BTC/USDT - Short PositionMarket Context:
Price is currently trading around 111,665 after a recovery from a recent consolidation. The overall higher timeframe structure suggests a bearish bias, with potential for a liquidity sweep above previous highs before a move lower.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone (Sell Area): Between 113,403 and 115,661 ( identified supply zone ).
Stop Loss: Above 115,661 ( invalidate zone – beyond supply ).
Take Profit 1: 105,124 (intermediate support level).
Final Take Profit: 98,148 – 98,261 ( major demand zone ).
Trade Rationale:
Supply Zone: Price is approaching a previously respected resistance/supply zone where sellers are likely positioned.
Liquidity Grab: Anticipation of stop hunts above recent highs before reversal.
Market Structure: Lower highs forming on the higher timeframe; bearish trend continuation expected.
Risk-Reward: Estimated 3:1 or higher, making it a favorable setup.
Strategy: Supply and Demand + Liquidity Sweep + Market Structure Shift
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 31💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after activating the alarm zones we had mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin moved upward and is now in a range and compression in its multi-timeframe structure, which with the New York session open could break out of this compression.
⚙️ The key RSI zones are 64 and 50. Once the oscillation limit crosses these zones, Bitcoin could break out of this compression. Preferably, follow long trades when the oscillation limit is crossed.
🕯 The size of green candles on the 1-hour timeframe is almost getting bigger with increasing volume. We are in a relatively important zone where, with the increase of candle size and volume, Bitcoin could move upward.
📊 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D , we can see that after losing the 4.44% zone and the buyers’ money running out, it has faced a temporary trend weakness. With the New York session open, it could continue its decline. Notice that Tether dominance is also in a compression state both in terms of volatility and the RSI oscillator, in a decision-making mode. Confirmation of breaking the 4.44% zone could mean the loss of the 38 support level.
🔔 The trading alarm zones for Bitcoin are at $111,664 for long and $110,666 for short. Preferably, I’m not considering short trades these days, but I do think about opening a long position on a pullback or breakout of $111,664, and if the price action behavior suits such a trade, I will take action.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is poised to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 108062, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 108450
First target: 108959
Second target: 109541
Third target: 110325
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Bitcoin (BTC): Still Aiming at CME Gap Not much has changed since yesterday on BTC, but we are seeing price slowly pushing higher and holding above the local support zone.
The plan stays the same: CME gap at $116K is still the main magnet and remains our first target before aiming for new ATHs. Yesterday’s recovery from the liquidity zone gave us that needed confirmation, so as long as buyers keep control here, we stick with the bullish scenario.
Swallow Academy
BTC – Between Structure and Supply!BTC has been trading inside a clean ascending channel 📈, respecting both support and resistance.
After breaking above the $113,000 structure zone, price pushed higher but is now approaching a potential retest area.
🟠 Structure zone ($113K – $114K): Could act as support on a pullback.
🟢 Channel support: Aligns perfectly with structure for confluence.
🔵 Supply zone ($122K – $124K): Next major resistance where sellers may step in.
As long as BTC holds above structure, bulls 🐂 remain in control, with the next upside target sitting around the supply zone.
Patience ⏳ is key — waiting for a clean retest could set up the next continuation trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entry, risk, and management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - WEEKLY OUTLOOK 🚀 #BITCOIN - Weekly Price Update 🚀
Trend: Bullish on the monthly chart, still marching higher!
Weekly outlook: The charts are flashing a bull‑continuation signal, but we’ll need next week’s candles to lock it in.
Daily vibe: Neutral territory.
Key daily resistance zones:
🔹 118,500 $
🔹 120,000 $
🔹 123,000 $ – 123,500 $
Right now the bulls dominate above 107k $ and 100k $. If we keep consolidating there, a fresh all‑time high could erupt soon.
Short‑term forecast: Expect a few sideways days with occasional rejections 📉.
My take:
🔸 A retest around 112,500 $ –-112,000 $ looks likely next.
🔸 For a solid long‑term play, we need a weekly candle closing above 120,000 $ backed by strong buying volume, that’s the green light for the next big upward wave!
🌐 #ALTS - Altcoin Market
With Bitcoin holding steady above the 110k $ mark, altcoins stand to gain from the added stability and resilience.
💡 Stay tuned, keep those alerts on, and ride the momentum!
