$BTC is retesting the S/R level, don't panic! (yet)Previous resistance often times flips and becomes support.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is safe until we hold the gray box.
Candles closing below the gray box will be bearish confirmation. Lots of confluence there as with 200EMA on D1 acting as dynamic support level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Activation trigger: 4h-close > 110 286 (KC-Lower)Snapshot (last 4h candle) + what each indicator means
• Price: ~109 332 — current base point.
• VWAP (whole period): ~114 597; z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.87 — we are significantly below the "fair" price by volume; such a deviation statistically often leads to rotation to averages.
• aVWAP (anchors): start 114 597, 60d 114 549, from swing low 111 752, from swing high 111 354 — the price is lower than all anchors ⇒ sellers dominate all timeframes; on the rebound, these aVWAPs will be resistances.
• Donchian 20: High 113 900 / Mid 111 230 / Low 108 560 — local frame; return to Mid = standard mean-reversion target.
• Donchian 55: High 117 884 / Mid 113 222 / Low 108 560 — structure of the "older" range; return above Mid changes the medium-term balance.
• Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~115 112, VAL ~109 793, VAH ~120 964 — we are slightly below VAL, i.e. at the lower limit of the “fair” zone; POC often acts as a “magnet” during a stable rebound.
• HVN (dense nodes): ~111.4–112.98, 114.05–115.91, and the POC itself at 115.11 — this is where the market likes to slow down/consolidate.
• LVN (thin spots): cluster ~119.9–123.4 — in case of a sharp up-squeeze, the path here is "slippery".
• RSI(14): ~26.4 — oversold: increases the chances of a technical rebound, but with a strong trend, the price may "creep" near the edge.
• MFI(14): ~29.9 — oversold, taking into account volumes; confirms the likelihood of a bounce.
• CMF(20): ~−0.06 — cash flow is slightly negative; a sustainable recovery requires an exit of ≥0.
• MACD(12/26/9): line −886 < signal −731, hist. −155 — bearish momentum holds, but watch: compression of the histogram will give an early weakening signal.
• ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~43.98; +DI 8.0 / −DI 39.8 — strong downward trend (−DI ≫ +DI).
• ATR(14): ~1 140$ — typical 4h swing; useful for buffers and stops.
• Keltner(20,±2ATR): Upper 114 547 / Mid 112 416 / Lower 110 286 — price below KC-Lower → high probability of a medium return to Mid at the first recap signal.
• Bollinger(20,2σ): Upper 114 162 / Mid 112 271 / Lower 110 381 — below BB-Lower; typical mean-reversion — to BB-Mid ~112 271.
• BB-Squeeze: OFF — volatility is already revealed; this is not a accumulation mode.
• OBV z-scores: z50 −1.43 / z100 −2.04 / z200 −2.48, OBV ROC(10) ≈ −1% — volume-wise, the drop was supported (distribution), and there is still little fresh influx of buyers.
• Open Interest: ~67 331, z(168) ≈ −1.43, ROC(5/10) ≈ +1% / 0% — OI is low relative to history, slightly increasing on decline ⇒ shorts were added/held → risk of short-squeeze on recap.
Latest divergences (auto-detector)
• RSI: bullish — 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
• MACD: bearish — 15 Sep 07:00 → 16 Sep 19:00, 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00
• OBV: bearish — 16 Sep 19:00 → 17 Sep 07:00, 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00
• MFI: bullish — 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
⸻
What does it mean now
1. Mode - strong downtrend (ADX≈44, −DI ≫ +DI), but RSI/MFI oversold, the price is below KC/BB-Lower and significantly below VWAP (z≈−2.9). The combination "strong trend + extremum" often gives a rotation to the averages if a recap signal appears.
2. Profile: we are at VAL, under the HVN clusters 111–113 and 114–116; a stable rebound usually pulls towards BB/KC-Mid (~112.3–112.4) and further towards POC 115.1.
