AMD: Short-Term Rebound Before Pullback?At AMD, a rebound has been taking shape recently. If this upward momentum continues in the near term and pushes price decisively above the $267.07 resistance level, we may have to expect a new high for the magenta wave alt.(1) (probability: 35%). However, our primary expectation is for the stock to soon turn lower and to move into our green Long Target Zone between $171.54 and $116.89. Following the low of the magenta wave (2) within this zone, the ongoing upward move should eventually break through the $267.07 resistance.
Trade ideas
AMD — Trying to Break the 50 MA, but GAP Still DominatesHello Everyone, Followers,
Happy Sunday to all.
I will share today some analysis to follow-up next week. First one is AMD:
AMD continues its battle around a critical technical zone.
After filling the October GAP, the price is now attempting to reclaim the 50-day MA (green line) — a key momentum signal for short-term trend reversals.
🔍 Chart Highlights
- A clear GAP zone from early October still acts as a psychological and technical pivot.
- Price bounced from the lower trendline inside the long-term ascending yellow channel, showing buyers defending this structure.
- The 50 MA is currently pushing down on AMD — reclaiming it would open the door toward 240–250.
- Two potential paths (yellow = bullish continuation, red = deeper retest) show how the price may behave into early 2026.
🔹 Outlook
If AMD closes decisively above the 50 MA, momentum could accelerate toward 236 → 245 → 260 , with the channel midline guiding the move.
If rejected again, a retest of 192–200 remains possible — especially if the market weakens.
🔹 My Plan
I stay patient.
A strong daily close above the 50 MA = bullish signal for me.
If we dip back toward 200–192 , I see it as a long-term accumulation zone.
If bullish signal is confirmed then my final Price Target is 300
If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis — follow me for more.
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a lovelly Sunday to all and Good Start a Week.
#AMD #SPX500 #NASDAQ
AMD - Hypothetical Projection if the AI bubble popsProbably it's good if the bubble pops.. We can buy our fav. stocks for a discount !!
Short around 240-250 area
Target 1 - 195
Target 2 - 165
Target 3 - 125
Stop loss - 270
- All of the VWAPs converging around 120-130 area
- 200 WMA would be around same zone
Or -
This might be too early for this trade, probably there might be another leg upto 300's to call it a top
AMD Weekly Put Setup – Bearish Momentum with Katy AI InsightInstrument: AMD
Direction: Buy Puts (Short)
Strike: $210.00
Entry Price: $2.96
Profit Target 1: $4.41
Profit Target 2: $5.88
Stop Loss: $2.21
Expiry: 7-day horizon (2025-12-12)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
Confidence: 65%
Risk Level: Moderate-High due to weekly expiration and China policy uncertainty
Analysis Summary:
Katy AI predicts a sustained bearish move from $217.90 to $214.31 by Friday.
Weekly momentum is bearish (-2.07%), price below VWAP, resistance at $220, support at $215.
Political catalysts: US-China AI chip restrictions increase downside risk.
Options Flow neutral (PCR 0.98) but unusual activity at $180 puts signals institutional hedging.
Gamma risk moderate; Friday expiration requires careful monitoring.
Edge & Strategy:
Trade leverages bearish AI prediction and geopolitical catalysts.
Conservative delta selection (-0.287) balances probability and premium cost.
Recommended to exit at Target 1 for a 50% gain due to short weekly horizon.
Upvote to Spread This AMD AnalysisI’ve been building this position since AMD was in the $90 range, and I’m continuing to establish exposure because the risk reward is still favorable.
They’re finally converting AI demand into real deployments. Hyperscalers are adopting AMD as the primary alternative to NVIDIA, and AMD has a history of competing effectively when the market underestimates them. This AI cycle is setting up the same way.
The valuation gap between AMD and NVIDIA remains historically wide. I don’t need AMD to match NVIDIA partial convergence over the next 12–24 months is enough to unlock meaningful upside.
Fundamentals are trending in the right direction:
• Data center growth accelerating
• Client and gaming segments already bottomed
• Leadership executing with consistency
This is a positioning trade, not momentum. I’m allocating ahead of broader recognition, the same framework that’s worked for my previous setups.
If you’ve been following my work, an upvote pushes this analysis to more people.
AMD Weekly Forecast: Bearish Katy Prediction Overrides Bullish F📉 AMD — PUT Signal (High-Conflict Bearish Play) Date: 2025-12-08
Katy AI shows a clear bearish trajectory despite bullish weekly momentum and bullish options flow.
🎯 PUT Trade Setup
Direction: PUT
Strike: $220P
Entry: $0.45 – $0.47
Target 1: $0.90
Target 2: $1.35
Stop Loss: $0.23
Expiry: 2025-12-12 (4 days)
Position Size: 2% (high risk)
🧠 Why PUT?
Katy AI Prediction
Predicts drop toward $217.47 (-2.48%)
Extends to $216.03 (-3.13%) by Tuesday
168-point projection = consistent downside path
Technical Signals
RSI 77.9 (overbought) → reversal risk
Price $223 above VWAP → divergence
Resistance $224.17 is holding
Support $214.14 → room to fall
Flow Sentiment
Options flow very bullish (PCR 0.38)
But Katy bearish → contrarian put setup
⚠️ Risk Warning
HIGH RISK setup due to LLM vs Katy conflict
Fast exit required if bullish flow accelerates
Strict stop loss recommended
AMD Hull MA Pullback: Strong Upside Projection Ahead!🔥 AMD Profit Playbook — Hull MA Pullback Power Move 🔥
Asset: AMD – Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Market: NASDAQ
Style: Day/Swing Trade Profit Playbook
📈 Trade Thesis
The bullish structure stays intact with a clean HULL Moving Average pullback confirming continued upside momentum. The flow remains constructive as long as price respects trend behavior and avoids deep retracements.
🎯 Entry Plan
You can enter at any valid price zone based on your personal system, confirmation signals, or preferred demand levels. Traders use different timing tools — choose what aligns with your process. ⚙️📊
🛑 Stop Loss Zone
SL: 160.00
This is the “Thief SL” level — tight, sharp, and designed for aggressive traders only.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is not a mandatory SL. Choose your own SL based on your risk appetite. Your money = your responsibility. Stay smart, stay safe. 💼⚠️
🎯 Take Profit Targets
Target 1 → 236.00
📌 Strong resistance + trap + liquidity pocket — smart place to escape with clean profits.
Target 2 → 260.00
📌 Heavy resistance + overbought zone + trap formation — high-reaction level, so secure profits before the crowd reacts.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), TPs are guidance only. You decide your exits. You make money → you take money at your own risk. 💸🫡
👀 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlated / Sector Influence)
These tickers often react together due to semiconductor sector rotation, AI-demand cycles, and ETF weightings:
NASDAQ:NVDA
– Direct peer. Moves with AI spending cycles. Large swings can influence AMD sentiment.
NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF)
– Sector trend indicator. If SMH pumps, AMD usually follows.
NASDAQ:SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF)
– Broad chip-market strength gauge. Market-wide chip themes impact AMD direction.
NASDAQ:QCOM
– Tech-chip correlation, especially during macro chip-cycle expansions.
NYSE:TSM
– Manufacturing leader. Capacity signals often impact AMD pricing expectations.
Watching these pairs helps you gauge risk-on/off behavior across semiconductors and improves timing on AMD entries/exits. ⚡📊
📘 Final Notes
This setup is crafted for fun with a “thief-style trading twist”, but still aligned with proper technical structure and TradingView’s rules.
Nothing here is a financial recommendation — just pure charting vibes, strategy style, and technical storytelling. 🎨📉📈
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer:
This is thief-style trading strategy just for fun. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
#AMD #NASDAQ #SwingTrade #DayTrade #HULLMA #BullishSetup #LiquidityZones #Semiconductors #SMH #SOXX #NVDA #TSLAstyleCharts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStyleTrader 🚀🔥
(AMD) – Key 4H Support Levels & Trend Structure OutlookAMD is attempting to stabilize after a strong corrective move from its recent highs. Price has formed a short-term rebound, but remains below local resistance levels. The chart shows two major support structures: a 4H support at $203.29 and a deeper weekly support at $173.02, which stands out as the highest-value entry zone. As long as the broader uptrend structure holds, AMD retains a constructive bias.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Current Price: ~$217.82
Recent price action highlights:
AMD is attempting to build a base after a sharp pullback.
The last 4H support at $203.29 is the nearest active demand zone (medium-risk).
A deeper pullback would bring price into the weekly support at $173.02, which is a highly attractive long-term entry zone.
The ascending trendline from the September/October base remains intact, supporting the medium-term bullish bias.
Structure:
Short-term volatility within a broader uptrend, with two clean support zones stacked below current price.
🛡️ Support Zones (if pullback continues)
🟢 $203.29 (4H Support – Medium Risk)
▫️ Stop-loss (White Line): $193.28
Nearest active demand, suitable for shorter-term traders.
🟢 $173.02 (Weekly Support – Great Entry)
▫️ Stop-loss (White Line): $148.50
Major weekly structure, excellent swing entry if reached.
🧭 Outlook
There are several valid approaches depending on trading style:
1️⃣ Enter near the 4H support at $203.29
This is the closest support and a decent medium-risk entry for traders looking to position early.
However, it is not the strongest structural level on the chart.
2️⃣ Wait for the weekly support at $173.02
This is the best value zone and offers the highest reward relative to risk.
Ideal for swing traders seeking a cleaner setup.
Bias:
Constructive while AMD trades above $203, strongly bullish if the weekly $173 zone is reached and holds.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
AMD continues to expand its presence in high-performance computing, AI accelerators, and data center GPU markets. With increasing competition in AI chips, AMD’s MI300 lineup has gained early traction, while strong consumer CPU sales and expanding cloud partnerships support long-term fundamentals.
Short-term volatility reflects broader tech market conditions more than AMD-specific weakness.
✅ Conclusion
AMD is showing early signs of stabilization, but the strongest bullish opportunities lie at the $203 4H support and especially the $173 weekly support.
These levels offer clean risk–reward setups depending on the trader’s style, while the broader trend remains intact.
If you found this useful, don’t forget to like & follow for more structure-based insights.
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AMD long-term TAWill AMD close this gap? Many traders should be asking this question now, well, technically speaking AMD is in a good uptrend on weekly time frame and it has a good run, but the countertrend correction has started, watch for the levels between $175-180 for a bounce. It needs more time to bottom out, for now let's keep an eye on it.
AMD Shares Fall Despite Strong NewsAMD Shares Fall Despite Strong News
It emerged this week that the US government, together with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), has launched the “Mission Genesis” initiative aimed at boosting national computing power through advanced supercomputing. The project is expected not only to significantly expand federal computational capacity but also to increase AMD’s revenue.
Nevertheless, AMD was among yesterday’s weakest performers. Market sentiment has been dampened by concerns over intensifying competition from Google. According to media reports:
→ Google’s TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips show strong potential for AI training.
→ Meta Platforms is already in talks to invest billions in Google’s chips for use in its data centres from 2027.
A decline of around 20% in AMD’s share price since the start of the month is worrying, yet the chart analysis offers some encouragement for the bulls.
Technical Analysis of AMD Shares
Price action suggests that since April, AMD has been trading within a broad upward channel (shown in blue). Within this structure:
→ the price set an all-time high at the end of October, where the upper boundary acted as resistance;
→ between 7 and 17 November, the median line held as support before eventually giving way;
→ today, AMD is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as support.
Additional factors that could reinforce this lower-channel support include:
→ the psychological $200 level;
→ a wide bullish gap, with its upper boundary near $205.
Taking these elements into account, it is reasonable to assume that conditions may be favourable for the bulls to attempt to revive the broader 2025 uptrend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMD: 30% Upside Potential if Today Closes Green — Bullish HammeAMD is showing a high-conviction technical setup with nearly 30% upside potential, provided it closes today in green and confirms the hammer-type reversal candle forming near the lower channel support.
🔥 Key Bullish Signals
Hammer-like candle forming at the bottom of the pullback zone — indicating buyers stepping in aggressively.
Price is bouncing from trendline support within the long-term rising channel.
A green close today will confirm bullish reversal strength.
The upside projection targets the upper channel line, approximately 30% above current levels.
🎯 Target Zone
$280–$290 (upper trendline)
≈ 30.8% upside potential
🛡️ Key Support
$200–$205 zone — where the hammer is forming.
Losing this zone may delay or negate the setup.
📌 Trading View
If AMD confirms the hammer with a strong bullish close, it could kickstart the next leg toward the upper channel — a move that aligns with broader market strength and sector rotation back into semiconductors.
AMD I Retracement and more upside potential Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AMD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Quant Signals V3 | High-Conviction AMD Setup RevealedInstrument: AMD
Signal Type: Weekly Trade
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: Medium (62–65%)
Strike Focus: $222.50 – $225.00
Entry Price: $3.85 – $5.00
Target 1: $6.16 – $7.38 (≈50% gain)
Target 2: $8.58 – $9.84 (≈100–120% gain)
Stop Loss: $2.70 – $3.69
Expiry: 3–4 days (2025-12-12)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio (reduced due to Katy conflict)
Weekly Momentum: Neutral (-0.13% – -0.29%)
Options Flow: Extremely bullish (PCR 0.38, institutional call buying)
News Catalyst: Presidential endorsement boosting short-term bullish momentum
Risk Level: High – conflicting signals (Katy AI bearish vs. strong news/options flow)
Notes:
Conflicting signals require conservative sizing and tight stops
Monitor VWAP $218–$219; breaking below may invalidate upside thesis
High volatility expected; position accordingly
AMD Weekly – Bullish SetupPrice is still respecting the long-term rising channel.
A weekly close above 221–224 strengthens bullish continuation.
