AUD/CAD Ready to Squeeze 95% Shorts? RSI Reset at 50Is AUD/CAD about to explode higher? 👀
While 95% of traders remain heavily short (Myfxbook), AUD/CAD price action tells a different story. The pair is steadily climbing within a textbook ascending channel on the 1H chart—a classic bullish continuation pattern—with no divergence and strong upward momentum. Currently, RSI is cooling near 50, reflecting healthy consolidation as price retraces slightly inside the channel. This neutral RSI and brief pullback often signal a pause before the next bullish leg, setting the stage for a potential breakout that could catch the crowd off guard.
Key Technical Setup
Pair: AUD/CAD
Timeframe: 1H
Trend: Bullish
Pattern: Ascending Channel (bullish continuation)
Divergence: None
Harmonic Patterns: None
RSI: Near 50 (retracement phase, potential for renewed upside)
I’m planning a buy stop at 0.92312, with SL at 0.91474 and TP1 at 0.93150.
Lot size: 0.16
Risk/Reward: 1:1
Risk: $100 | Reward: $100
🔑 Supporting Fundamentals
AUD Index: Strong Buy ✅
CAD Index: Sell bias ❌
Market Sentiment: Nearly 95% of traders are short (Myfxbook) — and historically, such extreme crowd shorts often fuel upside squeezes.
Macro Data: No major AUD or CAD releases immediately threatening this setup.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk sentiment remains stable, supporting commodity currencies like AUD.
*With strong fundamentals aligning with technicals, a break above the last Higher High could confirm the next bullish leg.
*The brief retracement and mid-level RSI add weight to a healthy continuation rather than a reversal.
💡 Always manage risk and wait for breakout confirmation before entry.
📌 Trade Plan Recap
Entry (Buy Stop): 0.92312
Stop Loss: 0.91474
Take Profit 1: 0.93150
Lot Size: 0.16
Risk/Reward: 1:1
What’s your view on AUD/CAD? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This idea is for educational and informational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always do your own analysis and manage risk before trading.
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CADAUD trade ideas
UPDATE: AUD/CAD Looking good for further upside W Formation formed on AUD/CAD.
After an extended sideways range and twilight zone, we finally had our breakout.
Now remember, trading is all about cultivating patience and waiting to pounce.
So now that the price is above, it's on the way to the initial target of 0.9453.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.903 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bearish Butterfly on AUD/CAD (4H): Full Trade Plan & AnalysisAUD/CAD 4H — My Bearish Butterfly Breakdown
Quick summary
I found a completed Bearish Butterfly on the AUD/CAD 4‑hour chart at point D. I’m looking to short this with a low‑timeframe entry, strict stop above D, and staged profit targets based on the chart’s fib and support levels.
Why I’m shorting
The pattern geometry (XA → AB → BC → CD) completes as a classic Butterfly with D in a strong resistance/supply area.
D lines up with key Fibonacci extensions and prior structure — multiple signals = higher probability of a reversal.
Price extended into value area after a rally; I expect a corrective pullback from here.
How I’ll enter
Wait for price to reach the D zone (~0.915–0.916).
Drop to 15–60m and take a precise entry on rejection: bearish engulfing, wick rejection, or failed break and close back under D.
Entry: on confirmed low‑TF rejection in the D zone.
Stop and targets (use platform precision)
Stop: above the D / recent high — roughly above 0.9199 (give buffer per your volatility).
TP1: 0.90875 (~60 pips) — take partial profit.
TP2: 0.90450 (~108 pips).
TP3: 0.90105 (~140 pips).
TP4: 0.89760 (~176 pips) — let remaining position run if momentum holds.
Risk & trade management
Size the position so the stop equals my preset % risk.
After TP1, move stop to breakeven + small buffer and scale out at further TPs.
If price closes convincingly above D on 4H, I’ll exit — pattern invalidated.
Final note (what I’d do right now)
Be patient — We don’t chase. We’ll wait for the D completion, confirm on a low timeframe, pull the trigger with a controlled size, lock partial profits early, and let the rest run toward deeper fib support. Check economic events for AUD/CAD before entering
AUDCADAUDCAD (8H) — Technical Bias: Bullish continuation (buy-the-dip)
Structure: Clean breakout from the prior range with a strong impulse candle; price left a fair value gap (FVG) / breakout gap above the old resistance. Expect a retest into that FVG then continuation.
