BTC/USDT Breakdown: Loss of Key Levels Confirms Bearish Structur📉 BTC/USDT Market Update
Bitcoin has broken down key structural levels, confirming a bearish outlook in the short to mid-term.
✅ Low Time Frame Support Lost: The $112,083 – $112,531 demand zone has failed to hold, indicating that buyers are losing control on lower time frames.
✅ Main Trend Zone Rejected: The $113,798 – $114,000 supply area acted as strong resistance, and BTC was unable to reclaim this key trend level.
✅ Momentum: Current price action shows continuation to the downside, with sellers stepping in aggressively after repeated failed attempts to sustain higher levels.
Bias: Bearish
As long as BTC trades below $113,800, the market structure favors sellers. Further downside pressure may target the $111,000 – $110,800 range in the near term.
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $113,800 – $114,000 (Main trend rejection zone)
Support: $111,000 – $110,800 (Next liquidity pool)
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Wyckoff Accumulation Trial #2My first idea didn't pan out too well but I actually think this one might work out better. I entered along at 111.8 but probably should have waited for a successful retest at 112.4-112.5 instead (still have trouble controlling emotions).
If the spring is really the spring then it did its job by making me exit my previous position.
Very new to this so just trying things out. End target remains at 115.7 however will recalculate later. Wyckoff points are marked. Please ignore the numbered lines as i know very little about elliott waves, just using it to mark potential move.
Bitcoin is completing a head and shoulders pattern ? Bitcoin is completing a head and shoulders pattern and unlike most people I still see Bitcoin as very bullish. Also, Elliott wave analysis shows that wave 5 is completing. In my opinion, Bitcoin has completed its wave 4 correction at the 0.38 Fibonacci level at $107,000. If the 0.38 level was not enough for a correction, then we should wait for Bitcoin to fall to the 0.50 Fibonacci level, which would be the price limit at $107,000.
BTC Swing short SetupIf setup failed, then possible btc may form 3 drive pattern n dump again, in this case will share new setup, while not bearish but looking for a good correction, take short with low margin from first setup, n 4% on second setup must use SL on both short setups. Best Of Luck. Don't short any alt coin, wait for btc to retrace these levels and open long for swing setups, will share some good gems, after confirmation
Bitcoin (BTC): Back Near 100EMA | Still Waiting For ConfirmationBitcoin on the daily timeframe saw sharp liquidations today, which pushed price back onto the 100EMA. This reaction shows how buyers are being tested, but so far, the structure is intact. As long as we hold above this EMA, the bullish outlook remains valid. The target zone stays $140K–$150K, but for continuation, buyers need to recover momentum and secure a break above current consolidation levels. Otherwise, further retests of lower liquidity zones may follow before the next push.
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin Holds $112,580 Support as Price Nears 0.618 FibonacciBitcoin is testing high-time-frame support at $112,580 while approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. A bullish wick reaction hints at possible reversal, but market structure shows signs of corrective weakness.
Bitcoin’s recent trading activity has brought the market to a critical juncture. Price is consolidating near high-time-frame support around $112,580, with wicks forming a bullish SFP-type pattern. This interaction with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level has technical traders watching closely, as it could define the next major move. While the broader market has shifted into corrective territory, buyers are attempting to defend this region to maintain bullish momentum.
Key Technical Points:
- Support: $112,580 high-time-frame zone aligned with Fibonacci 0.618.
- Resistance: $115,000 high-time-frame resistance and key reversal area.
- Pattern: ABC corrective structure after negation of impulsive uptrend.
The recent retracement has introduced a corrective ABC structure into Bitcoin’s chart, signaling that the impulsive uptrend may have temporarily lost strength. However, the appearance of an SFP-type pattern at the $112,580 support zone suggests that buyers are not yet willing to concede this level.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement plays a pivotal role in this setup. Historically, Bitcoin often gravitates toward these golden pocket regions before staging stronger reversals. Above this level, the next key resistance lies around $115,000, where internal confluence strengthens the likelihood of a reaction. A push into this zone could magnetize price action before deciding the next directional move.
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim $112,000 with a bullish retest, downside risks remain in play, and the corrective structure may deepen. Conversely, a clean reclaim and retest of $112,000 would invalidate the bearish case and open the door for continuation higher.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
Bitcoin’s immediate future hinges on whether $112,580 can hold as support. If defended, the market may attempt a rotation toward $115,000 resistance. However, failure to maintain this zone risks extending the correction lower.
BTC finally signaling strenght againWith the underlying blue structure complete, Bitcoin has broken the downtrend on its second attempt. Now the real question—is there momentum behind this, or is it just another dead cat bounce served up by the market makers?
In my view, the latest high is the key indicator. If BTC can close above it, we finally get breathing room, as that would be the first clear sign of a legitimate upside setup.
A new all-time high is absolutely on the table. Why? Because we’ve successfully turned inside our green correction level, another strong bullish indicator—with its target sitting comfortably at 138k.
So the question is—what will you do? Panic buy and get played, or wait for a real setup to unfold?
I know exactly what I’ll do—and with some stress off my back in private life, chances are high I’ll share the next move with you.
Stay sharp, friends.
Key PRZ Ahead for Bitcoin – Bounce or Breakdown?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in my previous idea and rose to the Resistance zone($118,580-$117,460) .
First of all, let me say that this is a short-term Bitcoin analysis .
Bitcoin is filling the CME Gap($116,115-$115,860) and is moving near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) [, Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($115,555-$114,424) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a wave C of the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $116,910 if it even manages to break the ascending channel.
Second Target: $117,760
Stop Loss(SL): $$115,300
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $118,965-$117,906
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
I t’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
2025-09-20 11:00:00+00:00 115890.237853
2025-09-20 12:00:00+00:00 115943.081176
2025-09-20 13:00:00+00:00 116014.252095
2025-09-20 14:00:00+00:00 116084.471819
2025-09-20 15:00:00+00:00 116148.363092
2025-09-20 16:00:00+00:00 116204.096861
2025-09-20 17:00:00+00:00 116252.705901
2025-09-20 18:00:00+00:00 116296.543995
2025-09-20 19:00:00+00:00 116336.916180
2025-09-20 20:00:00+00:00 116374.647329
2025-09-20 21:00:00+00:00 116410.200147
2025-09-20 22:00:00+00:00 116443.943414
2025-09-20 23:00:00+00:00 116476.401907
2025-09-21 00:00:00+00:00 116508.167029
2025-09-21 01:00:00+00:00 116536.594784
2025-09-21 02:00:00+00:00 116576.987672
2025-09-21 03:00:00+00:00 116623.614951
2025-09-21 04:00:00+00:00 116669.962257
2025-09-21 05:00:00+00:00 116715.120757
2025-09-21 06:00:00+00:00 116759.292877
2025-09-21 07:00:00+00:00 116802.591505
2025-09-21 08:00:00+00:00 116845.061769
2025-09-21 09:00:00+00:00 116886.657031
2025-09-21 10:00:00+00:00 116927.449662
2025-09-21 11:00:00+00:00 116967.677829
BTC: Changed To Bearish For The MomentBTC: Changed to the downside for now
At the moment, it looks like BTC reached a short-term high at 17830
The price completed a bearish pattern over the weekend, indicating that a small downward move may begin soon.
It could also be time for a larger correction, but so far it is too early to say that with the data we have.
I expect BTC to fall to 112970, 110660 and 108700
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Bitcoin / USDT – Short SetupAfter the recent bullish leg, I can see signs of a structure break on the daily chart, which may indicate the formation of a temporary market top.
➡️ The red zone (119,750 – 113,800) is acting as a strong supply area / resistance, where price is already showing rejection.
➡️ A distribution phase was observed before the drop, reinforcing the idea of buyer exhaustion.
➡️ The break of the recent low confirms a possible shift in market structure, increasing the probability of further downside movement.
🎯 Potential Targets:
First target around the 90,000 – 88,600 zone (blue box).
If selling pressure continues, deeper levels may be tested.
🔎 This bearish scenario will only be invalidated if price manages to reclaim and consolidate above the supply zone.
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BITCOIN Update: Stay Alert (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Read the analysis carefully
Given the loss of the trendline, Bitcoin stalling, and decreasing momentum, the previous Bitcoin analysis needed to be updated.
If Bitcoin fails to make a valid breakout above the yellow line at $116,520 and does not sustain above it, a bearish scenario will emerge, and the price will drop significantly
A bullish outlook toward the supply zone shown on the chart above is only valid if Bitcoin executes a confirmed breakout above $116,520.
So stay alert and follow the chart closely.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Looks Bearish (12H)From the point marked as **Start** on the chart, it seemed that a bullish phase had begun on Bitcoin. This bullish phase formed a triangle, and now we are at the end of this triangle.
With a pullback to the red zone, a further drop could occur. The main target of this bearish move appears to be the 88K channel.
This view remains valid unless a daily candle closes above the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin could bounce from this level Bitcoin has started its natural correction after the sell the news on the Fed’s rate cut. Historically, all bear markets began exactly after rate cuts. But it’s too early to think about that now — the correction was long overdue. Let’s see what’s next for the price:
➡️ Today’s Tokyo session opened with a strong GAP at $115,570 – $111,870. Price reached key support at $111,848 — the previous ATH from May, making this a major level. From here, we can expect a short bounce to close that GAP.
➡️ RSI confirms this, showing oversold conditions on the 4H timeframe (27). The last time RSI hit such levels, price rallied over 11%.
➡️ On top of that, selling volumes have been decreasing since August, even though price keeps moving inside a descending channel. That means seller pressure is weakening.
➡️ Bitcoin also touched the Fibb 3 level for the first time since June 2025. Back then, it triggered a 25% rally and a new ATH.
⚡️ I’m not saying Bitcoin will set a new ATH right now, but after such a strong correction, at least a local bounce is highly likely. Price may retest today’s lows once more before moving lower — but first, I expect a rebound.
Drop in the comments: what price do you expect next for Bitcoin? 🔥
#BTC is plummeting! Will it continue to fall?📊 #BTC is plummeting! Will it continue to fall?
🧠From a structural perspective, the yellow support zone around 115,000 ultimately failed to hold, turning it into resistance. Only by holding above this level can we maintain an optimistic bullish outlook; otherwise, we need to be wary of the risk of a further pullback!
➡️The neckline support failed to hold, so this level will provide weak resistance. Strong resistance lies around 114,000-115,000.
➡️We've currently held above the daily S/R ratio. The next key support level is at the weekly S/R ratio.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Pullback Provides Buying OpportunityBINANCE:BTCUSDT has broken down from its range after rejecting the 117k resistance and forming a clear lower high. The sharp selloff has brought price back toward the 111k support zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden pocket. Holding above this area could trigger a short-term rebound, but the structure remains fragile. If 111k fails, the next key support sits at 108k, pointing to deeper downside risk.
⚠️ Risks:
A breakdown under 110k confirms bearish continuation toward 108k.
Market sentiment around Fed policy could accelerate volatility.
Only a sustained break back above 116k would negate the bearish setup.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
22/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $117,904.04
Last weeks low: $114,383.99
Midpoint: $116,144.01
A very interesting start to the week to say the least! In the opening hours of this week BTC has plunged 3% to tag $112,000, this comes off the rejection of $117,500 key level post FOMC.
The FED cut interest rates by 25bps as was expected by most, the resulting rally failed to break $117,500 resistance and rejected back to the origin of the rally at the 0.25 line. The dip from the opening hours of this week is in my opinion continuation of this rejection level. It is clear the bulls still don't have the firepower to break the range and push on, the question this week is where will BTC find support?
For me there are some key levels, 1D 200 EMA is still an option at $106,000, the daily local how at $107,500 could provide double bottom support. The Monday close will provide more context to this move, should the reaction be minimal and the daily candle closes as it is now the September curse could continue.
This week I'll be closely monitoring how altcoins react to this move, I believe the general consensus is that altcoins will outperform BTC in Q4. Historically the final quarter of the year has provided some great returns over the years, however that does not necessarily mean that will be the case this time around. If it does happen this dip may provide some good entries.
Good luck this week everybody!