3. Derivatives: OI slightly ↑ on the fall + OBV z neg. — a continuation downwards is possible, but at the same time, the potential for short-squeeze increases with the first quality recap.
⸻
Key levels
Resistances: 110 286 (KC-Lower) → 111 230 (Donch-20 Mid) → 112 271/112 416 (BB/KC-Mid) → 113 222 (Donch-55 Mid) → 114.0–115.9 HVN → 115 112 (POC) → 117 884 (Donch-55 High) → 120 964 (VAH).
Supports: 110 381 (BB-Lower) → 108 560 (Donch-Low 20/55) → local dips inside ~107–108 (target = 1×ATR below Donch-Low, by reaction).
⸻.
Scenarios and triggers (not financial advice)
A) Basic - rotation to the middle (111.2 → 112.3/112.4)
Status: not activated yet (close below KC-Lower).
• Activation trigger: 4h-close > 110 286 (KC-Lower) and better > ~110 856 (KC-Lower + 0.5×ATR; ATR≈1 140) + confirmations: RSI > 30, MFI > 35, hist. MACD↑, CMF → 0.
• Targets: 111 230 → 112 271/112 416 → 113 222 on impulse.
• Invalidator: quick return < 110 286 after recap, especially when OI ROC+ and OBV z50 ≤ −2.0.
B) Continuation of the downward trend
• Trigger: 4h close < 108,560 (Donch-Low) with ADX ≥ 40, OBV z50 ≤ −2.0, OI ROC+ on the fall.
• Targets: extension by ~1×ATR below (target ≈107.4k) with intermediate fixes at round 108k/107.5k; then watch the reaction.
• Invalidator: re-take > 110 286 and hold.
C) Short-squeeze (acceleration up)
• Trigger: break and hold > 113 222 (Donch-55 Mid) or fast "V" return > 114.0–114.6 (HVN / KC-Upper zone) with a decrease in OI and an increase in OBV.
• Goals: 114–116 HVN → 115 112 (POC) → 117 884 → by inertia to 120 964 (VAH).
• Invalidator: fake breakdown and return < 112.3.
⸻
Tactics (example of logic)
• Impulse long (by base): after closing > 110 856. Partial fixation at 111 230, main — at 112.27/112.42; possible take-profit up to 113 222. Stop — under 110 286 (or under the minimum of the candle-recap) with a buffer of 0.5×ATR ≈ 570$.
• Reversal long (conservative): from BB/KC-Lower 110.3–110.4 only when demand reacts (RSI/MFI↑, CMF→0/+, hist. MACD shrinks). Targets: 111.2 → 112.3/112.4.
• Contra-trend short: on rejection 112.3/112.4 → 113.2 at RSI<50, hist. MACD↓, OI ROC+ — targets: 111.2 → 110.3; stop — over 113.4–113.6.
• Squeeze tactics: when reteking > 113.2 and OI falls — trailing by aVWAP(60d)/EMA20, targets 114–116 → 115.1 (POC).
⸻
Briefly: what to expect
The basic setup is a technical rotation to the middle (111.2 → 112.3/112.4), but it will only be activated after the recap > 110.3–110.9.
• Confirm the recap — a move to 112–113.2 is likely, and if strong, to HVN/POC 114–115.1.
• Breakthrough of 108.56 on the rising OI/falling OBV — continuation downwards with an extension of ~1×ATR.
$BTC Bearish Short-Term (September 24, 2025)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Summary of Price Action:
Recent Movement: In the last 24 hours, BTC has dropped by about 0.5% - 0.9%, reaching $112,479 this morning (UTC). This follows a slight recovery from $107,200 on September 23, but it's now retesting support at $112,000. In your 2H chart, we see a series of red candles (bearish) indicating selling pressure, with trading volume increasing during the decline, confirming seller interest.
Key Levels:Support: $112,000 (immediate level, tested today) and $110,000 - $107,200 as a stronger lower zone. If $112,000 breaks, we could see a drop toward $109,000.
