BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times.
🔎 Key Insights:
• Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern.
• Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top).
• Supports:
• 114k (short-term channel support)
• 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom).
📌 Scenarios:
• Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k.
• Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k.
⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
BTCUSDT.P — 1D quick readTrend/Structure: Steady up-swing from early-Sep low inside a rising channel; price stalling at prior supply 117k–118k.
Confluence at resistance: Channel top + red supply band + cloud edge around 117.5k–118k.
Supports: 115.0k (intraday base), 112.5k–113.5k (MA cluster), 108k–106k (200-D + “Support-1”), then ~101k.
Momentum: RSI ~62 (bullish, not overbought). MACD near flat/positive; volume moderate.
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish while above 115k; market is accumulating beneath resistance.
Levels to act on (confirmation-based):
Breakout: Daily close >118k → room to 120k, then 124–126k (ATH zone).
Failure: Daily close <115k → pullback risk to 112k then 108k.
Educational summary — manage risk around 117–118k lid.
[BTC] Looking price to reach 117800This week, i'm looking the price to reach 117800. When the price have stand above 112000, i'll continue looking for a uptrend, still looking forward the price reach 130000.
USD / interest-rate expectations: Markets were pricing in U.S. Fed easing (Sep 2025), which weakens the USD and reduces opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. Rate-cut expectations have been correlated with BTC rallies recently
"Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. I am not a financial advisor, and the content presented here should not be taken as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or other financial instrument. Investing and trading involve a high degree of risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. The strategies and opinions discussed are my own and do not guarantee future results. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions. I may or may not hold positions in the securities mentioned."
Technology Stocks & The AI BoomIntroduction: The New Tech Gold Rush
In every era of human history, technological revolutions have shaped the way societies evolve and how wealth is created. The Industrial Revolution brought us mechanization, the 20th century gave us electricity, telecommunications, and computers, while the late 1990s introduced the world to the internet revolution. Today, we are living through another seismic shift: the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and its transformation of the stock market, especially technology stocks.
Investors around the world are eyeing AI as the most powerful catalyst of the decade. Just as oil fueled the 20th century economy, data and AI algorithms are fueling the 21st century economy. The AI boom is not just hype; it is fundamentally changing industries, reshaping business models, and creating trillion-dollar opportunities in stock markets.
This essay will dive deep into the evolution of technology stocks, the rise of AI as their newest driver, the role of big players like NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Google, the risks of a bubble, and what the future holds for investors who ride this wave carefully.
The Evolution of Technology Stocks: From Dot-Com to AI
Technology stocks have always fascinated investors because they sit at the heart of innovation. Let’s rewind a little:
Dot-Com Boom (1995–2000): The internet promised to change everything, and it did. Investors poured money into startups with “.com” in their names, many without real revenue models. NASDAQ soared, then crashed in 2000, wiping out trillions in value. However, companies like Amazon and Google survived and thrived, proving that real innovation eventually wins.
Mobile & Social Media Era (2005–2015): Apple, with its iPhone, reshaped communication. Facebook (now Meta) revolutionized social networking. Google became the “gatekeeper” of information, and Amazon scaled e-commerce like never before. This was the era when “FAANG stocks” (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google) dominated markets.
Cloud & SaaS Boom (2010–2020): Companies realized that software could be rented as a service (SaaS) instead of sold as a product. Cloud computing giants—Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud—emerged as critical infrastructure providers for the digital economy.
The AI Revolution (2020–present): The launch of ChatGPT in 2022 was a watershed moment. Suddenly, AI wasn’t just research—it was mainstream. From generative AI tools creating text, images, and code to predictive algorithms in finance, medicine, and logistics, AI began touching every corner of life. Stock markets reacted explosively, with NVIDIA becoming the poster child of the AI rally.
Technology stocks thrive on “future potential.” AI fits perfectly into this pattern because its potential is vast, even if not fully monetized yet.
AI as the Core Driver of the Next Tech Wave
Why is AI considered the core driver of the next tech wave? Several reasons stand out:
Exponential Data Growth – AI thrives on data, and we are producing more than ever (social media, IoT devices, sensors, financial transactions, medical records).
Computational Power – Thanks to GPUs from NVIDIA, AMD, and cloud infrastructure, AI models can now be trained at unprecedented speeds.
