Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?US100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 23,289.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 22,983.03
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 23,729.56
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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US100 trade ideas
NAS100USD – Holding 23,350 Support, Eyeing 23,700The Nasdaq 100 found demand at the 23,350 support zone, holding the level after recent downside pressure. Price is now consolidating, with bulls looking for a potential push back toward the 23,700 resistance zone.
Support at: 23,350 / 23,100 🔽
Resistance at: 23,700 / 23,880 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A sustained hold above 23,350 could fuel momentum toward 23,700.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 23,350 exposes 23,100 as the next key support.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the index tested the 23,320 support level, with a higher probability of retesting the 23,180 area before bouncing upward.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,320 and holds beneath it, the index is likely to test 23,180.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,500, holding higher, this could support a continuation towards 23,620 as an initial target, followed by 23,700.
NAS100 - Trade Setup📊 NAS100USD – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Price moving inside a bullish wedge structure, with resistance tested near 25,200.
Support trendline holding firm, confirming strong macro bullish pressure.
Larger structure suggests Wave (5) still has room to expand toward 26,000+ if demand zones continue to hold.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
Elliott count clear: (1) → (2) → (3) extended, now correcting into (4).
Demand/FVG zones around 20,400 – 21,000 remain the critical swing support.
Next wave (5) projection aims at 25,000 – 26,000.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Structure consolidating within daily support, reacting from demand.
Breakout above 23,900 – 24,000 reactivates bullish impulse.
Invalidation lies below 22,950, where daily demand would fail.
⏳ 4H
Clear corrective retracement into daily demand (23,200 zone).
Long setup forming:
Entry: 23,222
Stop: 22,942
Target: 23,989
R:R ≈ 2.75
Short-term price action likely resolves higher into Wave (5) unless invalidation breaks.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish continuation into Wave (5)
Entry Zone: 23,200 – 23,300 (daily demand)
Targets: 23,989 (short-term), 25,200 – 26,000 (swing)
Invalidation: Daily close below 22,950
Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413.
I expect the price to make a move down toward this level.
The chart is kept simple — no unnecessary indicators — because the most important element here is the VWAP line, which also aligns with the manipulation zone where bigger players often create false moves.
If the market falls into the 23,413 zone, I’ll be watching closely for reactions and possible reversal setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View:
This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything.
In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, and hiding real risks.
Trading is never guaranteed — every trader must make their own decisions and manage risk properly.
My chart here is only my personal analysis and opinion, shared for educational purposes.
👉 Do you also want me to add targets (like 23,600 or 23,930) and possible stop-loss placement to make it look more complete for TradingView readers?
You said:
yes
ChatGPT said:
Perfect 👍 Here’s the expanded TradingView idea with entry, targets, and stop placement included:
📉 Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413
On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413.
I expect the market to fall into this level, which I see as both the VWAP line and a potential manipulation zone used by bigger players.
Plan:
📍 Entry zone: around 23,413
🎯 Target 1: 23,600 (first reaction level)
🎯 Target 2: 23,930 (upper resistance and recent highs)
🛑 Stop-loss: below 23,300 (invalidation of setup)
The chart is intentionally kept simple, without unnecessary indicators, to highlight the importance of this single level.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View:
This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything.
In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, or using tricks like martingale strategies that can blow accounts.
Trading always involves risk. What I share here is only my personal analysis and opinion, not financial advice.
NASDAQ at Record Highs after US CPI report, but can it last?In today’s video, we break down the major market moves triggered by the July US CPI report. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month—right in line with expectations and a slowdown from the previous month. Year-over-year, headline inflation came in at 2.7%, just under the 2.8% forecast, while Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (matching forecasts) but was a bit hotter at 3.1% YoY (vs. 3.0% expected).
These “not as bad as feared” inflation numbers kept hopes alive for a September Fed rate cut, pushing the odds of a cut to 96%. Markets responded strongly: the NASDAQ 100 closed at a record high, just shy of the 24K handle, with broad gains in tech and communication stocks, as traders bet on a more dovish Fed.
We also cover the technical setup for the NASDAQ 100 and key risk factors heading into the second part of August.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NAS100 - Stock Market, in the Work Week!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its short-term descending channel. If this channel is maintained and the specified range is reached, a close sale can be made with a suitable reward.
Economists anticipate that customs tariffs will push consumer prices higher while slowing economic growth in the coming months. Inflation is expected to accelerate, though not to the extreme levels of the 1970s when the term “stagflation” was coined to describe the combination of high inflation and economic stagnation. Unlike a recession—where the economy contracts and prices fall—stagflation features rising prices despite economic weakness. The U.S. economy could be heading toward a 1970s-style stagflationary environment, though analysts believe this time it will be far less severe.
Many experts argue that the U.S. is on the verge of a period of sluggish growth paired with accelerating inflation. The root cause lies in President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which simultaneously raise consumer costs and weigh on the labor market. However, economists expect this inflationary wave to be much milder than the double-digit annual increases that strained household budgets in the 1970s.
