BITCOIN UPDATEHello friends
According to the open cycle, we can say that our trend is bullish and is in a channel, but a resistance has stopped it, which it has hit twice. Now we have to see if this resistance will finally be broken or if the price will continue to suffer below this resistance.
If the price breaks the resistance, it will move to the specified targets.
Trade safely with us.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC - pre FOMC balanceWorst time to position for BTC for two reasons:
first is the FOMC meeting concluding later today, with volatility expected while the market is currently pricing in a very positive outcome in tradfi markets.
For BTC, we saw a lot of spoofing and orderbook acrobatics this week. Market structure looks very vulnerable to the downside on ltf and to the upside on higher timeframe.
Meanwhile we have created a sort of balanced profile for the past 6 days. Currently we swept yesterdays npoc and got a decent reaction there. Over the 6 day volume composite, we are trading right at the POC though, which means balanced price, where I'm usually less interested in taking a trade.
No position is best position here for me, will let the storm pass and then see what's what at the end of the week.
BITCOIN NEXT MOVE REVEALED!!!!! (this will make you scream) Yello Paradisers! In this video, we went through multiple timeframes as professional traders. We assumed things to analyze in Elliott Wave and other important indicators and advanced technical analysis tools. What's the next movement going to be with the highest probability!
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
#BTC/USDT Breaks Resistance: Eyes on 117436 K#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 114400, which represents a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 114715
First target: 115650
Second target: 116518
Third target: 117436
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#BTC: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 09/17/2025Hey there, crypto community and trading maestros! 🚀 NeuralTraderingPro is back, ready to guide you through the mists of market uncertainty straight to the peaks of profit. It’s Wednesday, September 17th, and the market is buzzing with anticipation for fresh movements. Let's break down who's calling the shots this week!
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: THE BULLS BROKE THROUGH!
My analysis from yesterday played out with laser-like precision! 🎯 I highlighted a colossal sell wall at 115,837 USDT and stated, "If buyers 'devour' this wall... it will be a powerful signal of their strength." And that's exactly what happened! Fueled by positive news, the bulls obliterated that resistance. My aggressive trading idea, "Long 1: Buy immediately after the breakout... above the wall at 115,900 USDT," proved to be golden. The price surged upwards, reaching current levels around 116,500 USDT. The bearish scenario was completely invalidated. Congratulations to everyone who followed this plan and rode the wave of growth!
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 116511.1 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The global uptrend remains firmly in place. The price has solidified its position above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, confirming a long-term bullish outlook. RSI is in buyer territory (around 65) but hasn't yet reached overbought levels, leaving fuel for further ascent. MACD in the positive zone continues its climb. The structure looks poised for the price to attack new highs.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, we see the aftermath of yesterday's bullish triumph. The price has formed a clear ascending channel. After breaking through resistance at 115,800, that level has now become mirrored support. The price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, which is expanding, indicating high volatility and buyer strength. Both RSI and MACD indicators are confidently in bullish territory, confirming the strength of the current momentum.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we observe a consolidation phase after the impulsive surge. The price is moving within a narrow range of 116,200 - 116,700 USDT, accumulating energy. This resembles the formation of a "bull flag" or pennant – a classic trend continuation pattern. RSI has cooled off from peak values, which is healthy for sustainable growth.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: A FORTRESS AT 116,500
The battle has moved to a new front!
🟢 Support Walls: Buyers have constructed a formidable defensive redoubt. Directly below the current price, at 116,500 USDT, stands a massive buy wall exceeding 13 BTC (worth approximately 1.5 million USDT). This is a very strong signal: the bulls have no intention of surrendering their conquered positions and are ready to buy up any dips.
🔴 Resistance Walls: Sellers aren't giving up and have built a layered defense. The nearest large order is precisely at 116,511 USDT (nearly 6 BTC). Higher up, in the range of 116,526 - 116,562 USDT, there's a cluster of sell orders. This is the zone the bulls need to overcome to continue the rally.
Conclusion: Buyers have taken a dominant position, establishing powerful support. Sellers are attempting to stem the tide, but their resistance appears more scattered compared to the monolithic buyer wall.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news flow remains predominantly bullish, creating a tailwind for price appreciation.
🏦 Institutional Scarcity. Fidelity's forecast that 28% of bitcoins could soon vanish from the market due to long-term HODLing is a potent long-term bullish factor. This is a fundamental basis for a "supply shock."
