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BTC 3x Short / Tether

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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

DeGRAM | BTCUSD will retest the $106900 level📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC/USD rejected dynamic resistance and broke lower within the falling channel, confirming short-term bearish momentum. ● The price targets the 106,900 support zone, with continued pressure from lower highs and strong resistance near 124,000. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Bitcoin is weighed down by risk-off sentiment as U.S. yields rise, while weaker liquidity and stronger dollar outlook add to downside pressure. ✨ Summary BTC/USD remains under dynamic resistance, targeting 106,900 support as bearish momentum dominates. Short-term outlook stays negative unless 114,000 is reclaimed. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
BTC: Long or short here is my takeBTC rallied from about 84.5K to 124.4K. Since the high, it is retracing and currently sitting in the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone. There are bullish order blocks below (97K–100K) and a bearish order block above (118K–124K). Key Fibonacci Levels 38.2% ($109.2K): Current level. If defended, it can act as a springboard. 50% ($104.5K): Next key support if 38.2% fails. 61.8% ($99.8K): Golden ratio, highly important. Confluent with bullish OBs. 78.6% ($93.1K): Deep retracement level and last line of defense before structure shifts bearish. Bullish Scenario Holding 109K–104K keeps the structure constructive. A bounce here could retest 115K and eventually 124K. A break above 124.4K targets the Fibonacci extensions, with the first at 135K (−27%). The 97K–100K bullish OB is another potential support zone for a reversal if price retraces further. Bearish Scenario Losing 109K cleanly points to a test of 104.5K. Breaking down through 104.5K–100K significantly increases risk of a move to 93K. Failure at 93K likely leads to a full retrace into the 84–85K lows, with further extension targets between 76K–73K. Summary BTC remains in a mid-retrace phase. The decisive zone is 109K–104K. Holding this keeps the door open for bullish continuation. Breaking it exposes the 100K and 93K levels, with deeper risk toward the 84K range. Would you like me to mark out the Fibonacci upside extension levels above 124K in case BTC resumes the larger trend?
Long
by earlytrader
BTC Daily Flow 📊 Current Setup Bitcoin’s been ridin’ a correction wave after the last push, now chillin’ around the 0.618 fib zone — first pit stop where bulls might grab the board. If that doesn’t hold, no stress — the 0.786 box near 105K is the next heavy support, where the real tide could roll in 🌊. 🚦 Scenarios 🟢 Bounce off 0.618 → short setups for quick plays. 🟦 Deeper dip to 0.786 (~105K) → still bullish long-term, just a fatter correction wave. 🧭 My Take This drop ain’t no trend flip — it’s not the end of the bull run, just a healthy correction before the next set of waves comes in. Those zones on the chart? That’s where the market could reload for the paddle back up 🏄‍♂️. 💬 What do you think about this scenario? Only share your idea if you’ve got another opinion — otherwise just hit that button 👍
Long
by peyfx
BTC Correction targeting 100k?> Bitcoin is showing bearish RSI divergence on the August high, while the recent low shows no divergence, signaling potential weakness in momentum. > I´m interpreting the current structure as an ABC correction, which may still be unfolding. > The 100% Fibonacci extension aligns with the key psychological support at $100k, making it a high-probability target if the correction continues. > The $115k level could act as resistance, setting the stage for further downward legs.
Short
by Stoic-Trader
1
BTC/USDT Outlook – Volatility Rises After Sharp DeclineBTC/USDT Market Report Bitcoin recently faced heavy selling pressure, pushing the market into a sharp decline. This drop reflects a shift in sentiment where earlier stability has been replaced by increased volatility and downside momentum. Price action shows signs of exhaustion after the fall, suggesting the possibility of a short-term rebound attempt. However, broader behavior still reflects uncertainty, with buyers needing stronger participation to shift momentum back in their favor. If downward pressure continues, deeper corrections could emerge before any meaningful recovery. In the near term, traders should expect sharp swings as the market tries to stabilize.
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
BTC: Reclaim 110.4–111.1k or lose 108.7k — the pivot__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is in a corrective phase after the 117–124k top, still holding the HTF demand at 108,713–107,286. Price is highly level‑driven, with a mild risk‑off tone capping rebounds near 110.4–111.1k. Momentum: 📉 Slightly bearish below 110,402–111,135, with a low‑range structure holding above 108,713. Key levels: • Resistances (1H/4H/1D) : 110,402–111,135 (major lid), 114,471, 117,971. • Supports (12H/1D/1W) : 108,713–107,286 (demand zone), 98,330 (weekly base). Volumes: Very high on the sell‑leg in 4H/2H/1H; normal to moderate on 1D. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H filters stay up, while 6H/4H/2H lean down; 1H/30m/15m show tactical long windows on support. A reclaim of 110.4–111.1k would align TFs higher. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Reading NEUTRAL SELL → confirms capped rebounds and slightly contradicts the HTF up filter. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: HTF trend still up but fading; stay opportunistic and disciplined around key levels. Global bias: Neutral‑bearish below 110,402–111,135; bias invalidated if a daily close above 111,135 holds. Opportunities: • Reclaim buy: Go long on breakout + held retest of 110,402 toward 111,135, targeting 114,471 next. • Tactical sell: Fade clean rejections at 110,402/111,135 if risk‑off persists, targeting 109.0k then 108,713. • Breakdown sell: Short confirmed loss of 108,713 (≥2 closes + failed retest) toward 107,286. Risk zones / invalidations: • A break of 108,713 likely opens 107,286 and raises downside momentum risk. • Reclaim of 111,135 invalidates tactical shorts and unlocks 114,471. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): • PCE in line: supports “higher‑for‑longer” and a firm USD → mild headwind. • Fed “data‑dependent”: restrictive but flexible; market guided by levels. • Spot ETFs: negative daily flow, 7‑day near neutral → cautious near term, MT adoption intact. Action plan: • Long (reclaim): Entry 110,450–110,650 / Stop < 108,713 / TP1 111,135, TP2 114,471, TP3 117,971 / R:R ~2–3. • Short (rejection): Entry 110,100–110,300 / Stop > 111,135 / TP1 109,000, TP2 108,713, TP3 107,286 / R:R ~1.8–2.5. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall, HTFs remain constructive while MTF/intraday manage a base‑building range under nearby resistance. 1D/12H: Up filters softening; 108,713–107,286 defended; a reclaim above 111,135 would target 114,471. 6H/4H/2H: Down sequences with notable sell volume; 110,402 caps rebounds; loss of 108,713 likely opens 107,286. 1H/30m/15m: Tactical long windows on support (absorption/wicks), yet need a sustained push >110,402; otherwise the low range persists. Major divergences/confluences: HTF support confluence (108,713–107,286) vs mild risk‑off impulse; clearing 110.4–111.1k aligns TFs higher. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is slightly constraining but not shocking, while on‑chain/flows set the tactical pivot. Macro events: • PCE in line and firm USD: reinforce “higher‑for‑longer” → mild risk‑off bias. • Fed data‑dependent: restrictive yet flexible; elevated sensitivity to levels. • New US tariffs: potential near‑term inflation impulse → possible risk‑off spillovers. Bitcoin analysis: • STH Cost Basis ~109.5–111k: a key psychological/technical pivot; fast regain fits bull‑market behavior if held. • Options/futures: post‑expiry “cleanup” and positioning reset; snapbacks likely if levels are reclaimed. • ETFs: daily outflows, 7‑day near neutral; MT adoption intact, but caution short term. On-chain data: • Sentiment washed out (low Fear & Greed) with improving hashrate: structurally supportive backdrop. • Stablecoins: recent issuance indicates “dry powder,” not guaranteed to deploy. Expected impact: Without a reclaim of 110.4–111.1k, mild risk‑off weighs; above it, MT/flow confluence favors a squeeze toward ~114.5k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is basing in a low range atop HTF supports, with a mild macro headwind. - Overall trend: neutral‑bearish below 110.4–111.1k, yet 12H/1D filters remain up. - Most relevant setup: reclaim buy above 110.4–111.1k toward 114.5k; conversely, loss of 108.7k targets 107.3k. - One key macro: PCE in line and a data‑dependent Fed keep a mild risk‑off tone. Let the levels lead: wait for a confirmed reclaim above 110.4–111.1k or a breakdown of 108.7k before committing risk. ⚖️
Long
by Ox_kali
BTC/USDT — Bull Flag Formation: Continuation Rally or Breakdown?📝 Full Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming a classic Bull Flag pattern. This setup appears after a strong impulsive rally (flagpole), followed by a corrective consolidation within a descending channel (the flag). Technically, a bull flag often indicates a bullish continuation, suggesting the market is taking a breather before resuming its upward trend. 🔍 Bull Flag Characteristics on the Chart Flagpole: The sharp rally that pushed BTC up to 124,474. Flag: A descending parallel channel where price consolidates with lower volatility and reduced volume. Key Support (~109k): This level acts as the foundation of the flag. As long as BTC holds above it, the bull flag remains valid. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (Bull Flag Confirmation) Price holds above 109k and bounces higher. A valid breakout above the upper flag trendline with a strong 2D candle close and higher volume would confirm the bull flag. Upside targets: Immediate Resistance: 117k → 120k. Retest of Previous High: 124.4k. Theoretical Bull Flag Target: potentially extending toward 130k+ in the mid-term. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario (Invalidation of Bull Flag) If BTC fails to sustain above 109k, the bull flag risks invalidation. A breakdown of this key level could drag price back to 103k, with extended downside risk toward 74.5k if selling pressure intensifies. In this case, the flag turns into a failed continuation setup, shifting market sentiment bearish. --- ⚖️ Conclusion The chart currently reflects a textbook Bull Flag: impulsive rally → corrective descending channel. As long as 109k holds, the bullish continuation bias remains intact. A breakdown below 109k, however, opens the door to a deeper correction. --- 📌 Trading Outlook (Not Financial Advice) Bullish Plan: Enter on a confirmed breakout above the flag with strong volume. Targets: 117k → 120k → 124k+. Bearish Plan: If breakdown occurs below 109k, short-term target ~103k, extended target ~74.5k. --- #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #BullFlag #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #BullishContinuation #Breakout
Long
by CryptoNuclear
September Is Almost Gone — Cheer Up! September Is Almost Gone — Cheer Up! 🌤️📈 We’re at the tail end of September, Bitcoin’s historically weakest month — and yet, structure remains beautifully intact. 📊 Let’s bring the focus back to what matters: 🔸 The major S/R level at $117,800 is still leading the dance. But here’s what makes it important: 👉 It’s the same level from the “Big Chart” — the 2-Day view from my Where Can Bitcoin Go? series first shared in March 2023. 📌 Link: Back then, Bitcoin was at $24K. That same level — $117,800 — continues to hold weight years later . This is not coincidence. It’s structure. 📊 Technical Snapshot – Sept 23, 2025: • Price has bounced from $107,200 — same zone it respected at the start of September • We’re sitting just below $113K • If price flips $117,600–$118K cleanly, there’s a 60% probability we test the channel top at $126K • A smaller bounce could play out around $114K–$115K (30% probability) • A break below $108,500 brings back the bearish case down to $100,600 (10% scenario) 🎯 Key Levels: • Support: $112,000 / $108,500 / $100,600 • Resistance: $117,800 / $120,900 / $126,000 From $24K to $124K? The journey’s not over. Structure is the compass — and that yellow level hasn’t lied to us yet. Yet again yes, both targets have been reached but the cycle is still ON and October is on the way! Perspective Shift 🔄 “Markets have memory. The same levels can guide multiple cycles — if you’re patient enough to listen.” 🔄 here..click on play and think! 🔄 Disclaimer Disclaimer: Everything shared here is opinion-based and for discussion purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly. and unfortunately some where making fun and 24k, at 45k at 78k at 100k... 138k is my next personal target for Bitcoin. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
4
BITCOIN SIGNAL: IS IT ABOUT TO GET WORSE??!! (scary) Yello Paradisers! Together, we go through multiple timeframes. We are going through an ultra-long timeframe, breaking of the channel. How proper reclaims look, what the preceded price action is that is going to happen next and what preceded before that, and what the cycles are. We are taking a look at the bearish divergence, a shooting star which increased the truncation probability on lower timeframes.And that we are in the first motive mode wave of a higher-degree impulse. On a high time frame chart, we are going through the secondary wave, the bearish divergence, resistances, and with the highest probability, the secondary wave is not yet finished. We are looking for confirmations from a high time frame perspective. On a medium timeframe, we are deeply calculating the sub-waves. I'm sharing with you the fourth wave that, with the highest probability, is finishing, and we are about to have a fifth corrective mode wave because we are in an ending diagonal. On a low timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the expanding triangle and the upcoming price action with the highest probability. Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
Volatility Period: Around September 19th (September 18th-20th) Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D Chart) This volatility period is around September 19th (September 18th-20th). As this period of volatility progresses, we need to examine the direction in which the price deviates from the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range. As previously mentioned, the key ranges are 87,814.27-93,570.28 and 104,463.99-108,353.0. Therefore, if the price falls below 115,854.56, we need to check for support near these key levels. - It's perhaps natural for trading volume to decrease after a new ATH (Any New High). If a new ATH (Any New High) is met with high trading volume, it could indicate a significant amount of profit-taking, increasing the likelihood of a downward trend. Therefore, I don't think it's wise to interpret the current decline in trading volume as a sign of a decline. We're using the On-By-Volume (OBV) indicator, which helps us understand the movement of trading volume, so we can roughly gauge the current trading volume trend. - The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 115854.56-119177.56, and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is 116259.91-119086.64. Since these two resistance levels overlap, a breakout above this level suggests a potential surge. - Thank you for reading to the end. We wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BITCOIN DAILY CHARTTHE DAILY chart just broke a daily support and the close will be continues sell into current demand at 107.4336 if sellers continue to sell they will definitely come to 100-99k demand floor of the bullish flag pattern, it was our previous supply and could become our current demand on probability shortly below that zone will be a clean BAR ( BREAK AND RETEST ZONE ) as illustrated on the chart for clarity and context. my last demand which could be adjusted will be in the zone of 88k-90k before the rain. note ;trading is 100% probability ,pls manage your risk. GOODLUCK #BITCOIN #BTCUSDT
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone, I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe. It’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively. After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy. The model was trained using the following features: Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12 Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96 Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours 2025-09-25 10:00:00+00:00 111550.165640 2025-09-25 11:00:00+00:00 111376.971911 2025-09-25 12:00:00+00:00 111228.010503 2025-09-25 13:00:00+00:00 111113.808253 2025-09-25 14:00:00+00:00 111015.461229 2025-09-25 15:00:00+00:00 110924.218881 2025-09-25 16:00:00+00:00 110836.693056 2025-09-25 17:00:00+00:00 110752.812431 2025-09-25 18:00:00+00:00 110671.121547 2025-09-25 19:00:00+00:00 110589.284377 2025-09-25 20:00:00+00:00 110507.299785 2025-09-25 21:00:00+00:00 110426.231097 2025-09-25 22:00:00+00:00 110347.648529 2025-09-25 23:00:00+00:00 110272.293736 2025-09-26 00:00:00+00:00 110200.252059 2025-09-26 01:00:00+00:00 110128.568457 2025-09-26 02:00:00+00:00 110076.551644 2025-09-26 03:00:00+00:00 110033.237232 2025-09-26 04:00:00+00:00 109989.062884 2025-09-26 05:00:00+00:00 109942.853975 2025-09-26 06:00:00+00:00 109895.090788 2025-09-26 07:00:00+00:00 109846.533566 2025-09-26 08:00:00+00:00 109797.842122
Short
by mohammadsabett