Real-World Applications – Unlike blockchain hype or metaverse dreams, AI already has immediate, tangible applications: customer service bots, fraud detection, drug discovery, self-driving cars, and personalized recommendations.
Economic Efficiency – Businesses see AI as a way to cut costs, automate repetitive tasks, and improve decision-making. This makes adoption financially attractive.
Government & Military Investment – Nations view AI as a strategic asset. From cyber defense to autonomous weapons, government funding ensures that AI development is not just corporate-driven but also geopolitically critical.
Together, these factors explain why AI has become the magnet pulling technology stocks to new heights.
Major Players in AI & Their Stock Market Influence
The AI boom isn’t evenly distributed—some companies are clear winners. Let’s explore the big players:
1. Big Tech Giants
Microsoft (MSFT): Perhaps the biggest early winner of the AI boom. Its $10B investment in OpenAI made it the first mover. AI features have been embedded into Office, Bing, and Azure Cloud, boosting its value proposition.
Alphabet (GOOGL): Google was an AI pioneer, but it was caught off guard by ChatGPT’s viral success. Since then, it has rolled out Gemini AI and integrated AI into search, YouTube, and cloud services. Its stock continues to ride AI momentum.
Amazon (AMZN): Amazon leverages AI in logistics, Alexa voice assistant, and especially AWS, which powers thousands of AI startups. It’s a hidden but major player.
Apple (AAPL): Apple has been quieter, focusing on on-device AI for iPhones, privacy-focused AI features, and health tech. However, its loyal ecosystem means AI adoption can be rapid when rolled out.
Meta (META): Despite losing billions on its metaverse project, Meta has refocused on AI, using it to improve ads, recommendation engines, and VR/AR devices.
2. AI Chipmakers
NVIDIA (NVDA): The ultimate AI stock. Its GPUs power almost every AI model. In 2023–24, its stock skyrocketed as demand outstripped supply. NVIDIA became the symbol of the AI boom.
AMD (AMD): The challenger to NVIDIA, developing AI chips that are gaining traction. It benefits from diversification across gaming, servers, and AI.
Intel (INTC): Once the king of chips, Intel has lagged in AI but is making aggressive moves to catch up with new AI accelerators.
3. Cloud & SaaS Companies
AI needs infrastructure. That’s why cloud providers (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) and SaaS companies offering AI-enhanced services (Salesforce, Adobe, ServiceNow) are riding the wave.
4. Emerging AI Startups & IPOs
Just as the dot-com era produced new giants, the AI boom is giving rise to startups that may IPO in coming years—like Anthropic, OpenAI, Hugging Face, and Databricks.
AI’s Impact Across Sectors
The beauty of AI is that it’s not confined to “tech.” It’s transforming every sector:
Healthcare: AI helps discover drugs faster, read medical scans more accurately, and personalize treatments. Companies like Moderna and Pfizer are using AI in R&D.
Finance: AI algorithms drive algorithmic trading, fraud detection, and customer support chatbots. Fintech stocks are adopting AI at scale.
Manufacturing: Robotics powered by AI improve efficiency, predictive maintenance, and supply chain optimization.
Education: Personalized learning platforms powered by AI are reshaping how students learn.
Defense & Cybersecurity: Governments see AI as a weapon and shield. Palantir, Lockheed Martin, and defense tech firms integrate AI heavily.
Opportunities for Retail & Institutional Investors
For investors, the AI boom presents opportunities:
Blue-chip AI Leaders: Microsoft, NVIDIA, Google—these are relatively safer bets for long-term investors.
AI Infrastructure: Cloud computing, chipmakers, data storage companies.
Sector ETFs: Funds like Global X Robotics & AI ETF (BOTZ) or ARK Autonomous Tech & Robotics ETF (ARKQ) give diversified exposure.
SMEs & IPOs: Risky but rewarding. Spotting the next “Amazon of AI” early can be life-changing.
Picks & Shovels Strategy: Instead of betting on end-products, invest in those who provide tools and infrastructure for AI (like semiconductors, cloud).
Future Outlook: AI, Quantum, and Beyond
Looking ahead, AI will evolve alongside other emerging technologies:
Quantum Computing + AI: Could exponentially increase computational power, accelerating breakthroughs.
