AUDCAD - The next Big Short?AUDCAD is surging on a combination of Gold reaching new highs and Oil testing Quarterly lows affecting the AUD and CAD currencies respectively, each nations exports being closely tied to those commodities.
AUDCAD has been parabolically walking a bullish trend fan-line pattern with several attempts to test support.
All technical indicators are at historical overbought extremes with many trading programs feeling the impact of the previous weeks readings, many trapped participants exiting their positions to reduce their exposures.
Any strengthening of the US dollar will affect the AUD more so than the CAD and could act as the trigger of a sharp longer-term reversal. In the meantime there may be sharp and short bearish pullbacks to test support, so short-term opportunities exist.
Trade ideas
AUD BIASAUDCAD has broken down from the triangle structure after consistent lower highs. Price is now testing the support zone between 0.9163 – 0.9136.
🔽 Bearish bias remains while price stays below triangle resistance.
🟨 Support zone: 0.9163 / 0.9136 – key demand area to watch for reaction.
📌 If buyers defend this zone, we could see a corrective bounce back into 0.9180+.
📌 A clean break below 0.9136 may extend bearish momentum towards 0.9100.
⚠️ For educational purposes only, not financial advice.
AUDCAD — Holding > 0.91477; Stay bullishChronex | AUDCAD - Bullish - Conviction - Medium | buy pullbacks
Structure: Bullish
Market Phase: Extension
Orderflow: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
H4: Bullish
H1: Bullish
Liquidity: Target IRL then ERL
Entry Model: Chain
Follow for timely Signals and Setups
What would make you stand aside today?
Double Top formation on AUDCAD - Risky, okay?Price made a strong rally on AUDCAD, climbing aggressively.
But now, we’re spotting a possible Double Top formation, two peaks at roughly the same level.
At first glance, this looks like a bearish setup.
But here’s the caution: in the context of such a powerful uptrend, a Double Top can be tricky.
Sometimes, it’s just a pause before buyers push even higher.
We can say that the neckline broke rather cleanly, with strong confirmation, but I don't see that much conviction yet from the sellers. Buyers could come back, and the uptrend continues. This is what makes it risky. Above, there’s a strong resistance zone, and that’s exactly where price could be heading next.
So, don’t jump in too early.
Because fading a strong trend is always risky business… or should I say risky biscuit?
What are your thoughts for for AUD/CAD!I am still new to trading. I'm using 1H time frame for my analysis then going down to 15m for my entry. Here I drew up Highs and lows, As for me, I see a potential bearish coming. If price pulls back into any on my markings, especially the my golden zone, then I'll look to sell with my TP1 at the first support, and if it breaks, then TP2 to second support.
Please let me know if I'm on the right track with this analysis. I'm trying to focus and come up with a plan to stay consistent. I'm using price action style, with highs and lows.
Thank you and God Bless!
"AUDCAD – Double Top Formation: Potential Reversal in Play"The chart is showing a classic Double Top pattern, which is one of the strongest bearish reversal signals in technical analysis.
Pattern Structure
Price formed two peaks near the same resistance zone, indicating strong selling pressure at that level.
The neckline is established at the recent support area where both peaks pull back.
This structure signals that buyers have failed twice to break higher, increasing the probability of a downside move.
Market Psychology
The first peak reflects buyers testing resistance.
After the pullback, buyers attempt another push but fail to create a higher high.
This failure confirms weakening bullish momentum and gives control to sellers.
Trading Plan
A confirmed break below the neckline support strengthens the bearish bias.
Entry can be planned after a clear close below neckline or a retest rejection.
Stop Loss: above the second peak.
Target: projected by measuring the height of the Double Top and extending it downwards from the neckline.
Risk Management
Position sizing must respect account risk (1%–2% rule).
Avoid chasing the move; wait for confirmation to avoid false breakouts.
Final Note
This Double Top on AUDCAD signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. However, always confirm with additional confluences (EMA trend filters, volume, RSI divergence) before execution.
AUD/CAD Support at 0.9170 – Buyers Ready to DefendAUD/CAD has a key support at 0.9170, created by a heavy volume cluster where buyers accumulated longs during a pause in the uptrend. This zone aligns with the beginning of a fair value gap, making it a strong technical confluence. On a pullback, I expect buyers to defend this area, creating a solid long opportunity.
Audcad going for a sell tomorrow Starting from daily time frame it says we are on a down trend and we are running back for that liquidity sweep I marked out the high level of the liquidity and marked out the buyside liquidity and went to four hour timeframe marked out my FVG waiting for the confirmation a one full candle stick that closees right below our retracement..then we hit a sell🔥🔥📈💰🛬
UPDATE: AUD/CAD Looking good for further upside W Formation formed on AUD/CAD.
After an extended sideways range and twilight zone, we finally had our breakout.
Now remember, trading is all about cultivating patience and waiting to pounce.
So now that the price is above, it's on the way to the initial target of 0.9453.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD - H1AUD CAD has been in an uptrend in an ascending channel, creating higher highs and higher lows. Price has created the last high and currently pulling back to the 0.5 - 0.618 fib level which happens to be a support level too.
Confluences for the trade:
- Ascending channel
- Price coming towards 0.5 - 0.618 fib
- Price in sync with RSI
- Price above 50 EMA
AUD/CAD Ready to Squeeze 95% Shorts? RSI Reset at 50Is AUD/CAD about to explode higher? 👀
While 95% of traders remain heavily short (Myfxbook), AUD/CAD price action tells a different story. The pair is steadily climbing within a textbook ascending channel on the 1H chart—a classic bullish continuation pattern—with no divergence and strong upward momentum. Currently, RSI is cooling near 50, reflecting healthy consolidation as price retraces slightly inside the channel. This neutral RSI and brief pullback often signal a pause before the next bullish leg, setting the stage for a potential breakout that could catch the crowd off guard.
Key Technical Setup
Pair: AUD/CAD
Timeframe: 1H
Trend: Bullish
Pattern: Ascending Channel (bullish continuation)
Divergence: None
Harmonic Patterns: None
RSI: Near 50 (retracement phase, potential for renewed upside)
I’m planning a buy stop at 0.92312, with SL at 0.91474 and TP1 at 0.93150.
Lot size: 0.16
Risk/Reward: 1:1
Risk: $100 | Reward: $100
🔑 Supporting Fundamentals
AUD Index: Strong Buy ✅
CAD Index: Sell bias ❌
Market Sentiment: Nearly 95% of traders are short (Myfxbook) — and historically, such extreme crowd shorts often fuel upside squeezes.
Macro Data: No major AUD or CAD releases immediately threatening this setup.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk sentiment remains stable, supporting commodity currencies like AUD.
*With strong fundamentals aligning with technicals, a break above the last Higher High could confirm the next bullish leg.
*The brief retracement and mid-level RSI add weight to a healthy continuation rather than a reversal.
💡 Always manage risk and wait for breakout confirmation before entry.
📌 Trade Plan Recap
Entry (Buy Stop): 0.92312
Stop Loss: 0.91474
Take Profit 1: 0.93150
Lot Size: 0.16
Risk/Reward: 1:1
What’s your view on AUD/CAD? Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This idea is for educational and informational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always do your own analysis and manage risk before trading.
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AUDCAD H1AUDCAD has been bullish and been respecting the bullish structure within the ascending channel.
Price is currently pulling back to the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib which is a good buying area.
Confluences:
- Ascending Channel
- Above 50 & 200 EMA
- No Divergence formed according to RSI
- Pullback to 0.5-0.618 Fib






















