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CANADIAN DOLLAR / NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR

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Weekly WatchlistWe have a very clean downward channel on this pair, and the price has now reached the top of the channel. According to a reactive strategy, it’s easy to open a short position in the direction of the trend down to the bottom of the channel. If you want to be more certain, wait for the oscillators to also confirm the downward move. On the other hand, if the price manages to break above the channel, since we’re trading with the trend, as I’ve marked on the chart with arrows, the price must give us at least two confirmations of bullish momentum before entering, so we don’t get trapped by a fake breakout.
by PouyanFa
Update on NZDCADIn our weekly watchlist and recent nightly analyses, our bias on this pair has been bearish, waiting for a valid trigger to enter a short position. No trigger was issued, and then we saw a strong bullish candle break through resistance. For now, this candle doesn’t change anything for us — it moves against the overall trend, and one impulsive candle is not enough to switch our bias from sellers to buyers. We will only turn bullish if the market forms a clear bullish structure, not just a single breakout. Also, if price falls back inside the channel, that alone becomes a new short trigger for us.
Short
by PouyanFa
NZDCAD AnalysisCycle is bearish in the higher timeframe, and this move is basically a correction followed by another drop — forming a lower high in the bigger cycle. Even though we’re analyzing on the 1H timeframe, we’re actually catching the **last part of the move in the higher-timeframe cycle** to get an earlier entry. So you can say our analysis and entry are done **across multiple cycles — a true multi-timeframe approach. The trendline we marked is valid, and a **break + pullback** can give us a clean entry trigger toward our first target. The second entry option is a bit more **risky**, since it’s without a confirmed pullback and is based on a **sell stop. Each method has its own pros and cons, and once price reaches the first target we will reassess the setup. The entire market and its movements are under our close watch.
Short
by PouyanFa
NZD/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! The BB upper band is nearby so NZD-CAD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.788. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZDCAD Wave Analysis – 19 November 2025 - NZDCAD reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 0.7850 NZDCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 0.7950, 20-day moving average and the lower trendline of the recently broken down channel from July. The downward reversal from this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave iii – which belongs to the impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the clear daily downtrend, NZDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 0.7850, which reversed the rice sharply in April.
Short
by FxPro
Will NZD/CAD Extend Lower? Bearish Structure and Level Guide🎯 NZD/CAD BEARISH SWING TRADE | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 📉 💱 Asset Overview Pair: NZD/CAD (New Zealand Dollar vs Canadian Dollar) Market: Forex Trade Type: Swing Trade (Bearish Setup) Timeframe: Multi-day to Multi-week 📊 Technical Analysis & Trade Setup 🔴 Bearish Confirmation Signals: ✅ Moving Average pullback indicating trend reversal ✅ Strong support level breakout confirmed ✅ Price action showing distribution pattern ✅ Momentum shifting to sellers' control 🎯 TRADE EXECUTION PLAN 📍 Entry Strategy: "THIEF Layering Method" Multi-Limit Order Approach (Scaling into position): 🔹 Layer 1: Sell Limit @ 0.79500 🔹 Layer 2: Sell Limit @ 0.79250 🔹 Layer 3: Sell Limit @ 0.79000 💡 Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk management strategy. This layering approach helps average your entry price and reduces timing risk. 🛑 Stop Loss Management Thief's SL: 0.79600 ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY stop loss level based on my strategy. YOU MUST adjust your SL according to: Your own risk tolerance Your account size Your trading strategy Your position sizing Trading is YOUR responsibility. Manage your risk accordingly! 🎯 Take Profit Target Primary Target: 0.78200 📍 Target Reasoning: Strong historical support zone Oversold conditions expected Potential bull trap area - ideal profit-taking zone ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY target based on technical analysis. YOU decide when to take profits based on: Your profit goals Market conditions Your trading plan Risk-reward ratio Secure your profits at YOUR comfort level! 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis) 📈 Correlated USD Pairs: 1️⃣ NZD/USD (Kiwi Dollar Index) Direct correlation with NZD/CAD If NZD/USD weakens → supports our bearish NZD/CAD trade Watch for: RBNZ policy signals, New Zealand economic data 2️⃣ USD/CAD (Loonie) Inverse correlation with NZD/CAD If USD/CAD strengthens → CAD strength supports our trade Key factors: Oil prices (CAD is commodity-linked), BoC policy 3️⃣ AUD/CAD (Aussie/Loonie) Strong correlation (both antipodean currencies) Similar risk-on/risk-off behavior Watch: Commodity prices, China economic data 4️⃣ AUD/NZD (Trans-Tasman Cross) Shows relative strength between similar economies If trending down → NZD weakness confirmed Key for: Regional risk sentiment 🔑 Key Fundamental Factors to Monitor: 🇳🇿 New Zealand Drivers: RBNZ interest rate decisions Dairy prices (major export) GDP & employment data China economic health (largest trading partner) 🇨🇦 Canadian Drivers: Bank of Canada policy stance Crude oil prices (Canada's major export) US economic data (largest trading partner) Employment & inflation figures 🌍 Global Risk Sentiment: Commodity price trends Risk-on vs risk-off flows US Dollar strength/weakness Global growth outlook ⚡ Risk Management Reminders: ✔️ Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade ✔️ Use proper position sizing across all layers ✔️ Monitor correlations - avoid overexposure to similar trades ✔️ Set alerts for key technical levels ✔️ Be prepared to adjust if fundamentals shift Trade at your own risk. Only invest capital you can afford to lose. 🔔 Follow for More Trade Ideas | 👍 Like if You Find Value | 💬 Share Your Thoughts Below! Good luck, Thief OG's! Trade safe, trade smart! 💰📊
Short
by The-Thief
NZDCAD Analysis – Weekly Watchlist UpdateIn our weekly watchlist analysis, the plan was to trade inside the range. At the start of the week, price dropped and then quickly pulled back — these small fluctuations are normal during early-week market conditions. According to our original scenario, the outlook is still valid: We can look for a sell setup at the top of the range, but only with confirmation. A buy-stop above the trendline, where price previously bounced, also remains a valid protective plan. If price breaks above the range and confirms the breakout, our current analysis becomes invalid, and we will update the outlook accordingly.
Short
by PouyanFa