BTC/USDT Wealth Map – Trend Confirmed, Targets in Sight!🚀 BTC/USDT: The Great Crypto Heist! 🤑 Swing/Day Trade Wealth Map
Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin vs. Tether) Vibe: Bullish breakout with a cheeky "thief" twist! 😎Strategy: Swing/Day Trade with a layered limit order approach to steal profits from the market! 💰
📊 Market Analysis: The Heist Setup
🐂 Bullish Trend Alert: Bitcoin’s charging out of the accumulation zone like a runaway train! 🚂
📈 Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Breakout: Price smashed through the TMA, confirming a reaccumulation phase. Candles retested the TMA dynamic line, screaming TREND CONFIRMED — bulls are in control! 💪
🕵️♂️ Thief Strategy: We’re using a layered limit order approach (aka the "Thief Layering Tactic") to sneak into the market at multiple price levels. This maximizes entries while keeping it slick and stylish!
🗺️ The Heist Plan
🎯 Entry: Pick your spots like a master thief!
🔹 Use layered buy limit orders at:
💸 $115,000
💸 $115,500
💸 $116,000
💸 $116,500
💸 $117,000
🔍 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite and market conditions! Stack those entries like a pro. 😎
🌟 Alternative: If you’re feeling bold, enter at any price level post-breakout — just keep an eye on momentum!
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): Set your Thief SL at $114,000 after the breakout for protection.
🔹 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is a suggestion! Adjust it based on your strategy and risk tolerance. Don’t let the market cops catch you off-guard! 🚨
🎯 Take Profit (TP): Watch out for the police barricade (aka strong resistance) at $121,000. This zone may act as an overbought trap, so grab your profits and escape before the market locks you in! 🏃♂️
🔹 Note: Thief OGs, this TP is a guideline. Set your own targets based on your risk-reward preference. Steal the profits and vanish! 💸
🧠 Key Notes for Thief OGs
⚠️ Risk Management: I’m not your financial advisor, so don’t just follow my SL or TP blindly. Tailor your plan to your own risk tolerance and make those profits yours!
🕵️♂️ Thief Mindset: The market’s a game of cat and mouse. Stay sharp, adapt, and don’t get greedy — escape with your loot before the traps spring!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these correlated assets for extra context:
🔹 BINANCE:ETHUSDT : Ethereum often moves in tandem with Bitcoin. A bullish BTC breakout could spark ETH’s own rally. Watch for similar TMA breakouts or retests!
🔹 BINANCE:BNBUSDT : Binance Coin tends to follow BTC’s lead in bullish markets. Check for momentum alignment.
🔹 BINANCE:XRPUSDT : Ripple can show correlated strength, especially if BTC pushes past resistance. Look for breakouts above key levels.
🌟 Correlation Tip: These pairs often mirror BTC’s price action in bullish trends, but always confirm with your own analysis to avoid market traps! 🕸️
✨ Final Words
This is your chance to pull off the ultimate crypto heist with BTC/USDT! Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and let’s make those profits disappear into your wallet! 😜
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #BullishBreakout #TradingView
Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times.
🔎 Key Insights:
• Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern.
• Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top).
• Supports:
• 114k (short-term channel support)
• 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom).
📌 Scenarios:
• Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k.
• Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k.
⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
BTCUSDT.P — 1D quick readTrend/Structure: Steady up-swing from early-Sep low inside a rising channel; price stalling at prior supply 117k–118k.
Confluence at resistance: Channel top + red supply band + cloud edge around 117.5k–118k.
Supports: 115.0k (intraday base), 112.5k–113.5k (MA cluster), 108k–106k (200-D + “Support-1”), then ~101k.
Momentum: RSI ~62 (bullish, not overbought). MACD near flat/positive; volume moderate.
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish while above 115k; market is accumulating beneath resistance.
Levels to act on (confirmation-based):
Breakout: Daily close >118k → room to 120k, then 124–126k (ATH zone).
Failure: Daily close <115k → pullback risk to 112k then 108k.
Educational summary — manage risk around 117–118k lid.
[BTC] Looking price to reach 117800This week, i'm looking the price to reach 117800. When the price have stand above 112000, i'll continue looking for a uptrend, still looking forward the price reach 130000.
USD / interest-rate expectations: Markets were pricing in U.S. Fed easing (Sep 2025), which weakens the USD and reduces opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. Rate-cut expectations have been correlated with BTC rallies recently
"Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. I am not a financial advisor, and the content presented here should not be taken as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or other financial instrument. Investing and trading involve a high degree of risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. The strategies and opinions discussed are my own and do not guarantee future results. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions. I may or may not hold positions in the securities mentioned."