🇦🇷 Argentinian Catalyst. Calls from economists for a shift to Bitcoin amid the potential collapse of Argentina's financial system once again fuel the narrative of BTC as a refuge from hyperinflation and fiat currency instability.
🎯 $117,500 Level in Focus. Analysts are unanimously emphasizing this level. A breach would serve as technical confirmation of a major rally beginning towards $122,000, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy effect as many traders will place their orders just beyond this mark.
🏛️ Fed Uncertainty. Experts are divided on the impact of the upcoming Fed interest rate decision. This is the primary source of potential volatility this week. The decision could either accelerate growth (in case of policy easing) or trigger a short-term correction.
🇷🇺 Russian Legalization. Sberbank, Russia's largest bank, launching a financial asset pegged to a basket of Bitcoin and Ethereum is a huge step towards cryptocurrency adoption in Russia and a signal for major capital.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (September 17-24)
The technical picture, order book analysis, and positive news flow create all the conditions for continued upward movement. The main risk is the uncertainty surrounding the Fed meeting. A breakthrough of the current consolidation upwards will open the way to the week's main targets.
Scenario Probability: Long 📈 (70%) / Short 📉 (30%)
🎯 Key Targets for the Upcoming Week:
UP Targets (in case of consolidation breakout):
🐂 117,500 USDT - Technical and psychological trigger for the main growth wave.
🐂🐂 119,800 USDT - Next profit-taking zone before the important 120k level.
🐂🐂🐂 122,000 USDT - Optimistic weekly target, based on graphical model projections.
DOWN Targets (in case of false breakout and correction):
🐻 115,800 USDT - Mirrored level, former resistance, now the first strong support.
🐻🐻 115,000 USDT - Psychological mark and a zone where buyer activity was observed yesterday.
🐻🐻🐻 114,200 USDT - Key support on the 4H chart; its loss could break the bullish structure.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
Long Positions (Long) — With the Trend.
Long Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy on a breakout of the upper boundary of the current consolidation (above 116,800 USDT). Target: 117,500. Stop-loss: 116,350 USDT.
Long Idea 2 (Conservative): Buy on a retest of the 115,800 - 116,000 USDT support zone if the market pulls back. Targets: 117,500, 119,800 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,400 USDT.
Short Positions (Short) — Against the Wind.
Short Idea 1 (Risky): Sell only if a clear false breakout of the 117,500 level forms. For example, a sharp rise followed by an equally sharp drop back below this level. Target: 116,000. Stop-loss: 117,950 USDT.
Short Idea 2 (Structural Break): Short only if there's a confident break and consolidation below the strong 115,800 USDT support. This would signal that all of yesterday's growth was a bull trap. Targets: 115,000, 114,200 USDT. Stop-loss: 116,300 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is clearly under bull control. Price structure, sentiment, and news flow all point towards continued growth. The coming hours will reveal whether the current pause was an accumulation of strength before a new assault. I recommend trading with the trend but being prepared for increased volatility around Fed news days. Always use stop-losses 🛡️ — they are your best defense in the world of crypto!
May your trades be green and your profits cosmic! 💰 Don't forget to give this analysis a thumbs up 👍 and subscribe to always stay one step ahead of the market!
Compression Below Resistance: Prepare for Post-FOMC BTC Plays__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bitcoin is trapped in a volatility compression zone, trading just below key resistance and awaiting the high-stakes FOMC catalyst. The broader context shows contained flows and limited directional momentum: the market is on standby.
Momentum: Short-term momentum is neutral to slightly bearish 📉, with price tightly range-bound and no strong buying impulse. All eyes on the macro trigger.
Key levels:
— Resistances (clustered):
• 116,800–116,814 (240 Pivot High, dominant multi-TF resistance)
• 124,277 (ATH/Daily Pivot High)
— Supports :
• 114,800–114,809 (240 Pivot, primary short-term support)
• 113,421 (720 Pivot)
• 111,965 (Weekly Pivot High)
Volumes: Volumes are normal across all timeframes, with only a small bump on short-term down moves (30m/15m) — no signs of extreme positioning.
