BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
How will BTC play in September?BTC has been in a correction since reaching its most recent ATH of 124,474 USDT. As shown in the shared chart, the correction has formed a bullish falling wedge and this chart pattern was strongly broken to the bullish side with good volume after bouncing off from the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the recent decent.
The breakout is further confirmed by the fact that RSI in the daily frame has bounced off the 38.28 support, where it has not being broken since mid-June.
Even though a strong breakout took place, the price action seems to struggle to break the basis line of the Bollinger Band in the daily time frame. This can be the healthy price action waiting to continue the bullish momentum and waiting for this breakout will be the ultimate conformation.
Most people are stuck with the unhealthy statistics of September being historically bad for BTC and other altcoins. Markets follow cycles. The cycles change as markets mature as their driving dynamics and fundamentals expand. So, sticking with such a statistic is a very unhealthy mindset for a trader.
Compared to previous cycles, the market is heavily driven by institutional flows through ETFs along with the derivatives market. Also, with the high probability of rate cuts in the September FOMC meeting on 16th and 17th of September the current Bull run can extend until somewhere around November to end of the year.
BTC is already at a 13.17% correction from its recent ATH. If the above technical factors go through successfully with positive news from rate cuts and healthy inflow in the derivatives market, we will see BTC resuming its bullish sentiment.
If it fails break these resistances, we may see the continuation of the correction at least till mid to end September and then the resumption of the bullish trend.
What people have to understand is whether thus cycle is extended or not, we are slowly approaching the last boost towards the cycle peaks. The corrections might end quickly or continue for some more days. But based on the current stage, the ultimate action is reaching the cycle tops.
So make sure to take advantage of the corrections and cash out along the reversal with a disciplined strategy. If not you'll just sell into corrections and buy into tops as the majority.
BTC Inverse Head and ShouldersThe chart clearly shows an inverse head and shoulders formation:
Left Shoulder: ~Aug 26 low.
Head: ~Aug 29 low.
Right Shoulder: ~Sep 5-7 low.
This is a bullish reversal pattern after a prolonged downtrend. The breakout above the neckline (around 113,200 – 113,500) confirms the bullish bias.
Fib & Extension Targets :
Immediate target: Fibonacci 1.0 extension ~119,600.
Extended target: 1.618 extension ~123,500.
These align well with previous resistance levels (early August highs).
BTC Daily – Auction at VWAP BalanceBTC is testing a key auction battleground where the 30-day rolling VWAP (short-term value) and the 90-day rolling VWAP (quarterly value) are converging.
In February (red circle), the 30D VWAP slipped under the 90D VWAP — a sign that the short-term auction was no longer able to sustain bids above intermediate value. This imbalance triggered a liquidation move, pushing price down toward the 365D VWAP (yearly value).
In April (green circle), buyers defended the 365D VWAP, treating it as a long-term fair value anchor. That defense re-initiated the rally and reset the auction higher.
Today, the market is once again probing this value overlap zone between the 30D and 90D VWAP. The outcome will define whether short-term participants can accept higher value or whether rejection sends price back into deeper balance.
Auction scenarios to monitor:
Acceptance above 113.6K → short-term value migrates higher, opening path for continuation towards 119-120K.
Rejection here → signals that buyers are unwilling to accept higher value; price may rotate lower toward 103-106K, with the 365D VWAP (92K) acting as the deeper fair value magnet.
In auction terms, BTC is in price discovery mode at overlapping value areas .
Watch for where acceptance forms — that’s where the next directional conviction will emerge.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #174👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Today the U.S. inflation data was released, so let’s see how it impacted the market.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
Earlier today, the PPI index came in favorably for the market, and Bitcoin responded with an upward move following the news.
🔔 Yesterday, however, we saw some unusual global events. Israel carried out a military strike in Qatar, and at the same time, Nepal’s government collapsed following a popular revolution.
✨ These developments were negative for risk assets like Bitcoin, and as a result, the price was rejected from its resistance zone.
✔️ That said, news like this usually impacts markets only temporarily. Today, Bitcoin once again found support at the trendline and pushed higher with strong volume back into the key zone.
📊 Volume has risen significantly, and with today’s bullish PPI release, the current candle is closing above the resistance area.
