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Midterm Stock Forecast for AMDNASDAQ:AMD at $203 shows signs of topping, with H1 momentum rolling over. A decline toward $130 is expected as the market digests high valuations and competitive pressure in AI chips. The $130 zone offers an attractive buy level, with a long-term upside target of $250 once trend reverses.
Amd - Here comes the major reversal!๐บAmd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is reversing right now:
๐Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a very expected rally on Amd of about +250%. But right now, Amd is retesting a major resistance trendline. If we actually see bearish confirmation in the near future, the next bearmarket will start quite soon.
๐Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AMD Shares Fall Despite Strong NewsAMD Shares Fall Despite Strong News
It emerged this week that the US government, together with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), has launched the โMission Genesisโ initiative aimed at boosting national computing power through advanced supercomputing. The project is expected not only to significantly expand federal computational capacity but also to increase AMDโs revenue.
Nevertheless, AMD was among yesterdayโs weakest performers. Market sentiment has been dampened by concerns over intensifying competition from Google. According to media reports:
โ Googleโs TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips show strong potential for AI training.
โ Meta Platforms is already in talks to invest billions in Googleโs chips for use in its data centres from 2027.
A decline of around 20% in AMDโs share price since the start of the month is worrying, yet the chart analysis offers some encouragement for the bulls.
Technical Analysis of AMD Shares
Price action suggests that since April, AMD has been trading within a broad upward channel (shown in blue). Within this structure:
โ the price set an all-time high at the end of October, where the upper boundary acted as resistance;
โ between 7 and 17 November, the median line held as support before eventually giving way;
โ today, AMD is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as support.
Additional factors that could reinforce this lower-channel support include:
โ the psychological $200 level;
โ a wide bullish gap, with its upper boundary near $205.
Taking these elements into account, it is reasonable to assume that conditions may be favourable for the bulls to attempt to revive the broader 2025 uptrend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Amd Gap Trade IdeaHello TradingView Community!
Hope everyone is doing great and navigating this market with confidence. Sharing a fresh technical observation on AMD, which is now approaching a very interesting zone. Letโs dive into the detail.
๐นAMD โ Critical Technical Crossroad as Price Sits Inside the Gap Zone--::
AMD is currently trading inside a major gap zone, an area that previously attracted strong institutional buying. With the price now resting near the $204 support, the stock has moved into a region where market psychology and liquidity dynamics tend to play a decisive role. This zone often dictates whether buyers regain control or whether sellers extend their dominance.
A clear Lower-Highs trendline has formed above the current price, signaling that sellers are stepping in at progressively lower levels. Another touch on this descending trendline would further validate it as a strong resistance a level that could shape AMDโs next directional move in the short term.
๐นWhy This Zone Matters--::
Gaps are areas of low liquidity, and once breached, the price often travels quickly through them. AMD is sitting right inside such a pocket, making this structure highly reactive.
Recent volume expansion on the decline shows that market participants are actively positioning ahead of a potential breakout or breakdown.
If the gap fails to hold, the next major downside magnet lies around the $151 base support, a historically strong demand area that absorbed selling pressure in the past.
These technical elements combined make this a highly sensitive and high-impact region for the stock.
๐นBullish Setup--::
If buyers successfully defend the $204 zone and regain momentum, AMD may bounce toward the descending trendline. A strong breakout above that trendline would shift short-term sentiment toward the bulls and potentially invite fresh momentum trades targeting higher levels.
๐นBearish Setup--::
A sustained breakdown below the gap zone would expose the stock to deeper downside toward the $151 support. This level is likely to act as a stronger reaction point where long-term buyers could step back in.
๐นConclusion--::
AMD is at a critical decision point where both bulls and bears are preparing for the next big move. The combination of a major gap, a tightening trendline, and expanding volume makes this setup especially important to monitor.
The next few sessions could reveal a volatile and directional move, and traders who stay alert to these key levels will have the upper hand.
Regards- Amit.
Amd - Here comes the massive reversal!๐ฉปAmd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is starting to reverse:
๐Analysis summary:
Starting back in mid 2025, Amd retested a major confluence of support and rallied about +200%. All of this was expected and the rally ended with a retest of a significant trendline. Eventually, after some back and forth, Amd will then create a short term retracement.
๐Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AMD Alert: Bullish Reversal Opportunity Amid Sector DipAMD QuantSignals V3 Swing 2025-11-25
Ticker: AMD
Signal Type: Swing Options Setup (Expiry: 2025โ12โ12)
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 68% (Medium conviction)
Strike Focus: $210.00
Entry Range: ~$13.12
Target 1: ~$18.75
Target 2: ~$22.50
Stop Loss: ~$8.75
Horizon: 17 days
1W Move: -2.93%
2W Move: -6.86%
Volume vs Prior Swing: 1.7ร
Swing Range: $194.28 โ $217.13
Risk Level: Moderate-High โ due to volatility
๐ง Key Technical & Chart Insights
Support/Resistance:
Support at $194.28
Resistance at $256.27
Oversold Condition: AMD down ~18.84% intraday, trading 9.4% below VWAP ($222.16), signaling potential mean reversion.
Momentum: Indicators show extreme bearish exhaustion; RSI likely in oversold territory.
Candlestick Patterns: No specific reversal patterns detected yet.
Trend Context: Overall sector bearish (SPY/QQQ moderately bearish), creating a contrarian swing opportunity for AMD.
๐ฐ News & Market Context
News Sentiment: Mixed but leaning constructive
White House AI initiative (โGenesis Missionโ) = long-term tailwind
Google-Meta deal concerns = short-term pressure
Options Flow: Bullish bias with PCR 0.54 and max volume at $350 call, signaling institutional optimism.
๐ฏ Trade Rationale
Entry Advantage: Stock at maximum fear phase after sharp single-session decline.
Timing: 17-day horizon aligns with Katy AIโs predicted 14โ21 day recovery window.
Risk/Reward: Entry at $210 provides buffer below current price, 50โ80% potential upside.
Position Size: Suggested 2.5% of portfolio, considering elevated volatility (VIX 20.19).
โ ๏ธ Key Risks
Semiconductor sector sentiment may shift negatively.
High single-day volatility โ stop loss adherence is critical.
Trade dependent on Katy AIโs predicted recovery timeline; monitor daily momentum and news catalysts.
AMD โ Trying to Break the 50 MA, but GAP Still DominatesHello Everyone, Followers,
Happy Sunday to all.
I will share today some analysis to follow-up next week. First one is AMD:
AMD continues its battle around a critical technical zone.
After filling the October GAP, the price is now attempting to reclaim the 50-day MA (green line) โ a key momentum signal for short-term trend reversals.
๐ Chart Highlights
- A clear GAP zone from early October still acts as a psychological and technical pivot.
- Price bounced from the lower trendline inside the long-term ascending yellow channel, showing buyers defending this structure.
- The 50 MA is currently pushing down on AMD โ reclaiming it would open the door toward 240โ250.
- Two potential paths (yellow = bullish continuation, red = deeper retest) show how the price may behave into early 2026.
๐น Outlook
If AMD closes decisively above the 50 MA, momentum could accelerate toward 236 โ 245 โ 260 , with the channel midline guiding the move.
If rejected again, a retest of 192โ200 remains possible โ especially if the market weakens.
๐น My Plan
I stay patient.
A strong daily close above the 50 MA = bullish signal for me.
If we dip back toward 200โ192 , I see it as a long-term accumulation zone.
If bullish signal is confirmed then my final Price Target is 300
If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis โ follow me for more.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovelly Sunday to all and Good Start a Week.
#AMD #SPX500 #NASDAQ
AMD Under Watch โ Sellers Strengthening at Major Supply Zones๐ฅ๐ AMD โADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.โ โ Bearish Profit Playbook | Thief Layers Deployed ๐จ
Hey traders! ๐๐
Hereโs my bearish swing/day-trade playbook on AMD, crafted with a fun + professional thief-style twist while staying within TradingView rules. Letโs break it down ๐๐ผ
๐ Plan: Bearish Outlook Active
Price action remains heavy, momentum cooling off, and sellers showing presence near key zones.
Thief Squad preparing for controlled entries ๐๐งค.
๐ฏ Entry Plan (Thief Layering Strategy)
This setup uses a layered limit-style approach โ also known as multiple staggered entries to smooth positions.
