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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

BTC: "Growth Control"On September 2, I opened a long on a 4-hour chart from $110,272 with 20x leverage. The movement was impressive: the price reached $116,579, and along the way I managed to fix three profit levels. The difference is almost $6,300 per coin — this is the maximum that the deal gave within the plan. Here, the structure was decisive. The levels were highlighted in advance, and the deal developed step by step, without haste and chaos. This approach removes unnecessary emotions, makes trading transparent and manageable. When the fixation zones and control points are clear in advance, it becomes easier to hold a position. Even with high leverage, the risk remains under control, and emotions do not interfere with logic. This allows you to take the result systematically, and not rely on chance. The market always remains unpredictable. But discipline and consistency turn every move into part of a strategy, where the result is determined by the structure, not emotions.
by CryptoVision
BTC: A Look at the Move" On September 8, I opened a long at $111,627 on the 1-hour chart, using 15x leverage. The move was strong: price reached $116,444, and along the way I locked in four profit-taking levels. Nearly $5,000 difference per coin — a result that confirms the importance of working systematically. The key here was not prediction, but structure. Levels were outlined in advance, and the trade unfolded step by step. This approach removes chaos and allows me to stay calm even during sharp upward momentum. When you see the bigger picture, it becomes easier to decide where to secure partial profits and where to hold longer. Even with leverage, risk remains under control, and emotions don’t interfere with logic. That’s what separates systematic trading from impulsive actions. The market will always remain unpredictable. But discipline, consistency, and a structured process make it manageable, turning every move into part of a larger strategy."
Long
by CryptoVision
The Final Ascent: BTC's $165K Launchpad Before the Great ResetBuckle up. This isn't just another chart; it's the roadmap for the most critical phase of Bitcoin's current cycle. We're witnessing the final act of a masterpiece play out right now, and understanding this structure is the key to navigating what comes next. Here’s the brutal, beautiful truth laid out by the tape: The Setup: From Compression to Ignition Remember the agonizingly long consolidation? That was the massive Falling Wedge throughout 2022 and early 2023. It was a pressure cooker, squeezing out weak hands and building immense energy. The major breakout from that Falling Wedge was the spark. It wasn't just a rally; it was the official signal that the bull market was back on. That breakout launched us into the next, more powerful pattern the Rising Wedge. The Current Play: The Rising Wedge Journey We are now deep inside this ascending channel. Each higher high and each higher low is creating this converging pattern a classic Rising Wedge. This is the market's way of climbing a wall of worry on a wave of increasing optimism and liquidity. But make no mistake, this structure is inherently bullish yet exhausting. It's the final leg up, the last major push to suck in every last bit of momentum before the fuel runs out. The Target: The Cycle Peak The geometry of this wedge is pointing to a final, spectacular blow-off top. The most probable target for the peak of this wedge is $165,000. I wouldn't be surprised to see a slight extension in the euphoria that could tag $170,000, but that's the ceiling. Based on the rhythm of this move, the clock is ticking towards a November 2025 finale. Mark it. The Inevitable: The Great Bear & The Golden Accumulation Zone This is the most critical part. A Rising Wedge resolution is almost always the same: a violent breakdown. The fallout from this peak will be brutal a proper crypto winter. It will shake out every over leveraged dreamer. This bear market will find its ultimate bottom, its point of maximum financial opportunity, in the $54,000 - $60,000 zone. That is not a typo. That will be the generational buying opportunity. The mother of all dips. ACCUMULATE THERE. The Next Chapter: The $500K Horizon That 2027 bottom won't be the end. It will be the foundation for the next cycle. The recovery from that $60k zone will be the start of Bitcoin's next, truly historic run towards a target that seems crazy today $500,000. This isn't hopium; it's the logical progression of the four year cycle, adoption curves, and the patterns that have always governed this market. The Bottom Line: We are in the final, parabolic stage. Target $165K+ by Nov 2025. Then, prepare for the storm. The real-life changing wealth won't be made at the top; it will be made by those with the courage and dry powder to buy relentlessly in the $54k-$60k pit of despair in 2027. This is the plan. Trade accordingly.
by weslad
62
U.S. Fed Rate Decision — Main Possible ScenariosThis Wednesday, September 17, we’re getting the most important event of recent (and upcoming) months — the one that will decide the direction not only for crypto but for all markets. Here’s how I see the possible outcomes: 💜 Pink scenario — the most likely We approach the meeting with positive price action → the Federal Reserve cuts rates → market spikes 1–2 candles up → then crashes hard. Bitcoin goes to retest the lows at $107,000. Why? Because this rate cut is already priced in — that’s exactly what fueled the entire rally of the past few months. Just like with the iShares Bitcoin Trust and Grayscale Ethereum Trust approvals — it’s the classic sell the news: everyone who wanted to buy has already bought, the catalyst plays out, and there’s nothing left to push price up. Also: historically, every bear market started right after the Fed cut rates. And this bull cycle is already one of the longest — almost 2 years. 💚 Green scenario — least likely We again approach with positive sentiment → the Fed cuts rates → market rallies → somehow new liquidity appears → and we go to retest the ATH. Personally, this “pink ponies” scenario seems unlikely — the market is extremely overheated, there’s been no fresh liquidity for months, and this entire rally has run on declining volume. It’s not that everyone suddenly wants crypto — it’s just that no one wants to sell. But at some point… they will. 💙 Blue scenario — plausible We approach with neutral/negative price action because insiders already know the decision and are positioning. The Fed keeps rates unchanged → the market nukes, because this was the main catalyst priced in for months. First target: $107,000, and if that breaks — $99,000 comes fast. This would likely mark the start of a new bear market. 📌 Drop a comment — which scenario do you think is coming?
by Crypto_Gym_Work
1
The Technical Analysis Superpower (That Isn’t Real)Imagine this: You spot the perfect candlestick pattern. It feels like the market’s secret code just unlocked. You hit buy. An hour later you’re staring at a loss, asking yourself: “What the hell just happened?” That’s the illusion of control at play. I’ve been there. We all have. How the illusion shows up: You believe one pattern guarantees the next move. You stack indicators thinking more = more control. You convince yourself you’ve finally “cracked the code.” The emotional side: It feels good to play wizard. Technical analysis (TA) gives us tools, but it doesn’t give certainty. The market doesn’t care about your Fibonacci line or your perfect breakout. TA only tilts the odds—not controls them. So what actually matters? Keep it simple: 2–3 tools max. Start with trend. When you are following the higher timeframe bias, you are following the trend. The top 5-6% of traders get 90-100% of their profit from a selective bias. Always ask: “If I’m wrong, where’s my exit? wher's my Stop loss?” Backtest and track results. Aim for probability, not perfection. Respect patience. Most fakeouts die fast—wait for confirmation. Bottom line: TA is not a superpower. It’s a probability framework. The real edge isn’t in control—it’s in discipline, trend recognition, and managing yourself when the market doesn’t care. 👉 What’s your biggest illusion of control story? Drop it in the comments—I want to hear how TA has tricked you. — Skeptic
Education
by SkepticLab
3
#BTC: AI Review of the Trading Week Start. 2025/09/15Aloha, blockchain masters and trend tamers! NeuralTraderingPro is back to charge you up with insights for the new trading week. 🚀 Monday, September 15th, kicked off with a sharp move, and it's exactly what I warned you about on Sunday. Let's break down who drew first blood this week and what to expect from a market that's holding its breath for the main event: the Fed meeting. 📜 FORECAST REVIEW: THE BEARS STRIKE FIRST My forecast from yesterday played out with surgical precision. I wrote that before heading higher, the market might trigger a "false move down to sweep liquidity." That's exactly what happened last night! The breakout from the tight consolidation was to the downside, in favor of the bears. The price broke the $115,000 level (target 🐻) and momentarily pushed towards $114,200 (target 🐻🐻). The correction scenario, to which I gave a 45% probability, was the one to play out first. Congratulations to those who heeded the warning and were prepared for this turn of events! Now, the main question is: was this just a stop hunt before a new rally, or are the bears serious about seizing the initiative? 📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS Current Price: 114,772.5 USDT 📈 Daily Chart (1D): Globally, the bullish trend is still intact. The price has corrected from the upper Bollinger Band and is now testing the support zone around the SMA 20 (blue line). The RSI has cooled off, dropping to 55, which alleviates local overbought conditions and creates room for a new move. The MACD histogram has started to decline, confirming the correction phase. The picture is "bullish, but in need of confirmation." 📉 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, the bearish breakdown looks more apparent. The price has fallen below the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which may now act as dynamic resistance. The RSI is below the neutral 50 mark, indicating that sellers are currently in control. The MACD has crossed below the zero line—a classic bearish signal on this timeframe. The bull flag we discussed on Sunday was invalidated and broke to the downside. ⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we see the full drama of the overnight drop. The price plummeted from ~115,800 𝑡𝑜 115,800 to 114,500 in just a couple of hours. The RSI dived into the oversold zone (below 30), from which it is now attempting to bounce. The Bollinger Bands expanded sharply and are now starting to contract, signaling that the downward momentum is fading and a short-term consolidation or bounce is possible. 📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: A WALL AT 114,750 The battle for initiative is unfolding at a key level. 🟢 Support Walls: The full force of the bulls is concentrated just below the current price. Note the colossal buy wall at 114,750 USDT—almost 12 BTC worth ~$1.36 million! This is rock-solid support that halted the overnight drop. There are a few more orders below, but this level is the main stronghold for buyers. 🔴 Resistance Walls: Sellers are responding with dense but less massive pressure. The largest sell order is right at the current price (5.2 BTC), and beyond that, liquidity is spread more thinly up to 114,825 USDT. Conclusion: Buyers have built a formidable line of defense. Sellers will need to muster a lot of force to break through the wall at $114,750. As long as this wall holds, a bounce or sideways movement is highly likely. 📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES The news background is filled with anticipation and caution. All eyes are fixed on one event. 🇺🇸 The Fed Meeting — The Event of the Week: This is the main theme. The market is frozen, awaiting the interest rate decision. Traders are citing key support and resistance levels that will remain relevant right up until the announcement. A hawkish tone from the Fed or a refusal to cut rates could trigger a new wave of selling. Conversely, dovish comments will give the bulls a green light. 🗓️ Bitcoin's Cyclicality: Some analysts suggest that September 17th could mark the beginning of a new local growth cycle for Bitcoin. This theory adds to the intrigue and could support buyers mid-week. 🐂 Long-Term Optimism: Despite the current correction, global forecasts remain positive. Analysts note the similarity of the current consolidation to patterns that have previously preceded powerful rallies and are predicting a potential surge to $125,000. 🇩🇪 European Outlook: German analysts from Kagels-Trading see today's trading range between $111,300 and $114,100, which supports the likelihood of a further test of lower boundaries after the recent drop. 🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (Sept 15-22) The market is at an inflection point. On one hand, we have a bearish breakdown on the 4H chart. On the other, there's massive support in the order book and oversold conditions on the 30m chart. Most likely, leading up to the Fed announcement, we will see attempts at a bounce and a fight for the 114,750 - 116,000 range. The Fed's decision will be the trigger for the week's primary move. Scenario Probability: Short 📉 (55%) / Long 📈 (45%) 🎯 Key Targets for the Coming Week: Bullish Targets (if support holds and Fed news is positive): 🐂 116,000 USDT - A return to Sunday's consolidation zone, the first target for bulls. 🐂🐂 117,500 USDT - An important psychological level and the next stop. 🐂🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Key resistance, a break of which would open the way to $120,000. Bearish Targets (if support breaks and Fed news is negative): 🐻 114,000 USDT - A key round number just below the current support wall. 🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - A support zone that aligns with a previous analysis. 🐻🐻🐻 110,600 USDT - A strong support level and the potential low for the week. 💡 TRADING IDEAS 1. Long Positions — Betting on a Bounce Long Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy at current levels with a tight stop just below the support wall at 114,750. Target a quick bounce to 115,500 - 116,000. Stop-loss: 114,450 USDT. Long Idea 2 (Conservative): Buy ONLY after a confirmed reclaim and hold above 116,200 USDT. This would signal that the drop was a false move. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT. 2. Short Positions — Playing the Local Trend Short Idea 1 (On a Retest): Sell on a bounce to the 115,500-115,800 zone, where the 4H SMAs are now located. Target: a retest of the wall at 114,750. Stop-loss: 116,250 USDT. Short Idea 2 (On a Breakdown): Open a short position after a clean break and confirmed close below the support wall at 114,750 USDT. This would be a strong signal for continued decline. Targets: 112,500, 110,600 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,100 USDT. 🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS The start of the week has set a nervous tone. The key recommendation is to avoid making hasty decisions before the Fed meeting. The market will have thin liquidity and be susceptible to manipulation. The safest tactic is to trade off strong levels: buy from the massive support at $114,750 or sell if it breaks. Always use stop-losses 🛡️, especially during periods of high uncertainty. Patience is your greatest asset right now. May the profits be with you! 💰 Don't forget to like this analysis 👍 and subscribe to stay one step ahead of the market all week long!
by NeuralTradingPro
BTC 4H – Rising Support Intact, Will 119K Break Next?Bitcoin’s 4H structure continues to favor the bulls after breaking and retesting its major downtrend resistance. Price is holding above a rising support trendline with the 50/200 EMA crossover adding further confluence. Key levels to note: Major Support Zone: 108K–110K Broken Downtrend Resistance: now acting as support Rising Support: guiding higher lows since early September Next Resistance: 119.2K, a critical test for continuation Stoch RSI has reset to oversold, suggesting momentum could reload if support holds. A bounce from the trendline may drive price back into the 119K level, while a breakdown beneath the EMAs risks a deeper pullback.
