JP225 Layered Buy Plan – Institutional Pullback Zone MappedJP225 – Index Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing Trade)
🔥 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
The current structure shows bullish confirmation supported by:
✔️ 200 Simple Moving Average pullback (strong trend continuation zone)
✔️ SuperTrend ATR line pullback (momentum still on the buy side)
Both indicators align to show buyers defending higher-timeframe demand, giving us a clean structure to execute a layered entry strategy.
🎯 ENTRY PLAN – THIEF LAYERING STRATEGY
This setup uses the classic Thief multi-layered limit order method, allowing traders to scale into the move with controlled risk.
💰 Buy-Limit Layers (example levels):
49200.0
49600.0
49800.0
(You can add more layers according to your own capital and risk structure.)
This structure spreads risk, improves average entry, and lets the market come to you instead of chasing candles.
🛡️ STOP LOSS (Risk Section)
🟥 Thief SL: 48500.0
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s):
This SL is my version of protection, but you must adjust your own SL based on your personal risk, capital size, and strategy rules.
Use this only as a reference, not a strict rule.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (Exit Section)
Targeting the POLICE BARRICADE zone – a well-known strong resistance area where:
Supply increases
Price becomes overbought
Trap formations tend to emerge
📈 Primary TP: 52500.0
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s):
Again, this TP is my version. You can take profits earlier, later, or scale out depending on your risk tolerance. Trade wisely and escape with profits before the police arrive.
🌐 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Correlation Guide)
Monitoring correlated markets gives early signals of strength or weakness in JP225. Here are key pairs:
1️⃣ USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY )
JP225 generally rises when USDJPY rises because a stronger yen hurts Japanese exporters.
If USDJPY stays bullish, JP225 usually maintains upside momentum.
2️⃣ Nikkei Futures ($NKD or CME JP225)
Directly correlated.
Futures breaking resistance often lead the cash market.
3️⃣ US30 ( CAPITALCOM:US30 ) & SPX500 ( SP:SPX )
Global risk sentiment drives JP225.
When US indices rally, JP225 tends to follow with bullish continuation.
4️⃣ VIX Index ( TVC:VIX )
Higher VIX = fear = pressure on JP225
Lower VIX = bullish environment favorable for your long plan
5️⃣ USD Index ( TVC:DXY )
Strong DXY → may pressure JP225
Weakening DXY → supportive for risk assets globally
📌 SUMMARY
The JP225 is setting up a structured bullish swing pattern supported by two strong technical confluences (200 SMA + SuperTrend ATR pullback).
The multi-layer Thief entry strategy gives flexibility and safety while positioning for a potential ride toward 52500.
Trade safe, scale smart, and execute with discipline.
Good luck, Thief OGs! 🚀📈
Trade ideas
J225 very bearishjapanese stocks just failed resuming into trend , price broke down, retested trend and horizontal resistance, and is coming back down again. Sell here. Stocks are now super bearish, nikkei and bitcoin leading bear market right now...
long running stochastic indicator also turning bearish and hitting lows and indicating bearish momentum
Nikkei signals flash bearish as BOJ hawkish bets buildA bearish engulfing candle on our Japan 225 contract coincides with an obvious three-candle evening star pattern in futures, delivering a double dose of bearish signals that point to growing downside risks for Japanese stocks.
Currently, long-running uptrend support dating back to the April lows and the 50DMA are in close proximity beneath where the contract trades, making that a key support zone to focus on should the signals from the price action prove reliable.
If we see a clean break and close beneath the zone, it would allow for shorts to be established with a stop above the 50DMA to protect against reversal, targeting 48,400 support initially. If that gives way, 47,000, 45,170 and 42,000 were levels that saw plenty of price action either side earlier in the year, putting them on the radar as targets should we see a sustained unwind.
Of course, if the support zone comprising the 50DMA and uptrend support holds, it would allow for long setups to be considered, targeting 50,580 and 51,500 resistance initially. A stop beneath the 50DMA would protect against reversal.