Resistance: $115,000 - $117,000 (strong level with recent rejections). A break above $117,000 would signal recovery toward $120,000.
Volume and Liquidity: 24-hour volume is around $52 billion, with large liquidations ($1.7 billion in the last 24 hours), mostly long (bullish) positions. This shows smaller traders suffering from bearish pressure.
MACD Indicator Analysis :
In the chart you sent, the MACD line (blue) is slightly above the signal line (orange), but the histogram is turning negative (red bars growing). This indicates a bearish divergence – the price is weakening while momentum is losing strength. MACD is below the zero line, confirming a weak short-term trend. RSI (at similar levels) is around 44-55, signaling lightly oversold, but still without strong buy signals.
Overall Trend:
Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-Term
Short-Term (Today/Next Day): Bearish. The price is consolidating in a bearish channel, with predictions for further downside toward $110,000 - $107,000 today or tomorrow, due to fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 43) and pressure from liquidations. This matches your chart, where we see a potential inverse "head and shoulders" pattern (but still uncertain). Avoid immediate buys – wait for confirmation below $112,000 for shorts or above $115,000 for longs.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Expected Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, as expected, Bitcoin made a false breakout to the upside, testing the ~$113,800 zone (market imbalance, mirror level) and then quickly reversed downward. When testing the $113,000-$112,000 area, there was no significant reaction, and the price moved lower to test the more important $111,600-$110,500 zone (accumulated volumes).
At the moment, the primary scenario remains a resumption of buying. A local volume zone has formed above the current price at $112,000-$111,300 — breaking and consolidating above it would significantly increase the probability of moving toward the next major resistance. We are considering a long position either after consolidation above this zone or upon a retest with a clear buying reaction, which would be a more conservative entry.
If this level is rejected, we may see further downside movement toward $108,000.
Buy Zones:
• $112,000-$111,300 (potential local support)
• ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• $115,000-$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC - Important UpdateWe have seen price fall again into our green box of support. This is also with a test of our green trendline.
The fact buyers have already started to step in at that trendline is a good sign. This could be another low point for the trend establishing another test of support upon that trendline.
However, if this trendline is broken watch the August 2025 swing low around $107,500. If we start seeing candles close below that level then it will create a lower low for our trend and most likely lead to sub $100k levels.
BTC
Bitcoin remains under pressure after a sharp drop from the 114,000 – 115,500 supply zone. On the 1H timeframe, sellers are still in control, highlighted by the failure to hold above 113,200 (BoS level).
The price is now testing the 110,800 – 111,200 demand zone, which serves as a short-term accumulation area.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish: If the 110,800 – 111,200 demand holds, BTC could rebound toward 113,200, with further upside potential to retest supply at 114,000 – 114,200.
Bearish: A breakdown below demand would confirm stronger bearish momentum, opening room for a decline toward 109,500 – 109,100.
Conclusion
The 110,800 – 111,200 zone is decisive. Holding this level keeps the chance of a short-term rebound, while a breakdown would likely extend the bearish trend to lower supports.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-09-20 15:45 UTCBitcoin – Short-Term Technical Outlook
📊 Key Levels (Educational Purposes Only):
Potential Buy Zone: ~116,140 USDT
Resistance Levels: 117,500 → 118,232
Support Zones: 115,800 → 114,399
Indicators & Observations:
RSI: → oversold region.
MACD: Bullish crossover noted.
Stochastic: %K → possible reversal zone.
EMA200: Price testing long-term support.
Volume: +% above 20-period average.
ATR: 2.1% → high volatility conditions.
Order Book: Slight bid dominance (+2.8%).
OBV Trend: +3.2% → accumulation signal.
Candlestick Structure: Bullish Hammer + Engulfing observed.
Strategy Context (Not Financial Advice):
Price is testing EMA200 with oversold confirmations across multiple indicators. Volume spike may suggest accumulation, aligning with potential bullish reversal patterns.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
BAD NEWS for Bitcoin :(. BE CAREFUL!My last Prediction was PERFECT . i know this will UPSET many bulls, but this is how the MARKETS WORK. After a strong uptrend and extreme greed environment, its time for Bitcoin to CORRECT and have strong PULLBACK. Look at the channel and trendlines, I expect bitcoin to reach a price of 100k/96k in the coming weeks. That will be a GOOD BUY opportunity. BE CAREFUL AND STAY WISE.
See My Previous PERFECT prediction:
BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD
The Digital Transformation of Global TradeIntroduction
Global trade has always been the backbone of economic growth and cultural exchange. From the Silk Road caravans of ancient times to the container ships and jet aircraft of the modern era, trade has continually evolved with technology. The 21st century, however, marks a revolutionary shift unlike any before. This shift is powered not just by physical innovations in transportation and logistics, but by digital transformation—the integration of digital technologies into every aspect of how goods, services, capital, and data move across borders.
Digital transformation is reshaping how companies interact with partners, regulators, and customers in global trade. Technologies like artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain, cloud computing, big data, Internet of Things (IoT), and 5G connectivity are no longer optional; they are fundamental drivers of efficiency, transparency, and competitiveness. At the same time, e-commerce platforms and digital trade finance tools are democratizing access, allowing even small businesses to participate in international commerce.
This transformation has created both opportunities and challenges. While efficiency, inclusivity, and sustainability are key benefits, the transition also brings risks like cybersecurity threats, regulatory mismatches, and digital inequality. Understanding this ongoing shift is crucial for businesses, policymakers, and individuals who wish to thrive in the future of global trade.
In this essay, we will explore the digital transformation of global trade in detail, examining its origins, technologies, impacts, and future directions.
Historical Context: Trade Before the Digital Era
Before diving into the digital wave, it’s important to understand how trade operated in the pre-digital age. Historically, global trade was characterized by several defining features:
Manual Processes: Paper-based documents like letters of credit, bills of lading, and customs forms were central to international transactions. These often took weeks to process.
High Transaction Costs: Cross-border transactions involved multiple intermediaries, from banks to freight forwarders, making trade expensive, especially for small businesses.
Limited Transparency: Once goods left a port, tracking their journey was extremely difficult. Miscommunication and disputes were common.
Access Gaps: Only large corporations with resources and networks could reliably engage in international trade. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) often struggled.
Slow Communication: Fax machines, telex, and postal systems were the primary communication methods, creating delays and inefficiencies.
These limitations set the stage for digital disruption. The need for speed, reliability, and transparency was already present; digital technologies provided the tools to meet these demands.
Drivers of Digital Transformation in Trade
Several forces have accelerated the adoption of digital solutions in global trade:
Globalization and Competition: As trade expanded, firms sought ways to cut costs and improve efficiency to remain competitive.
E-Commerce Growth: Platforms like Amazon, Alibaba, and Shopify created a demand for fast, digital-first trade solutions.
Technological Advances: The rise of cloud computing, mobile devices, and AI made digital solutions accessible and affordable.
Consumer Expectations: Customers began to demand transparency in supply chains, faster delivery, and digital payments.
Regulatory Push: Governments and organizations like the World Trade Organization (WTO) have promoted digital trade facilitation initiatives.
Pandemic Impact: COVID-19 highlighted vulnerabilities in traditional supply chains and accelerated digital adoption globally.
Key Technologies Driving Transformation
1. Blockchain
Blockchain is revolutionizing trust in trade by creating tamper-proof digital ledgers. Bills of lading, customs documents, and financial settlements can be securely stored and shared, reducing fraud and errors. Companies like Maersk and IBM have pioneered blockchain-based shipping platforms that enable real-time visibility and reduce paperwork.
2. Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning
AI optimizes trade flows by predicting demand, identifying risks, and automating routine processes. For instance, AI algorithms can analyze shipping routes to minimize delays or detect fraudulent trade documents. AI-driven chatbots also improve customer service in cross-border e-commerce.