Long
by Quant_Trading_Pro
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #177👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis, today’s analysis will be on the 1-hour timeframe since Bitcoin is in a corrective phase, and we’ll look at what triggers we can have for trading today. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe After reaching the 116,619 level, the market entered a ranging phase and spent Saturday and Sunday consolidating below this level. 📊 Earlier today, before the London session, Bitcoin was rejected from 116,619, starting a bearish move with strong momentum and high volume, pushing price down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level for a correction. ⭐ If price finds support here, we can say the uptrend is still strong since it bounced from the first available support zone and started moving upward. In this case, a breakout above 116,619 would be a good long position entry. 🔍 But if the correction continues, the next support levels to watch are 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels. ✔️ The area between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements forms a critical PRZ, and if price moves lower, this is one of the areas with a high probability of seeing a reaction. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
Bitcoin Roadmap | Short termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been experiencing a lot of volatility over the past 10 days, and the reasons for these movements could be the announcement of US indices + geopolitical issues Those who were in favor of Bitcoin caused Bitcoin to pump . Bitcoin's movements over the past 10 days have managed to form an Ascending Channel . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave C of the main wave Y . I expect Bitcoin to try to complete main wave Y , and if we find signs of a reversal in the Resistance zone($116,900-$115,730) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we can expect a further decline . Also, it is expected that the CME Gap($117,235-$116,820) will eventually be completed in the main wave Y . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $114,165-$113,989 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,370-$112,664 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $117,102-$116,266 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
by pejman_zwin
47
Bitcoin Price’s Grip on $115,000 Weakens—Here's the RiskBitcoin is trading at $114,770, slipping below the $115,000 support level in the process. Should bearish sentiment persist, BTC may fall further, potentially testing the uptrend line that has supported its rise since the start of the month. This would mark a crucial point for investors. If selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $115,000 as support and slide toward $112,500. This would represent a critical setback, reinforcing the ongoing distribution phase observed among holders and limiting near-term upside potential for BTC. On the other hand, if Bitcoin absorbs the selling pressure and regains momentum, reclaiming $115,000 as support could trigger another rally. In this case, BTC would target $117,261 in the coming days, reaffirming its bullish outlook and reinforcing investor confidence.
by BeInCrypto
15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39 Last weeks low: $110,615.91 Midpoint: $113,644.15 It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much? Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%. Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term. Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA). As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
BTCUSDT Monthly Outlookhi Traders, On the monthly time frame, BTCUSDT is forming a bearish rising wedge pattern, which typically signals that upside momentum is limited and a breakdown is likely sooner or later. While price action is still holding within the wedge, the structure suggests exhaustion on the higher end of the channel. The chart highlights a potential accumulation zone for long-term investors between $67,000 and $60,000. This range could serve as a strong buy zone in case of a deeper correction once the wedge breaks down, offering favorable risk-to-reward opportunities for strategic positioning. Until then, upside appears capped, and investors should be prepared for volatility as the market approaches the wedge’s apex. Are you buying now or waiting for lows?
Short
by vf_investment
Is BTC affected by SELL the news?Analysis of BTC: BTC is fluctuating around the 114k – 115k range, which is an important equilibrium zone. If buying pressure holds strong, the price could move toward the 118k resistance area – a key level that will determine the upcoming trend. • Scenario 1: If BTC successfully breaks above 118k, the uptrend will be reinforced, with the next target at 123k – 124k. • Scenario 2: If rejected at 118k, the price will likely retest 112k – 110k before recovering. Summary: The overall trend still leans bullish, but 118k is the crucial resistance zone to watch closely in order to confirm the next direction.
Short
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC 1HOn the one-hour chart, the market has been consolidating in a sideways range for some time, forming a clear box structure between support and resistance. Recently, price failed to break above the range and quickly rejected from the upper boundary, showing weakness from buyers. Now, the market is testing the lower boundary of the box. If the structure confirms a breakout to the downside, we could see a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend, with potential continuation after a possible retest of the broken support. This pattern represents a classic range-to-breakdown scenario, where prolonged consolidation often leads to a strong move once one side is taken out. What do you think: will the market respect the range again or are we about to see a confirmed bearish breakout?
Short
by amir9
BTC – Where to pay attentionPrevious plans played out really well. Very clean sweep of the Friday/weekend highs before a small sell-off started. Now taking the weekend lows, but there are too many stacked lows for me to look for longs already. I marked the nearest untested demand and will monitor how price reacts there. The top of the zone lines up with our H4 EMA100-200. Ultimately I'm looking for a move higher into our real supply zone, where we would be looking for big-boy-shorts.
Long
by Tealstreet