Multi-timeframe signals: Medium-term trend remains bullish (MTFTI "Strong Up" on daily/12H), but short-term timeframes (1H–4H–12H) show downward momentum and lack of a decisive volume trigger.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: Neutral to sell bias , confirming the absence of strong risk-on flows and supporting a cautious tactical approach.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
The dominant tone is cautious sideways compression — only act on clear breakout or rejection signals at range extremes.
Global bias: Short-term neutral to bearish ; invalidated by a clear reclaim and hold above 116,814.
Opportunities:
• Buy “breakout” only if price clearly breaks and sustains >116,814 with strong volume (first target 117,300, then 118,400+); invalidate below 114,809.
• Sell on firm break and hold <114,809, adding size if volume rises, targeting 114,000–113,000; invalidate on swift rebound >115,700.
Risk zones / invalidations:
• Reclaim and hold >116,814 (with volume) invalidates short bias.
• Breakdown and hold <114,809 across several TFs activates downside.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
• Imminent FOMC decision — options market, volatility compression, and max defensive positioning are the primary drivers.
• ETF flows cooling, Bitcoin dominance declining, risk rotations likely post-FOMC — no strong risk-on evidence yet.
• UK/EU inflation and dovish central banks are background noise, not immediate BTC movers.
Action plan:
• on breakout or clean rejection of technical pivots (116,814/114,809).
• below indicated risk line.
• 117,300, 118,400+ in long; 114,000, 113,000 in short.
• R/R ~1.8–2; max initial exposure 12.5%, only scale in with confirmed multi-TF momentum.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
All timeframes show a tense coil: no timeframe provides a clear trend for now, reinforcing a "wait and see" approach.
1D/12H: Medium-term uptrend filter persists (MTFTI “Strong Up”), but near-term momentum repeatedly stalls below 116,814–116,800, with no volume breakthrough.
6H/4H/2H/1H: Tightly coiled range, anchored at 114,809; loss would open up liquidity tests down to 113,421–114,000.
30m/15m: Volume picks up on short-term declines; only a fleeting “risk-on” flash on 15m (no follow-through to higher TFs).
Major divergences: Isolated 6H “Strong Buy” on equity isn’t confirmed at the market level, making any bounce fragile. 15m “risk-on” flashes lack multi-TF confirmation.
Key invalidation/pivot levels are well aligned across TFs — critical for reactivity when the move comes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro and on-chain forces both encourage patience, with the FOMC outcome set to trigger the next major move.
Macro events:
• in focus, strong rate cut expectations and options market tension dominate — clear primary driver.
• BoC goes dovish, UK/EU inflation tensions, but no direct “risk-on” signals across global macro.
• ETF flows tepid, specific post-FOMC asset rotation will be key.
Bitcoin analysis:
• Bitcoin consolidates ~6.8% below ATH, inside technical “cloud” — price activity is all about risk management (options, ETF).
• On-chain support ~110k–114k solid, resistance 115.8k–116.8k, tightly aligned with technical levels.
On-chain data:
• ETF inflows dormant, derivatives lead price action, no clear sign of euphoria or capitulation; on-chain support >108k remains robust.
• Overall attitude is defensive, “wait for the catalyst” mode.
Expected impact:
• The FOMC’s reaction will drive the technical breakout or breakdown; only a clear confirmation will unlock decisive follow-through beyond the current coil.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bitcoin remains trapped in a compression phase under key resistance, on high alert going into the FOMC.
The overall trend is short-term neutral to bearish, with all bullish setups hinged on a confirmed pivot breakout above 116,814. The highest-conviction play is to let the FOMC be the trigger: position with the move, not before. Macro dominance means no reason to anticipate a risk-on rotation until confirmation.
Keep your edge: wait for multi-TF signals and volume confluence, and manage exposure tightly — false breakouts and volatility traps are the enemy heading into this macro event!
BTC: Range-high fade, reload 100–97k, bias up into 2026!Hey crypto crew!
Back at the top of the range. If 120k rejects and we print a daily close below 110k, I’m eyeing a reload at 100–97k (POC / 50W / 0.786).
If we close the week above 120k, I drop the pullback and ride 123–129, then 134–136.
Big picture: aiming higher into late ’25 and 2026.
Play the levels, manage risk. 💪
Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT | Bitcoin Rally Setup – Next Stops: $116.7K and Beyond!By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $115,500. As long as it holds above the key support zone of $113,700–$115,300, I expect Bitcoin to continue its bullish move toward higher levels.
