BTC/USDT – Daily OutlookBitcoin continues to show bullish momentum on the daily timeframe after a strong rebound from the major demand zone around $109K – $110K. Price has reclaimed key levels, now acting as support.
The nearest demand zone lies at $113K – $114K, which may serve as a re-entry area if retracement occurs.
As long as this zone holds, the bullish structure remains intact with upside targets toward $118K – $120K.
A breakdown below demand would weaken the outlook, exposing the lower demand zone around $109K – $110K.
Overall, BTC maintains a bullish mid-term outlook while monitoring demand zones remains crucial for confirming continuation.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum?On the 3-day chart, Bitcoin continues to respect its long-term ascending channel, with both the upper and lower boundaries acting as clean structural guides.
🔹 Momentum: After months of strength, momentum has slipped below the 0-line and is currently retesting it – a key pivot that often defines whether trend continuation or correction follows.
🔹 Structure: The lower boundary of the channel lines up almost perfectly with the horizontal support zone built from previous highs (around 100k–103k). This confluence makes it a natural candidate for a pullback area.
🔹 Volume: A noteworthy observation is the declining volume profile during the most recent leg higher – a potential early warning that participation is fading.
If the 100k–103k support area holds , the long-term uptrend remains intact.
But a decisive breakdown could open the door to a deeper correction.
👉 What do you think – is Bitcoin gearing up for another strong bounce off the channel, or are we on the edge of a deeper retracement?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
Disclaimer: This is a market observation, not financial advice.
Currency Wars Between Major Economies1. What is a Currency War?
A currency war (sometimes called “competitive devaluation”) occurs when countries deliberately try to devalue their own currencies in order to:
Make exports cheaper and more attractive in global markets.
Reduce the relative cost of domestic production compared to foreign competitors.
Improve trade balances by discouraging imports.
Stimulate domestic economic growth in times of slowdown.
The central idea is: a weaker currency helps exporters and supports jobs at home, but it often comes at the expense of trading partners.
However, currency wars are not always explicit. Sometimes they result from domestic monetary policies (like cutting interest rates or expanding money supply through quantitative easing) that incidentally weaken a currency. In other cases, governments openly intervene in foreign exchange markets, buying or selling large amounts of currency to influence exchange rates.
2. The Historical Roots of Currency Wars
a) The 1930s: The Great Depression and the “Beggar-Thy-Neighbor” Policies
The first widely recognized currency war took place during the Great Depression. In the 1930s, demand collapsed worldwide, unemployment skyrocketed, and countries scrambled to protect their industries.
Britain left the Gold Standard in 1931, devaluing the pound to boost exports.
The U.S. followed in 1933 under President Franklin D. Roosevelt, devaluing the dollar against gold.
Other nations like France, Germany, and Japan also adjusted their exchange rates.
This competitive devaluation became known as a “beggar-thy-neighbor” policy, where one country’s gain came at the expense of others. Instead of solving the crisis, it deepened global tensions and reduced cooperation — contributing indirectly to the geopolitical instability that led to World War II.
b) Bretton Woods and the Post-War Era
After World War II, leaders sought to prevent a repeat of destructive currency conflicts. In 1944, the Bretton Woods Agreement created a system of fixed exchange rates anchored to the U.S. dollar, which itself was pegged to gold.
This system promoted stability, but it had cracks:
Countries with trade surpluses (like Germany and Japan) accumulated reserves, while deficit nations (like the U.S.) faced growing pressure.
By 1971, the U.S. under President Richard Nixon ended dollar convertibility to gold — known as the Nixon Shock.
This collapse of Bretton Woods unleashed a new era of floating exchange rates, opening the door again for currency maneuvering.
c) The Plaza Accord (1985)
One of the most famous episodes of currency coordination (and conflict) came in the 1980s. The U.S. dollar had become excessively strong, hurting American exporters and creating huge trade deficits.
In 1985, the Plaza Accord was signed by the U.S., Japan, West Germany, France, and the U.K. The agreement coordinated efforts to weaken the U.S. dollar and strengthen other currencies like the Japanese yen and German Deutsche mark.