Geopolitics & Energy Trading1. Historical Context: Energy as a Strategic Weapon
1.1 Oil in the 20th Century
The 20th century is often called the “Century of Oil.” With the rise of automobiles, aviation, and industrialization, oil replaced coal as the dominant fuel. The Middle East, home to massive reserves, became the strategic center of global energy politics.
World War II highlighted the importance of oil. Control over oil fields in the Middle East, the Caucasus, and Southeast Asia was a major military objective.
The U.S. emerged as both a top producer and consumer of oil, ensuring its military and economic supremacy.
1.2 OPEC and the Oil Shocks
In 1960, oil-exporting countries formed OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to coordinate prices and policies. The OPEC oil embargo of 1973 against the U.S. and its allies caused oil prices to quadruple, leading to stagflation in Western economies. This event demonstrated how energy could be used as a geopolitical weapon.
1.3 Natural Gas and Russia’s Leverage
During the Cold War and beyond, the Soviet Union (later Russia) used natural gas pipelines to exert influence over Europe. Even in the 21st century, Russia’s dominance in supplying gas to Europe has made energy security a central geopolitical concern.
1.4 Rise of Renewables and Energy Security
In recent decades, climate change concerns and the instability of fossil fuel prices have pushed countries to diversify into renewable energy, nuclear power, and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas). However, the geopolitical dimensions remain: rare earth minerals for solar panels, lithium for batteries, and uranium for nuclear power all introduce new trade dependencies.
2. Energy Trading: Mechanisms and Market Dynamics
Energy trading involves the buying, selling, and hedging of energy commodities such as oil, natural gas, coal, electricity, and increasingly, carbon credits.
2.1 Types of Energy Commodities Traded
Oil & Refined Products: Crude oil (Brent, WTI, Dubai) and products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel.
Natural Gas: Pipeline gas and LNG, traded regionally and globally.
Coal: Still dominant in Asia, especially in China and India.
Electricity: Power trading through regional grids and spot markets.
Renewables & Carbon Credits: Certificates for green energy and emissions trading.
2.2 Energy Trading Hubs
Oil: Brent (London), WTI (New York), Dubai/Oman (Middle East).
Natural Gas: Henry Hub (U.S.), TTF (Netherlands), JKM (Japan-Korea Marker).
Coal: Newcastle (Australia), Richards Bay (South Africa).
Electricity: Nord Pool (Europe), PJM Interconnection (U.S.).
2.3 Financial Instruments in Energy Trading
Futures and Options: Used for hedging price volatility.
Swaps and Derivatives: Risk management tools.
Spot Trading: Immediate delivery transactions.
Energy trading is not only about physical barrels or tons moving—it is also about financial markets, where traders speculate on price movements, hedge risks, and create liquidity.
3. Geopolitical Dimensions of Energy Trading
Energy trade is influenced by multiple geopolitical factors.
3.1 Control of Supply Chains
Countries with abundant energy resources, like Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, use them as strategic tools. Controlling pipelines, shipping routes, and export terminals gives these countries leverage over consumers.
3.2 Chokepoints and Maritime Routes
Some key chokepoints in global energy trade:
Strait of Hormuz (Persian Gulf): About 20% of global oil trade passes here. Any blockade would send prices soaring.
Suez Canal (Egypt): Connects Middle Eastern oil to Europe.
Malacca Strait (Southeast Asia): Vital for oil flows to China, Japan, and South Korea.
3.3 Sanctions and Energy Wars
Iran: Subject to U.S. sanctions, limiting its oil exports.
Russia: Sanctions after the Ukraine war forced Europe to seek alternative gas suppliers.
Venezuela: Sanctions crippled its oil sector, reducing output drastically.
3.4 Energy as a Diplomatic Tool
Energy deals often accompany strategic alliances:
Russia–China gas pipelines strengthen political ties.
Middle East countries sign long-term supply contracts with Asia to ensure steady revenues.
The U.S. uses LNG exports to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russia.
4. Major Players in Global Energy Geopolitics
4.1 The United States
Largest producer of oil and gas (thanks to shale revolution).
Uses energy exports to project geopolitical influence.
Maintains military presence in the Middle East to secure energy supply routes.
4.2 Saudi Arabia and OPEC+
Saudi Arabia is the swing producer of oil, capable of increasing or reducing output to influence prices.
OPEC+, which includes Russia, plays a decisive role in oil supply management.
4.3 Russia
Energy superpower with vast oil and gas reserves.
Uses energy pipelines as a tool of influence, especially in Europe.
Faces growing competition due to sanctions and LNG diversification.
4.4 China
World’s largest energy importer.
Invests in energy projects globally (Africa, Middle East, Latin America).
Pioneering renewable energy but still heavily reliant on fossil fuels.
4.5 The European Union
Highly dependent on imports, especially gas.
Leading in carbon trading and green transition policies.
Vulnerable to geopolitical disruptions like the Russia-Ukraine war.
4.6 India
Fastest-growing energy consumer.
Heavy reliance on Middle East oil and global coal imports.
Diversifying into renewable energy and nuclear power.
5. Risks and Challenges
Volatility in Prices: Geopolitical tensions cause massive swings in energy prices.
Supply Disruptions: Wars, sanctions, and blockades threaten global supply.
Climate Change Pressure: Fossil fuel dependence clashes with decarbonization goals.
Technological Shifts: EVs, renewables, and storage could undermine oil & gas dominance.
Energy Nationalism: Countries hoarding resources or restricting exports for domestic security.
Conclusion
Geopolitics and energy trading are inseparable. From oil shocks in the 1970s to today’s battles over LNG, rare earths, and carbon credits, the story of global energy is as much political as it is economic. Energy has been used as a weapon, a bargaining chip, and a diplomatic tool.
In the future, while renewable energy may reduce the dominance of oil and gas, new dependencies on rare earths, hydrogen, and clean technologies will create fresh geopolitical challenges. Energy will continue to shape the global order—deciding alliances, conflicts, and the very survival of economies.
The relationship between geopolitics and energy trading is, in essence, the story of power—economic power, military power, and environmental power. And as the world transitions to a greener future, this story will only grow more complex and dynamic.
BTC next movescurrently BINANCE:BTCUSDT seems to have found its bottom from the latest downwards move. within the past two weeks it established a little channel, currently it seems it even pops out of it above the channel for the first time since mid august. of course there can still be a further dump, but it's safe to say the bottom is imminent if not already in. also it's way bellow the current val of the past upmove so it's basically oversold territory.
I assume a first push above 112k again then further towards 117k. I still have my bitcoin trade open, added some to have an entry of a little above 109k and see how it goes. BINANCE:OPUSDT and BINANCE:ARBUSDT is still open as well. from 70cents and 48 cents respectively.
both once had a nice gain before but I guess I was to greedy to fully catch my tp, but well - the more you learn, the better you get.
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term.
From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
BTC/USDT 4H Trend Structure: Price is moving inside a well‑defined ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a short‑ to mid‑term bullish bias.
Price is respecting both upper and lower bounds of the channel, suggesting controlled bullish momentum.
Higher Lows: Buyers are stepping in earlier on each pullback, showing strong demand.
Resistance Test: Price is approaching the 116,594 zone; a clean break with volume could open the path toward 118,000+ in the short term.
Support Strength: The 113,200 level aligns with the channel’s lower trendline, making it a key area for bulls to defend.
#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback📊#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback ⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
➡️From a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
⚠️Note that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Price Flag Points to $122,000 TargetBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P price is trading near $115,300, and a bull flag has appeared on the 12-hour chart. A breakout above $115,900 would confirm the move, with the measured target projecting to $122,000. Key checkpoints sit at $116,700 and $120,700, where strong resistance may test buyers.
On-chain data adds weight to the breakout case. Exchange outflows surged from –2,531 BTC on September 8 to –18,323 BTC by September 15, while long-term holders flipped to net buyers, adding +591 BTC. This shift suggests traders are backing the breakout setup.
Still, the heavy supply wall of 714,302 BTC between $115,900–$120,700 remains the key hurdle. A drop under $115,000 would invalidate the flag, but as long as price holds above that level, bulls have the upper hand.
Bitcoin to 105K? Stop Talking Sh*t, Here’s the TruthEveryone’s screaming about a Bitcoin dump … but where’s the proof? 🤔
In this video, I break down the weekly, daily, 4H, and even 15m to show you the real triggers that matter for Bitcoin’s next move. Spoiler: the big picture is still bullish AF.
We’ll also look at Wednesday’s Fed rate decision and how it could shake the market.
Stay skeptical. Don’t FOMO. Manage risk.
Boost if it helped.
(P.S. Sorry for the voice — I’m fighting through a nasty cold :/)