The next possible upside targets are $116,700, $117,450, and $118,600. Longer-term targets will be shared in future updates!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC 4H – Order Block Entry, But Do 4H Highs Break or Reject?BTC’s recent structure shows a liquidity sweep followed by a clean break of structure (BOS). Price then retested a 1H order block, which offered a textbook long entry.
Confluence is reinforced by the 50 EMA crossing above the 200 EMA, a bullish confirmation aligning short- and long-term trend bias. From here, price is targeting the 4H highs at 117.2K, but this zone doubles as a potential liquidity grab area.
Key technicals:
Support: 114.8K (50 EMA), 113.6K (200 EMA).
Resistance: 117.2K (previous 4H highs).
Structure: Higher highs forming post-BOS, sustained above order block demand.
The question: do bulls extend through 117.2K for continuation, or does BTC reject at this liquidity pocket before resetting?
#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback📊#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback ⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
➡️From a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
⚠️Note that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Rate Cuts, Liquidity, and BTC: Why 120K Is the Danger ZoneYesterday , while everyone was screaming about a Bitcoin dump, we caught the breakout of that resistance I showed you.
Today, I want to talk about the upcoming rate cut news , what could happen after it, and what we should do with our open positions.
Now personally, I’m still holding the breakout position we entered a week ago . I didn’t secure any profits, and honestly—I didn’t even want to. Because if the Fed cuts rates, we could kick off the next leg of this uptrend.
But keep this in mind: opening fresh positions around 120K IS NOT EASY AT ALL. Why?
Because there’s massive liquidity up there, huge volatility, and the chances of getting stopped out are very high. That’s exactly why I’d rather hold my position from earlier than be forced to open new ones in that zone.
👉 Let’s look at yesterday’s daily candle: it closed super bullish. This shows the market is leaning positive on the idea of a rate cut. But is this candle just front-running the news? Hard to say. We can’t exactly go ask every trader if they bought because of the Fed. So, better not overthink it.
I personally expect a short-term dip after the news drops. But more important than the cut itself are Powell’s words. If he signals more cuts are coming, markets could explode higher. If he says “not anytime soon,” we might get a pullback.
⚠️ My advice:
If you don’t already have a position, stay on the sidelines for a few hours. Any stop loss you put now has a big chance of getting hit.
But if, like me, you’re already in from the earlier triggers, just hold. It’s worth it.
For me, I’m also long on GBP/USD, and I didn’t secure profits there either—I’m waiting to see how it reacts.
👉 Quick look at BTC.D: dominance is rising with Bitcoin, which means it’s smarter to keep focus on BTC rather than altcoins. When dominance turns bearish again, that’s when we’ll shift back to alts.
This is why for the past few days I’ve been saying: stick with Bitcoin. Liquidity is flowing into it.
Ethereum? It gave back almost 70% of its recent move.
LONG STORY SHORT: don’t do anything stupid here. The best play, if you don’t have an open position, is to stay patient. Don’t FOMO.
Remember: the most important thing is not Bitcoin’s price itself. It’s stop-loss size, liquidity zones, and momentum. here in Skeptic Lab, that’s exactly what we dig into.
I’ll try to post another update after the Fed news drops.
Until then, stay safe. Peace ✌️
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 39👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing BTCUSDT and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we observe that after breaking the $116,000 zone, the price moved upward and buyers drove it to the $117,000 level. Then, sellers pushed the price back down to roughly the same level as yesterday. Currently, Bitcoin has two important triggers: one at $116,860 and another at $114,660. With a breakout of these levels, we can take positions more confidently. I don’t have a specific short scenario in mind because long positions, if taken, could continue with the news of interest rate cuts, and we could even add several funding levels to our positions.
🧮 On the RSI, the two critical zones are 70 and 38. If momentum breaks either, Bitcoin could move with much more strength.
🕯 The size and volume of green candles have increased significantly after micro-buyers entered. However, due to the interest rate cut news and upcoming scenarios, this kind of movement and these candles may not continue. One notable point on the chart is that the buying pressure has caused the size, volume, and number of green candles to be smaller, yet they produce larger moves. Our momentum for further upward movement is stronger and more powerful.