AI in Everyday Devices: From cars to refrigerators, AI will be embedded everywhere.
Human-AI Collaboration: Workplaces will shift to hybrid models where humans handle creativity and ethics while AI manages data-heavy tasks.
Global Competition: The AI race between the U.S., China, and Europe will shape global power dynamics and, in turn, stock markets.
The AI boom is not a short-term trend—it’s a multi-decade megatrend, much like the internet.
Conclusion: Technology Stocks in the Age of AI
We are standing at the beginning of a new technological era. Technology stocks, once driven by internet adoption and cloud computing, are now being reshaped by AI. From NVIDIA’s chips powering massive AI models to Microsoft embedding AI into productivity tools, the shift is undeniable.
The AI boom is both a gold rush and a landmine field. The opportunity to create wealth is real, but so are the risks of speculation and overvaluation. Just as the dot-com crash wiped out many but birthed trillion-dollar companies, the AI wave will reward those who choose wisely.
In short, the future of technology stocks is inseparable from AI. Investors who balance optimism with caution, innovation with valuation, and hype with fundamentals will be the true winners in this new era.
Geopolitics & Energy Trading1. Historical Context: Energy as a Strategic Weapon
1.1 Oil in the 20th Century
The 20th century is often called the “Century of Oil.” With the rise of automobiles, aviation, and industrialization, oil replaced coal as the dominant fuel. The Middle East, home to massive reserves, became the strategic center of global energy politics.
World War II highlighted the importance of oil. Control over oil fields in the Middle East, the Caucasus, and Southeast Asia was a major military objective.
The U.S. emerged as both a top producer and consumer of oil, ensuring its military and economic supremacy.
1.2 OPEC and the Oil Shocks
In 1960, oil-exporting countries formed OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to coordinate prices and policies. The OPEC oil embargo of 1973 against the U.S. and its allies caused oil prices to quadruple, leading to stagflation in Western economies. This event demonstrated how energy could be used as a geopolitical weapon.
1.3 Natural Gas and Russia’s Leverage
During the Cold War and beyond, the Soviet Union (later Russia) used natural gas pipelines to exert influence over Europe. Even in the 21st century, Russia’s dominance in supplying gas to Europe has made energy security a central geopolitical concern.
1.4 Rise of Renewables and Energy Security
In recent decades, climate change concerns and the instability of fossil fuel prices have pushed countries to diversify into renewable energy, nuclear power, and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas). However, the geopolitical dimensions remain: rare earth minerals for solar panels, lithium for batteries, and uranium for nuclear power all introduce new trade dependencies.
2. Energy Trading: Mechanisms and Market Dynamics
Energy trading involves the buying, selling, and hedging of energy commodities such as oil, natural gas, coal, electricity, and increasingly, carbon credits.
2.1 Types of Energy Commodities Traded
Oil & Refined Products: Crude oil (Brent, WTI, Dubai) and products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel.
Natural Gas: Pipeline gas and LNG, traded regionally and globally.
Coal: Still dominant in Asia, especially in China and India.
Electricity: Power trading through regional grids and spot markets.
Renewables & Carbon Credits: Certificates for green energy and emissions trading.
2.2 Energy Trading Hubs
Oil: Brent (London), WTI (New York), Dubai/Oman (Middle East).
Natural Gas: Henry Hub (U.S.), TTF (Netherlands), JKM (Japan-Korea Marker).
Coal: Newcastle (Australia), Richards Bay (South Africa).
Electricity: Nord Pool (Europe), PJM Interconnection (U.S.).
2.3 Financial Instruments in Energy Trading
Futures and Options: Used for hedging price volatility.
Swaps and Derivatives: Risk management tools.
Spot Trading: Immediate delivery transactions.
Energy trading is not only about physical barrels or tons moving—it is also about financial markets, where traders speculate on price movements, hedge risks, and create liquidity.
3. Geopolitical Dimensions of Energy Trading
Energy trade is influenced by multiple geopolitical factors.
3.1 Control of Supply Chains
Countries with abundant energy resources, like Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, use them as strategic tools. Controlling pipelines, shipping routes, and export terminals gives these countries leverage over consumers.
3.2 Chokepoints and Maritime Routes
Some key chokepoints in global energy trade:
Strait of Hormuz (Persian Gulf): About 20% of global oil trade passes here. Any blockade would send prices soaring.