๐ Proposed Sell-Limit Layers:
230
220
210
(You can extend layers based on your own system โ thief flexibility ALWAYS ๐)
โ ๏ธ Note: These are example layers for illustration, not fixed instructions. Adjust based on your own risk model.
๐ Stop-Loss (Thief Safety Net)
SL Zone: 240
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs) ๐ผ๐ถ๏ธ
This SL is simply my reference point โ NOT a rule.
You decide your own SL based on your risk appetite, not mine.
Make money? Then take moneyโฆ at your OWN risk ๐ฐ๐.
๐ฏ Target Zone
Price has a strong support cluster aligning with:
Moving Averaging acting as dynamic support
Oversold zone building
Trap mechanics likely
So the quick escape target is:
๐ TP: 180
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs) ๐ผ๐
My TP is not mandatory โ adjust yours as you wish.
Take your profits and leave before the โpoliceโ catches our position ๐๐จ๐.
๐ Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights)
These assets often move with similar sentiment due to tech-sector correlation, semiconductor supply chain, and risk-on/off flows:
๐ป NVDA (NVIDIA)
Strong semiconductor leader โ AMD often shadows NVDAโs volatility and sector direction.
๐ฑ QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF)
AMD is inside the NASDAQ index. When QQQ sells off, AMD typically follows the broader tech flow.
๐ SMH (Semiconductor ETF)
Tracks the entire chip sector. Helps understand overall industry strength or weakness.
โก TSLA (Tesla)
Not directly connected, but both ride similar high-beta risk cycles. Weak tech sentiment can drag TSLA and AMD simultaneously.
Watching these helps confirm momentum, risk appetite, and sector-wide signals ๐๐.
๐ง Additional Notes
This setup is for educational, fun, strategy-style illustration purposes.
NOT forcing a fixed entry, SL, or TP on anyone.
Trade smart. Manage risk. Thief style = creativity + discipline โจ๐
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
AMD: 30% Upside Potential if Today Closes Green โ Bullish HammeAMD is showing a high-conviction technical setup with nearly 30% upside potential, provided it closes today in green and confirms the hammer-type reversal candle forming near the lower channel support.
๐ฅ Key Bullish Signals
Hammer-like candle forming at the bottom of the pullback zone โ indicating buyers stepping in aggressively.
Price is bouncing from trendline support within the long-term rising channel.
A green close today will confirm bullish reversal strength.
The upside projection targets the upper channel line, approximately 30% above current levels.
๐ฏ Target Zone
$280โ$290 (upper trendline)
โ 30.8% upside potential
๐ก๏ธ Key Support
$200โ$205 zone โ where the hammer is forming.
Losing this zone may delay or negate the setup.
๐ Trading View
If AMD confirms the hammer with a strong bullish close, it could kickstart the next leg toward the upper channel โ a move that aligns with broader market strength and sector rotation back into semiconductors.
AMD long-term TAWill AMD close this gap? Many traders should be asking this question now, well, technically speaking AMD is in a good uptrend on weekly time frame and it has a good run, but the countertrend correction has started, watch for the levels between $175-180 for a bounce. It needs more time to bottom out, for now let's keep an eye on it.
Breaking; Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) Is Up 7%The price of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) spike 7% in early market trading on Thursday as the stock broke from a bullish flag pattern.
In another news that served as a catalyst, AMD, Cisco and HUMAIN to invest in a joint venture and serve as its exclusive technology partners, deepening their multi-year strategic collaboration announced in May during U.S. President Donald J. Trump's visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
The joint venture plans to deploy up to 1 GW of AI infrastructure by 2030, with the shared ambition to expand capacity to multiple gigawatts, as a key pillar of HUMAIN's overall ambitions.
With the RSI at 44, the stock is more than able to break through highs and claim the $300 resistance.
Financial Performance
In 2024, Advanced Micro Devices's revenue was $25.79 billion, an increase of 13.69% compared to the previous year's $22.68 billion. Earnings were $1.64 billion, an increase of 92.15%.
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. It operates in three segments: Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, x86 microprocessors, and graphics processing units (GPUs) as standalone devices or as incorporated into accelerated processing units, chipsets, and data center and professional GPUs; and embedded processors and semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products.
AMD Is Approaching Support, While Finishing A CorrectionAMD is in a very strong uptrend, supported by the impressive rally since early October when it gapped higher on positive AI news. Since then, the stock has gained more than 50%, and this bullish momentum could continue after a retracement, especially considering latest companyโs better-than-expected earnings report.
But based in latest price action, we assume that the market is now in a corrective pullback before resuming higher, ideally forming wave four within a broader five-wave sequence. The previous high around 220 could act as the first key support, followed by the 200 area, which also aligns with upper range of unfilled gap. So if we are correct, then later this month or early in December, the market can once again stabilize and turn up for a new high, while the price is above 187 invalidation level.ย
Highlights:
Trend: Strong uptrend, wave four correction in view
Support: 220 / 200 zone
Invalidation: Below 186
Note: Wait for a pullback to complete before considering new long opportunities
AMD โ Breaking Down or Setting Up a Dead-Cat Bounce? Nov. 21
1-Hour Outlook (Main Bias)
AMD continues its multi-day downtrend and is now sitting near the bottom of the descending channel you marked. The structure is clearly bearish on the 1H, with every bounce getting sold off.
1H Structure
* Clean downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
* Recent drop created another BOS to the downside, confirming continuation.
* Price is now sitting around 205โ206, the first minor reaction zone after the liquidity sweep.
* EMAs are stacked bearish, with price trading below all short-term EMAs and below VWAP.
* Momentum (MACD) is still bearish, though slowing โ suggesting a potential short-term bounce, not a reversal.
1H Key Levels
Resistance:
* 223โ225: Major sell zone
* 237: Upper-mid channel resistance
* 263.69: High-timeframe rejection line (unlikely to be tested soon)
Support:
* 206: Immediate demand but weak
* 202.5โ203: Stronger support from the 1H base
* 200: Psychological and liquidity pool
Bears gain control (continuation): Below 202.50โจBulls gain control (reversal): Only above 223
1H Trading Idea
Bullish (countertrend) bounce setup:โจOnly valid if price holds 205โ206 and forms a strong engulfing candle.
* Targets: 210 โ 213 โ 218
* Stop: Below 202.5
Bearish (trend continuation):โจIf AMD rejects anywhere between 210โ215, sellers regain momentum quickly.
* Targets: 205 โ 202.5 โ 200
Reversal only becomes real above 223, which is currently far.
15-Minute Outlook (Execution Timeframe)
The 15M chart shows exhaustion from the selloff but no structural reversal yet.
15M Structure
* Liquidity sweep โ CHoCH โ small BOS to the upside, but still below bearish EMAs.
* 15M EMAs remain bearish โ price is retesting the underside of EMA zone.
* The FVG retest around 210โ212 is the first real supply zone.
15M Trading Setups
Bullish scalp (countertrend):
* Entry Zone: 205.5โ206
* Trigger: Strong rejection wick or engulfing candle
* Targets: 209 โ 212
* Stop: Below 203
Bearish continuation (cleanest setup):
* Entry Zone: 210โ213 (FVG + supply cluster)
* Trigger: Lower-timeframe rejection
* Targets: 205 โ 202.5 โ 200
* Stop: Above 215
Breakout entry for bulls:
* Only if price reclaims 215, closes above it, and holds.
* Target: 218โ223
GEX Confirmation
From the 1H GEX chart:
Bearish Signals
* Massive put support between 205โ210 โ market makers defend downside.
* Heavy negative NETGEX stacked from 210โ215, making rallies difficult.
* Highest negative GEX sits around 208โ210, aligning with your supply zone.
* Multiple PUT walls at:
* 213
* 208
* 202
This confirms why AMD keeps failing at intraday rallies.
Bullish Signals
* Only notable positive GEX appears above 230, far away from current price.
Interpretation
* The options market is heavily positioned for bearish drift.
* Countertrend scalps are possible, but structure, EMAs, and GEX all align bearish.
* A bounce can happen, but only within the downtrend.
Options Trading Plan (GEX-Based)
Bearish Plan (primary)
If AMD rejects 210โ213:
* Contracts:
* 210P
* 205P
* Targets:
* 205 โ 202.5 โ 200
* Reason: Strong supply, negative GEX, bearish structure.