3. Internet of Things (IoT)
IoT devices like GPS trackers and smart sensors provide real-time data on shipments. Containers can now report temperature, location, and even tampering, ensuring sensitive goods like pharmaceuticals or food remain safe.
4. Big Data and Analytics
Trade generates vast amounts of data, from shipping manifests to customs records. Big data analytics allows businesses to identify trends, optimize supply chains, and mitigate risks. For governments, data-driven insights help in improving customs efficiency and detecting illicit trade.
5. Cloud Computing
The cloud enables collaboration across borders. Platforms for digital trade documentation, payment gateways, and supply chain management systems are now hosted on cloud networks, accessible globally and scalable at low costs.
6. Digital Payments and FinTech
Cross-border payments have traditionally been slow and expensive. FinTech solutions like PayPal, Wise (formerly TransferWise), and blockchain-based payment systems are reducing transaction times and costs, enabling SMEs to trade globally.
7. 5G Connectivity
5G enhances real-time data transmission, enabling instantaneous updates in logistics and supporting technologies like autonomous shipping and drones.
8. Digital Platforms and Marketplaces
Marketplaces like Alibaba, Amazon Global, and eBay allow businesses, especially SMEs, to reach global customers instantly. These platforms integrate logistics, payments, and marketing, simplifying international trade.
Benefits of Digital Transformation in Global Trade
1. Efficiency and Cost Reduction
Digital technologies reduce paperwork, eliminate redundancies, and automate tasks, lowering trade costs significantly. The World Bank estimates that digital trade facilitation can cut costs by up to 14%.
2. Transparency and Trust
Blockchain, IoT, and data analytics improve visibility across supply chains. Businesses and consumers can verify product origins, ensuring ethical and sustainable sourcing.
3. Inclusivity for SMEs
Digital platforms lower entry barriers, enabling small businesses in developing countries to access global markets without massive infrastructure.
4. Faster Transactions
Digital payments and automated customs clearance reduce delays. What once took weeks can now be completed in hours or even minutes.
5. Risk Management
Data analytics and AI help companies anticipate risks such as geopolitical disruptions, weather conditions, or supplier failures.
6. Sustainability
Digital tools optimize transport routes, reduce fuel consumption, and support the circular economy by tracking product lifecycles.
Challenges of Digital Transformation
While the benefits are significant, challenges remain:
Digital Divide: Many developing countries lack the infrastructure or skills to participate fully in digital trade. This widens inequality.
Cybersecurity Risks: As trade becomes digital, it becomes a target for cyberattacks, data theft, and ransomware.
Regulatory Fragmentation: Different countries have different digital trade rules, creating friction. Harmonization is still a work in progress.
Privacy Concerns: The collection of massive data raises questions about consumer privacy and surveillance.
High Initial Costs: For smaller firms, the upfront investment in digital technologies can be prohibitive.
Resistance to Change: Some industries and stakeholders remain attached to traditional, paper-based systems.
Case Studies of Digital Transformation
1. Maersk and IBM’s TradeLens
TradeLens, a blockchain-based platform, digitizes shipping documentation, reducing delays and fraud. It demonstrated how collaboration among competitors could create industry-wide efficiency.
2. Alibaba’s E-Commerce Ecosystem
Alibaba enables millions of SMEs in China to access international markets, combining digital payments, logistics, and AI-driven insights in one ecosystem.
3. Singapore’s National Trade Platform
Singapore has developed a one-stop digital trade ecosystem integrating customs, logistics, and finance. It serves as a model for other nations.
4. Amazon’s Global Logistics Network
Amazon uses AI, IoT, and big data to optimize warehouses, shipping routes, and last-mile delivery, setting global standards for efficiency.
The Role of Governments and Institutions
Governments and international organizations are key enablers of digital trade. Their roles include:
Digital Infrastructure Investment: Building internet connectivity, 5G networks, and cloud systems.
Regulatory Harmonization: Working through organizations like WTO to create common standards for digital trade.
Cybersecurity Frameworks: Protecting businesses and consumers from digital threats.
Capacity Building: Supporting SMEs and developing nations with training and digital literacy programs.
Promoting Digital Inclusion: Ensuring marginalized groups can benefit from global trade opportunities.
Future of Digital Trade
The future of global trade is digital-first, with several trends shaping its trajectory:
Autonomous Logistics: Self-driving trucks, drones, and automated ports will further streamline trade flows.
Digital Trade Agreements: Nations are negotiating digital economy agreements focusing on data flows, digital payments, and e-commerce rules.
Sustainable Trade Practices: Digital tools will help track carbon footprints and ensure compliance with green trade policies.
Artificial Intelligence at Scale: AI will become central in trade compliance, risk assessment, and customer experience.
Metaverse and Virtual Trade Shows: Companies may engage in virtual trade fairs and immersive B2B interactions, reducing the need for physical presence.
Quantum Computing: Though still emerging, it promises to revolutionize logistics optimization and encryption in trade.
Conclusion
The digital transformation of global trade represents a turning point in economic history. Where once trade was slow, opaque, and exclusive, it is now becoming fast, transparent, and inclusive. Digital technologies are reshaping supply chains, reducing costs, and enabling even the smallest businesses to participate in the global economy.
However, this transformation is not without its challenges. The digital divide, cybersecurity risks, and regulatory fragmentation could hinder progress if not addressed collaboratively. Success in this new era requires partnerships between governments, businesses, and international organizations to ensure that digital trade remains fair, secure, and accessible to all.
Ultimately, the digital transformation of global trade is not just about efficiency; it’s about redefining the way nations, companies, and individuals connect. Just as the Silk Road once wove together distant civilizations, today’s digital highways are knitting together a truly interconnected world economy.
AFTER END OF CYCLE BTC CAN RETURN BELOW 110K - 90K📊 BTC/USDT Market Update
Current Price: ~$113,509
Cycle Recap: From the $84,000 low to the $114,000 high, BTC has completed what looks like an end of cycle phase (as marked on chart).
We did explain here the end of the cycle
There is a high chance in the coming time that BTC will break down below 110K and enter the correction zone.
BTC possible pathsEvery time 12hr rsi OS and momentum waves lined up bitty has gone on big run. Purple lines represent the signal point. You can also see I color coded the Trend lines that are symmetrical length and angle with color coated horizontal price zone. The pull back lines if repeated give us two options or we could create a new one but the pumps have been lining up symmetrically length and angle! You will also notice circle in green the blue and white lines, line up with heavy volume points on the vrvp. On MCB our current price shows an inwardly curved vwap early sings of weak upside since it’s below the 0 line. Opposite if above the 0 line. I am still bearish till we touch this macro trend line and rsi is OS. You can’t deny how perfectly this all lines up. It’s crazy how symmetrical all this is. Looked at this chart again, fibs line up as well. I also just noticed we have a weakening up trend with the volume levels getting lower each pump. We could have another push higher without touching this trend line but shit once it looses this line. It’s short season till bottom of bear market.
BTC – Sharp Reaction at Triangle Support📆 On the 4H timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is holding the support of its symmetrical triangle, resulting in a quick pullback ⚡
This zone is crucial — watch how price behaves at the next resistance. A continuation could extend the bounce, while a rejection may bring it back into the range.
👀 Keep a close eye on this structure for the next move.
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin bounce as we expected and here is the first target🔥 As we expected in the previous idea, after retesting the lows at the start of the week, the price reversed upward. Target #1 — to close the GAP up to $115,200.
But will the price manage to close it fully, or will a reversal happen earlier? Let’s take a look at what the chart is telling us:
✅ Buying volumes are slowly growing, which means buyers are stepping in. However, overall buying volumes are still low compared to selling volumes. Once higher price levels are reached, sellers may become active and easily take back control.