RSI (14) and MACD are delivering neutral signals, a departure from what was seen in recent months when upside strength was dominant. While both indicators are gradually moving towards bearish territory right now, the preference remains to let price action and signals determine how to proceed.
Good luck!
DS
#NIKKEI - 10,000 POINTS MOVE?Date: 01-02-2025
#Nikkei - Current Price: ₹ 48,674.00
Pivot Point: ₹ 50,886.50 Support: ₹ 48,859.48 Resistance: ₹ 52,931.34
Upside Levels:
L1: ₹ 55,471.92 L2: ₹ 58,012.50 L3: ₹ 60,684.75 L4: ₹ 63,357.00
Downside Levels:
L1: ₹ 46,309.99 L2: ₹ 43,760.50 L3: ₹ 41,088.25 L4: ₹ 38,416.00
#Nikkei #Tradingview
JPN225 H4 | Potential Bearish DropMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently trading below the descending trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Sell Entry: 50,022.91
Strong overlap resistance.
Stop Loss: 50,820.44
Aligned with pullback resistance.
Take Profit: 48,528.27
Key overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Fear greed prints 10 Vix 25 and put/call I am BULLISH 6954/7031WAVE FOUR IS IN THE THE LAST HOURS .We should hold above 6491 /6554 zone based on the math and wave structure . I went from all cash to 75 % long on close 11/18 I am adding today into a new low to 90% long sp 500 Nik 225 and ALL WORLD CHARTS ARE THE SAME BULLMOVE NEXT Best of trades WAVETIMER
JPN225 H | Bullish Bounce Off 50% Fibonacci SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price has bounced off the buy entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Buy entry: 50,97.62
Pullback support
50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 49,51.20
Pullback support
Take profit: 51,886.28
Pullback resistance
127.2% Fibonacci extension
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NI225 : Harmonic stackingThis is a unique case - a testament to the fact that we now live in an exciting time.
This kind of situation seldom happen. As we can see, I have to start all the way back to ZERO - the beginning of this index.
If you zoom in closely, we can see that the price shot past the 'D' with a GAP - very powerful indeed.
How do we proceed from here with the Harmonic Pattern?
What I did was to continue to stack above the 'D' the exact gap between the two peaks in price.
Let's see how high it can go. I doubt it could maintain altitude for long, as gravity will take over very soon.
Remember, it fell by as much as 61.8% and 78.6% the last time.
Take care and Good luck.
Take Notice Japan Carry trade They are the world's Liquidity The chart posted is that of JAPAN and the history of the 225 . We fast approaching The target projection based on Some of the math > I say some of as I have much more math I will wait to present on 11/19th . But take notice of Who the biggest buyer of the spy are . !
Nikkei 225 Plunges from Record HighNikkei 225 Plunges from Record High
As the chart shows, the Nikkei 225 stock index formed a historic peak around 52,500 points only yesterday — but today it has fallen sharply, with losses at the session low reaching approximately 7%.
Bearish sentiment was fuelled in part by a slump in shares of Japanese investment giant SoftBank, which dropped by around 14%. The company’s heavy exposure to sectors linked to artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies, both currently under pressure, has raised investor concerns.
The decline in the Nikkei 225 appears to be an extension of the sell-off in US technology stocks recorded yesterday, driven by a stronger dollar and growing fears of an AI-fuelled bubble.
Technical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Chart
As shown by the 200- and 400-period moving averages on the 4-hour chart, Japan’s equity market remains in a long-term uptrend, with the widening gap between the two lines signalling an acceleration in growth. This supports the relevance of two upward channels:
→ a long-term channel, shown in blue;
→ an intermediate channel, marked by orange lines with a steeper gradient.
It is noteworthy that at the start of November, the Nikkei 225 entered the zone where the upper boundaries of both channels intersect – unsurprisingly, this confluence of resistance lines triggered a wave of selling pressure.
Key observations:
→ Sellers succeeded in pushing the price down towards the lower orange line, which acted as strong support, similar to the movement seen between 10–12 October (indicated by arrows on the chart);
→ Today, the price made a false bearish breakout below the psychological 50,000 level, forming a candle with a long lower shadow – a sign of buying interest.
Given the above, it is reasonable to assume that the market may attempt to resume its upward trajectory. Should this scenario play out, we could see signs of rally exhaustion, as the upward movement that began in April has already lifted the Nikkei 225 by more than 280%.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
JPN225 Long• Trend context: This setup aligns with the H4 uptrend, supported by a strong upward impulse.
• Momentum: M15, M30, and H1 are oversold, suggesting a potential rebound from current levels.
• Structure: A clear double bottom has formed on both M15 and M30, with RSI divergence of 9 points confirming bullish momentum.
• Support zone: Price is holding above strong support at the previous week’s high, a key level that continues to attract buyers.
• Pattern signal: A bullish shark pattern is forming, indicating strong reversal potential.
• Risk management: Stop loss placed below 50,700 to protect capital.
• Target: First target when M15 turns overbought or when price retests 52,600 highs.
JPN225 ShortPattern structure: A bat pattern has completed on the M15 chart, highlighting a potential reversal zone.
• Market context: Price is testing the all-time high, an area that has historically acted as strong resistance.
• Trend alignment: While this setup moves counter to the H4 trend, recent consolidation has flattened the H1 moving average, suggesting momentum is fading.
• Momentum signal: RSI on H1 is showing significant bearish divergence with a clear triple top — a strong early signal of potential exhaustion.
• Risk management: Stop loss set at 300 pips to protect capital, with a target of 51,700.
JP225 3-7 Nov 51,600 to 51,700 first defense into ISM and NFPWhy this idea exists
Friday closed at 52,411.34, a new record after an explosive October. We are heading into an event heavy week with Tokyo cash closed on Monday for Culture Day while Osaka derivatives trade. That mix invites gap risk into the Tuesday cash open. Midweek brings Japan PMIs and Toyota results. The United States adds ISM Services on Wednesday and nonfarm payrolls on Friday. My job for the week is to respect the breakout, know where I am wrong, and avoid being caught during the data windows.
How to set up your chart
Timeframe 1 hour on JP225 or JPN225 depending on your broker. Draw a horizontal band at 51,600 to 51,700. This is the breakout retest zone formed by Friday low near 51,613 and the prior day high. Mark 52,500 as the first shelf above and 53,000 as a psychological magnet. Below, mark 51,300 as the prior record close and 50,500 to 50,200 as the first deeper shelf. If you like context, add a simple Fibonacci retrace from the October swing at 46,544 to 52,411. The 38.2 percent area near 50,170 and the 50 percent area near 49,480 line up with that lower shelf. No need for a basket of indicators. Keep the view clean so you can read order flow around those bands.
What actually moves price this week
Monday Tokyo cash is closed, derivatives are open. That means futures can lead the tone before cash resumes. Tuesday brings the final Japan manufacturing PMI. Wednesday brings the Japan services PMI and Toyota results, then United States ISM Services late in the Tokyo evening. Friday brings United States nonfarm payrolls. China adds a services PMI and a trade balance print that can tug cyclicals on the margin. The index is also sensitive to the yen. A sharp yen firming is the classic blindside for the bulls, while a soft yen tends to support exporters and the headline beta.
The playbook in three parts
Base case
Sideways to higher while the market digests the calendar. As long as price is accepted above 51,600 to 51,700 on closing basis, the path of least resistance remains higher. Within that regime I expect rotational pushes toward 52,500 and attempts at 53,000 around event hours. I will let futures do the talking on Monday and use Tuesday cash open to judge whether buyers defend the band on first touch.
