price to reach zone AND display confirmation signals above)
Stop Loss: $117,850 - (above supply zone and recent swing high)
Target 1: $111,600 - $112,800
Target 2: $108,200 - $109,800
Risk/Reward: 1:2.4 (to T1) / 1:5.8 (to T2)
🔄 BIAS FLIP CONDITIONS
🟢TURNS BULLISH IF:
Strong breakout with 2H candle close above $117,850 accompanied by volume expansion above average
Price reclaims supply zone and holds above $117,400 for at least 4 hours showing demand absorption
Higher lows formation above $117,000 with bullish market structure shift
⚡Then Target:
New T1: $119,000 - $120,800
New T2: $122,400 - $123,600
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: $1,650 per contract from mid-entry to stop (approximately 1.4% risk)
Position Size: Limit exposure to 1-2% of total trading capital on this single setup
Time Stop: Close position if no favorable movement within 16 hours or before major economic releases
✅CONTEXT NOTES:
Current price is consolidating in a lower-volume area between $113,000-$115,000 suggesting potential volatility
Watch for bounce attempts toward the supply zone for optimal short entry positioning
The $109,000-$113,000 range shows thinner volume profile indicating faster price movement potential through this area
"Bitcoin Bearish Continuation Pattern: Short Entry on Retest"Chart Pattern
The price is moving within a descending channel (highlighted in blue and green), which typically signals continuation of the current downtrend.
A breakout to the downside of the channel seems to be forming (small breakout candle drawn outside the channel).
🔽 Trade Setup: Short Position
This is a short trade setup, meaning the trader expects the price to go down.
🔸 Entry Point
Entry Zone: Between 111,667.72 and 111,717.96 USD
This is above the current price, suggesting a pullback entry (waiting for a slight retracement before shorting).
🔹 Stop Loss
Stop Loss Zone: Between 113,074.59 and 113,077.51 USD
Placed above the channel and the entry point to protect against invalidation.
🟢 Target Point (Take Profit)
Target Zone: Between 105,989.97 and 106,015.09 USD
The expected price move is based on a measured move or projected breakdown from the channel.
🧮 Risk to Reward Ratio
The risk/reward box (red for risk, green for reward) shows a positive risk-reward ratio, likely around 1:2 or better, which is favorable in trading.
✅ Analysis Summary
Trend: Bearish (descending channel, lower highs and lower lows).
Setup: Short position on pullback into resistance zone.
Target: 106,000 area.
Stop: 113,000 area.
Current Price: Around 108,905.09 USD.
📌 Final Thoughts
The setup assumes the breakdown from the channel is valid.
A retest of the breakdown zone (entry point) is anticipated before continuation downward.
Be mindful of potential false breakouts or sudden bullish reversals.
BTC PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $114,200BTC PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $114,200
Currently $114.200
Targeting $113K or Down
(Trading plan IF BTC
go up to $115,200 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice