BTC Bullish Targets 150k & beyond
Since downward manipulation/support testing leg in April of this year, BTC had shown strength and crossed Weekly swing high.
Targets from that manipulation leg have reached halfway already, and now looking forward to 4th deviation.
2nd dev= $117,340 upto $124,480
4th dev = $145,900 upto 153,000
chart also shows potential targets in case we go higher. upto 190k and 243k.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
$BTC BTC/USDT Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Chart Pattern
A double bottom pattern has formed around 109,000 – 110,000, which often signals a strong bullish reversal as buyers defend the same support level twice.
Key Levels
Main Support: 109,000 – 110,000 (double bottom area).
Immediate Resistance: 118,000 – 120,000 (currently being tested). A breakout above this level will confirm the double bottom reversal.
Upside Target (TP): Supply zone around 127,000 – 130,000.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 114,700 – 115,000 (minor support after breakout), BTC has the potential to continue toward 118,000.
A confirmed breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 will open the path toward 127,000 – 130,000.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to break 118,000 – 120,000 and a drop back below 114,700 may lead BTC to retest 110,000 support.
A breakdown below 110,000 will invalidate the double bottom and expose BTC to further downside below 105,000.
Conclusion
The structure currently favors the bulls with the double bottom pattern in play. As long as 110,000 holds, the medium-term outlook remains positive. A breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 would confirm the bullish bias and set the stage for a move toward 127,000 – 130,000.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Projection – Bullish Setup AheadBitcoin has recently completed a corrective ABC pattern, with the C leg finding strong support in the highlighted buy zone. At Level (A), a small bullish divergence appeared, signaling that the correction was nearing its end and a new impulsive cycle was likely to begin.
Wave Structure
Wave 1 has already formed, showing the first sign of strength after the correction.
Wave 2 is currently unfolding, retesting the buy zone and offering a strong accumulation opportunity.
The next major move is expected to be Wave 3, which is projected to extend toward 128300.
After a corrective pullback in Wave 4, the final push of Wave 5 could carry Bitcoin toward 134200.
Key Levels
Buy zone: 110000 – 112000
Wave 3 target: 128300
Wave 5 target: 134200
Summary
The bullish divergence, combined with the completed ABC correction and the developing impulsive wave structure, suggests that Bitcoin is preparing for a strong continuation to the upside. Holding above the buy zone keeps this bullish outlook intact, with significant upside potential in the coming weeks.
BTC: Growth from $109KOn September 28, Bitcoin turned into an upward movement on the 1-hour chart from the $109,804 zone. From this level, the market went through all four stages of profit-taking and reached $120,999, giving a potential difference of more than $11,000 per coin. Those who followed the system were able to capture the maximum from this trend.
The key point here is how the movement was managed. The algorithm highlighted important zones, helped secure the position in time, and reduced risks. No emotions, no guessing—just a step-by-step process where every action was clear in advance and confirmed by market structure.
For beginners, such a tool works like a navigator: it shows where it’s safer to lock in profits and when it makes sense to hold longer. In conditions of high volatility, discipline, automation, and technical analysis become the main advantage. That’s what turns the market from a chaotic game into a structured process. An interesting fact I’ve noticed is that this indicator shows an 84% win rate on Bitcoin trades.
U.S. GOVT SHUTDOWN.WHAT HAPPENED?After Senate Republicans and Democrats failed to reach an agreement on a new continuing resolution Wednesday, the U.S. government shut down for the first time since 2019. Leaders from both parties issued statements blaming each other, and President Trump has threatened to fire more federal workers during the shutdown.
Social security payments will continue to be made, and active duty members of the U.S. military will continue to be paid. But many other government agencies will be forced to close their doors and cease operations until a new budget bill is passed by Congress.
Why it Matters
The government shutdown will affect tens of thousands of federal employees, hundreds of government agencies, and millions of people in the United States who rely on those agencies for a wide range of services. Most federal workers will be placed on leave without pay for the duration of the shutdown, and if President Trump follows through on his firing threats, for some of those workers, the shutdown could be the end of their government service.
According to the Washington Post, the lapse in funding for the federal government means crucial government functions, from small business loan services to national parks to job training for veterans, will be halted until lawmakers pass new budget legislation. Federal work deemed essential for national security will continue.
Wednesday’s budget impasse created the twenty-second federal government shutdown in the past fifty years. The longest government shutdown lasted thirty-five days in 1995, and the shortest shutdown lasted less than one day. Thus far, leaders in both major political parties have given no indications they are ready to make concessions. Cuts to health care were at the center of the dispute this time, just like they were during the 2013 shutdown, which lasted sixteen days.
The reason for the shutdown is the lack of a normal budget process in Congress. Rather than passing a budget to cover the costs of government operations for an entire fiscal year, Congress has gotten into the habit of using continuing resolutions to fund the government. A continuing resolution is a temporary measure to keep the government funding for a set period of time, but rather than being used as a stopgap measure, they have instead become the norm.
Using continuing resolutions to fund the government is at the root of much of the dysfunction in the federal government. Because without a normal budget, many agencies have no choice but to adapt their operations to the provisions of the temporary funding bills, which can curtail and interfere with normal procedures.
Will this Impact the Market ?
1. Safe-Haven Assets like Gold and BTC prices often rise during shutdowns as investors seek refuge.
2. USD Fluctuations: The U.S. dollar might weaken initially, reflecting risk-off sentiment.
3. Delayed data like the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report and other Economic reports.
Historical Context
Past shutdowns have had limited long-term effects on equities if resolved quickly. However, prolonged closures (like the 35-day shutdown in 2018-2019) introduced volatility and eroded confidence.
Potential Outcomes
- *Brief Shutdown*: Minimal lasting impact, historically common.
- *Extended Shutdown*: More pronounced negative effects on GDP growth and confidence.
- *Resolution*: Markets often recover swiftly once funding is restored.
Overall, the impact depends on the shutdown's duration and the broader economic context.
BTC - Testing Key LevelHere is an update to my last post:
In my last post I was outlining how BTC was trying to hold the support of the trendline. For a brief period of time, price did breakdown to create a "false break" of the trendline.
However this still created a higher low in the trend still representing bullish momentum.
Once price reclaimed the green trendline we have seen a large rally back to the upside.
Now, BTC is testing our key level of resistance "Mid Term Resistance". This red box has acted as a great sell zone before price made a move back to the downside. So what's next?
If BTC can start closing candles above our red box then watch for these level to the upside.
Level 1: $120,000-120,400 (Key daily level)
Level 2: $123,200-124,400 (ATH)
Level 3: $129,000-$130,000 (first 1.618)
Level 4: $135,400 (predictive 1.618 top)
However, if price get rejected again from the red box, we want to see either the green trendline or green box hold to create another higher low. If we fail to create a higher low that could represent the start of the next bear market, but for now the trend is intact!
Bitcoin HOLDING THE MAIN TREND.. UPDATE 30-09-2025BTC/USDT Update
🔻 Bitcoin is currently trading below the low time frame zone, showing short-term weakness.
✅ However, BTC is still holding the main trend, which keeps the bigger picture positive.
📊 As long as the main trend support (around $110K) is defended, the market structure remains intact.
🚀 A rebound from this area could bring BTC back into the low time frame range and open the way toward $115K+.
📌 Summary:
BTC lost the low time frame, but the fact that it’s holding the main trend is a key positive signal. This level is crucial for maintaining the bullish outlook.
BTC coiling within daily triangle at 112k – watch 110k support aBTC/USDT daily chart shows price compressing inside a large symmetrical triangle, trading near $112K. With upcoming catalysts (NFP Oct 3, CPI Oct 15, FOMC Oct 28–29), the next breakout could set the trend.
BTC has formed lower highs since July and higher lows since June, creating a wedge. Recent support is at 108,723, with deeper support near 101,000. Resistance is at 117,711, with higher targets near 124K–126K. A breakout above 117,711 opens the way toward 128,000, while a breakdown below support risks a slide toward 101,000. EMAs are clustered, momentum is neutral, and volume is fading.
Trade Plan:
Long Setup: Break and daily close above 117,711 → enter on retest; stops below 110K. Targets: 124K–126K, extension to 128K.
Short Setup: Breakdown below 108,723 → short on retest; stops above 114K. Targets: 106K and 101K.
Takeaway:
BTC is coiling tightly within the triangle. With critical macro data ahead, a clean break beyond 117,711 or below 108,723 will likely decide the next leg.
Disclaimer: Educational content only, not financial advice.
BTC/USDT - BREAKOUT Or BREAKDOWN AHEADThe price is currently trading around the 112,112 USDT level with slight intraday fluctuations. The chart highlights a key horizontal support and resistance (S/R) structure with two red horizontal lines marking these zones.
1. Resistance (R) Zone
The upper red horizontal line, marked as “R,” is acting as a resistance level around the 112,400 USDT region. Price has tested this level multiple times in the recent sessions. A clear breakout above this resistance could signal further bullish continuation.
2. Support (S) Zone
The lower red horizontal line, marked as “S,” is situated around the 111,600 USDT level. This zone has provided a strong demand base for buyers. If the price retraces, this level will act as a critical support.
3. Current Price Action
At the time of observation, Bitcoin is consolidating right above the resistance zone, suggesting a possible breakout attempt. The candlesticks indicate bullish momentum leading into the resistance, with a series of higher lows forming before the test of resistance. This pattern reflects increasing buying pressure.
4. Possible Scenarios
• Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks and holds above the resistance zone (R), it may trigger a move towards the next target to the upside, projected around the 112,800 – 113,200 USDT region. The structure suggests the possibility of forming a bullish continuation pattern, with traders targeting higher resistance levels.
• Bearish Scenario: If the breakout attempt fails and Bitcoin gets rejected at resistance, price could retrace downward. A move below the support zone (S) at 111,600 USDT would likely signal bearish momentum, with the next target projected around the 111,200 – 110,800 USDT range.
5. Market Sentiment
The price action is consolidating in a range-bound structure between support and resistance. This often reflects market indecision before a breakout. A breakout from this range, either above resistance or below support, will provide a clearer directional bias.
⸻
Conclusion:
The BTC/USDT 15-minute chart is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should closely monitor whether Bitcoin sustains above the 112,400 resistance to confirm a bullish breakout, or if it fails and drops back below support at 111,600, signaling bearish continuation. Patience and confirmation of breakout direction are key before entering new trades.
BTCUSDT.P - September 29, 2025BTC is holding above 112k after rebounding from strong 108k–107k support. Bulls want a clean break over 113.2k to target 124.5k and 131.9k, while bears see rejection here as a setup for another drop to the 108k zone. Key risk is repeated failure at resistance; upside only confirms if 113k is reclaimed with strength.
Long BTC📊 BTC Market Update
Weekly TF: BTC is closing with a bullish weekly candle, signaling strong momentum continuation.
4H TF: Price has broken above the range high and is now retesting it as support — a classic breakout-retest setup.
✅ Long Bias
Structure and momentum align with a long entry, with favorable R:R as outlined in the chart.
Breakout confirmation on the retest strengthens the case for continuation to higher targets.
⚠️ Key to Monitor
Hold above the reclaimed range high.
Volume confirmation on the retest for sustainability.
Macro events and BTC dominance shifts that could affect follow-through.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
BTC 1H Short Trade Idea First confluence is the 1H FVG, but the candle that created it had no real volume, which makes me see it as weak continuation and a potential rejection area.
The 4H trendline has been respected multiple times but also broken enough that it’s losing strength, even though it hasn’t fully given way yet.
There’s also an unfilled 1H bearish FVG that lines up as a clear downside target if structure starts breaking down. Both 1H trendlines are still trending upward, but if they give way, momentum flips quickly.
Support on the 1H is the main level I’m watching once that fails, it opens up a deeper sweep into lower liquidity zones.
Confluences
• 1H bearish FVG (unfilled) → downside target
• 1H support → break level
• 1H bullish FVG → rejection zone
• 4H TL → weakening
• Deeper liquidity zone → lower target
Bias: I’m short here. Watching for rejection off the 1H imbalance and targeting the unfilled bearish FVG and lower liquidity. A clean hold above structure would invalidate.
#BTC/USDT Analysis: Key Level to Watch#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 109100, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 109470.
First target: 109900.
Second target: 110360.
Third target: 110836.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Where can Bitcoin Go? Part 2🌟 Bitcoin's Breakout Surge: Professor's Big Charts Revealed 🌟
Part1 was a Legendary one with amazing, pin-point precision from miles away:
📈 Live Analysis
Watch thean in-depth journey through Bitcoin's latest surge as we go live on TradingView. Get ready for a session packed with insights and the unveiling of the Professor's big chart. Join us: Live Stream: www.tradingview.com
🚀 The Breakout Chart Breakdown
Witness the bullish momentum as Bitcoin smashes past the $47,650 barrier. With my analysis, we're looking at a bull run targeting $59.9K,
69K
, and the ambitious $79K. 🎯 Stay bullish and watch as the charts unfold the story live!
💹 Historic Patterns: A Roadmap to $79K
Reflect on the last breakout at $31,100 and its staggering rise to $46,000. Our charts have been the compass leading us to these profitable winds. Don't miss out as we dissect the potential climb to $79K, live!
🔍 Last Year's Chart: The Trendline Triumph
Cast your minds back to January 2023, when Bitcoin was a humble $18,000. Fast forward, and we're witnessing a breakout reminiscent of December 2020's rally from $7,500 to $24,000. Could we be on the cusp of reaching new all-time highs? Let's explore together.
⏱️ Halving Cycles: This Time It's Different
Every cycle writes its own story, and this one's no exception. We're approaching the halving with a market more aware and ready to advance. Tune in as we analyze why we might see an all-time high sooner than the previous cycles.
🌐 Join the Live Stream for the Full Picture
There's much more to cover, from halving cycles to breakout patterns. Ensure you're part of the live session for a comprehensive analysis that could redefine your trading strategy.
Catch the full live session and secure your front-row seat to Bitcoin's exciting journey: Join the Live Stream: www.tradingview.com
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20)Snapshot of the last 4h candle + what does it mean
Price: ~114 314.7
VWAP (the entire period): ~114 199.5, z(Price−VWAP) ≈ 0.36 — the price is moderately higher than the "fair" price over 100 candles; there is no overheating according to VWAP, but there is a positive slope.
aVWAP (multiple anchors): start 114 199.5 / 60d 114 096.5 / from swing low 112 682.1 / from swing high 112 128.1 — trading above all aVWAP, trend support from below.
Donchian 20/55:
20: H 114 825.7 / M 111 969.8 / L 109 113.9 — channel of the last 20 candles; exit above H = update of the loc. extremum.
55: H 115 623.8 / M 112 086.9 / L 108 550.0 — wider context of the range.
Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~115 112.5 / VAL ~109 261 / VAH ~120 964 — currently slightly below POC, within the value zone (VAL↔VAH). POC is a magnet; VAH is the top of the demand corridor.
HVN/LVN landmarks: maximum volume nodes near POC ~115k and in the area ~121k (closer to VAH); thin spots (LVN) — ~109–110k.
RSI(14): ~67.5 — close to the overbought zone, bullish momentum.
MFI(14): ~81.1 — overbought by money, the movement was driven by volume inflow.
CMF(20): ~+0.27 — steady positive cash flow (buyers control).
MACD(12,26,9): 838 > 558, hist +280 — bullish momentum persists.
ADX(14): ~41.4; +DI 33 / −DI 15 — the trend is strong and upward.
ATR(14): ~928$ — average true range; used for buffers/stops.
Keltner: Upper 114 202 / Mid(EMA20) 112 377 / Lower 110 553 — we are standing right above the upper edge, a sign of a trend "throw."
Bollinger(20,2): Upper 115 722 / Mid 111 760 / Lower 107 798 — there is still room for the BB-Upper; there is no compression.
z(Price−VWAP) : 0.36 — a small premium to the "fair" price, allows the trend to continue without mandatory unloading.
OBV z-scores: z50 +1.54 / z100 −0.43 / z200 −0.96 — short-term inflow, medium-/long-term — not yet fully confirmed (traces of previous outflow). OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.28 — the inflow rate has cooled locally.
Open Interest: ~67.44k, z(168) ≈ −0.79, ROC(5/10) ≈ −1% / +4% — OI is below average: some of the growth may have been due to the covering of shorts rather than the addition of fresh longs. For a sustained uptrend, it would be desirable to see a stabilization/growth in OI.
Latest divergences (by auto-detector)
RSI: bullish 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, bullish 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
MACD: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
OBV: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
MFI: bullish 23 Sep 19:00 → 25 Sep 23:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
How to interpret: a bullish divergence increases the likelihood of a rebound/continuation upwards; a bearish divergence increases the risk of a rotation/correction. Signals are more reliable when confirmed by a candlestick pattern + OBV/CMF.
What does this mean now
The momentum is strong: MACD↑, ADX>40, CMF>0, and the price is in a trending mode at Keltner-Upper.
Position relative to the profile: we are inside the VA and close to POC ~115k, which is an area of equilibrium; the market likes to test/balance around POC.
Risks of "hotness": RSI≈68 and MFI>80 indicate short-term overheating of money; without OI support, there may be откаты к средним значениям перед новым импульсом.
VWAP context: z(Price−VWAP) is low (≈0.36), and all aVWAP are lower, indicating that buyers are in control.
Key levels
Resistances: 114 826 (Donch-H20) → 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (Donch-H55) → ~118k (inter-nodal zone) → 120 964 (VAH).
Supports: 114 202 (Keltner-Upper/Return boundary) → 114 096 (aVWAP 60D) → 112 377 (EMA20/Keltner-Mid) → 112 087 (Donch-Mid55) → 111 970 (Donch-Mid20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (Donch L20/L55).
Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council)
A) Continuation of the upward trend is the basic trend.
Why is it the basic trend: convergence of momentum metrics (MACD+, ADX>40, CMF>0, aVWAP control), moderate z(Price−VWAP), and proximity to POC (often broken by the trend).
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20) with buffer ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +93$ → > 114,920, with CMF>0 and OBV z50 ≥ 1.0.
Targets: 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (H55) → ~118k → 120 964 (VAH) with normalization/growth of OI.
Invalidator: quick rollback and fixing below 114 202 (return to Keltner) and below aVWAP 60d 114 096.
B) Rotation to the averages / reload.
Trigger: 4h-closing below 114 202, RSI < 60 / MFI < 70, weakening of the MACD histogram, while OI↑ on the fall.
Targets: 112 377 (EMA20) → 112 087 / 111 970 (Donch Mid 55/20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (L20/L55).
Cancel: return and hold above 114 826 with OBV recovery.
C) Quick short squeeze up.
If a set of shorts (OI↑) starts near POC and the price does not give back, a breakout > 114 920 with a fall in OI on a green candle ⇒ closing shorts and accelerating to 115.6k → 118k → 121k.
Tactics (example of logic)
Impulse long: after fixing > 114 920. Partial fixation at 115 113 and 115 624, then a trawl to the zone 118k → 121k. Stop under 114 202 (or under the retest level).
