TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #179👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. After a few days, it’s time to resume our updates.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking the 116,960 zone, Bitcoin failed to hold above it and the upward move turned out to be a fake breakout.
⚡️ Following that, a corrective move began. After consolidating below 114,819, the price continued its correction down to 111,524.
✔️ So far, the reaction to this level has been positive, with several green candles forming off this support.
🔑 However, the key point is that volume hasn’t increased, which is not a good sign for buyers.
🔍 If 111,524 breaks, the downtrend could extend toward the main support floor below.
💥 On the other hand, if price manages to create higher highs and higher lows above 111,524 and volume starts to pick up, a confirmed close above 114,819 could offer a long entry setup.
📈 A breakout of 116,960 will remain the primary long trigger. A clean break above that level will confirm the start of a new bullish leg.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC (LONG)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Entry range (111600- 113000)
SL 109977
T1 124 900
T2 131 600
Extra Target is optional 139000
_______________________________________________________
Golden Advices.
********************
* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
It’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
BTC/USDT Bearish Trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of BTC/USDT (4H timeframe) chart analysis:
---
Bearish Bitcoin Setup
Trend: The market is clearly in a downtrend, with price respecting the descending channel.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Two FVG zones are highlighted where price retraced to fill imbalances.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue) are above price, confirming bearish momentum.
Key Resistance: Price is currently retesting the FVG supply zone around 111,000 – 111,500, which aligns with the descending trendline.
Rejection Expected: If sellers defend this zone, price is likely to continue its bearish trajectory.
---
Target Point
A measured move suggests a potential drop towards 106,218 (next support / target zone).
This aligns with the channel’s lower boundary.
.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trading Idea
Bias: Bearish.
Entry Zone: Around 111,000 – 111,500 (FVG supply & trendline confluence).
Target: 106,218.
Invalidation: A breakout above 113,000 (200 EMA) would weaken the bearish setup.
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
What’s a Wedge Pattern?What's up traders! 👋
Wedge patterns are a powerful tool in technical analysis that can give you a heads-up about potential price moves. Whether you’re spotting a falling wedge or a rising wedge, these formations can reveal key signals about market direction.
What’s a Wedge Pattern?
A wedge pattern forms when price moves between two converging trendlines, creating a shape resembling a triangle. These patterns usually appear when the market is slowing down or consolidating before making a bigger move. Wedges can slope upwards or downwards, and the key difference lies in whether the trendlines are converging in an uptrend (rising wedge) or a downtrend (falling wedge).
Falling Wedge Pattern: Bullish Reversal 📈
The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal signal. This formation occurs when price moves between two downward-sloping trendlines, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows. The downward momentum weakens as the trendlines converge, indicating that sellers are losing strength, which sets up the potential for a bullish breakout.
How to Trade the Falling Wedge
Entry: Wait for the price to break above the upper trendline. This is your signal to enter long.
Target: Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point and project it upwards from the breakout point.
Stop Loss: Place it just below the most recent swing low to protect your position if the breakout doesn’t happen.
The chart illustrates a falling wedge pattern on the Bitcoin / Tether US pair with a 1-hour timeframe. Price action is contained within two converging downward-sloping trendlines, suggesting weakening bearish momentum. The breakout above the upper trendline signals a bullish reversal, and the subsequent uptick in price confirms the shift in momentum.
In rare cases, a breakout failure can lead to a bearish falling wedge pattern, but this scenario is less common. Keep an eye on the price action for signs of continued upward momentum.
Rising Wedge Pattern: Bearish Reversal 📉
The rising wedge pattern is a bearish reversal signal. This formation happens when price moves between two upward-sloping trendlines, creating higher highs and higher lows. The rising wedge indicates weakening buying pressure and a potential reversal to the downside.
How to Trade the Rising Wedge
Entry: Enter a short position once the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Target: Measure the height of the wedge and project it downward from the breakout point.
Stop Loss: Set it just above the most recent swing high to protect your trade.
Wedge Chart Pattern Trading: Key Tips ⚡
Context is everything when trading wedge patterns. If a bullish wedge pattern appears in an uptrend, it’s more likely to break to the upside. If a bearish wedge shows up in a downtrend, expect a breakdown.
Here are a few quick tips to improve your wedge trading pattern game:
Trendlines are key: Ensure your trendlines are drawn accurately. Properly drawn trendlines lead to better trades.
Breakout confirmation: Confirm breakouts with increased volume and, ideally, by checking for confluence with other indicators like RSI or MACD. A breakout without volume is often a false signal.
Risk management: Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Use other indicators: Wedge patterns work well with additional tools such as RSI, moving averages, or MACD. The more confluence, the better!
Final Thoughts 🏁
Wedge patterns, whether it’s the falling wedge pattern signaling a bullish reversal or the rising wedge pattern trading indicating bearish pressure, are some of the most reliable chart formations out there. But remember: no setup is perfect, so always use a stop loss and never rely on a single indicator.
With practice, you’ll get better at spotting these setups and timing your entries and exits like a pro. Happy trading, and may the charts be in your favor! 💰📊
Btcusdt As long as btc stays below 124k the wyckoff distribution idea we saw in featured is still valid , with no OBV this pump is fake . Taker buy/sell ratio in binance is 1< meaning more selling pressure than buying . This pump is getting absorbed by the short term supply .. if etf inflows slows down a bit it will crash Btc . historically the market usually tops in Q4 each cycle and October is the month .. Goverment shot down will probably last 2 weeks no economic data will be released I don’t think the market will still be bullish with so much uncertainty I expect the markets to crash soon . Just my idea
BTC Above All Key Levels, Trend Points Higher Update 02-10-2025🚀 Bitcoin / USDT Update
Bitcoin has broken above all key levels, showing strong momentum.
Main trend has been secured.
Low time frame is confirmed and holding.
Price is currently pushing into new zones with upside pressure.
If this strength continues, BTC could extend toward the 120K region, and a new trend could unlock further upside potential beyond that.
✅ As long as Bitcoin stays above the confirmation zone (~113K support), momentum remains bullish.
Bitcoin Correction Still in Play – Waiting for a Higher LowIn the 4H timeframe, Bitcoin still hasn’t made the correction I was waiting for.
I see this whole move as a single wave, and I’ll remain patient until we get a higher low (or equal low) around 108,810.
🔹 If no correction happens, I’ll wait for the market to build a clearer structure.
🔹 I’m not opening any positions for now.
🔹 Don’t rush — patience is key. If you stay consistent and keep tracking the market, opportunities will always come.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – September 30, 2025Today, as of September 30, I am writing to share my bearish perspective on Bitcoin with a short position.
In this idea as well, I am leaning toward a decline. There are two main reasons for this.
First, the 1.13 ALT BAT pattern. This harmonic pattern has already been confirmed, but since the detailed Fibonacci ranges do not fully match, we cannot rule out the possibility of one more upward wave. Therefore, I am first entering a short position with only a small portion, and then plan to flexibly increase the position depending on the price action. In other words, if the decline unfolds immediately, my analysis will be accurate; on the other hand, I also judge that there is a sufficient possibility of one more short-term wave forming before a reversal to the downside.
Second, the downward breakout of the trendline. Rather than analyzing the harmonic pattern independently, I prefer to combine it with trendline analysis. This is due to the flexible nature of harmonic theory, and through trendlines I can measure both the reference points for position sizing and the strength of momentum.
For these reasons, I entered the first short position, with an average target price set at 110,500 USDT.
Recently, not only the stock market but also the cryptocurrency market as a whole has been in poor condition. I hope that those who are experiencing losses will soon encounter better conditions, and I also hope that sharing my perspective can provide even a small help.
I will continue to update my ideas in line with the chart developments and transparently share my thoughts.
Thank you for reading.
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 49❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour chart , After a strong bullish rally and breaking the $109,766 zone, BTC managed to move toward $117,000. This level is considered a multi–timeframe daily resistance, and personally I expect a correction here. The second bullish leg, which started after breaking the $111,624 resistance and buyers' micro support at $112,762, is now facing weakness. RSI is also showing reversal signals. The current BTC scenario is a correction toward the marked Fibonacci zones. The upcoming resistance is extremely important, and if it breaks, Bitcoin can continue upward.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, during both bullish legs it managed to stay firmly in overbought territory, and long-position volatility has significantly increased along with rising buy volume. On the 1H timeframe, RSI doesn’t have a specific key level right now because it has hit a significant swing resistance on the daily timeframe. Breaking out of the marked zone can push BTC higher. This key swing level on the daily RSI is around 61.
🕯 Volume, count, and size of bullish candles have sharply increased. Considering we are sitting at a resistance zone, traders are putting in maximum effort to break it, and volume is rising aggressively. Every sell candle that formed was engulfed by buyers immediately as BTC dipped, and buyers created new positions. Our trend is strongly bullish.
🎮 The Fibonacci is drawn from the start of the new bullish leg to the top of the previous 1H candle's wick. It has identified strong support zones in case BTC corrects, and these levels are considered highly reliable.
📊 The Bitcoin liquidation heatmap currently shows the distribution of short positions, and this spread continues up to $119,000. With upward movement and buyer support, these clusters can get absorbed and liquidated, leading to a short squeeze and a strong move up. Note that the cluster of short liquidations down to $113,000 could get triggered with maximum selling pressure, and this scenario isn’t far-fetched.
🧠 If you haven’t entered a BTC position based on previous analyses, you can wait for corrective support zones to form. Buyer tickers will place their orders below these support levels so we can gain full confirmation before making a BTC entry.
↗️ Long Position Scenario: A break above the seller ticker zone and grabbing accounts holding short positions is required to reduce short-position clusters. Then we need confirmation above our seller ticker zone at $117,820. With the start of a new bullish leg and an indecision candle plus a 7 SMA touch from below, we can open a low-risk long position.
📉 Short Position Scenario: If BTC forms a lower high and lower low with maximum selling pressure, negative economic news, and loses key Fibonacci zones — especially the 61% level — we can consider opening a short. However, as I mentioned in previous days, avoiding shorts and focusing on longs is currently much more in our favor.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 4H – Testing 116k, Key Supply AheadBitcoin bounced strongly from the 109k demand zone and broke above 114k.
Now testing the 116k–117.2k supply zone, which is the key area to watch.
✅ Bullish: Break & hold above 117.2k opens the way to 118k – 120k.
❌ Bearish: Rejection from 116k–117.2k could trigger a pullback to 114k → 111k.
Key Levels:
Supports: 114k / 113k / 111k / 109k
Resistances: 116k / 117.2k / 118k / 120k
⚡️ 116k–117.2k is the decision zone for the next move.
BTC - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis - 28.09.25Welcome! Enjoy the Analysis and read carefully ;)
We did some adjustments and changes to the counts which do not affect the short term analyses and counts by much.
We assume that the last ATH was the end of a Wave 3 in blue and we are now looking for another Wave 4 into Wave 5. The Wave 4 support area is between the 0.236 FIB at 113187.3 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 101704.4 USD. Technically we could go a bit lower but preferably we do not break the 0.618 FIB at 96955.9 USD substantial.
We count the blue Wave 4 as an WXY in red of which we finished Wave W and most likely Wave X and currently we are forming Wave Y as an ABC. We have a yellow ABC which theoretically could be the whole Wave Y but it seems a bit shallow in time and regarding price we would like to see another low for that scenario. For that reason we also have a red ABC on the chart which would be the extended correction of Y in this case the yellow ABC would be only the red Wave A of the extended correction.
If the yellow C goes lower the next targets for it would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 107189.9 USD and then the 1.382 FIB at 104733.8 USD. The Wave B resistance area would be between the 0.382 FIB at 112045.6 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 116799.6 USD. Be aware that B Waves are hard to predict.
The target for the Wave Y is the 0.618 FIB at 107448.1 USD which is in confluence with the 1 to 1 FIB target of the yellow Wave C as well as the 0.382 FIB of the support area. The next target would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 101496.5 USD which is at confluence with the 0.5 FIB of the support area.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 50☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, after breaking through the taker-seller zone around $117,550, price pushed up toward its resistance area near $120,000. From there, we’ve started to see early signs of rejection. With a 1H candle close rejecting this zone, we can say that after such a strong rally, Bitcoin is now entering its corrective phase, moving back toward its key support levels. Let’s break it down deeper.
🧮 The RSI oscillator, after consolidating for about 1 day and 6 hours around the overbuy boundary, has now started to exit that zone. This suggests potential downside momentum toward its key swing supports. Keep in mind, a static swing resistance formed at the 78 level in overbuy territory. If that breaks — along with the taker-seller zone — long trades could push RSI up toward 91 before facing a possible rejection (a less likely scenario for now). At this stage, I don’t have a clear key support zone to highlight, but with corrective structure forming, I’ll point out the levels to watch in future updates.
🕯 Today’s buying candles expanded slightly in size and volume following the weaker USD news. However, because the move up has been sharp and the number of selling candles limited, hitting the taker-seller zone increases the probability of a pullback. A strong close with solid selling volume would confirm corrective pressure for Bitcoin.
🧠 I believe the smarter approach is to wait for the corrective structure to play out first. Once the new resistance levels are defined and broken, we can look for setups. Keep in mind, shorting here isn’t ideal — the broader trend is still strongly bullish and momentum is very powerful. The goal is to position for the next high-probability move, not fight the trend.
↗️ Long scenario: A Bitcoin long could be considered on a clean break above RSI 78 combined with a strong candle close above the marked taker-seller zone, ideally supported by increasing buy volume. Multi-timeframe candle setups would give stronger confirmation for entry.
📉 Short scenario: At the moment, I don’t see a high-probability short setup. Long positions are simply carrying more edge (and dopamine).
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .