BtcusdtBears have the momentum in the weekly , no news other than saylor buying btc 😂 on the monthly bulls buying pressure is getting weak . I think the market will hit 100k in the coming weeks
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC market snapshotWe’ve reached a new high, and there’s still some room to grow — maybe up to 130K — but I’m maintaining a bearish bias and skipping long entries.
😱 Monthly timeframe divergence is getting stronger, signaling that the overall momentum is fading and the market is overheated.
😱 A rising wedge has formed — a classic trend reversal pattern.
😱 Recent data shows that smart money is selling while retail is buying (judging by gold charts, big players seem to be positioning there in anticipation of a dump).
😱 Social media sentiment is overheated, full of euphoria and belief in endless growth.
😱 The real chaos in the U.S. hasn’t even started yet — the economy is in trouble.
😱 There’s a strong imbalance in open interest.
BTC market snapshotThe U.S. government has gone into a shutdown, and crypto reacted with growth on the dollar’s weakness. HOWEVER, the short signal is strengthening. The monthly close reinforced the short signal for me personally, which doesn’t mean it will play out tomorrow. From current levels, there’s still a chance to update the highs if we break out above the 116K–117K zone.
#BTC/USDT THE ONLY BITCOIN CHART YOU NEED!BTC : Almost There!
BTC is currently following the trajectory shown in my last chart. It took some time, but it’s playing out exactly as expected. Sooner or later, a bounce is coming — there’s no reason to panic unless we break below $103.5K, which is the key support level.
You need to understand that only when money moves out of BTC and big-cap alts will THE MID AND THE SMALL CAPS will have their time to shine. And sooner or later, you'll realise all this happened for good if you played it right. Even if not, many opportunities are coming ahead.
You’ll see this happen soon.
MY MESSAGE TO YOU ALL:
If you've been in crypto for a few years, you know this moment: it’s when the market is on the brink of a big move.
Be patient, it won’t happen overnight, but sooner or later, it will.
If you're currently in the red, take it as a lesson. It happens to the best of us. I've had four positions stopped out, too. It could have been worse if I hadn’t had a STOP LOSS in place.
The silver lining? I can re-enter at a better price.
A lesson I’ve learned over the years: STOP LOSS is a life-saver.
Stay strong and don’t give up right before the big opportunity we’ve all been waiting for.
Opportunities are ahead, manage your risks and remember to take a break, touch some grass. I’m with you.
I'll drop more charts shortly.
Stay strong, folks.
WAGMI!
Do hit the like button, and if you have any doubts, questions, or chart requests, drop them in the comments.
Thank you
#PEACE
BITCOIN’S PUMP BEFORE THE DUMP — CRYPTO ABOUT TO CRASHTRADERS, WE ARE STARING RIGHT INTO THE EYE OF THE STORM. BITCOIN’S “TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE” RALLY IS BEING PROPPED UP BY LEVERAGED PERPS, NOT REAL SPOT BUYING. THE CHART IS SCREAMING EXHAUSTION: AVWAP BANDS COLLIDING, ORDER FLOW MAXED OUT WITH AGGRESSIVE LONGS, AND A DANGEROUS IMBALANCE AROUND 118K. THIS IS THE PERFECT BREEDING GROUND FOR A MEGA LONG SQUEEZE THAT WILL NOT ONLY RIP THROUGH BITCOIN BUT DRAG THE ENTIRE CRYPTO MARKET DOWN WITH IT. THE PUMP IS THE TRAP. THE DUMP IS LOADING
TLDR;
This leg looks futures-driven, not spot-backed. We’re pushing into AVWAP outer-band confluence with imbalances near 118k while leveraged longs pile in. Base case: sweep the mid-Sept Weak High, fail, rotate down toward 104k (and maybe 98.5k). I’ll flip only if spot CVD takes the lead and price accepts above the AVWAP band cluster.
Why I think the “mega long squeeze” is loading
1) Who’s actually buying? (Spot CVD vs Futures CVD)
Spot CVD: still negative/underwhelming across the push → real buyers (spot) aren’t lifting.
Futures CVD (stablecoin-margined): rising with Open Interest → perps are doing the heavy lifting.
Translation: Leverage is pushing price, not genuine spot accumulation. These moves are fragile and unwind hard when OI compresses.
2) AVWAP confluence (the auction math)
I’m tagging anchored VWAPs from opposing pivots (swing low→high and swing high→low).
The outer bands from these anchors are overlapping in the same zone → both bottom-anchored longs see it as expensive (profit-taking), and top-anchored shorts defend their break-even.
That overlap = double-sided supply. Historically, these reject unless fresh spot demand blows through (which we don’t have… yet).
Still have bad September lows that are likely to be swept at 107k~
3) 118k imbalance
There’s an inefficient push / imbalance around 118k. Thin structure often gets tapped/swept, then mean-reverts if the follow-through is purely leveraged.
4) Order flow is too aggressive (late longs)
OI up + positive delta into resistance = new longs chasing.
On footprint, you can see buy-side aggression meeting absorption near the top of the move. That’s classic trap fuel if we print an SFP.
Trade idea (conceptual, not financial advice)
Base case path (bearish):
✅ Sweep the Weak High (mid-Sept) into 117.8–118.8k (imbalance + AVWAP band confluence).
✅ Print a Swing-Fail Pattern (SFP) / rejection wick on 5–15m with:
Spot CVD NOT confirming (stays flat/negative),
OI spikes while delta stalls (late longs absorbed).
Short after the reclaim/failure back below the swept high; stop above the SFP high.
Targets / magnets:
113.2–114.1k (0.382 zone / local AVWAP midlines)
111.3k (0.5 retrace / prior balance edge)
109.9–109.3k (weekend low / prior node)
106.0–104.9k (SP + LVN cluster, high-prob test area)
Stretch: 103.5k (4H single print) → 98.5k if liquidation cascade extends.
validation / flip criteria:
Acceptance above the AVWAP outer-band cluster and 118.8k with:
Spot CVD turning positive and making higher highs,
OI stable or down on further upside (less leverage dependence).
If that happens, I stand down on the short idea and reassess for continuation
Be careful with the continued downward correction.BTC Plan Analysis
Currently, BTC has rallied strongly toward the 118,700 – 118,800 zone and is testing the 1.0 Fibonacci resistance. This area may trigger short-term profit-taking.
Main outlook: After a sharp rally, the market is likely to see a corrective move.
Key Levels
Resistance:
118,800 – 119,000 (near-term resistance, currently being tested)
120,428 (strong resistance on the higher timeframe)
122,500 (major resistance, extended wave target)
Support:
116,485 (Fibo 0.786, important confluence support)
114,837 (previous resistance turned support + EMA200)
114,150 – 114,050 (lower support, Fibo 0.236)
Possible Scenarios
BTC may face selling pressure at 118,800 – 119,000, leading to a correction back to 116,500.
If 116,500 breaks, the next support zone is 114,800 – 114,000.
If BTC holds above 116,500 and bounces, the market will likely retest the higher resistance at 120,400 – 122,500.
👉 Summary: Price is currently at short-term resistance. It’s better to wait for a reaction before making decisions. The correction toward 116.5K remains the primary scenario before the next clear move.
BTC Accumulates in Downtrend - CorrectionBTC Analysis
BTC is currently moving in line with the broader trend structure. After a strong bearish leg, the price reacted precisely at the 108k demand zone, rebounding sharply by around +4,000 points. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this critical level.
At present, BTC is trading near 112k, with the next resistance levels to watch at 113,925 – 116,132. A short-term bullish continuation into these zones is possible, but strong selling pressure is expected there.
If the price fails to hold above the 113k – 114k area, a pullback toward the 109k demand zone could follow. A deeper bearish continuation would then likely target 106k – 106.2k, which aligns with the next key Fibonacci extension and a major support area.
Key Notes:
• The broader trend remains intact; buyers successfully defended 108k.
• Watch resistance at 113.9k – 116.1k for potential reversal signals.
• Key support zones: 109k (demand) and 106k (major target).
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The core basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea consists of two main points.
First, within the Double Zigzag pattern, each zigzag forms a 1:1 length ratio.
WAVE.Y1=WAVE.Z1
For easier identification, I have illustrated this section in the chart below.
The second is ZIF.
ZIF (Zone of Interpretive Freedom) is a concept I devised myself, and it refers to the price range between the 1.0 ratio and the 1.414 ratio when Fibonacci retracement is drawn.