🔴 Today’s news could affect Bitcoin’s future price, so try to take a position aligned with the news. Although it seems risky, Bitcoin’s volatility relative to other coins is lower on news days, meaning less risk for traders.
🧠 There are two scenarios for entering a Bitcoin position:
1️⃣ Place a stop-buy at $116,850 to enter when the stop triggers. The stop size would be 2–3%, which is relatively large, delaying risk-to-reward, and there is a chance the scenario fails and the stop is hit.
2️⃣ Wait for a 15-minute candle setup (Indecision + SMA + Low Volume) to enter, allowing a smaller stop at roughly the same level. This still carries the risk of being stopped out quickly.
Risk management is essential — if we follow it today, nothing adverse should happen.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC/USDT Analysis. Caution: Rising Volatility
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
As expected, Bitcoin tested the recent local high yesterday. Before reaching the sell zone, sellers began to take control of the short-term momentum.
The current wave of selling is accompanied by increased negative delta, which signals strong selling pressure — however, the price reaction has been relatively muted so far. If buyers regain control near the POC of the recent consolidation at ~$116,000, we expect a full test of the $117,500–$119,000 sell zone (accumulated volumes). If there is no buying reaction, we could see a continuation of the decline toward the $114,300-$113,500 support zone (volume area).
Keep in mind that today at 21:00 (GMT+3), the US Federal Reserve will announce its key interest rate decision, which could trigger significant volatility and invalidate the current short-term scenario. Watch price reaction carefully at the mentioned zones.
Buy Zones:
$114,300-$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600-$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$117,500–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin - Daily Gap Inversion Aligns with UptrendBitcoin recently made a push higher that cleared local highs and swept liquidity above the previous range. This move created a temporary fake out before price sharply retraced, filling inefficiencies left behind in the market. After completing this corrective move, price has begun reclaiming structure and is now respecting higher timeframe demand zones.
Daily Structure
The daily chart continues to show a clean uptrend, with higher lows forming along the rising trendline. After the liquidity sweep, price retraced to test key imbalances and has since confirmed a bullish shift by inverting a daily gap. This gap has been retested multiple times, suggesting it is holding firm as support and reinforcing the bullish continuation bias.
Liquidity Dynamics
The sweep of liquidity at the highs cleared buy-side pressure, resetting the market. This type of liquidity event often precedes sustained directional moves as the market seeks out new inefficiencies and liquidity pools. For now, downside liquidity has been satisfied and the path of least resistance appears to be higher.
Upside Scenarios
If the inverted daily gap continues to hold, price could target the major resistance block above 120,000 USDT. This zone aligns with the previous rejection area, where liquidity remains untested. Any approach into this resistance will be key to monitor for continuation or rejection.
Downside Risk
Should Bitcoin lose the daily inverted gap and trendline support, further retracement toward 111,000 to 112,000 USDT becomes possible, where a deeper liquidity pocket and structural support remain. Until then, the higher low structure remains intact.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has absorbed liquidity, filled inefficiencies, and inverted a daily gap that is now holding as support. Combined with the ongoing daily uptrend, this strengthens the bullish outlook with a clear target toward the 120,000 USDT resistance zone.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
BTC Eyes 120K but 115K Support is the Last LineCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently trading around 116K after a strong run-up. The chart shows a rising wedge pattern forming, with immediate support sitting near 115K. If this level holds, BTC could make another push toward the upper resistance zone around 120K.
On the flip side, a breakdown below 115K may trigger a short-term correction, sending price lower before bulls step back in.
Overall, BTC is in a critical zone, holding support keeps the bullish momentum alive, but a rejection at resistance could slow things down.
DYOR, NFA
Stay tuned for more update
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis Market Overview
Bitcoin is currently trading at $118,788, with an intraday high of $119,311. The market has recently tested a major resistance zone and is showing signs of a potential pullback toward a key demand zone before a possible continuation to higher levels.
Projected Scenario (Bullish Bias)
Expected pullback to the support zone around $105K – $108K.
If price holds and shows a bullish reversal, a breakout above $124K is expected.
Primary upside target: $142,807 (Fibonacci projection / potential new high).
Let the Chart Speak — 117,384 Is the LineLet the Chart Speak — 117,384 Is the Line 📉📈
#ChartIsAlwaysBoss
This chart says everything. No politics, no hype — just levels and probabilities.