Bullish Plan (countertrend only)
If AMD defends 205โ206 with force:
* Contracts:
* 210C
* 215C
* Targets:
* 210 โ 213 โ 218
* Reason: Short-term bounce from channel bottom plus slowing momentum.
Final Bias for Nov. 21
AMD remains in a clear bearish trend, with only short-term bounce potential.โจThe cleanest setups remain bearish continuation, especially if price tests 210โ213 and fails.
Reversal isn't confirmed unless AMD closes above 223.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform independent research and manage risk appropriately.
AMD I Retracement and more upside potential Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Tech giants and a crypto exchange under pressure!Recently, the stocks of Advanced Micro Devices (#AMD), Coinbase Global Inc. (#Coinbase), Oracle Corp. (#Oracle), NVIDIA Corp. (#NVIDIA), and Arm Holdings plc (#Arm) have come under pressure amid a reassessment of artificial intelligence (AI) valuations and growing caution toward risk assets. Investors are reacting nervously to the cost of capital, the pace of AI monetization, and the resilience of demand within adjacent ecosystems.
5 Factors Behind the Decline:
#AMD (โ10.33%) โ profit-taking after a strong rally and growing doubts about the scalability of server GPUs. Additional pressure comes from margin risks driven by aggressive capital spending and competition in high-performance GPU accelerators.
#Coinbase (โ10.31%) โ a weakening crypto market reduces trading volumes and fee revenue. Regulatory risks and volatile client flows deepen the valuation discounts.
#Oracle (โ10.29%) โ concerns over rising debt levels amid heavy investments in cloud and AI infrastructure. The market fears shrinking free cash flow and pressure on valuation multiples if growth slows.
#NVIDIA (โ4.08%) โ โovervaluation + maxed-out expectationsโ: even strong earnings reports fail to calm concerns about cyclical demand in data centers. Added to this are risks of margin normalization and potential inventory build-ups among customers.
#Arm (โ3.02%) โ high sensitivity to sell-offs in the โAI sector,โ especially given its premium valuation. Investors question how quickly the royalty-based model can translate into stable accelerated growth.
If concerns about AI-related spending and uncertainty around interest rates persist, stocks inflated by AI and crypto market expectations may continue to fall. Further capital outflows or rising borrowing costs would serve as triggers for additional downside.
FreshForex analysts see potential for a correction in #AMD, #NVIDIA, #Arm, #Oracle, and #Coinbase due to slowing AI infrastructure growth and persistently high capital costs. For #Coinbase , elevated crypto market volatility is an additional pressure factor. The current market situation creates conditions for developing scenarios for asset price declines.
$AMD: Wave iii about to startNASDAQ:AMD was in a huge WXY correction since 2021 high until April 2025 low. I count it as 1-2, i, ii of 3.
Wave ii corrected 61.8% of wave i. Wave 2 didn't go deeper due to the OpenAI announcement, which started Wave i of 3.
Since we're now have seen a 3-wave up, it is possible that it is a zigzag for XX as opposed to Waves 1-2, i, ii of 3. However, I assign the alternate count a smaller probability.
Many tech stocks are about to finish or have already finished a wave 2 correction so this can be the same for $AMD.
Bears will try to push it down to fill the gap. If that happens, I plan to add to my long-term position.
AMD - Algorithmic Money DistributionIf you are an investor who only cares about AMDs business, fundamentals and growth and have no idea of technical analysis, this stock drives you crazy.
The fluctuations (+200$ in 6 months) have nothing to do with the underlying business. It is just algorithmic trading on steroids.
I believe the alorithms have finally reached their target on October 28th and AMD will retrace with the entire US stock market. 267$ might never be seen again.
A gap close to the 0.618 retracement at 165$ before Christmas would not surprise me at all.
This might even retrace to the 0.382 at 100$ in early 2027. Only time will tell.
AMD Breakout on the dailyAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD Price just broke out of a clean falling channel. This breakout didnโt happen in isolation, it happened inside a well-defined ascending channel that has carried the entire trend since early summer.
The next major test is the upper channel resistance near 280. That level is where momentum, structure, and trend all meet.






