Upside extension
A firm 4 hour close north of 52,500 with ranges contracting into the close usually sets up a controlled push into 52,800 to 53,000. If that move happens on an event day, accept slippage and keep stops outside recent 2 times ATR on the 4 hour chart. The goal is to avoid getting chopped by headline noise after the first spike.
Downside checkback
A clean failure of 51,600 with a wide range breakdown candle and rising volume changes the game. In that case I expect a step down into 50,500 to 50,200 which is the first proper shelf with multiple reference highs and closes. I will not fade the first touch unless intraday structure rebuilds with higher lows. In a stronger flush the Fibonacci 38.2 and 50 percent zones become the next map points, not instant buy zones.
Risk budget and timing
Average daily range late last week was close to eight hundred points. That is your sizing reality. If your stop is tighter than half of that number you should expect frequent noise hits. My default this week is a stop outside half to three quarters of the recent daily range for swing attempts, tighter only intraday when structure is clean. I do not initiate new risk within fifteen minutes before or after the following windows: Japan PMIs, Toyota press conference start, United States ISM at ten hundred Eastern, United States payrolls at zero eight thirty Eastern. During the Monday cash holiday I treat futures signals as information, not obligation, and I accept that Tuesday cash can gap past my levels.
What would change my mind quickly
One, a sharp yen firming coupled with a hot United States prices subindex inside ISM. Two, a Toyota miss or conservative guide that knocks autos and suppliers at the open. Three, a sudden rumor cycle about Bank of Japan that lifts Japanese Government Bond yields and flips the dollar yen tone. Any of these can turn a routine retest into a full range day.
Three simple rules to run all week
• Hold above 51,600 to 51,700 on closing basis favors continuation toward 52,500 then 53,000.
• Lose 51,600 with a wide breakdown and volume, expect a rotation into 50,500 to 50,200 and stand aside until structure rebuilds.
• Never take a fresh position inside the five minute window around the major releases. If in doubt, flatten and re enter after the first post event pullback.
One chart to keep open
A clean 4 hour chart with the bands drawn, a single session separator, and a twenty period ATR panel. That is enough to keep you on the right side of the map without drowning in signals.
Disclosure and intent
This is education and market analysis, not investment advice. Manage your own risk. If you post your own map, tag the levels you defended and note what you learned. It compounds faster than any entry trick.
JP225 Pullback Complete? Next Stop 50K Resistance?🎌 JAPAN225 (JP225): Bullish Retest Play at 786 LSMA - Thief's Layered Entry Strategy 🎯
📊 Market Overview
The Nikkei 225 (JP225) is showing bullish confirmation with a pullback retest at the 786 Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)—a classic swing/day trade setup for those who love precision entries with a side of controlled chaos. 🎰
This isn't your grandma's single-entry trade. We're going full Thief Mode with layered limit orders to maximize positioning while the market does its thing. Think of it as "dollar-cost averaging" but cooler and with more risk. 😎
🎯 Trade Setup
📈 Bias: BULLISH
🔍 Confirmation: Retest & bounce at 786 LSMA support zone
⚡ Strategy: Thief's Layered Entry Method (Multiple Limit Orders)
Entry Strategy: The Thief's Ladder
Instead of going all-in at one price (boring! 😴), we're layering buy limit orders like a pro:
Layer 1: 46,500
Layer 2: 46,800
Layer 3: 47,000
Layer 4: 47,500
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size. The deeper the pullback, the more contracts you accumulate. This is how the Thief OG's do it. 🦝💼
🛑 Stop Loss
Thief's SL: 46,000
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT recommending you blindly follow my stop loss. This is your money, your rules. Set your SL based on your own risk tolerance. If you make money, take money—at your own risk. 💰🎲
🎯 Take Profit Target
Target Zone: 50,500
Why? This level coincides with:
Strong resistance 🧱
Overbought conditions 🔥
Potential bull trap zone 🪤
💡 Exit Strategy: When we hit overbought + resistance, it's time to escape with profits like a true thief in the night. 🌙💨
⚠️ Another Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT saying you MUST take profit here. Scale out, trail your stop, or hold for glory—your choice, your consequences. 🚀
📈 Key Technical Points