This range serves as a critical zone for determining the validity of the idea, and as long as the range is not breached, the strategy is considered to remain valid. Also, the closing basis of ZIF is the daily candle’s closing price.
Simply moving outside of ZIF does not immediately invalidate the perspective.
Although the high of September 18 has been broken upward as of the current point in time, I regard this upward breakout as a false breakout (whipsaw).
The reason is that leading altcoins are moving sideways, failing to follow Bitcoin’s movement, and are showing declining momentum.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 112.970 USDT.
Additional briefings will be continuously updated to this idea as the chart develops.
#BTC/USDT Let Bitcoin make a new ATH#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 121900, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 123300.
First target: 124050.
Second target: 125160.
Third target: 126774.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#BTCUSDT Let Bitcoin make a new ATH#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 121,500.
Entry price: 122,200.
First target: 122,800.
Second target: 123,400.
Third target: 124,200.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change your stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Roadmap: Can BTC Hold the $108K Before Next Big move!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the Support zone($110,920-$109,900) and Support lines yesterday with the help of a Bearish Marubozu Candle(the Marubozu candle volume was acceptable).
Bitcoin is still moving in the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and near the important Support line, Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($108,165-$107,000).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3. Microwave 4 of the main wave 3 is of the Contracting Triangle type, and the main wave 3 is of the extended type.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising and attack the Resistance lines after completing the main wave 3 from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Support zone($108,200-$107,240), and Important Support line.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $110,624-$109,836
Note: If Bitcoin touches $106,800, we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800).
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $111,000, we can expect a renewed rise in Bitcoin.
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One of the indices that helps the Roadmap of Bitcoin and other tokens is the USDT.D%.
USDT.D% currently seems to have managed to break the heavy resistance zone and this is NOT good news for Bitcoin and other tokens, and perhaps a further correction in the crypto market is on the way.
USDT.D%’s roadmap for me is that it is almost in line with today’s analysis of Bitcoin.
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Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Symmetry <Danger Zones>BTC follow Symmetry
just wait for entry signal
Price symmetry refers to comparing the size of past and current price movements to identify balance or repeating patterns.
It assumes that the market tends to make similar upward and downward moves in terms of price distance (such as wave length or correction size).
Analysts measure previous price swings and compare them with the current move to identify potential reversal or continuation points.
The only trades you need this week!Here you will find a comprehensive breakdown of what BTC has done and what BTC will do next.
Join us as we watch to see if we transition structure on the 4h, and in doing so, open a world of possible trades.
Remember active risk management is the way to go, no gambling, be disciplined, plan your trade and trade your plan.
BTC/USDT | BTC Bounce After $111K Dip – Liquidity Gap in FocusBy analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after a heavy correction down to $111,000, the price found demand again and is now trading around $113,600.
I expect Bitcoin to continue rising to fill the liquidity gap, with the first target at $114,150. Other targets and scenarios will be shared tomorrow!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
#BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!BTC Trend Context: The price is within an ascending channel – overall, this suggests an upward trend in the market.
Support Testing: The lower boundary or support zone is being tested – this is a critical "decisive" area.
Rejection/Bounce Potential: If support holds and the price reacts upwards, we could see a further move upwards towards resistance.
Breakdown Risk: If the price breaks decisively below support, this could lead to a deeper decline or a trend reversal.
BTC — Sunday Liquidity TrapAfter hitting the BIG resistance at $117,896 (0.618 Fib retracement), BTC rejected as anticipated and started its current downtrend. The anchored VWAP from the $117.9K high has been an excellent guide, acting as resistance → most recently at $113,800, where it provided a clean short entry.
Over the weekend, BTC has traded sideways. We just saw a small pump to clear the range highs and take out buy-side liquidity, a common setup before markets rotate lower to sweep sell-side liquidity.
Key Confluence Zone
The next level of interest sits around $108,250, where multiple factors align:
Monthly Open: $108,246.36
Daily Level: $108,246.35
0.618 Fib Retracement: $108,236.67
Liquidity cluster with many stop-losses residing here
If this zone fails to hold, the next downside interest lies at:
Key Low: $107,255 → possible SFP area
0.666 Fib Retracement: $106,975.52 → additional support
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Long around $108,250 (mOpen confluence zone)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.666 Fib retracement (~$106,975)
Take Profit: TP1 → $111K, if volume expands → trail stop for higher targets
R:R: ~1:2
Market Insight
Sunday pumps are notoriously unreliable, often designed to trap traders into late longs before a pullback wipes them out. This setup reflects exactly that dynamic.
Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
My view on BTCBitcoin has shown renewed strength in momentum after tapping into a strong support zone.
From a structural standpoint, price first printed a lower low, then followed with a higher low, which is a classic signal of improving momentum and potential trend reversal.
If price can break decisively above the 117,900 level with high volume, I think it opens the path for BTC to rally into the order block near the all-time high.
🎯 Conclusion: My outlook leans bullish — the shift from a lower low to a higher low highlights building momentum, and a break above 117,900 with strong volume would likely accelerate the move toward the upper order block. Still, markets are unpredictable, and this is only my view.
👉 For more structured market insights and professional analysis, follow along.
BITCOIN BITCOIN ,THE CURRENT structure shows no slowing down by buyers, if they break 124k they will head straight into 135k-145k zone .my goal is to see what buyer will do on the supply roof of the bullish channel.
layer by layer
BTC market snapshot BTC level at 108K has held so far. A breakout above 116K would send us to test a new all-time high. But I’m still holding a short position — there’s a divergence on the higher timeframe, and if we reach new highs, there’s a strong chance of a short squeeze. For now, it’s the classic sideways movement where there’s nothing to do.
Alerts: 108K and 116K.
A breakout to new highs would be my opportunity to open a short.
BTC/USDT Forecast: $110K – $150K Buy SetupBTC/USDT Forecast: $110K – $150K Buy Setup
Elliott Wave Count
The chart shows Bitcoin is moving in a 5-wave impulsive structure.
Waves (1), (2), (3), and (4) are already complete. Currently, the market is preparing for Wave (5) to the upside.
Typically, Wave (5) is the final bullish push after a corrective Wave (4). This means we are looking at a potential strong rally to finish the structure.
Market Structure & Channel
Price is respecting a rising channel (black trendlines). Each dip has found support along the lower boundary.
After consolidating around $120K, Bitcoin looks set to retest lower liquidity around $110K, which aligns with support and also the entry zone marked on the chart.
From this support, buyers are expected to step in and push price back to the upper channel line near $150K.
Entry, Stop, and Target
Entry Zone: $110,000 – $112,000
This area is marked as the ideal “buy zone” where the structure supports accumulation before the next leg up.
Stop Loss: Around $106,000 (below the channel and previous structure low).
Target: $150,000
This is the projected completion of Wave (5), aligning with the top of the channel.
Risk-to-Reward (RR)
Risk is roughly $4K–$6K per BTC (from $110K entry to $106K stop).
Reward is about $40K (from $110K to $150K).
That’s an RR ratio of around 1:7 to 1:10, which is highly favorable.
Psychological View
As a reader, this makes sense because the chart clearly shows the wave pattern and logical support/resistance zones.
Even if BTC dips first, the structure says it’s still bullish in the bigger picture.
The idea is simple: buy the dip into support (wave 4 low region) and ride the momentum into the final wave (wave 5).
Wait for 118k , then buy again (130k incoming )In my previous idea , when BTC was 113k , i published an Idea that BTC will hit 130k and people told me you are wrong . Now im telling you wait for 118k (wave 4) then buy again.
Analyzing Elliott's wave theory telling us that btc need some corrections and this is why price is started to fall.
BITCOIN BTCUSDT BITCOIN ,the structure of the market tell us its direction.in the case of bitcoin the buy was clear on ascending trendline line as posted last week.
now we are at daily resistance at 121,019.84 ,if we get rejected we will see temporary correction into 118-117k zone we will look for buy opportunity and target 122,800-123k zone and the next target will be 126800-127000 zone .
full break of 126,800-127,00k will be holding till 147k-137k zone .
#bitcoin #btcusdt #btc
Forecast for BTCUSDT 30th September 2026 My projection / guess for BTC for the current week. Continuation to ~$115k followed by a retrace to ~$111k then continuation up to ~$120k followed by a huge dump.