Momentum/Flow: Rising volume on the breakout and RSI turning up → supports trend extension rather than immediate reversal.
Liquidity/Supply: First objective is the overhead supply zone you marked; path of least resistance is up unless the breakout fails.
Trading implication (level-free):
Favor pullbacks into the FVG/previous resistance and look for a bullish reaction (HL + strong close) to join the move.
Invalidate/neutralize bias on an 8H close back inside the broken range or a loss of the breakout swing-low (failed breakout/fakeout scenario).
Optional filter: wait for lower TFs (5–15–30m) to realign bullish after the pullback for higher quality entries.
Sell AUD CAD M15Please do not trade solely on my analysis as it might be incorrect.
I encourage constructive feedback.
If you did trade, make sure the drawing is respected, don't use exact values as they might differ from a broker to another.
Check the news before trading - they my affect the analysis.
Explanations:
MIN - last minimum point
MAX - last maximum point
BOS - break of structure
SMS - shift in market structure
SL - stop loss
TP - take profit
RR - risk reward
OB - order block
OB (15) - order block (based on M15) timeframe
AUD BIASAUDCAD has broken down from the triangle structure after consistent lower highs. Price is now testing the support zone between 0.9163 – 0.9136.
🔽 Bearish bias remains while price stays below triangle resistance.
🟨 Support zone: 0.9163 / 0.9136 – key demand area to watch for reaction.
📌 If buyers defend this zone, we could see a corrective bounce back into 0.9180+.
📌 A clean break below 0.9136 may extend bearish momentum towards 0.9100.
⚠️ For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
AUDCAD H1AUDCAD has been bullish and been respecting the bullish structure within the ascending channel.
Price is currently pulling back to the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib which is a good buying area.
Confluences:
- Ascending Channel
- Above 50 & 200 EMA
- No Divergence formed according to RSI
- Pullback to 0.5-0.618 Fib
AUDCAD | Tetra-Timeframe Support & Resistance MapThis idea presents a Tetra-Timeframe analysis of AUDCAD, layering major support and resistance zones across the Daily, 4H, 1H, and 15M charts to provide a clear multi-structure perspective.
→ Daily (D):
Key resistance near 0.9400–0.9450, tested during prior cycle highs.
Long-term support around 0.8900–0.8600, marking structural floors.
→ 4-Hour:
Resistance emerging near 0.9180–0.9200, currently under pressure.
Supports identified at 0.9000 and 0.8850, historical demand clusters.
→ 1-Hour:
Intraday resistance near 0.9170–0.9200.
Supports mapped at 0.9100 and 0.9020–0.9050.
→ 15-minute:
Short-term resistance tight around 0.9170.
Fresh supports at 0.9130–0.9140, followed by 0.9100.
AUDCAD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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LONG AUDCAD after pro buying and a low volume testAUDCAD long after professional buying and a successful low volume test above the buying area in an up trend
Trade strategy using the Tradeguider VSA Elite software. Papertrade on Tradingview, placing the trade with real money on Activtrades (FX markets).
Checklist:
• Signal of professional buying at 05/09/2025 07:15
• Successful no demand at 08/09/2025 15:15
• Entry on a bar that closed on it’s high
• A background of strength
• Bullish trend alignment on 21, 50, 200 EMA 15 min, 20MA 4hr, 20MA daily
Management of the trade in accordance with my trading plan on 15 mins
AUD/CAD H4 AnalysisPrice is in an uptrend on this time frame.
After reaching the -61.8% Fibonacci extension level of it's last bullish impulse, we have seen an Evening Star pattern form.
This may be the start of a correction and we could possibly see price back at 0.9036 which was the most recent resistance on the H4 chart.
Is a counter trend move on the cards?
AUDCAD Short OpportunityWe are overbought on several of the oscillators on the 4HR time frame. We will start with simple 50/50 TP and SL in pips.
We are going to monitor every four hours and add positions as needed, I posted a screen shot of previous trades to demonstrate the cost averaging system I typically use. We are going to use the oscillators to determine our exit, I will update as needed.
We will bump our SL as needed if we re enter with more positions, see attached picture.
0.01 lots per thousand of the account.