This marked a rare moment of cooperation in a currency conflict. However, the yen’s sharp appreciation later contributed to Japan’s asset bubble and “lost decades” of economic stagnation.
3. Tools Used in Currency Wars
Major economies deploy several instruments when waging currency wars:
a) Monetary Policy
Interest Rate Cuts: Lower rates reduce returns on investments in a currency, weakening its value.
Quantitative Easing (QE): Central banks create money to buy government bonds, expanding liquidity and pushing the currency downward.
b) Direct Market Intervention
Central banks buy or sell currencies in massive volumes. For example, China has historically purchased U.S. dollars to keep the yuan weaker and boost exports.
c) Trade Policies
Tariffs, subsidies, and capital controls can indirectly pressure currency values.
d) Capital Controls
Restricting or encouraging flows of foreign capital influences currency demand.
e) Rhetorical Pressure
Leaders often use verbal intervention — statements signaling that they prefer weaker or stronger currencies — to sway markets.
4. Major Episodes of Currency Wars in the Modern Era
a) The 2008 Global Financial Crisis and “Currency War II”
After the 2008 financial meltdown, the U.S. Federal Reserve launched unprecedented quantitative easing. The massive expansion of money supply weakened the dollar, making U.S. exports more competitive.
Emerging economies, particularly Brazil, India, and China, complained that the U.S. was effectively waging a currency war. Brazil’s Finance Minister Guido Mantega famously declared in 2010 that the world was in the midst of a “currency war” triggered by U.S. policies.
Other countries responded:
Japan intervened to prevent yen appreciation.
Switzerland capped the Swiss franc’s value against the euro to protect exporters.
China maintained tight control over the yuan’s value.
b) U.S.–China Currency Tensions
The U.S. has long accused China of deliberately undervaluing its currency to gain trade advantages. By pegging the yuan to the dollar and intervening heavily in markets, China kept its exports competitive.
In 2019, during the U.S.–China trade war, the U.S. Treasury officially labeled China a “currency manipulator”.
Though the label was later removed, the tension highlighted how currency policies are deeply tied to geopolitical rivalries.
c) Eurozone and Japan in the 2010s
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) also engaged in aggressive monetary easing. Both sought to stimulate sluggish economies and raise inflation. The result was a weaker euro and yen — moves criticized by trading partners who saw them as currency manipulation.
5. Winners and Losers in Currency Wars
Currency wars create complex outcomes:
Winners:
Exporters: A weaker currency boosts competitiveness abroad.
Industries with excess capacity: Can offload products internationally.
Countries with high unemployment: Export growth creates jobs.
Losers:
Import-dependent economies: Weaker currencies make imported goods (like oil, technology, or raw materials) more expensive.
Consumers: Face higher prices for foreign goods.
Global stability: Currency wars often fuel retaliatory trade wars.
6. The Geopolitical Dimension of Currency Wars
Currency values are not just about economics — they are tools of power.
The U.S. Dollar: As the world’s reserve currency, the dollar’s strength or weakness has global ripple effects. Dollar dominance gives the U.S. a unique ability to run deficits and still attract capital.
China’s Yuan: Beijing aims to internationalize the yuan, challenging dollar supremacy. Currency management is part of its broader geopolitical ambition.
Euro and Yen: Represent regional stability and serve as counterweights in financial markets.
Emerging Markets: Often caught in the crossfire, suffering from volatile capital flows and inflation risks when major economies manipulate currencies.
7. Are We in a Currency War Today?
As of the 2020s, elements of currency competition are visible:
Post-COVID Stimulus: Massive monetary easing in the U.S., Europe, and Japan initially weakened currencies, though inflation later forced tightening.
Dollar Strength (2022–2024): The U.S. dollar surged due to aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, putting pressure on emerging markets with dollar-denominated debt.
China’s Slowdown: China has allowed the yuan to weaken at times to support exports amid slowing domestic demand.
De-Dollarization Trends: BRICS nations and others are exploring alternatives to the dollar, signaling future battles over currency influence.
8. The Risks of Currency Wars
Currency wars may provide temporary relief for domestic economies, but they carry significant risks:
Trade Wars: Competitive devaluation often spills into tariffs and protectionism.
Inflation: Weaker currencies make imports costlier, fueling inflation.
Financial Instability: Rapid capital flight from weaker currencies can destabilize economies.
Loss of Credibility: Persistent manipulation undermines trust in a nation’s financial system.
Global Tensions: Currency disputes exacerbate geopolitical rivalries.
9. Pathways to Cooperation
While conflict is common, cooperation remains possible:
IMF Surveillance: The International Monetary Fund monitors exchange rate policies to discourage manipulation.
Currency Swap Agreements: Central banks often collaborate to provide liquidity in crises.
Multilateral Dialogues: Platforms like the G20 discuss currency issues to prevent escalation.
Global Reserve Diversification: Gradual movement toward a multipolar currency system (dollar, euro, yuan) may reduce tensions.
10. The Future of Currency Wars
Looking ahead, several themes will shape the currency battles of the future:
U.S.–China Rivalry: The yuan’s internationalization vs. dollar dominance will remain central.
Digital Currencies: Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) could reshape currency competition. China is already ahead with its digital yuan.
Geopolitical Fragmentation: As regional blocs (BRICS, ASEAN, EU) strengthen, multiple currency spheres of influence may emerge.
Energy and Commodities: Countries like Russia are pushing for non-dollar trade in oil and gas, tying currencies directly to resource power.
Technology and Finance: Cryptocurrencies and fintech innovations may add another dimension to currency wars.
Conclusion
Currency wars are a recurring feature of the global economy, blending economics, politics, and power. From the Great Depression’s competitive devaluations to the modern U.S.–China rivalry, these wars reveal how deeply currencies influence trade, growth, and geopolitics.
While a weaker currency may provide short-term relief to struggling economies, the long-term costs often outweigh the gains. Inflation, financial instability, and rising tensions are frequent outcomes. True stability requires cooperation, transparency, and reforms in the global monetary system.
In the 21st century, the battlefield of currency wars is shifting. It is no longer just about exchange rates, but about digital currencies, technological control, and global influence. Whether the future brings cooperation or deeper conflict depends on how major economies balance national interests with global stability.
BTC/USDT: Bullish Leap to 122K? As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, BINANCE:BTCUSDT is gearing up for a bullish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone between 111750-113000 near a key support and rising trendline. 🎯
The target range at 122000 aligns with the next major resistance, signaling strong upside potential. Set a stop loss on a daily close below 110000 to manage risk effectively.
Attention: The price may not hit the red box and could move upward with momentum after touching the ascending trendline. Exercise caution in managing your capital.
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: 111,750 – 113,000 (support + trendline area)
❌ Stop Loss: Daily close below 110,000 to manage risk
🎯 Target: 122,000 (next major resistance)
💡 Ready for this surge? Drop your take below! 👇
BTC “Blow-off” confirmed, what’s next?Newest chart (H&S with RS near 118.7k, high 124.5k, supports 110.9k / 108.7k / 95.1k / 96.5k / 77.3–74.5k) shows we did get the blow-off extension I had at 13%. We now re-weight the next path conditional on a completed blow-off.
🎯 Short to $73K — plan, gates, and guardrails
It’s feasible only after losing: $110.9K → $108.7K → $103–101K → $96–95K
Risk guardrails (objective invalidations) 🚧
Primary invalidation: Daily close > 118.7K (your RS/supply).
Hard invalidation: Momentum HH > 120.5K and sustained bid above; expect squeeze back to 123–125K.
Trailing logic:
After 110.9K breaks → trail to entry.
After 108.7K breaks → trail to 111.0–111.5K.
After 101K breaks → trail to 105–106K.
After 95K breaks → trail to 99–100K.
Position management 🔧
Scale targets: 108.7K, 103–101K, 96–95K, 90–88K, 83–78K, 75–73K.
What would help the $73K path 📉
Clean acceptance below 95K (no immediate reclaim).
ETF flow cool-off (you’ve been tracking this) + weak spot bid during futures-led dumps.
CME term structure flattening/inversion into breakdowns.
OBV / CVD making lower lows as price ranges (distribution tells).
What would hurt it 📈
Swift 118.7K reclaim on strong spot-led buying.
Persistent positive ETF net inflows on down days.
Perp funding resetting positive while price refuses to break 108.7K.
Aligned with the post–blow-off distribution thesis. Hold the short only as long as 118.7K isn’t reclaimed and the market accepts below 110.9K → 108.7K. The hinge zone is 96–95K; lose it cleanly and $83–78K → $75–73K opens up. Manage via staged profits and a rising trailing stop so the trade can breathe on the way to $73K objective.
BTC DATA UPDATEBTC/USDT Update
On the low time frame, BTC is still in a breakdown structure. Price is consolidating under pressure around the 115.7K zone.
Key levels to watch:
116K → first level where momentum could shift.
116.5K → confirmation level. A strong break and hold above 116.5K would confirm a new uptrend and open the way to higher levels.
Failure to confirm above 116.5K means risk remains for further downside continuation.
Critical support: 112.8K is an important cycle level BTC must hold to stay inside the green cycle.
If 112.8K breaks, probability increases for a deeper correction toward lower zones (110K–108K).
Until BTC closes and confirms above 116.5K, bias remains cautiously bearish/sideways.
📌 Summary
Below 116K → breakdown structure remains active.
Break & confirmation above 116.5K → bullish scenario opens.
112.8K → must-hold cycle support for the green cycle.
BTC- MONEY ROTATIONMy #BTC outlook remains unchanged for now 👀📉
🔸 price is consolidating, while #alts , especially #memecoins hype are strong!
🔸 #BTC.D (dominance) could dip further to retest 56% and consolidate - classic signal of money rotation into #altcoins .
🔸 If BTC continues to range below $118,000- $120,000, a retest of key supports at $112,500, $112,000, and even $110,000 is likely.
⚠️ Watching for a strong move here: will BTC reclaim the highs… or give more room for alts to run wild?
Stay nimble, manage your risk, and don’t chase pumps!📊
BTC/USDT | BTC Correction Done? Next Pump Loading…By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price moved higher as expected, reaching around $118,000. After that, Bitcoin corrected down to the $115,000 demand zone. Once it touched this level, demand stepped in again and the price bounced back.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $116,000. If the price holds above the $114,400–$115,000 support zone, we can expect the start of another bullish wave.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
2-Month High Bitcoin Accumulation Could Push Price To $120,000Bitcoin is trading at $116,027, maintaining steady gains since the start of the month. The crypto king is now facing resistance at $117,261, a key level that has kept upward progress capped in recent sessions. Breaking this barrier will be crucial for Bitcoin’s next move.
If Bitcoin manages to breach and flip $117,261 into support, it could rally toward $120,000 in the coming days. Strong buying pressure and favorable momentum indicators make this outcome highly plausible.
However, a loss of momentum could bring renewed selling pressure. Should BTC fall through the $115,000 support, the price risks slipping to $112,500, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Bitcoin - Will the parallel channel hold?Introduction
The Bitcoin market is currently showing an interesting structure that offers both bullish and bearish possibilities. By analyzing the liquidity dynamics, the channel formation, and key areas of interest highlighted on the chart, we can gain a better understanding of the potential scenarios that may play out in the short to medium term. This analysis focuses on the recent liquidity sweep, the behavior within the rising channel, and the critical zones that could act as decision points for price movement.
Liquidity sweep above the highs
Recently, the market performed a liquidity sweep above the previous highs. This type of price action typically occurs when liquidity pools are triggered, trapping breakout traders and providing institutional players with favorable entries in the opposite direction. The sweep has set the stage for the next move, and it becomes crucial to see whether price sustains above this level or rejects it decisively.
Rising channel
Price is currently trading within a rising channel, which often acts as a short-term bullish structure but can also precede reversals if broken to the downside. The channel is providing clear levels of support and resistance, with the midline serving as a short-term equilibrium point. As long as price remains inside this channel, traders should expect oscillations between its boundaries, but any break below it could trigger a stronger move toward lower support zones.
Bearish scenario
In the event that price fails to hold within the channel, the bearish scenario points toward a retest of the lower fair value gap (FVG) around the 113,000 level. This would align with a deeper correction, offering the market a chance to rebalance inefficiencies left behind during the recent bullish rally. A sustained breakdown from the channel could accelerate selling pressure, with liquidity below key lows acting as a magnet for price.
Bullish scenario
On the other hand, if price manages to respect the rising channel and reclaim the liquidity sweep level, the bullish scenario would see a continuation toward the higher 4-hour fair value gap around 119,000–120,000. This area is a major point of interest, as it represents an unfilled imbalance that could attract buyers if momentum continues. Holding above the midline of the channel would strengthen the bullish outlook and could even lead to a retest of previous highs.
Final thoughts
Overall, the market is at a decisive stage where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain valid. The liquidity sweep has created a reaction point, and the rising channel offers a clear framework for monitoring price behavior. Traders should remain flexible and prepared for either outcome, watching closely for confirmations such as a clean break of the channel or a strong reclaim of resistance levels. Ultimately, the reaction around the current structure will determine whether Bitcoin continues higher toward the upper fair value gap or corrects lower into the demand zone below.
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BTC: Correction or the Calm Before the Storm? AI Breakdown What's up, crypto crew! 🚀 NeuralTraderingPro, back in the hot seat to help you navigate through the fog of market uncertainty. It's Saturday, September 20th, and we're seeing last week's bullish fire cool down into a more cautious stance. So let's break it down: is this a healthy breather before the next leg up, or the start of a deeper correction?
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: THE MARKET PUMPED THE BRAKES
My last analysis on September 18th hit the nail on the head. I pointed out that massive wall of resistance around the $117,750 - $118,000 zone. My primary call was that a clean break above that level would pave the way to $122,500. But the bears held the line! 🛡️ The bulls got rejected, and the price pulled back, confirming my alternative correction scenario. The market sliced through our first support at $116,800 (the previous `down1` level) and is now battling it out in the key $115,800 zone (the previous `down2`). The market chose caution, and we have to adapt.
📊 THE CURRENT SITUATION: CHARTS AND INDICATORS
Current Price: $115,905.93
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The powerful uptrend is taking a breather. We're seeing two red candles, signaling a correction after the recent run-up. The RSI is cooling off from overbought territory, which is a healthy sign. The price is approaching the 20-day SMA, which should act as a key dynamic support. The MACD shows that bullish momentum is fading. The big picture is still bullish, but in the short term, the bears are in control.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): The picture is even clearer here. The price has broken below the 20-period SMA (blue line) and is now testing the 50-period SMA (orange line) for support. This is a clear signal of a short-term sentiment shift from bullish to bearish/corrective. The MACD has dipped into negative territory, and the RSI is below 50, confirming weakness from the buyers on this timeframe.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we're in a clear descending channel. Price is trading below both the 20 and 50 SMAs. The RSI is trying to bounce off the oversold zone, which could spark a small local bounce, but the overall trend here is still down. The MACD is hinting at potential consolidation, but we'll need stronger signals for a full reversal.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: THE BATTLE FOR $115,900
The order book is where the real drama is unfolding:
🔴 Sell Walls (Resistance): Right at the current price of $115,905.93, there is a massive sell order for nearly 13 BTC (worth ~$1.5 million)! This is a huge wall putting heavy pressure on the price and capping any move up. The sellers are completely in the driver's seat right now.
🟢 Buy Walls (Support): The bulls are biding their time. Their main forces are clustered just below the current price. A large cluster of buy orders is stacked in the $115,868 - $115,886 range. This is the first serious line of defense where buyers are ready to step in.
The Takeaway: The sell pressure is immense and immediate. The price is literally hitting a brick wall. If the bulls can't hold the line around ~$115,870, the drop could accelerate.
📰 WEEKLY RECAP & MARKET NEWS
This week has been a rollercoaster! 🎢 It kicked off with a steady climb that turned into a euphoric rally mid-week on the news of the Fed rate cut (as expected). The price shot up to $117,750. However, the euphoria wore off quickly, and the last few days have been all about profit-taking and correction.
Key news and themes on our radar today:
1. 🌐 FOCUS SHIFTS TO ALTCOINS. Chainlink (LINK) is showing incredible strength. Major firm Caliber invested $6.5M into it , and some analysts are calling for a run to $100 . Successful pilot programs with UBS in Hong Kong are also fueling the fire . This could be temporarily pulling liquidity away from Bitcoin, contributing to its current lull.
2. 🧐 LONG-TERM BULLISH SENTIMENT. Despite the correction, the big players are staying optimistic. Michael Saylor recently stated that a "decisive 10-year run" for Bitcoin has begun. The CEO of HashKey also spoke about BTC's potential as a strategic reserve. This provides a solid long-term foundation and should limit how far we fall.
3. 💰 THE FTX PAYOUT IS COMING. At the end of the month, on September 30th, a $1.6 billion payout to FTX creditors is expected. This event could inject massive volatility into the market. If that money gets reinvested, we could see a pump. If it's cashed out to fiat, expect a dump. The market is holding its breath.
4. 🇺🇸 THE ETF SAGA CONTINUES. Grayscale just filed for a spot Dogecoin ETF. This shows that the process of integrating crypto into traditional finance is in full swing, which is a long-term positive for the entire market.
🔮 FORECAST & KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (Sept 21-28)
This correction seems logical and, for now, doesn't threaten the macro bull trend. However, the bears have seized short-term control. The coming week will likely start with a test of key support levels. The outcome of that battle will dictate the market's direction for the next few days.
Probability: Short 📉 (55%) / Long 📈 (45%)
🎯 Key Targets for the Week Ahead:
Upside Targets (If Support Holds):
1. 🐂 $116,800 - The old support level, now the first line of resistance.
2. 🐂🐂 $117,750 - The recent high; a powerful resistance zone.
3. 🐂🐂🐂 $119,500 - A psychological barrier before the assault on $120k.
Downside Targets (If Support Breaks):
1. 🐻 $115,000 - A critical psychological level and a support zone on the daily chart.
2. 🐻🐻 $113,800 - The consolidation zone from early September; the next major support.
3. 🐻🐻🐻 $112,500 - The 50-day SMA area. This is the bulls' last stand before a much deeper drop.
💡 TRADE IDEAS
1. Long Positions (Playing the Bounce)
Long 1 (Conservative): Enter after a clear bounce from the $115,000 support zone with confirmation of buyer strength. Targets: $116,800, $117,750. Stop-loss: $114,400.
Long 2 (Aggressive): Enter after a confirmed break and hold above $116,800. Target: $119,500. Stop-loss: $116,200.
2. Short Positions (Riding the Correction)
Short 1 (Aggressive): Enter on a confirmed break and hold below the $115,800 support zone. Targets: $115,000, $113,800. Stop-loss: $116,300.
Short 2 (Conservative): Short a failed retest of the $117,750 level if the price returns there and shows weakness. Target: $116,800. Stop-loss: $118,300.
🛡️ FINAL THOUGHTS & RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is cooling off after a hot run, and that's perfectly normal. Now is the time for patience and a level head. Don't panic sell, but don't ignore the signs of weakness either. All eyes are on the ~$115,000 support level. If we hold it, the path to recovery opens up. If we break it, expect further correction. And as always, use stop-losses 🛡️—they're your best defense in any market condition!
May your trades be profitable and your analysis sharp! 💰 Don't forget to smash that like button 👍 and subscribe so you don't miss the next breakdown!
Can #BTC continue to rise?📊Can #BTC continue to rise?
🧠From a structural perspective, we are still in a bullish structure and trend. The price is still above the yellow support zone, so the possibility of continued bullish momentum remains high. Avoid chasing shorts near the yellow support zone!
➡️If you want to participate in short trades, we can watch for short trading opportunities after the red target zone is reached. Alternatively, after the price breaks below the inflection point and the yellow support zone, and the yellow support zone turns into the blue resistance zone, look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance zone.
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BITCOIN → Manipulation, long squeeze before growth BINANCE:BTCUSDT is in a global bullish trend. The fundamental background, following the start of interest rate cuts, is taking a positive turn, but instead of growth, the market is consolidating...
Bitcoin is showing resilience, trading within the specified trading range (above 114K) amid the Fed's policy easing. For three weeks in a row, growth has been supported by dovish signals from the central bank and growing institutional demand.
Key drivers: The Fed's 25 bps rate cut and forecasts of further easing (to 3.6% by the end of 2025) have strengthened the fundamental backdrop in the cryptocurrency market. Corporate and ETF purchases continue to fuel the bullish trend. Low rates reduce the attractiveness of bonds and increase interest in Bitcoin.
Technically, the market, influenced by manipulation rather than growth, continues to accumulate potential before growth.
Resistance levels: 117860,
Support levels: 114600, 113300
The market is forming an uptrend, with a bullish trend line appearing on the chart. However, as part of consolidation, Bitcoin is under pressure from bears and is moving into a correction phase from 117900. I expect that MM may form a long squeeze in the liquidity zone. That is, a false breakdown of the consolidation support and trend at the same time, and only then return to an upward movement.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Eyes $118K as Fresh Channel Structure FormsBitcoin’s short-term price action shows signs of stabilization after a recent correction. The hourly chart now highlights a fresh channel structure where support and resistance appear well-defined. This new formation could provide a rotational environment for price action before an expansion into higher levels.
Key Technical Points
- Fresh Channel: Support and resistance forming on the hourly timeframe.
- Point of Control: Price attempting to reclaim local POC.
- Upside Target: $118,000 remains the key bullish objective.
The pullback from the highs was not random — it originated at a high-volume resistance level where the point of control was briefly front-run. This rejection triggered a short-term correction before price rebounded at channel support.
Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim the local point of control. A successful reclaim would validate the channel structure and increase the probability of expansion toward $118,000. Structurally, this suggests that the current correction is merely a rotation within the channel rather than a breakdown of the trend.
What to Expect
As long as the channel remains intact, Bitcoin is poised for rotation higher. A close above the POC could accelerate momentum, pushing BTC toward $118,000.
BTC/USDT – Long Setup After Liquidity Grab (1H Chart)Bitcoin has recently swept liquidity near the 115,046 support zone and is now showing signs of reversal. This setup is based on a potential bullish continuation after the liquidity grab.
Entry (Buy): 115,965.94
Stop Loss (SL): 115,046.66
Take Profit (TP): 117,939.93
📊 Plan:
Price reacted strongly after liquidity sweep below recent lows, indicating buyers stepping in. As long as price holds above the entry zone, the upside target towards 117,939.93 remains valid.
This trade offers a clean risk-to-reward ratio with SL safely below the liquidity sweep and TP at the next resistance zone.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 43😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Bitcoin, we see that after the recent interest rate cut news, price started moving down. It seems that the potential upside from the news was already priced in by traders. Right now, BTC is trading in a range between resistance at $117,573 and support at $114,828. A breakout of either side could send the price toward the next support or resistance. For now, the market will likely move into a range condition, where the win rate of most setups drops, so it’s better to trade with lower risk.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it is near a support zone below the 50 level. The two key levels to watch are 40 and 70. If RSI breaks above or below these zones, Bitcoin could start a new move.
🕯 Currently, the size, volume, and number of red candles are increasing. As BTC approaches support, some buy orders have been triggered. The key question is whether this support zone is strong enough to hold the price until the new week begins. Since the ATH, every correction has faced strong selling pressure from major sellers (maker sellers).
🧠 At this stage, Bitcoin itself may not provide the best setups for positions. However, altcoins that are showing bullish divergence or relative strength against BTC could present better opportunities. We can track these coins on platforms like TradingView or CoinMarketCap, identify their triggers, and look for long entries if the setups are valid.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC - UPDATE#BITCOIN - Update 🧭
As flagged in my previous weekly outlook, we remain in a very neutral area: $118,000–$112,000.
H4 chart shows what looks like a bearish retest.
Short term, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a move back towards the $112,000 support.📉
Patience is key, waiting for a clearer signal or a break from this range before taking any aggressive positions.