Primary Targets:
• 230
• 244
• 267
• Extended Target: 300 zone (premium band of the channel)
Stops:
• Aggressive: 213
• Conservative: 203–205
• Invalidation: Below 182
AMD — [2D] WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/04/2025AMD — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/04/2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:AMD
Timeframe: 2D
This is a reactive structural classification of AMD based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition [ Numbers to Watch ]
Current Price @ 217.20$
• Trend Duration : +27 Days (Bearish)
• Trend Reversal Level ( Bullish ): 226.29$
• Trend Reversal Level ( Bearish Confirmation ): 210.93$
• Pullback Support : 226.29$
• Correction Support : 194.27$
• Structural Support : 149.29$
⸻
2) Structure Health
• Retracement Phase:
Correction (approaching 61.8%)
• Position Status:
Caution (interacting with structural layers)
⸻
3) Temperature :
Neutral Phase
⸻
4) Momentum :
Coiling
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
"Bullish Continuation Candle On The 4H Or 1H Chart To Enter"Its not easy to walk the line between fear and freedom.
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Below is a complete breakdown as to why this is a good buy signal.
This analysis is very deep and i want you
to re read it again and study it carefully
Trade safe:
Re-Evaluation: Why This is Now a High-Probability Buy
The addition of the price being above both the 50 and 200 EMA on the daily chart is a game-changer. It transforms the picture:
Defines the Bullish Structure: Trading above both the 50 (medium-term) and 200 (long-term) EMAs confirms the daily chart's trend is officially bullish. The
EMAs now act as dynamic support layers. Any pullback is likely to find buyers at these levels.
Context for the Stochastic Cross: The bullish stochastic cross is now happening within a confirmed bullish trend, not in a downtrend or messy
consolidation. This makes it a trend-following momentum entry, which is one of the most reliable setups.
Narrative is Clear: The weekly says "uptrend." The daily says "we're in a bullish structure, and after a pullback (that likely caused the negative
sentiment and the stochastic dip), momentum is turning back up." The 4H says "the short-term move has already begun."
The Sentiment Paradox Explained
Negative sentiment in the face of this strong technical alignment is often a contrarian bullish indicator. It suggests the move has room to run because the
majority (reflected in sentiment) is still doubtful or underinvested. Their eventual buying as sentiment turns positive will fuel the next leg up.
Final Action Plan & Trade Execution
YES, this is a good buy. The weight of evidence is strongly bullish.
Here is your execution checklist:
Entry: Look for a small pullback or a bullish continuation candle on the 4H or 1H chart to enter, ensuring you're not chasing the move too far. The area near the 50 EMA on the daily would be an ideal, low-risk entry zone if price retraces.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss below the 200 EMA on the daily chart. This level is your "line in the sand." If price closes below the 200 EMA, the bullish
daily structure is invalidated. A tighter stop can be placed below the recent swing low or below the 50 EMA, but the 200 EMA provides more breathing room for normal volatility.
Take-Profit Targets:
Target 1: Previous daily swing high.
Target 2: Measure the move from the recent low to the point where the stochastic crossed and project a 1:1 or 1.5:1 extension.
Final Target: Look for resistance at the next major weekly level.
Risk Management: Given the negative sentiment could cause chop, ensure your position size allows you to withstand some volatility without being stopped out prematurely.
In Summary:
You have a convergence of bullish evidence across three timeframes, anchored by the critical fact that price is trading above the key daily EMAs. The negative
sentiment is the last vestige of the prior pullback and likely represents a lagging indicator or a wall of worry for the market to climb.
Proceed with the buy. Manage your risk with the stop-loss below the 200 EMA, and let the aligned trends work in your favor. This is a textbook "trend
resumption" setup.
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AMD — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/03/2025AMD — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/03/2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:AMD
Timeframe: WEEKLY
This is a reactive structural classification of AMD based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive.
⸻
1) Current Trend Condition [ Numbers to Watch ]
• Current Price @ 216$
• Trend Duration: +0 weeks (Bearish)
• Trend Reversal Level (Bullish): 230.68$
• Trend Reversal Level (Bearish Confirmation): 191.07$
• Pullback Support : 217.79$
• Correction Support : 179.09$
⸻
2) Structure Health
• Retracement Phase:
Correction (approaching 61.8%)
• Position Status:
Healthy (price above both structural layers)
⸻
3) Temperature :
Cooling Phase
⸻
4) Momentum :
Neutral
⸻
5) Market Sentiment
Bullish
⸻
Author’s Note
This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached.
Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions.
The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions.
⸻
Methodology Overview
This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
$AMD Short Target - $200 - About to Break Support Trend?AMD Is about to break support and take a nose-dive. The next trendline, even with positive volume seems to be mostly sells. $200 as a short-term target before retracement seems reasonable. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
Amd - Here comes the massive reversal!🩻Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is starting to reverse:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in mid 2025, Amd retested a major confluence of support and rallied about +200%. All of this was expected and the rally ended with a retest of a significant trendline. Eventually, after some back and forth, Amd will then create a short term retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION






