💥 At the same time, the RSI is breaking through the 64.92 level, which greatly increases the likelihood of Bitcoin starting its next bullish leg. So if you’re already holding a long position, it’s worth keeping it open—there are no clear signs of weakness in the trend yet, and the market still has room to move upward.
🧩 If you don’t have a position open, you can look for entries on lower timeframes once resistance breaks. However, keep in mind that I personally already opened my positions with earlier triggers, and any new triggers appearing today come with higher risk.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Inverse Head and ShouldersThe chart clearly shows an inverse head and shoulders formation:
Left Shoulder: ~Aug 25 low.
Head: ~Aug 29 low.
Right Shoulder: ~Sep 5-7 low.
This is a bullish reversal pattern after a prolonged downtrend. The breakout above the neckline (around 113,200 – 113,500) confirms the bullish bias.
Fib & Extension Targets :
Immediate target: Fibonacci 1.0 extension ~119,600.
Extended target: 1.618 extension ~123,500.
These align well with previous resistance levels (early August highs).
BTC - The largest Trap we have seenThis whole upwards movement since 2023 has been a retest of a bearish breakdown.
The major trendline shown takes Bitcoin to 7,400-8,000 region.
Traders who discredit the possibility of this will certainly be baited and trapped.
Bitcoin will drop aggressively, triggering all of the long stop loss orders one after the next - leveraged sell limit orders that only fill when price passes. This will generate an insanely fast drop to these uber lows.
Traders will take their losses, or their gains - trying to catch the bottom, certain price won’t drop below 100,000 - the 80,000 - then 60,000.
They will not be able to fathom how a drop of such magnitude is possible - or where it’s going to, because they don’t take into consideration the power of stop loss orders and the sheer amount of leveraging in Bitcoins market cap.
Microstrategy - who leverages their assets to produce more of the asset - will likely be challenged with insolvency when the price shows this type of volatility.
The safety of exchange platforms will be called into question - the legalities of leveraging challenged by regulations.
Blackrock will secure their monopoly on Bitcoins buying and selling through their own ETF structure.
Open your eyes. Don’t get trapped or fooled.
This whole move has been a big, intentional set up and my posts explain in detail why, how, what, and when.
BTC – Bullish Head & Shoulders Pattern!Bitcoin is currently showing signs of a bullish inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart. This setup is typically a reversal signal, suggesting potential upside if the neckline resistance is broken.
Key Highlights:
- Left Shoulder, Head, Right Shoulder formation is clearly visible.
- Neckline Resistance: Around $113,500 – a breakout above this level could confirm the pattern.
- Potential Upside: If confirmed, BTC could see a strong move toward higher resistance zones.
- Volume Watch: A breakout backed by strong volume would add conviction.
Cheers
Hexa
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin's Tumble: How Deep Does the Rabbit Hole Go?This isn't just a correction; it's a journey down the rabbit hole. The recent "fake" ATH was a calculated move by the whales to engineer a deep pullback. This analysis maps out the key levels in this rabbit hole where Alice—and Bitcoin—might finally find the bottom and begin the climb to a new Wonderland.
After updating its ATH on August 14th, Bitcoin did not continue its global uptrend. It was merely a liquidity sweep of the previous ATH, which confirmed the formation of a large range on the weekly and daily structures. In essence, this new ATH was a deviation above the range, after which the asset began a sharp markdown, collecting all the internal liquidity.
Most likely, the recent ATH was not the final one in this global bull cycle for Bitcoin because a proper, definitive high that would look like the start of a bear cycle was not established. Instead, it was achieved through a manipulation aimed at engineering a correction for the instrument down to key institutional levels.
Three Potential Long Scenarios
General Entry Conditions for All Scenarios:
Since these are levels from a global structure, a valid entry requires a clear reversal reaction and price finding acceptance above the respective Fib level . Confirmation of this may require waiting for 1-2 daily candles to close if the 1-4H candles do not immediately confirm the reversal.
SCENARIO 1 (Primary): The 50% Weekly Fib Level
This is the first corrective level from which a reversal is possible. A key confluence here is that reaching this level would be accompanied by a sweep of the external liquidity from the lower boundary of the range, as well as the mitigation of the upper boundary of the previous range, which could provide the necessary fuel for the next major impulse up. An added plus would be the price reaching the daily FVG that lies just below this level.
