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CANADIAN DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

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AUDCAD Continuation to the down Side!!AUDCAD has come under renewed selling pressure, sliding back toward key support zones after failing to sustain gains above 0.9200. The Canadian dollar remains supported by solid employment data and oil market stability, while the Australian dollar faces headwinds from weaker Chinese demand and a cautious RBA. With momentum shifting lower, AUDCAD looks poised for further downside if support levels give way. The structure reveals a retest of the upward trendline under a descending resistance channel, suggesting a possible corrective pullback before resuming downside pressure. If price fails to sustain above 0.9160, a decline toward 0.9111 or lower remains likely. Market structure favors a bearish continuation as long as the pair trades below the descending red trendline. Current Bias Bearish – Price is testing the lower end of its recent consolidation and risks breaking down toward 0.8950. Key Fundamental Drivers AUD Weakness: RBA’s cautious tone and China’s slower growth outlook weigh heavily on the Australian dollar. CAD Strength: Stronger-than-expected labor market data and oil resilience underpin CAD. Commodity Flows: Oil boosts CAD, while iron ore softness limits AUD upside.
Short
by asangwecho
Lingrid | AUDCAD Key Swap Level Shorting OpportunityFX:AUDCAD recovered from its double-bottom formation near 0.9063, pushing back into the swap zone around 0.9160 after breaking the short-term resistance. The structure reveals a retest of the upward trendline under a descending resistance channel, suggesting a possible corrective pullback before resuming downside pressure. If price fails to sustain above 0.9160, a decline toward 0.9111 or lower remains likely. Market structure favors a bearish continuation as long as the pair trades below the descending red trendline. ⚠️ Risks: A sustained breakout above 0.9160 could invalidate the bearish outlook. Stronger Australian employment or CPI data may fuel short-term upside volatility. Broad CAD weakness tied to oil price drops could trigger unexpected rallies . If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
1
AUDCAD anticipating bullish moveMy bias on this pair remains bullish. Price reacted very good to that resistance area, creating fractal structure and providing us with a retracement. This allows us to get into long positions at a discount. What I want to see now , is some bullish reaction to 1 of the highlighted areas. I believe we will see a deeper retraction to 1 of the order blocks (yellow), but it's possible that price won't get past 1 of the support areas (green). Either way, I want to see bullish structure on the lower TF's before I go long on this pair.
Long
by nortandb
6
AUD/CAD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG Hello, Friends! We are going long on the AUD/CAD with the target of 0.917 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 3 – Step Entry (DCA Entry)📘 Xmoon Indicator Tutorial – Part 3 🎯 Step Entry (DCA Entry) Step-by-step entry, also known as DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging), is one of the key parts of the Xmoon – 3 Push Divergence strategy. 🔹 Why is it important? After a 3 Push Divergence pattern appears, the market usually doesn’t reverse immediately. It often moves a bit further in the same direction before turning back. If we put all our capital in at once, the risk of liquidation increases. 🔹 The solution We split the capital into several parts and enter the market step by step: ✦ If the market doesn’t reverse from Entry 1 , the chance of reversal at Entry 2 is higher ✦ If it doesn’t reverse from Entry 2, the chance at Entry 3 increases even more ✦ And so on — with each new step, the probability of reversal grows Benefits of step entries: ✅ Lower overall risk ✅ Higher win rate ✅ Positions reach the Risk Free point faster 📣 If you have any questions or need guidance, feel free to ask us. We’d be happy to help.
Education
by XmoonTradeClub
1
AUD/CAD – Reversal Setup Watch (4H Chart)AUD/CAD just made a strong move down, but instead of reacting, I’m observing the chart closely for a possible divergent reversal setup. This is not a trade entry—this is a watchlist note based on what would qualify as a potential long. Key Conditions I'm Watching For ✅ Momentum divergence developing—momentum is high but starting to tilt downward ✅ Rejection pattern such as: A hammer candle Multiple failed attempts to go lower Strong wick showing price rejection ✅ Volume must be at least 75+ to validate the shift ✅ Structure must align with the idea—price should show hesitation at the lows, not continuation Chart Notes This chart currently shows: 2 documented losses—included for transparency and improvement (1 provided a valuable lesson to be applied in all future trades) Final Thoughts This is a high-potential scenario developing, not a confirmation to enter. My strategy requires multiple layers of alignment before committing to any trade. I’ll continue monitoring this pair for a setup that meets all conditions. If it comes, I’ll be ready. If not, I wait.
by darlwright
1
AUDCAD: Bearish as Aussie Struggles Against Resilient LoonieAUDCAD has come under renewed selling pressure, sliding back toward key support zones after failing to sustain gains above 0.9200. The Canadian dollar remains supported by solid employment data and oil market stability, while the Australian dollar faces headwinds from weaker Chinese demand and a cautious RBA. With momentum shifting lower, AUDCAD looks poised for further downside if support levels give way. Current Bias Bearish – Price is testing the lower end of its recent consolidation and risks breaking down toward 0.8950. Key Fundamental Drivers AUD Weakness: RBA’s cautious tone and China’s slower growth outlook weigh heavily on the Australian dollar. CAD Strength: Stronger-than-expected labor market data and oil resilience underpin CAD. Commodity Flows: Oil boosts CAD, while iron ore softness limits AUD upside. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: RBA remains cautious, signaling no rush to hike, while BoC is data-dependent but reluctant to cut aggressively amid still-high inflation. Economic Growth Trends: Australia faces slowing domestic consumption, while Canada’s growth outlook is steadier, albeit with labor market slack. Commodity Flows: CAD benefits from oil’s relative stability, while AUD remains exposed to weakening iron ore demand from China. Geopolitical Themes: US-China tariff tensions pressure AUD more directly, while CAD benefits from closer US trade alignment. Primary Risk to the Trend A rebound in Chinese stimulus measures or stronger-than-expected Australian data could provide support for AUD. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Australia jobs data and CPI prints – critical for RBA policy outlook. Canada CPI – pivotal for BoC’s rate stance. Leader/Lagger Dynamics AUDCAD is typically a lagger, reflecting broader AUD performance against China-sensitive pairs and CAD’s alignment with oil. It follows AUDUSD trends and CAD crosses but reacts slower than majors like AUDUSD or USDCAD. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.9050 0.8950 Resistance Levels: 0.9160 0.9230 Stop Loss (SL): 0.9230 Take Profit (TP): 0.8950 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints AUDCAD is bearish, with downside momentum reinforced by weak AUD fundamentals and firmer CAD drivers. A break below 0.9050 opens the path to 0.8950, while resistance at 0.9160–0.9230 caps upside. Stop loss sits above resistance at 0.9230, and profit-taking is aimed near 0.8950. Watch for Australia’s jobs/CPI data and Canada’s CPI as the key catalysts that could either reinforce or undermine this bearish setup.
Short
by ultreosforex