Suez Canal (Egypt): Connects Middle Eastern oil to Europe.
Malacca Strait (Southeast Asia): Vital for oil flows to China, Japan, and South Korea.
3.3 Sanctions and Energy Wars
Iran: Subject to U.S. sanctions, limiting its oil exports.
Russia: Sanctions after the Ukraine war forced Europe to seek alternative gas suppliers.
Venezuela: Sanctions crippled its oil sector, reducing output drastically.
3.4 Energy as a Diplomatic Tool
Energy deals often accompany strategic alliances:
Russia–China gas pipelines strengthen political ties.
Middle East countries sign long-term supply contracts with Asia to ensure steady revenues.
The U.S. uses LNG exports to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russia.
4. Major Players in Global Energy Geopolitics
4.1 The United States
Largest producer of oil and gas (thanks to shale revolution).
Uses energy exports to project geopolitical influence.
Maintains military presence in the Middle East to secure energy supply routes.
4.2 Saudi Arabia and OPEC+
Saudi Arabia is the swing producer of oil, capable of increasing or reducing output to influence prices.
OPEC+, which includes Russia, plays a decisive role in oil supply management.
4.3 Russia
Energy superpower with vast oil and gas reserves.
Uses energy pipelines as a tool of influence, especially in Europe.
Faces growing competition due to sanctions and LNG diversification.
4.4 China
World’s largest energy importer.
Invests in energy projects globally (Africa, Middle East, Latin America).
Pioneering renewable energy but still heavily reliant on fossil fuels.
4.5 The European Union
Highly dependent on imports, especially gas.
Leading in carbon trading and green transition policies.
Vulnerable to geopolitical disruptions like the Russia-Ukraine war.
4.6 India
Fastest-growing energy consumer.
Heavy reliance on Middle East oil and global coal imports.
Diversifying into renewable energy and nuclear power.
5. Risks and Challenges
Volatility in Prices: Geopolitical tensions cause massive swings in energy prices.
Supply Disruptions: Wars, sanctions, and blockades threaten global supply.
Climate Change Pressure: Fossil fuel dependence clashes with decarbonization goals.
Technological Shifts: EVs, renewables, and storage could undermine oil & gas dominance.
Energy Nationalism: Countries hoarding resources or restricting exports for domestic security.
Conclusion
Geopolitics and energy trading are inseparable. From oil shocks in the 1970s to today’s battles over LNG, rare earths, and carbon credits, the story of global energy is as much political as it is economic. Energy has been used as a weapon, a bargaining chip, and a diplomatic tool.
In the future, while renewable energy may reduce the dominance of oil and gas, new dependencies on rare earths, hydrogen, and clean technologies will create fresh geopolitical challenges. Energy will continue to shape the global order—deciding alliances, conflicts, and the very survival of economies.
The relationship between geopolitics and energy trading is, in essence, the story of power—economic power, military power, and environmental power. And as the world transitions to a greener future, this story will only grow more complex and dynamic.
BITCOIN - New ATH is ahead!Over the past year — exactly 363 days — Bitcoin has only formed the Golden Cross pattern 3 times.
If you look at the chart, you’ll notice that each time this pattern appeared, it triggered a strong bullish rally leading to a new ATH (all-time high), as clearly shown.
And right now, Bitcoin is forming this exact pattern again on the daily timeframe.
For clarity:
- The Golden Cross happens when a smaller EMA (like the EMA 25) crosses above a larger EMA (like the EMA 50) .
This crossover is a classic bullish signal often marking the start of major upward moves.
based the fibonacci The next expected ATH for BTC is projected around 140K
Best Regards :
Ceciliones
Warning!! The Number #1 Breakout Is HereStarting a business is the hardest thing
i have ever done in my life.
Of course capitalism is also hard.
Business is a team support and i would not
have known the secrets without
the OG's helping me out.
Shout out to my pops and my uncle
for giving me the opportunity to express my
publishing business ideas.
Hopefully i will get my business name
and start working as a entrepreneur in
the sales agency and marketing industry
Am hoping this happens before the end of the year.
I really never
thought of myself as an entrepreneur
but hey life has its ways of teaching
all of us.
Am sure by now you
have gotten the news
that i will no longer talk about
stocks trading..maybe once in a while
i will speak on Forex trading...
for now am sticking
to crypto trading only.
This is because i want to focus on
my trading and become a better
article writer and educator
when it comes to sharing my
ideas with you.
Trade safe out there
Bitcoin is going to blow within
the next week
Please prepare for this
explosive market
move because the fed interest rate
decision is this week!!
This is going to be
one of the crazy weeks of your
trading career..Now look at
the price of Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD
Do you think its over bought?
If so how come it keeps going up?
How did you know its overbought?
What indicator is showing you this?
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk
management and profit taking strategies.
Also feel free to use a simulation trading
account before you trade with real money
The 115854.56-119177.56 area is a resistance zone
Hello, fellow traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Looking at the big picture, there are two important areas.
These are the 104463.99-18353.0 and 84814.27-93570.28 levels.
To continue the stepwise uptrend, an upward breakout of the 116259.91-119177.56 level is necessary.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts is passing through the 108353.0-116259.91 level. If support is found in this area, the price is likely to continue attempting to break above the 116259.91-119177.56 level.
If the price declines to the 104463.99-18353.0 level and encounters resistance, it is expected to eventually encounter the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is moving between 84814.27 and 93570.28, so it's important to determine whether it can find support within this range.
--------------------------------------
Two OBV EMA lines have been added to the OBV indicator in the Low Line ~ High Line channel.
OBV EMA 1 can be used as a short-term indicator, EMA 2 as a medium-term indicator, and EMA 3 as a long-term indicator.
Disabling EMA 3 reveals that the OBV is currently above both EMA 1 and EMA 2, indicating a transition from EMA 1 to EMA 2.
If OBV rises above the High Line and remains above it, the price is likely to continue its upward trend.
Currently, the price has been trending upward as the OBV indicator has risen above the High Line, but with the High Line indicator re-emerging, it appears to be declining below the High Line.
However, as mentioned earlier, since the OBV indicator is holding above EMA 1 or EMA 2, the key is whether the current support and resistance zones hold support.
In other words, the key is whether support can be found and an upward movement can occur around the 115,854.56-116,259.91 range.
The 115,854.56 and 116,259.91 points are the HA-High indicator levels on the 1D and 1W charts.
Therefore, the current support and resistance zones should be considered resistance zones and a corresponding strategy should be developed.
The basic trading strategy is to buy between DOM(-60) and HA-Low and sell between HA-High and DOM(60).
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it could exhibit a step-like upward trend, while if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, it could exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
Therefore, those who bought near the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range should consider selling in segments.
If you want to make a new purchase, you can do so when the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range shows support. However, this requires a quick and short response, so caution is advised.
From a broader perspective, this means buying in a sell zone.
-
I believe whether the price will rise or fall in the future depends on whether it can break above Zone 1.
There's a possibility of a bear market turning around, with a new all-time high (ATH) occurring between the week of November 24th and the week of January 26th, 2026.
More details will likely emerge as this month progresses.
This month's volatility period will be around September 19th and September 28th.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
BTC Short Update - First Entry Point Hit Hi all, we have hit the first entry level on this trade idea again, and I will provide you with updated numbers.
First of all - to those asking “why” this would happen - please see my related idea on DXY as well as Blackrock.
For those asking “how” it’s possible, please see my tutorial on drawing heatmaps and understanding how bitcoin moves.
For those following my ideas, I explain order block analysis, my theory on how Bitcoin moves, and here we have a trading plan compiling it all together.
In theory, these drops should happen very quickly - as I explain the technicals of it in the order block tutorials.
Entry - 116,300 to 116,800
Stop Loss - (Can be lowered to 118,000)
Targets:
1) 90,000
2) 62,000
3) 38,000
After the third target we will likely rise to 86,000-88,000 area - however the short may be held all the way to 8,000.
88,000 is a major bearish trendline - I expect this will break, we will form a 3 wave corrective pattern and rise back up to retest this level.
4) 20,000 (Potential bottom 18,000)
5) 10,000
God speed and happy trading.
BTC next movescurrently BINANCE:BTCUSDT seems to have found its bottom from the latest downwards move. within the past two weeks it established a little channel, currently it seems it even pops out of it above the channel for the first time since mid august. of course there can still be a further dump, but it's safe to say the bottom is imminent if not already in. also it's way bellow the current val of the past upmove so it's basically oversold territory.
I assume a first push above 112k again then further towards 117k. I still have my bitcoin trade open, added some to have an entry of a little above 109k and see how it goes. BINANCE:OPUSDT and BINANCE:ARBUSDT is still open as well. from 70cents and 48 cents respectively.
both once had a nice gain before but I guess I was to greedy to fully catch my tp, but well - the more you learn, the better you get.
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term.
From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
BTC/USDT 4H Trend Structure: Price is moving inside a well‑defined ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a short‑ to mid‑term bullish bias.
Price is respecting both upper and lower bounds of the channel, suggesting controlled bullish momentum.
Higher Lows: Buyers are stepping in earlier on each pullback, showing strong demand.
Resistance Test: Price is approaching the 116,594 zone; a clean break with volume could open the path toward 118,000+ in the short term.
Support Strength: The 113,200 level aligns with the channel’s lower trendline, making it a key area for bulls to defend.
#BTC: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 2025/16/09Howdy, crypto-warriors and lords of volatility! NeuralTraderingPro is back on the air to decipher the language of charts and orders for you. It’s Tuesday, September 16th, and the market is charged with so much energy you could mine it! ⚡️ Let's see who's calling the shots today.
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: BULLS HELD THE LINE
My analysis from yesterday turned out to be a treasure map! I emphasized the rock-solid support wall at 114,750 USDT and suggested an aggressive Long 1 trade idea: "Buy at current values with a tight stop just below the support wall." This exact scenario played out perfectly! The bears couldn't breach the bulls' defense; the price bounced off that level and surged upward, reaching current marks around 115,800 USDT. The primary bearish breakout scenario was invalidated. Congratulations to everyone who took advantage of this idea and caught the bounce! It was a classic demonstration of how crucial it is to read the order book.
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 115837.56 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The global bullish trend is undeniable. The price is confidently holding above the SMA 20 and SMA 50 moving averages. The RSI is at 60, indicating strong buying momentum but still leaving room for growth before hitting the overbought zone. The MACD histogram is rising in the positive zone, confirming the strength of the trend. The structure looks very confident for continued ascent.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, we see a picture of bullish triumph. The price didn't just bounce; it broke through local resistance and is now trading above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which have transformed into dynamic support. Bollinger Bands have begun to expand, and the price is hugging the upper band—a clear sign of buyer strength. RSI is above 60, and MACD is confidently rising above the zero line. All signals point to preparation for the next upward impulse.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the smaller timeframe, we see the current phase: consolidation after yesterday's rally. The price is moving in a narrow sideways channel, accumulating strength. RSI is oscillating around the neutral zone, and MACD shows a fading momentum. This is a typical breather before the next move. The key support zone here is 115,500 USDT.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: THE BATTLE FOR 115,837
The main battle of the day is unfolding right now!
🟢 Support Walls: Below the current price, buyers have placed several support levels in the 115,822 - 115,804 USDT range. They don't look massive, but their purpose is to cushion small pullbacks.
🔴 Resistance Walls: And here's where it gets interesting! Right at the current price of 115,837.56 USDT, there's a colossal sell wall of over 12 BTC (worth approximately $1.4 million)! This is the main barrier preventing the price from taking off right now. Sellers have concentrated all their power at one point.
Conclusion: The fate of the immediate movement is being decided here and now. If buyers "eat through" this $1.4 million wall, it will be a powerful signal of their strength and could trigger a sharp price surge upward (short squeeze), as the next significant resistance is higher up.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news background is clearly favoring the bulls and is filled with expectations of growth.
1. 💳 PayPal is lighting the fire! The integration of BTC and Ethereum for P2P payments in PayPal is fundamentally powerful news. It significantly expands cryptocurrency use cases for millions of users and is a long-term growth driver.
2. 💵 Dollar under pressure. Ahead of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar is weakening. The market is pricing in expectations of an interest rate cut, which historically makes risky assets like Bitcoin more attractive.
3. 🐂 Analysts are sounding the horn. Several sources are pointing to bullish technical signals and pattern formations, forecasting a rally to $122,000. In particular, the importance of breaking the $117,500 level to confirm the rally is noted.