SCENARIO 2 (Deeper Correction): The 61.8% Weekly Fib Level
A break of the 50% level would mean that there wasn't enough liquidity and a deeper correction is needed. The next logical target would be the 61.8% level.
SCENARIO 3 (Final Defense): The 78.6% Weekly Fib Level
This is the last line of defense for the bullish structure. A reaction here would offer the most discounted entry to join the potential continuation of the bull run.
If the final retracement level is broken, the price will most likely attack the June 22nd low at 98200 . If the price finds acceptance below this level with daily/weekly candles, it would signal the end of the global bull cycle and the beginning of a bear market, but this is a distant and less probable perspective for now. I find it more probable that one of the three long scenarios will play out, and the price of Bitcoin will set a new, legitimate ATH.
Since the price is still inside the new large range—albeit near its lower boundary—reaching the first 50% global correction level may take some time and will likely happen next week. Whether this level can withstand the assault will determine if Bitcoin's fall continues, and just how deep Alice's rabbit hole truly is.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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BTC/USDT Analysis. Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to immediately update the high: the $112,600–$112,000 support did not hold as expected and was broken downward.
After reaching the $111,000–$110,600 volume zone, we saw a strong buyer reaction, which eventually pushed the price to break the local high.
Currently, the price is approaching resistance, while a new support has formed just below at $113,700–$113,000 based on pushing volumes. We’ll be watching the reaction here to make decisions based on the context.
Buy Zones:
$113,700–$113,000 (pushing volumes)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin Breaks Key Resistance – Upside Targets in Focus...Bitcoin has been consolidating below the $113,000 resistance level over the past few sessions. On the hourly timeframe, price has now successfully broken above this barrier and is sustaining the breakout.
📈 Trading Outlook:
* A pullback towards $113,000 could offer a favorable long entry opportunity.
* Upside Targets:
* First target: $117,000
* Second target: $122,000
The breakout and successful close above resistance suggest strong bullish momentum, provided price holds above the $113,000 zone.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: IS USA MANIPULATING THE MARKET?! (big move) Yello Paradisers! We have been taking a look at what's going on with the new data release from USA. We have been taking a look at the CME futures gap. We have been taking a look at the multi-timeframe analysis on the ultra-high timeframe chart. We have been going through the moving average touch channel possible reclaim and the Elliott Wave Theory on multiple timeframes. I've shared with you where, with the highest probability, the next move will happen and what kind of confirmations we are waiting for.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Who's ready to lose money (again) on BTC?The ups and downs are becoming just to obvious at this point. BTC struggling to make substantial progress on the price moves now that major whales have moved on due to buying at the TOP. What could go wrong? Diminishing YoY returns, high transaction cost, doesn't solve any real problems, and ultra high volatility. Historically, we are due very soon for a major correction and BTC will very likely come down substantially (next support levels before 100k is around 70k). Not anti-tech or BTC! Just calling out technicals, fundamentals, and historical behavior with tulip-type of hype and have seen many many people lose money from BTC and digital assets (remember NFTs, FTX, Trump's coin that was rugged etc...). Proceed with caution, if you're up on BTC, just sell and park for a breather. There is no escaping macro trends and a big one is coming. We are not at levels not seen since the dot.com bubble, and this one will be harder.
BTC's situation+next targets and expected movementsThe price seems to have completed the corrective wave, and from now on, it's time for a price increase, which will continue up to around $150k .
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSDT.P 1D Time frameMarket Overview
Current Price: ~$112,380
Daily Change: Slight dip (around –0.3%)
Volatility: At multi-month lows, meaning the market is consolidating before a possible breakout.
📈 Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: $112,800 → price needs to clear this for upside continuation.
Next Resistance Zones: $114,000 → $116,000, and further up around $128,000.
Immediate Support: $111,000 → first cushion below current price.
Deeper Support: $110,000, then $107,800–108,000.
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): ~43 → Neutral, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
MACD: Bullish crossover → suggests upward momentum is building.
Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold → possible short-term bounce.
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: A sustained breakout above $114,000 could open a rally toward $128,000.
Sideways Case: Holding between $111,000 and $113,000 keeps Bitcoin in consolidation.
Bearish Case: A break below $110,000 could trigger a move toward $108,000 or even $102,000.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, but the market is in a tight range and waiting for a breakout.