Bitcoin looks bullish. Bitcoin broke out of the falling channel with a high volume candlestick. If the 1 D candle closes above the 118,000 resistance, Bitcoin will reach a new ath. A small retest after breaking the 118,000 level could be an opportunity to buy Bitcoin. However, it is still beneficial to consider the fundamental risks.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC at the Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown? 📊 BTCUSDT Technical Analysis – 1-Hour Timeframe (Oct 5, 2025)
Created by FarshadRazaghi using TradingView
This 1-hour chart captures Bitcoin’s price action against Tether from September 29 to October 6. After a strong bullish rally reaching 124,447.32, BTC faced selling pressure and is now consolidating near the 121,017.16 support level.
🔻 Overall Trend
- From Sep 29 to Oct 5, BTC moved in a clear uptrend, breaking through multiple resistance zones.
- On Oct 5, price hit a peak at 124,447.32, followed by bearish candles and a noticeable drop in volume—indicating potential exhaustion.
🟩 Key Support Zones
- 119,824.23 and 118,925.65 have acted as strong support levels.
- If 121,017.16 fails to hold, price may decline toward 117,504.32 and possibly 115,122.73.
🟥 Resistance Zones
- The main resistance is at 123,456.78, which previously rejected upward momentum.
- A breakout above this level could lead to a retest of the 124,447.32 high.
📉 Volume Analysis
- A sharp drop in volume is observed near the top (highlighted in orange), suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
- Declining red volume bars may indicate a slow correction or sideways consolidation.
📈 Potential Scenarios
1. Bullish Case: Holding above 121K and breaking through 123,456 could trigger a move toward 124,447.
2. Bearish Case: Losing the 121K support may open the path to 119K and then 117K.
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🧠 Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is at a critical decision point. Price behavior around the 121K support and 123K resistance will likely define the next move. Traders should monitor volume closely and wait for confirmation before entering positions. Risk management remains essential.
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 51☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after this recent bullish leg, price has now reached its resistance at $120,827. If this resistance breaks — a zone packed with short orders — Bitcoin could start an extremely sharp and powerful upward leg, essentially triggering a short squeeze. At the moment, Bitcoin is entering a corrective phase; with the start of this correction, price could head down toward its Fibonacci retracement supports, bounce from one of those levels, and then form a new trading structure.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, price has been ranging around the 70 zone and briefly entered overbuy. It is now moving toward the 50 area, its oscillation mean. A break below 50 could deepen the correction, but if support holds, RSI could again head toward the resistance zone near 70 and re-test the overbought boundary.
🎮 The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the breakout at $114,562 to $120,827 highlights several strong support areas. The most important zones for Bitcoin are the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels. Support here, followed by a fresh structure, could set up strong trading opportunities.
🕯 The size and volume of buy candles have been exceptionally strong and increasing — something rarely seen in Bitcoin with such a one-sided move to the upside. Now, during this corrective phase, even as selling pressure appears, roughly 70% of that sell volume is being absorbed by buyers. What we must watch closely is how buyers decide to allocate capital from here. If the key Fibonacci levels are lost, we respect the market’s decision and only then consider new trades.
🧠 For a Bitcoin position If you don’t have an open position, I recommend waiting for a new structure to form at critical Fibonacci levels, and only enter after a breakout of that structure.
If you already hold a position, consider partial profit-taking, since USDT dominance has also reached an important support zone.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 52☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken through all major resistance levels, setting a new ATH, and then experienced a 2% price drop due to profit-taking and FOMO-driven selling. It then moved toward its key support zone around $122,584, bounced from there, and is now moving toward its early trigger zone at $124,113.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows two important levels — 63 and 45 — and once the volatility threshold crosses especially above 63, Bitcoin could see a sharp increase in volatility, activating its triggers and enabling breakout moves.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has decreased after each touch of resistance, but now with a noticeable volume increase, our early trigger could become active, allowing Bitcoin to form larger, high-volume candles either upward or downward. Since the high-wave cycle remains bullish, the current scenario still favors upside continuation and resistance breakouts.
🧠 For Bitcoin positions, it’s better to wait for all confirmations to align — including activation of the early trigger, an RSI breakout above 63, and rising buy volume — before opening a long position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
#BTC/USDT Analysis — Pullback Before Bullish Continuation#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 4-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 111600, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 111750.
First target: 112684.
Second target: 113672.
Third target: 115048.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
$BTC Sunday Update Bitcoin dumped over 8K, exactly as I warned CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sunday Update
Bitcoin dumped over 8K, exactly as I warned many times at 115K. This is now the 2nd time price has rejected and fallen below 110K. I’m still holding shorts, and if we push back to 115K again, I’ll add more. My downside targets haven’t changed: 105K, 100K, 95K, 90K or below. Altcoin pumps are only traps before the bigger drop.
BTC Buy Plan - What do you think? Reasons I believe MEXC:BTCUSDT can pump:
1- Overall BTC trend is still bullish.
2- Price has already swept Monday low.
3- Bullish Harmonic Shark pattern’s D leg is completed.
4- Price is currently respecting Monday low.
What are your thoughts? Share them in comments!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #179👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. After a few days, it’s time to resume our updates.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking the 116,960 zone, Bitcoin failed to hold above it and the upward move turned out to be a fake breakout.
⚡️ Following that, a corrective move began. After consolidating below 114,819, the price continued its correction down to 111,524.
✔️ So far, the reaction to this level has been positive, with several green candles forming off this support.
🔑 However, the key point is that volume hasn’t increased, which is not a good sign for buyers.
🔍 If 111,524 breaks, the downtrend could extend toward the main support floor below.
💥 On the other hand, if price manages to create higher highs and higher lows above 111,524 and volume starts to pick up, a confirmed close above 114,819 could offer a long entry setup.
📈 A breakout of 116,960 will remain the primary long trigger. A clean break above that level will confirm the start of a new bullish leg.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – September 30, 2025Hello everyone,
Today, as of September 30, I would like to share my perspective on a Bitcoin short position. Once again, I am leaning toward the possibility of a decline, and the basis for this view consists of two main points.
First, from the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory, the ongoing 5th wave shows a 0.786 length ratio relative to the 1st wave. Traditionally, the 5th wave often has a specific proportional relationship with the 1st or 3rd wave, with the most ideal ratios being known as 0.618, 1.0, or 1.618. However, in actual markets, more unconventional ratios frequently appear, and one of these is precisely the 0.786 ratio structure of the 5th wave. While this ratio is not the textbook standard, it reflects market participants’ psychology and is repeatedly observed, which makes it a sufficiently valid analytical basis. In particular, at the current stage, the strength of the 5th wave’s advance is gradually weakening, and the typical characteristics of the end of a wave, such as the fading of buying momentum, are also being observed.
Second, a 1.13 ALT BAT pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has formed. While the standard BAT pattern is based on the 0.886 level, the modified ALT BAT pattern sets the 1.13 point as the critical turning area, forming a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). In the current chart, a price reversal is indeed observed at the 1.13 point, which can be regarded as a strong signal where pattern theory and real market movement align. This situation is not a mere coincidence but indicates that selling pressure has intensified in an area where supply zones and psychological resistance are concentrated.
Based on these two factors, I set the average target for this decline around 111,633. Of course, since the market is fluid, I will continue to verify the validity of this idea as the chart develops and update it as necessary.
Thank you for reading.
BTC — Diamond Apex in Rising ChannelThesis (1D pattern, 4H execution):
BTC is coiling in a diamond nested inside a rising channel. Neutral pattern with a slight bull bias. Trade the break + retest, not the guess.
Structure & Key Levels
Pattern: Diamond (expansion → contraction) approaching apex.
Boundaries: Resistance ~116k • Support ~108k.
Measured height: ~8k → projection ~7–8k from the break.
Context: Supply near prior ATH/“TP-1” band above; demand zone ~100k (“TP-1” down) with deeper confluence near ~92–94k (“TP-2” down). Channel top aligns with “TP-2” up.
