BTC PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $114,200BTC PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $114,200
Currently $114.200
Targeting $113K or Down
(Trading plan IF BTC
go up to $115,200 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Trading: The Most Relative Profession in the WorldIntroduction
Most professions operate within clear boundaries of right and wrong, success and failure. A doctor either saves the patient or doesn’t. An engineer either builds a stable bridge or one that collapses. But trading doesn’t work like that.
In trading, “being right” and “being wrong” are relative. Two traders can look at the exact same market, take opposite positions, and both can be right. At the same time, they can both be wrong. This relativity is what makes trading not only fascinating, but also psychologically challenging.
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Why “Being Right” Is an Illusion in Trading
Many traders fall into the trap of needing to be right. They celebrate when their forecast matches the price action, and they criticize others when opinions diverge. But trading isn’t about intellectual debates — it’s about execution, timing, and money management.
You can make the perfect call, but if you enter at the wrong time or exit poorly, you still lose. Conversely, you can be “wrong” in your forecast, yet still make money because you managed your trade correctly.
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A Real Example: Gold’s Price Action Yesterday
Take gold, for instance:
• Trader A says: “Gold will rise.”
• Trader B says: “Gold will fall.”
Who is right? The answer is not straightforward.
• Gold made a new all-time high during the day — Trader A can claim victory.
• Gold sold off after — Trader B can also claim victory.
But here’s the twist:
• Trader A was wrong if he bought at the very top before the selloff.
• Trader B was wrong if he sold too early at 3860 before the new ATH.
This example shows how trading doesn’t operate in absolutes. The market gives both validation and punishment, depending not only on the direction, but also on timing and execution.
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Timeframe Relativity: Scalper vs. Swing Trader
This relativity becomes even more visible when we compare a scalper with a swing trader — in fact, this is where it shows itself most clearly.
Consider this scenario:
• The scalper buys against the larger trend, catching a quick 50-pip bounce from intraday volatility.
• The swing trader sells with the dominant trend, holding for several days and capturing 300 pips once the broader move unfolds.
At first glance, their positions contradict each other. One is long, the other is short. Yet both can be right — and both can make money — simply because they operate on different timeframes, with different objectives and risk tolerances.
Don’t believe me? Here’s a real and concrete example: back in 2022, I shorted BTC heavily and made strong profits. At the same time, a good friend of mine kept buying into weakness and applying a DCA strategy.
Who was right?
The answer, again, is relative. I was right in the medium term — profiting from the bearish momentum. My friend was right in the long term — building a position that paid off when the market eventually recovered.
This is the purest example of relativity in trading: the same market, moving in both directions, rewarding two very different strategies.
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The Key Lesson
Trading is not about proving a point. It’s not about winning an argument on social media or showing that your market call was correct. It’s about managing trades in a way that consistently extracts profits, regardless of who “guessed” the move better.
The market doesn’t reward opinions. It rewards discipline and risk control. Always remember:
• Entries are relative.
• Exits define success.
• Risk is king. A “right” prediction with poor risk management can still end in disaster.
In other words: you don’t get paid for being right — you get paid for good execution and risk management.
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Why Relativity Matters
Understanding the relativity of trading helps in three ways:
1. It kills the ego. You stop caring about being right and start caring about making money.
2. It reduces conflicts. Another trader’s opposite view doesn’t threaten yours; both can co-exist.
3. It shifts focus. The conversation moves from “Was I right?” to “Was my trade profitable?”
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Conclusion
Trading is the most relative profession in the world because “truth” in markets is never absolute. Two traders can both be right, both be wrong, or both at once.
What separates successful traders from the rest is not their ability to “predict,” but their ability to trade with discipline, adapt to changing conditions, and manage risk.
In the end, the scoreboard is your trading account — not your pride in being right. 🚀
BTCUSD: Awaiting Rejection from the Seller ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been highly volatile, transitioning from a Downward Channel into the current Broadening wedge. This pattern is defined by higher highs and lower lows, indicating an ongoing battle between buyers and sellers with expanding volatility and no clear winner yet.
After failing to break the major Resistance at the 115800 level, the price has rotated down across the entire pattern. Currently, it is trading at a critical location, testing the ascending support line of the wedge, just above the major horizontal Support zone which starts at the 110000 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built around the idea of a potential 'fake breakdown' or a liquidity hunt below the wedge's trendline. I believe the market may make one final push down to test the major horizontal Support at the 110000 level. The key signal I'm watching for is a swift reversal after this potential dip.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this reversal. A successful reclaim of the wedge would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is the 115800 Resistance, which represents a full rotation back to the top of the pattern.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC Key Support Test - Will the Bulls Defend?📊 NFX COINBASE:BTCUSD Trade Update
OKX:BTCUSD currently at a major crossroad and key area of interest.
Price sits right at the supply-demand zone and around the 200D SMA on the H4, which is holding up as strong support. What happens here will be critical for the coming weeks and the remaining days of September.
There’s always the possibility of a dip lower to test the 108K zone, but that seems unlikely for now. Then again, this is BINANCE:BTCUSD - the Wild West - where a 10K dump and 10K recovery can happen within 24 hours. ⚡
My bias: expecting a bullish reversal from current support , but I’m keeping close watch on the conditions below.
✅ Conditions for Bullish Trade:
Breakout above the 38.2% FIB
Close above the Trend Resistance
Reclaim the Supply-Demand Zone
Established Bullish Divergence
👀 Watching price action very closely - the next moves from here could set the tone for the rest of September.
Is Btc STILL following this Eth Fractal? On Sept 9th I suggested Btc was following this Eth Fractal.
On Sept 12th I expressed concern for a lower low, and Btc seems to be heading lower now.
If Btc (on the 1 Day) is following this Eth (4 hr) fractal, then Btc may soon see a lower low (below 107). Alts may bleed harder.
I hope I'm wrong. But I am cautious for several reason, as also indicated in my other previously published charts.
BTC Market Analysis and RecommendationsBitcoin is testing a key support area. The 100-day exponential moving average and the Fibonacci retracement levels form overlapping support. If this support area holds, it could pave the way for a price rebound.
The Federal Reserve has begun a cycle of interest rate cuts, announcing a 25 basis point rate cut in September. If this synergizes with the subsequent release of liquidity, it will provide positive momentum for risky assets like Bitcoin.
Trading Recommendations: As Bitcoin prices approach key support levels, short-term investors should closely monitor the effectiveness of these levels. If prices stabilize near support and show signs of a rebound, consider buying with a small position. If support levels are only partially broken, remain on the sidelines or short with a small position.
In the long term, Bitcoin has growth potential. Long-term investors may consider building positions in batches or investing regularly to avoid the volatility associated with a single purchase.
For investors currently holding short positions or unsure how to trade, please like and follow my channel. I will provide exclusive trading services for members.
BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 119,475.11
Target Level: 114,149.01
Stop Loss: 123,016.02
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTC/USD shows weak momentum into weekendIntroduction
BTC/USD is entering the weekend with signs of weak momentum, reflecting a slowdown in trading activity and reduced conviction among market participants. After a period of measured gains earlier in the week, the pair has struggled to maintain upward pressure, encountering muted demand near resistance zones.
The decline in momentum highlights how liquidity conditions and sentiment shifts can influence short-term direction, even within a broader context of market resilience. Imperial Assets, a platform built around systematic analytics and structured research, notes that the current phase underscores the delicate balance between cautious optimism and fading momentum in digital assets.
Technology & Innovation
Imperial Assets leverages algorithmic frameworks and adaptive AI tools to assess market momentum with greater precision. The platform tracks intraday liquidity, derivatives positioning, and order-book imbalances, aligning them with broader technical markers such as moving averages and trendline intersections.
By integrating these factors, Imperial Assets provides structured insights into how weakening momentum unfolds and how it compares to similar phases in past market cycles.
Its system is designed for adaptability. Models recalibrate continuously as new data enters, ensuring that analysis reflects current realities rather than static assumptions.
Visualization dashboards highlight areas where trading volume has thinned, mapping conditions that could either precede renewed volatility or prolonged consolidation.
Innovation lies in the platform’s commitment to interpretability. Instead of opaque forecasts, Imperial Assets presents scenario-based outputs, allowing market participants to understand the mechanics behind slowing momentum and evaluate potential pathways forward.
Growth & Adoption
The demand for analytic platforms continues to grow as digital asset markets expand in scale and complexity. Periods of weak momentum attract heightened attention, as traders and institutions alike seek tools that differentiate between temporary pauses and structural fatigue.
Imperial Assets has observed increased engagement during such phases, as users look for clarity in evaluating whether low momentum signals risk, opportunity, or a transition to a new trading regime.
Scalability has become central to this adoption. The platform processes large datasets across multiple trading venues, enabling consistent and timely analysis even when liquidity is fragmented.
This capacity supports broader adoption by both retail and institutional participants, who require robust systems to frame decisions in evolving markets.
The adoption cycle also reflects a shift toward embedding analytics directly into workflows. Rather than relying on reactive analysis, participants increasingly seek forward-looking frameworks that place momentum signals in a broader market context.
Platforms like Imperial Assets highlight this evolution by providing structured clarity during transitional periods.
Transparency & Risk Management
Weak momentum phases carry distinct risks. Reduced participation can increase the impact of sudden order flows, leading to outsized price reactions.
Imperial Assets addresses this by embedding transparency into its analytic process. Inputs such as liquidity depth, funding rates, and derivatives open interest are clearly weighted within models, ensuring that outputs remain explainable.
Risk management is embedded throughout the framework. Instead of projecting a single outcome, Imperial Assets emphasizes probability-weighted scenarios. These include conditions under which BTC/USD could stabilize above key averages, as well as scenarios where diminished demand accelerates retracement.
This balanced approach provides participants with a responsible framework for calibrating exposure.
By prioritizing transparency, the platform reduces reliance on black-box methodologies. In an environment where fading momentum creates uncertainty, clarity in assumptions is essential to preparing for multiple outcomes.
Industry Outlook
Bitcoin’s weak momentum heading into the weekend reflects broader themes shaping the digital asset sector. Global liquidity trends, evolving regulatory narratives, and institutional activity continue to influence participation levels, even as technical structures define immediate trading behavior.
The intersection of these forces has created an environment where short-term momentum fluctuates while long-term adoption narratives remain intact.
Imperial Assets represents the industry’s direction toward platforms that combine innovation with accountability. As digital assets become increasingly integrated into global finance, the demand for structured, transparent analytics will only deepen.
The emphasis on adaptability and data-driven insights illustrates a shift away from speculative excess toward resilience and clarity.
The current phase, defined by slowing momentum, underscores how markets evolve in cycles of expansion and consolidation. Whether BTC/USD regains strength or continues to moderate, the outcome will influence both near-term sentiment and broader strategic positioning across the industry.
Closing Statement
As BTC/USD shows weak momentum into the weekend, the focus on structured analytics, transparency, and adaptability will remain central to how market participants interpret the next stage of digital asset development.
Bitcoin: dip before the surge? BTC holds the lineBTC price entered into a stronger correction during the previous week as a combination of several topics. News is mentioning that whales (large holders) offloaded a significant volume of BTC which amplified downside momentum. At the same time, forced liquidations of leveraged positions additionally added to the downside. On the US macro side, posted PCE data of 2,7% y/y in August continues to build up investors expectations of two rate cuts till the end of this year. From the analysts point of view, this correction represents a normal move on markets, which is necessary in order to build a momentum to BTCs return toward the higher grounds.
Although BTC started the week around the $114K level, it soon reverted down, ending the week above the $109K level. The long term support stands at $110K, which is currently tested. The RSI dropped down to the level of 37. Clear oversold market side has not been reached on this occasion, indicating that there is still space for a price of BTC to move a bit lower, till the clear oversold market side is reached, where its reversal will start. The MA50 slowly converges toward the MA200, however, due to the distance between lines, the cross is still not in plan.
Monday trading session will set the sentiment for the trading week ahead. From the current point of charts, BTC might move toward the $108K to test this supporting line. This would also mark the end of the cycle, from where a new reversal toward the upside might start. On the opposite side, a break of $110K resistance would indicate a further move to the higher grounds, at least till the level of $112K. It should be also considered that Friday brings JOLTs job openings and Unemployment data in the US, which might be another volatile day on financial and crypto markets.
BTC breakout trading setupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently consolidating within the 112,828–114,798 sideway range.
Earlier, the market broke out from a smaller accumulation inside the larger range, generating an IRB (Inside Range Break) signal, pushing price back toward the upper boundary.
Price is now forming a momentum consolidation, indicating potential for another breakout.
2 Possible Scenarios
1. RB (Range Break)
Price compresses further with EMA pressing tightly.
A strong breakout directly above the range top may occur with momentum.
2. ARB (Advance Range Break)
After breaking above the range, instead of continuing higher immediately, price may stall.
A new consolidation forms just above the broken range, with EMA pressing upward.
This setup may signal a continuation of the previous breakout move.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
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Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BTC escapes consolidation, shifting into an uptrend
Price has broken out of the sideway range 108,500 – 109,800, shifting from bearish to bullish.
After the BB (Block Breakout), BTC surged to 112,500 – 113,000 before consolidating.
Currently, price is trading far from the EMA (around 111,100), implying a possible pullback.
Strategy:
Wait for price to retrace toward EMA (111,000 – 111,200) or consolidate in this zone.
If patterns such as DD (Double Doji) or FB (First Breakout) form within 111,000 – 111,500, consider long entries.
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BTCUSD: Rally Back to 116000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
The market for Bitcoin has seen a structural shift after breaking down from its prior Upward Channel. This event signaled a loss of bullish momentum and led to a sharp decline down to the major horizontal Support at the 112000 level.
Currently, the price has found significant support in the 111500 - 112000 Support zone and has initiated a bounce. The market is now in a potential reversal phase, but I believe the conviction of the buyers still needs to be confirmed with one final test.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that the 112000 Support is a major area of demand that will ultimately hold. I'm looking for a strong and confirmed bounce from Support zone. This would be the key signal that the corrective low is in place and the market is ready to reverse its course and begin a new rally.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this successful retest. It would validate the long scenario, with the price then expected to rally back up to the point of the initial breakdown. The primary target for this move is the 116000 Resistance level, which also aligns with the Resistance Zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC/USD – Holding Support | Upside Targets 112K & 115K Bitcoin is respecting the support zone near $109,500 after a liquidity grab.
As long as this support holds, market structure suggests a potential bullish reversal.
First upside target: $112,000.
Extended target: $115,000–$115,200 near resistance zone.
If buyers lose momentum and support breaks, further downside could be seen. For now, momentum favors the bulls.
👉 Do you think BTC can reach $115K this week? Drop your view in the comments.
BTC consolidates after a significant price spikeBITSTAMP:BTCUSD price has had a slight correction after the previous increase.
Yesterday, the price broke the trendline and the EMA approached, creating a momentum accumulation zone before a strong break - as planned to buy.
Currently, BTC is correcting after the increase, just cutting down the EMA, showing that buying power is weakening, the short-term trend may turn down.
There is no clear signal to enter the order. Continue to observe the price reaction around the EMA and wait for a clear setup before taking action.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
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BTC – Key Supports Breaking, Bears Gaining ControlAfter reaching a local high around 118K in mid-September, Bitcoin turned lower and yesterday broke decisively below the important 112K support.
The break accelerated the selloff, sending price tumbling into the next key zone around 108,500 – 109,000.
With a clear lower high now in place compared to the 124,500 ATH, the structure doesn’t look favorable for the bulls. On the contrary, there are strong chances of continued downside pressure, with the 100K level standing out as the next major magnet for price.
Trading Plan:
• As long as 112,000 – 112,500 holds as resistance, I maintain a bearish bias.
• The strategy remains to sell rallies into resistance, keeping targets toward 105K and potentially 100K.
• Only a decisive reclaim above 112.5K would weaken the bearish case and force me to reassess.
Bitcoin Friday Update: Third Attempt at Breakout📈🚀 Bitcoin Friday Update: Third Attempt at Breakout 🎯
Friday often brings momentum, and this one might not disappoint.
Yesterday, I highlighted the level at $120,737 — the very top of the move. And here we are again, pressing for the third attempt higher inside the same ascending channel I’ve been sharing with you for weeks.
🔑 Current Setup
Entry from the lower band near $110,000 has aged well.
We are now testing the upper red boundary around $120,800.
A clear break above opens the path to:
→ $122,000
→ $138,800 (main technical target)
⚖️ Long vs Short
Long bias remains valid as long as price holds inside the ascending channel.
A short attempt? Technically possible here, but risky .
→ If price breaks above the red resistance line, shorts will need to exit quickly.
Remember, manipulation faked out traders twice before around this zone. But this time it’s October, and cycle compression is on our side.
🌍 Macro Context
Rate hikes continue.
Gold and stock indices have already moved higher.
Bitcoin, historically lagging, may now have catch-up ground to cover.
This aligns with the broader cycle thesis — October is rarely quiet.
🕒 Weekend Outlook
✅ If Bitcoin breaks out → Expect altcoins to light up this weekend.
❌ If Bitcoin fails → Likely a slow, sideways weekend.
But my read? This weekend looks set to be exciting.
💡 Thought of the Day
“Did the Market take a pause for Bears to Load on Shorts?? Or is it Longs that get smashed next?” I think the First!
Trade wisely.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
114-114K is a Key Level for BTC directionMorning folks,
So, BTC indeed dropped as we suggested. It was not a surprise with so tight liquidity situation in the US... Now, BTC keeps door open to both scenarios with some adv. on bearish side. But this adv. is not total.
Since our H&S pattern in a process of failure, it is logical to suggest [b ]potential Butterfly on daily chart
At the same, on 1H chart we can see that BTC is forming reverse H&S pattern. By itself, it is not a problem for daily butterfly, this H&S might become a part of it. But, it could become the part of weekly opposite butterfly either.
So, everything depends on 114-114.5K area which is a neckline. Upside breakout increases bullish chances. What we're going to do?
Obviously - try to take a long position with H&S. No matter, will it get minor target or become a reversal pattern - anyway it has to be considered. And we also will be keep an eye on its failure. This is also important and gives us a confidence with downside continuation.
Probably to the next update on Thu, we should get the clarity over this pattern. Right now we prefer to sit on the hands.
BTCUSD: Breakout played out, focus on EMA retestOverview
Yesterday’s Breakout Plan played out correctly, with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continuing its bullish move.
The market remains in an uptrend, with no clear signs of reversal.
However, price is currently trading far above the EMA, so it’s not ideal to chase entries here.
Trading Plan for Today
Primary Scenario:
Wait for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to retrace closer to the EMA and form a momentum consolidation zone.
If confirmation appears (e.g. breakout through the short-term trendline), consider long entries in line with the trend.
Alternative Scenario:
If BTC closes below the EMA with strong bearish momentum, a deeper correction is possible.
In this case, stay cautious and wait for a new structure to form before re-entering.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
Bitcoin - The path remains clearly bullish!💰Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains bullish either way:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past 1.000 days, Bitcoin has simply been heading higher. Considering that the previous bullruns lasted about 800 days, Bitcoin is ready for a correction. But market structure tells us, that Bitcoin remains bullish, even if we see a short term correction in the near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$50.000, $1.000.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC 1H: Selling pressure remains dominant.1. Trend Context
The short-term structure remains bearish, with the price trading below the EMA.
After breaking through the 111,200 – 112,000 zone, the market is forming a small correction.
2. Key Levels
Nearest Resistance: 110,700 – 111,800. Important zone to watch during this correction.
Main Support (Demand Zone): 108,000 – 108,500. Next target if the downtrend continues.
3. Scenario
Key Scenario : Currently, an uptrend line has been formed, indicating a slight recovery after the previous sharp decline. Wait for the EMA to move closer to the price and form a momentum accumulation zone, after which a first breakout through the uptrend line will appear.
Alternative scenario : If BTC sustains recovery to 110,700, sell-off at this level could be considered.
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