On the corporate front, Nvidia released its second-quarter earnings last week. Revenue reached $46.7 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $46.23 billion. The company’s data center unit—the main growth driver—generated $41.1 billion, slightly below the $41.29 billion forecast. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.05, while the adjusted gross margin stood at 72.7%.
Looking ahead, Nvidia projected third-quarter revenue of around $54 billion, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2%. Its board also approved an additional $60 billion share repurchase program. Regarding China, the company reported zero sales of H20 chips to Chinese clients during Q2 and stated that no shipments are planned for that market in the near future.
In the earnings call, CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that the Chinese market could present a $50 billion opportunity for Nvidia this year. He estimated annual growth in China at nearly 50%, noting that the country is the world’s second-largest computing market and home to half of global AI researchers. Huang stressed that maintaining a presence in China is vital for the company’s long-term future, even amid ongoing political and trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
On the monetary policy side, UBS warned that weakening the independence of the Federal Reserve—especially following Trump’s threat to remove Fed board member Lisa Cook—could have significant economic consequences. In its analysis of Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, UBS described it as “classic Powell”: hinting at the possibility of a September rate cut to offset tariff effects but lacking a broader long-term framework for the evolving economy.
UBS emphasized that failure to strongly defend Fed independence could heighten political risks and destabilize markets.The bank warned that if the central bank comes under political influence, potential outcomes include the reemergence of inflationary instability, a one-percentage-point increase in real borrowing costs, and negative effects on fiscal policy, corporate investment, housing affordability, household savings, and speculative activity.
This week begins with one fewer trading day due to the Labor Day holiday, yet the economic calendar remains packed, with the labor market at the center of attention. On Tuesday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August will be released, followed by the JOLTS job openings report on Wednesday.
Thursday will be particularly important, bringing the August ADP private payrolls report, weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index—all at once. These data points are especially significant given the recent large revisions to the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which have renewed focus on the degree of convergence or divergence between ADP and NFP figures.
Historically, ADP and NFP reports have often diverged, leaving traders mispositioned when relying too heavily on ADP data. A recent example occurred in July, when ADP reported a decline of 33,000 jobs, while NFP the following day showed a gain of 147,000—well above expectations of 110,000. However, after NFP revisions, the actual trend proved more consistent with ADP’s numbers.
The most important event of the week will take place on Friday: the release of the August U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Investors will be monitoring it closely, as any signs of labor market weakness could reinforce expectations for a Fed rate cut in mid-September.
Despite growing stagflation risks and heightened market volatility, Bank of America (BofA) suggested that autumn could be an attractive entry point for bullish investors. The bank cautioned that while volatility may exert short-term downward pressure, potential pullbacks could serve as buying opportunities.
The VIX volatility index fell to its lowest level of the year following Powell’s dovish remarks at Jackson Hole. Still, concerns about stretched stock valuations, a potential AI-driven bubble, and political risks tied to Fed independence suggest that this calm may not last.
NASDAQ (US100) | Bullish Bias - Continuation in Play🔹 HTF (4H): Structure is bullish and respected. Momentum is strong to the upside, and higher lows remain intact — bullish intent confirmed.
🔹 MTF (30M): Refined structure shows price slashed through the recent internal OB but held — structure remains intact. A deeper sweep into an internal OB refined the order block further.
🔹 LTF (5M): Price switched character from bearish to bullish. Previous week we caught a bullish move, now looking for a second continuation setup toward highs this week.
🔹 Execution Plan: Waiting for price to mitigate the OB zone. Once tapped, we’ll attend bullish longs with precision.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge — let smart money reveal itself before taking the next position.
US100: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
US100
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy US100
Entry Level - 23405
Sl - 23349
Tp - 23518
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Change in State of delivery When you look at your daily tf the last closed candle which is Friday's candle has closed bellow the Thursday's candle, which is a signature that the
bullishness is loosing strength, therefore in the coming week we should be looking for sell setups, unless there's no rejection at those two marked gold levels.
MONDAY EYESIt is better to know what we are up against already, I suspect the push has already been exhausted and might take a break through some small buys to the gap that is over the zone and probably continue lower, gathering sellers into what might turn out to be an overall weekly buy, Anyway, we let the market direct us.
Whats your take?
NASDAQ Pullback Toward 23,160 as Index Holds UptrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NASDAQ for a buying opportunity around the 23,160 zone. NAS100 is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 23,160 — a significant area where buyers may look to step in and resume the uptrend.
Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains supportive for equities, with U.S. data and Fed expectations keeping risk appetite intact. Any continuation of dovish Fed signals would add fuel to bullish NASDAQ momentum.
Trade safe,
Joe.
US100 Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 23405
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 23590
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NAS100 4HTrading Outlook for Major Currency Pairs and Indices, Especially Gold and Silver, in the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and market outlooks.
As can be seen, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance area near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or break of these levels will determine the subsequent price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to identify key price levels and potential market reactions, and the analyses provided should not be considered as trading signals.