BTC: Growth from $109KOn September 28, Bitcoin turned into an upward movement on the 1-hour chart from the $109,804 zone. From this level, the market went through all four stages of profit-taking and reached $120,999, giving a potential difference of more than $11,000 per coin. Those who followed the system were able to capture the maximum from this trend.
The key point here is how the movement was managed. The algorithm highlighted important zones, helped secure the position in time, and reduced risks. No emotions, no guessing—just a step-by-step process where every action was clear in advance and confirmed by market structure.
For beginners, such a tool works like a navigator: it shows where it’s safer to lock in profits and when it makes sense to hold longer. In conditions of high volatility, discipline, automation, and technical analysis become the main advantage. That’s what turns the market from a chaotic game into a structured process. An interesting fact I’ve noticed is that this indicator shows an 84% win rate on Bitcoin trades.
BTC Bullish Targets 150k & beyond
Since downward manipulation/support testing leg in April of this year, BTC had shown strength and crossed Weekly swing high.
Targets from that manipulation leg have reached halfway already, and now looking forward to 4th deviation.
2nd dev= $117,340 upto $124,480
4th dev = $145,900 upto 153,000
chart also shows potential targets in case we go higher. upto 190k and 243k.
BTC EQL sweep then movement higherI’m looking at the highlighted equal lows, ideally expecting a sweep and then possibly a retest of the marked imbalance around the 104K level in the first half of the week.
From these levels, I’d like to see a strong reaction and a return back into the range to target the build-up of shorts, possibly with a move above the established highs or at least towards the ~120K area.
$BTC BTC/USDT Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Chart Pattern
A double bottom pattern has formed around 109,000 – 110,000, which often signals a strong bullish reversal as buyers defend the same support level twice.
Key Levels
Main Support: 109,000 – 110,000 (double bottom area).
Immediate Resistance: 118,000 – 120,000 (currently being tested). A breakout above this level will confirm the double bottom reversal.
Upside Target (TP): Supply zone around 127,000 – 130,000.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 114,700 – 115,000 (minor support after breakout), BTC has the potential to continue toward 118,000.
A confirmed breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 will open the path toward 127,000 – 130,000.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to break 118,000 – 120,000 and a drop back below 114,700 may lead BTC to retest 110,000 support.
A breakdown below 110,000 will invalidate the double bottom and expose BTC to further downside below 105,000.
Conclusion
The structure currently favors the bulls with the double bottom pattern in play. As long as 110,000 holds, the medium-term outlook remains positive. A breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 would confirm the bullish bias and set the stage for a move toward 127,000 – 130,000.
BTC/USDT Bearish Trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of BTC/USDT (4H timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bearish Bitcoin Setup
Trend: The market is clearly in a downtrend, with price respecting the descending channel.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Two FVG zones are highlighted where price retraced to fill imbalances.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue) are above price, confirming bearish momentum.
Key Resistance: Price is currently retesting the FVG supply zone around 111,000 – 111,500, which aligns with the descending trendline.
Rejection Expected: If sellers defend this zone, price is likely to continue its bearish trajectory.
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Target Point
A measured move suggests a potential drop towards 106,218 (next support / target zone).
This aligns with the channel’s lower boundary.
.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea
Bias: Bearish.
Entry Zone: Around 111,000 – 111,500 (FVG supply & trendline confluence).
Target: 106,218.
Invalidation: A breakout above 113,000 (200 EMA) would weaken the bearish setup.
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Long BTC📊 BTC Market Update
Weekly TF: BTC is closing with a bullish weekly candle, signaling strong momentum continuation.
4H TF: Price has broken above the range high and is now retesting it as support — a classic breakout-retest setup.
✅ Long Bias
Structure and momentum align with a long entry, with favorable R:R as outlined in the chart.
Breakout confirmation on the retest strengthens the case for continuation to higher targets.
⚠️ Key to Monitor
Hold above the reclaimed range high.
Volume confirmation on the retest for sustainability.
Macro events and BTC dominance shifts that could affect follow-through.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.