🎥 Today's video is a full breakdown — everything you need to know ahead of the Fed's decision. Watch it if you're serious about what comes next.
We’ve officially entered Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 2, Episode 1 (2024–2028) — but we don’t trade politics.
We trade the chart.
📍 BTC Key Levels
🔸 117,384 = Line in the sand
🔸 118,400 = Confirmation breakout
🔻 Below = short bias
🔺 Above = bullish bias
📊 Rate Cut Scenarios:
🟢 0.50% Cut → 90% breakout → Target: 138,888
🔵 0.25% Cut → 60% breakout → Moderate pump
🔴 No Cut → 95% rejection probability → Target: 100,831
It’s that simple. We don’t need to predict — we just need to follow structure.
I’ve shared this same chart since early 2023. It's done its job. It still does.
Trade Plan:
✔️ Long above 117,384
✖️ Short below 117,384
No need to complicate it.
Food for Thought 🍃
“Markets move fast. But structure is slow, steady, and always right in front of you. In the end — the chart is always boss .”
Disclaimer: Everything shared here is opinion-based and for discussion purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 2 E1 (2024–2028)Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 2 E1 (2024–2028) 🎬🐂
Video Live:
The build-up is real.
The tension is high.
And history is whispering through the charts. 🕰️📉
We’re standing at the gates of Season 2 .
The Orange Man is back in the headlines. The Federal Reverse faces pressure once again .
And Bitcoin? It’s sitting exactly at the same kind of resistance we saw during Season 1.
📺 Flashback: Season 1 (2018–2020)
2018–2019: Trump launched a media war on the Fed
July 2019: First rate cut → small BTC pump
By the third cut in Oct 2019: Relief faded, markets failed
March 2020: Emergency slashes during COVID triggered macro chaos
It was a classic:
Tweet wars, trade tension, temporary pumps, then full-blown reversals.
📍 Now — it’s 2025.
We’re now in Season 2 yet...
But the script is being written in real time . The next FOMC decision is the catalyst.
🟨 BTC is facing the same structure as back then:
117,384 = decision level
118,400 = confirmation breakout
📉 If no cut → likely rejection → 100,831 possible
📈 If 0.25% cut → 60% chance breakout → target 138K+
🚀 If 0.50% cut → 90% breakout probability — and maybe more
Season 2 might echo the past… or it might flip the script entirely. Either way, the market remembers.
My chart plan remains simple:
✔️ Long above 117,384
❌ Short below 117,384
📊 Let the Fed speak, but let price decide.
Trading Wisdom 📜
“Politics creates noise. Monetary policy shapes the trend. But the chart — the chart reveals the truth before the headlines do.”
Disclaimer: My posts reflect personal observations, not instructions to buy or sell. I am not a financial advisor. Trading carries risk, and only you are responsible for your results.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Federal Reserve Time: Rate Cut Decision AheadFederal Reserve Time: Rate Cut Decision Ahead 🕰️📉📈
Chart:
Today is not just another day — it’s Federal Reserve Day , and Bitcoin is coiled at a key inflection point. The chart? It’s loud and clear:
We’re sitting directly at the 117,384 resistance — the same major S/R level we've tracked since March 2023. 📍
🎯 If the Fed delivers a 0.25% cut (which CME odds say is 94% likely):
✅ 60% chance of breakout
🎯 Target: 138,888
But...
🔥 A surprise 0.50% cut could mean a 90% breakout probability and clean push through 118,400.
On the flip side...
⚠️ No rate cut? Expect fireworks — and not the good kind. That sets us up for a potential rejection with 95% chance of downside toward 100,831 .
💡 My plan is simple and level-based:
Long above 117,384
Short below 117,384
We’ve seen this movie before. 2019 rate cuts under Trump triggered brief rallies, but the long-term move was muted. History rhymes — but price action leads.
Mindset Check 🧘
"Markets thrive on expectation, not news. Most trades are won before the announcement — on the chart, not on the feed."
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclaimer: Everything shared here is opinion-based and for discussion purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Bitcoin (BTC): FOMC Today, Volatility Incoming | CME Got Filled!BTC managed to fill the CME gap which means our first target is now reached. Since the FOMC meeting is today, we need to prepare for potential volatility; however, as long as buyers maintain control, we will continue to seek momentum toward the higher target zones.
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