✅ 786 LSMA Support: Acting as dynamic support—this is our retest zone
✅ Bullish Structure Intact: Higher lows forming on multiple timeframes
✅ Risk-to-Reward: Solid 1:3+ R:R depending on your layer average
✅ Momentum Confirmation: Watch for bullish divergence on RSI/MACD if you're into that stuff 📊
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these correlated assets for confirmation:
$USD/JPY (DXY correlation): Inverse relationship—weak USD = stronger Yen = potential JP225 boost 💴
SP:SPX (S&P 500): Risk-on sentiment in US markets often lifts JP225 🇺🇸📈
HSI:HSI (Hang Seng Index): Asian market correlation—regional sentiment matters 🇭🇰
TSE:TOPIX (Tokyo Stock Price Index): Direct correlation with broader Japanese equities 🎌
💡 Correlation Play: If US indices are pumping and USD is weakening, JP225 tends to follow the party. 🎉
⚙️ Risk Management Reminder
This is a layered entry strategy—meaning your average entry price will depend on how many layers get filled. The beauty? You're not FOMOing at one level. The downside? You need proper position sizing across layers to avoid overexposure. 🧮
Golden Rule: Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade idea. Thief's honor. 🤝
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#JP225 #Nikkei225 #JapanIndex #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #SwingTrading #DayTrading #LSMA #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexCorrelation #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingView #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradeSmart
Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 31 October 2025
- Nikkei 225 broke round resistance 50000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 54000.00
Nikkei 225 index recently broke the resistance area between the round resistance 50000.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i in the middle of October) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from July.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse waves iii and 5, which belong to the impulse wave (3) from May.
Given the overriding daily uptrend, Nikkei 225 index can be expected to rise further toward the next resistance level 54000.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse waves 5 and (3).
#Nikkei Date: 15-10-2025
#Nikkei - Current Price: 47,882.00
Pivot Point: 47,778.00
Support: 47,031.66
Resistance: 48,529.44
Upside Targets:
--------------------------------
| Target | Price |
---------------------------------
| 🎯 Target 1 | 49,173.72 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | 49,818.00 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | 50,583.00 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | 51,348.00 |
Downside Targets:
| 🎯 Target 1 | 46,384.83 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | 45,738.00 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | 44,973.00 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | 44,208.00 |
#Nikkei #TradingView
Nikkei surges higher: What’s powering the market now#NIKKEI has soared above 50,000. The rally is fueled by a mix of political momentum following Sanae Takaichi’s arrival, the predictably dovish stance of the Bank of Japan, a weak yen benefiting exporters, accelerating corporate reforms, and a revival in tourism and domestic demand — all pushing profit expectations and valuations to record highs.
Key drivers of further #NIKKEI growth:
Weak yen + dovish BoJ : Exporters earn more when converting foreign revenue into yen; cheap credit keeps valuations and multiples strong.
AI and semiconductor investment cycle : Japan is expanding chip fabs, while local suppliers of materials and equipment enjoy long-term contracts and steady cash flow.
Corporate reforms & buybacks : Companies are selling off non-core assets, boosting efficiency, and buying back shares — lifting EPS and investor confidence.
Tourism & services boom : Japan is affordable for travelers, spending is up, and hotels, retailers, restaurants, and transport firms are reporting record revenues.
Rising wages & consumption : Households have more disposable income; businesses raise prices moderately, margins stay solid, and revenues grow steadily across sectors.
#NIKKEI’s growth isn’t only about the weak yen. FreshForex analysts believe political reform momentum, loose monetary policy, renewed chip demand, disciplined corporate management, and a robust services/tourism sector are key supports. The base scenario: the uptrend could extend through 2025–2026, though risks include a sharp yen rebound or political delays.






