Reversal long (conservative): zones 112.4k–112.1k (EMA20 / Donch-Mid55) at signs of demand (CMF>0, candle reaction, OBV z50 turns up). Stop — below 111.9k, targets — 114.2k → 114.8k/115.1k.
Contra-trend short: only if 114.8k–115.6k is rejected + RSI/MFI reversal down and weak MACD histogram. Targets are 114.2k → 112.4k → 111.9k, stop at 115.7k.
In short: what to expect
The bullish trend is active, but the money is overheated (MFI>80), and the OI is below average.
If we consolidate above 114.9k, it is logical to break through to 115.1k → 115.6k → 118k, and with a good flow, to 121k (VAH zone).
If we return below 114.2k, a rotation/reboot to 112.4k–112.0k is likely; a deep scenario leads to VAL ~109.3k.
BITCOIN ON WAY TO MAINTREND - UPDATE 28-09-2025📊BTC/USDT Trading Update
✅ Low time frame confirmed: Bitcoin has established support in the $109.3K – $109.7K zone, which now acts as a strong base.
📈 Price is moving toward the main trend zone ($110.8K – $111.5K). This will be the key resistance area to watch.
🔑 Breakout potential:
If BTC clears the main trend zone, momentum could accelerate with the next target around $112K – $113K.
This would confirm a stronger continuation of the short-term uptrend.
Scenarios:
Bullish case: Hold above $109.3K and break $111.5K → expansion toward $112K – $113K.
Bearish case: Failure to break the main trend could lead to sideways action or retest of $109K support.
📌 Summary:
BTC has confirmed its low time frame breakout and is now targeting the main trend zone. A break above this range will likely fuel a push toward $112K – $113K.
BTCUSDT – Major Resistance Breakout AheadBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance area around $124K–$126K after a strong bullish impulse. The chart shows a clear break of structure (BOS) and multiple change of character (CHoCH) confirmations, indicating a shift in market sentiment from consolidation to bullish continuation.
The price has broken out of a long-term range that extended from $108K to $122K, suggesting growing buying pressure. If BTC successfully holds above the resistance zone and forms a retest, we could see continuation toward $128K–$130K levels in the coming sessions.
However, if the breakout fails and price closes back below $122K, a correction toward $118K–$116K could occur before another possible rally.
This setup highlights a critical breakout phase, and traders should watch closely for confirmation before entering positions.
Resistance: 124,000 – 126,000
Support: 122,000 / 118,000
Bias: Bullish (waiting for retest confirmation)
BTCUSD BITCOIN ADVANCED STRUCTURE BITCOIN OVERSIGHT AND CORRECTIONS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
(1)DEMAND FLOOR AT 109,060.77 was a retest to the neckline of double bottom a bullish price action signal on daily candle close as illustrated from our line chart and it came with another confluence from an ascending trendline to add more impetus to the buy rally and many missed and lost money too.
(2) SUPPLY ROOF 117,383.70 a previous demand floor on daily after break of structure it became supply roof and stopped upswing twice ,but due to buy rally that key level is broken after 2 retested attempt ,on technical a broken supply roof is now our demand floor except the sell order exceed buy order that zone 117,383.70 holds support on daily candle close .
(3) 123,387-124,478.66-125k daily supply roof and our current all time high .
this zone has an ascending trendline connecting the two highs and on technical the next high should be 127,071-128k for sell in the direction of the previous two all time highs(123,387-124,478.66)
my ideal zone to attempt sell should be 127,071-128k zone
note ;you can avoid selling and wait for buy zone 117,383.70 and its possible tat price wont return to this level.
trading is 100% a game of probability.(win/loss) comes with it.
No holy gril,nothing like best strategy.
what we have is masters in RISK MANAGEMENT,THE BEST TRADERS ARE EXPERTS IN RISK MANAGEMENT,THEY ALL HAVE ZERO EMOTION,THEY DONT CHASE WHAT IS LOST.
GOODLUCK
#BITCOIN #BTCUSDT #BTC #CRYTO