4. 🚀 Historical optimism. Renowned analyst Tom Lee predicts a "grand rally" in Q4, fueling long-term bullish sentiment. Interestingly, historically, September is often a turning point. For example, in September 2021, the market was also actively discussing Ethereum valuations and its approach to new highs, creating a generally positive mood.
5. 😐 Fear & Greed Index in neutral zone. The market is not overheated with euphoria nor paralyzed by fear. This is an ideal state for forming a strong and healthy trend movement.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (September 16-23)
All factors—technical analysis, news background, and sentiment—point to a high probability of continued growth. The only obstacle is the huge sell wall at the current price. A breakthrough of this level will be the main bullish trigger of the week.
Scenario Probability: Long 📈 (65%) / Short 📉 (35%)
🎯 Key targets for the upcoming week:
UP Targets (in case of resistance wall breakout):
1. 🐂 117,500 USDT - Key level mentioned by analysts. Its breakthrough will confirm the start of the rally.
2. 🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Important psychological resistance, the next target for profit-taking.
3. 🐂🐂🐂 122,000 USDT - Optimistic target for the week, based on technical patterns.
DOWN Targets (in case of rejection from the wall and correction):
1. 🐻 115,000 USDT - Return to the psychological mark and recent support zone.
2. 🐻🐻 114,200 USDT - Local low from September 15th, an important support level.
3. 🐻🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - Deep correction in case of a shift in market sentiment.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
1. Long Positions (Long) — playing the breakout.
Trading Idea Long 1 (Aggressive): Buy immediately after a break and sustained price above the wall at 115,900 USDT. This would signify buyers have won. Target: 117,500. Stop-loss: 115,450 USDT.
Trading Idea Long 2 (Conservative): Buy on a pullback to the support zone of 115,000 - 115,200 USDT, if the market provides such an opportunity. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 114,400 USDT.
2. Short Positions (Short) — playing against the trend.
Trading Idea Short 1 (Risky): Sell at current values, betting that the $1.4 million wall will hold. Target: 115,000. Stop-loss: very tight, at 115,950 USDT.
Trading Idea Short 2 (On structural breakdown): Short only if the price falls below the 4H chart support and consolidates below 114,800 USDT. This would signal a false breakout upward. Targets: 114,000, 112,500 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is bullish. Positive news and a strong technical picture create favorable conditions for growth. The key is whether buyers can absorb the massive sell order. This will determine short-term movement. I recommend acting situationally: either join the breakout or catch a pullback to strong support. Control your risks and always use stop-losses 🛡️, as volatility can be high.
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16-09-2025 BTCUSDTAs shown in the figure: 30M Bullish Cypher
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
BTC/USDT – 1H Outlook
Bitcoin is currently facing pressure from a significant supply zone. After testing the area, price showed a strong rejection, highlighting seller dominance at these levels. The broader structure remains bearish, suggesting that the recent upward moves may only be corrective retracements rather than a true trend reversal.
Should rejection persist within supply, it may trigger continuation to the downside, potentially driving price toward lower key levels. On the other hand, a decisive breakout above supply would delay bearish confirmation and could allow buyers to extend the rally further.
At this stage, the supply zone acts as a decisive area for the next direction, making it crucial to observe how price reacts in this region.
Bitcoin Price Flag Points to $122,000 TargetBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P price is trading near $115,300, and a bull flag has appeared on the 12-hour chart. A breakout above $115,900 would confirm the move, with the measured target projecting to $122,000. Key checkpoints sit at $116,700 and $120,700, where strong resistance may test buyers.
On-chain data adds weight to the breakout case. Exchange outflows surged from –2,531 BTC on September 8 to –18,323 BTC by September 15, while long-term holders flipped to net buyers, adding +591 BTC. This shift suggests traders are backing the breakout setup.
Still, the heavy supply wall of 714,302 BTC between $115,900–$120,700 remains the key hurdle. A drop under $115,000 would invalidate the flag, but as long as price holds above that level, bulls have the upper hand.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Pressuring, Looking For Break of $117KBTC made another attempt at the bullish CME zone, showing buyers are still pressing for continuation. We’re hovering close to the $116K area, and once this zone is cleared, the next leg towards a new ATH becomes the focus. For now, pressure remains on the upside, and momentum looks to be building step by step.
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