✅ Since Monday, the price had been moving in a descending channel and today it broke upward with a strong impulse, which is usually a signal of a trend reversal to growth.
✅ Money Flow — an indicator showing inflows of money into the asset. Here we see a strong pump on the 1H timeframe chart, showing a sharp liquidity inflow. This is one of the key signs that the growth is supported by fresh liquidity, along with the rising buying volume.
📌 Conclusion:
Right now the price growth looks organic and healthy. All metrics are in harmony with the price direction. But things can quickly change this Friday with the CPE data. The market is extremely sensitive to any negative input right now. Still, if everything continues as it is now, we could see $114,000 today or tomorrow, while $115,000 will depend on Friday’s CPE data.
✍️ Drop a comment — are you long or already shorting?
BTC - Current Levels Post Rate CutIt has been a week since we saw the fed cut rates. Now it is time to reexamine price action compared to our pre-rate cut chart. That post can be found here:
After the rate cut (Vertical Purple Line), we saw price dump sharply while Powell was speaking. Once he stopped, BTC rallied all the way to our red box (mid term resistance). As expected, price then started to sell off from that level of resistance.
The buyers started to regain control of price action in our green box (current main support). As expected we saw many wicks into this box that were quickly eaten up by buyers. Currently, we are trying to see a break above our micro resistance level of $113.5k. If this level can be broken, the upwards momentum should continue.
However, We do not want to see BTC start closing 4H candles below our green trendline (Support Trendline). That would indicate this support we are building will be negated and further downside price action will ensure.
But based on the current technicals, BTC looks primed for a move back to the upside.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Rotation Continues
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market review.
Yesterday we expected rotation within two key zones with a priority on grabbing upper liquidity, but instead, price moved for lower liquidity and tested the $111,600–$110,500 buy zone (accumulated volumes), from which we again saw a strong reaction.
Our current focus remains on capturing the upper liquidity and testing the market imbalance near ~$113,800. After that, we expect another selling wave into the $113,000–$112,000 zone. If we see a strong reaction there, we will consider long setups targeting the higher sell zone at $115,000–$116,000.
Buy Zones:
• $111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
• ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• ~$113,800 (market imbalance, mirror zone)
• $115,000–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
⚠️ This publication is not financial advice.
btc long The market is setting up a potential long opportunity from a Bill Williams perspective. Here's the breakdown:
Fractal Analysis: Price is coiling above a significant bullish fractal support zone near $112,500. We need a bullish fractal to break above the recent consolidation to confirm a new upward impulse.
Awesome Oscillator (AO): The key will be watching for the next AO histogram bar to turn green and ideally see a three-peak buy signal forming. This would indicate accelerating bullish momentum.
Alligator's Mouth: Price is currently dancing around the Alligator's lips (the blue line). A strong push and sustained move above the Alligator's teeth (red line) would signal the Alligator is "awakening" and starting a new trending move to the upside.
Market Logic: The current squeeze suggests we are in a balance zone (trading range). The bias is for an upward breakout from this balance, targeting the next equilibrium zone.
Bias: LONG (on confirmation)
Confirmation Trigger: A clear break above the Alligator's teeth ($113,200 area) accompanied by a green AO bar.
Ideal Entry Zone: $113,200 - $113,400 (on confirmation).
Target: The previous fractal high near $114,200, with a stretch target to the $115,000+ zone if momentum is strong.
Stop Loss: A close below the recent fractal low support (below $112,500).
Trade in the direction of the Chaos!
The BTC cycle that started at 84K is projected end at 114K This is a cycle update for BTC/USDT. Based on the cycle data, the cycle that started at 84K has ended at 114K. This indicates that we are now entering a new major trend breakdown in the cycle. It can take time, but when there is a new uptrend cycle, we will add.
This time frame and action made the end of the cycle that started from 84K
This could mean that btc can enter below 110K in the coming time. We have seen more times in the history of BTC that by the cycle end, the trend breaks down in steps.