Market insights
NAS100 – Riding the Channel: Will Price Respect the MidlinePrice continues to move cleanly inside the long-term ascending channel, with the midline acting as dynamic support throughout the past week. Each retest of the dashed median line has produced bullish continuation, but momentum is starting to flatten at the upper boundary.
Key Observations:
Price is currently hovering near the upper half of the channel, showing signs of exhaustion.
The dashed median line has been respected repeatedly — a key structure level to watch.
Bullish structure remains intact as long as price stays above the recent internal higher-low zones (highlighted in green).
MACD shows slowing momentum despite higher prices, signalling a possible pullback into channel support before continuation.
Levels to Watch:
Bullish continuation: If price holds above the midline, we could see another leg into the upper boundary of the channel.
Pullback zone: Watch for a corrective move into the lower channel support if buyers fail to sustain momentum.
Invalidation: A clean break below the channel would shift bias to short-term bearish retracement.
This structure is still very clean — waiting for either a respectful retest or a decisive breakout.
📌 Bias
Bullish overall structure, but expecting a short-term pullback before continuation.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bullish
Price has bounced off the buy entry, which is acting as pullback support, and is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud.
Buy Entry: 25,185.75
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 24,903.03
Pullback support
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 25,829.99
Pullback resistance
145% Fibonacci extension
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Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next📈 Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next
🔹 Technical Setup
Nasdaq has been accumulating between 25,600–25,650 since Tuesday, marking a clear base where buyers stepped in.
I’m watching for a break to the upside with pullback entries, aiming to complete the fractal toward 25,770, a level with previous supply/resistance.
Yesterday’s -1% drop after negative news from Microsoft was gradually erased by steady buying — a sign that underlying demand remains resilient.
The accumulation and rebound off that base may signal a renewed bullish leg, provided we see clean technical confirmation.
🌎 Fundamental & Market Context
Rate-cut hopes are returning: Traders are increasingly betting on a potential cut by the Federal Reserve next month, which tends to support growth and tech sectors.
That expectation has helped lift sentiment across U.S. equities, including the Nasdaq.
On the flip side, rising Treasury yields and macroeconomic uncertainty remain a risk; any hawkish Fed hints or weak corporate earnings could challenge the bullish view.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
➡️ Bullish:
Break of accumulation zone → long entries on pullback → target 25,770.
⚠️ Bearish / Cautious:
Failure to break up, or a sharp reversal → fallback toward lower liquidity zones/Potential PDL.
TVC:DXY SP:SPX CAPITALCOM:US100
NAS100How to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
NAS100 Trade Set Up Dec 3 2025Price failed to create a new HH and swept PDH so i will want to see how price reacts to PDL area, if it sweeps it and make 1m-5m bullish IFVG/CISD i will look for buys but if price trades through it and makes bearish internal structure i will look for a continuation lower to SSL
NSDQ100 - Soft ADP employment figuresUS equities showed tentative stabilisation, with the S&P 500 up modestly and Nasdaq futures also edging higher this morning. Markets remain cautious ahead of a heavy US data slate and next week’s FOMC, with rate-cut expectations already priced at over 90%, limiting upside momentum for growth stocks.
Focus today is firmly on ADP private payrolls and the ISM services survey, especially the prices paid component, which is seen as an important inflation proxy in the absence of official CPI data. A soft ADP print would reinforce the view of a cooling labour market and be supportive for rate-sensitive Nasdaq tech, while any upside surprise risks pressuring the index via higher yields.
Treasury yields are drifting lower, offering some support to mega-cap tech, but overall trading conditions remain fragile. Crypto volatility continues to spill into risk sentiment after sharp moves in Bitcoin and crypto-related equities.
Geopolitics adds background risk, with no breakthrough on Ukraine talks and renewed threats from Russia, but for Nasdaq traders the near-term direction is likely to hinge almost entirely on today’s US data and its implications for Fed policy next week.
US100 / NASDAQ TodayNasdaq 100 (NDX) Analysis - December 3, 2024
Based on today's market data, here's a comprehensive analysis of the Nasdaq 100:
Today's Performance
The Nasdaq 100 is currently trading around 25,513 points. The index closed at 25,555.86, gaining 213.01 points (+0.84%) as of 5:16 PM EST on December 2.
Today's Trading Range:
Opening: 25,449.87
High: 25,622.58
Low: 25,369.36
Volume: 380,862,001
52-Week Performance
Over the past 52 weeks, the index has ranged from 16,542.20 to 26,182.10, representing an 18.91% gain over the past 12 months.
Technical Signals
Based on technical indicators and moving averages, the daily buy/sell signal is "Strong Buy".
2024 Performance Context
The Nasdaq-100 finished 2024 higher by 25% following a return of nearly 54% in 2023—its best two-year stretch since 1998 and 1999—and eclipsed 20,000 for the first time.
However, December saw a reversal with approximately three out of every five indexes experiencing losses, averaging down 4.0%. This followed the Fed's hawkish tone, as it reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2025 to two from four.
Recent Index Reconstitution
On December 13, 2024, Nasdaq announced that Palantir Technologies, MicroStrategy, and Axon Enterprise will be added to the index effective December 23, 2024, while Illumina, Super Micro Computer, and Moderna will be removed.
Market Context
The index is currently navigating a period of consolidation after reaching near-record highs. Key factors influencing the market include Federal Reserve interest rate policy, valuations of mega-cap tech stocks (particularly the "Magnificent 7"), and ongoing developments in AI technology.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in financial instruments involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and the information provided may not reflect real-time market movements. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not a financial advisor and assumes no responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this analysis.
NAS100 LONG setupNas has been ranging for over a month back in Sep-Oct, buyers won the battle and pushed price to 26,3k.
Sellers kicked in again and price corrected for another month.
Recently price has broken back above the level and from here I'm looking for buys, as long as it keep making HHs and HL's during the next couple of weeks, during next New York sessions.
BUY ZONE NAS100All timeframes are bullish
On 4 hr there is a CHoC - buyers took control
The CHoC comes from the OB that is imbalanced (30 min OB - IMB)
Inside the OB imbalanced 30 min fair value gap making zone a POI (point of interest)
Looking to take buys from 30 min OB - IMB
Before taking buys, will drop to lower time frame for execution
Consider the liquidity zone when taking an entry
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE & NOT WHAT YOU FEEL - GOOD LUCK
Nasdaq Hits Resistance: Pullback Before the Next Bullish Move?📊 Nasdaq – Technical Setup & Market Catalysts
The index recently tested a previously unfilled Fair Value Gap (H1 timeframe) and swept liquidity from last week’s accumulation — a process that often precedes new directional moves. The move cleared many trapped positions and reset the orderbook.
Currently, Nasdaq is sitting below a strong resistance zone; price appears to be weakening, which increases the probability of a short-term pullback toward the Previous Day Low (PDL) to collect more liquidity before any further upside attempt.
Momentum indicators and price structure suggest caution: while the general uptrend remains, a lack of upward acceleration and signs of hesitation point toward a possible consolidation or retracement.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Optimism remains in markets thanks to rising investor expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this December. This sentiment supports risk assets, and tech stocks in particular — historically sensitive to interest rates and discounting future earnings.
However, some analysts warn that valuations in the tech sector — which heavily influence Nasdaq — are rich relative to earnings. The forward P/E ratio sits well above long-term averages, increasing vulnerability if economic data disappoints or if rate cuts are delayed.
Broader macro conditions remain fragile: global yield curves and bond markets show signs of stress, which could add volatility. Also, inflation trends and upcoming U.S. data releases could shift sentiment quickly.
🎯 What to Watch Next
Pullback zone: Look for support near the PDL or recent liquidity area — potential buying zone if price stabilizes.
Breakout zone: If Nasdaq breaks above resistance with strength and volume, upside is open toward higher targets set pre-rally.
Catalysts: Fed rate-cut expectations, upcoming economic data (inflation, employment, PMI), and tech sector earnings will influence direction strongly.
2 DEC 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
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NAS100 - Buy SetupTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H
Current Market Condition:
XAUUSD is a valid trade according to my system rules:
Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Currently in trade on 4hr timeframe:
Entry: 25,072.29
Stoploss: 24,736.54
NAS100 4h SELLchart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects your expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
NAS100 DAILYNAS100 Technical Analysis (Daily Chart)
chart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Key Zones Identified)
chart uses multiple retracements:
Current swing retracement levels
0.25 – 23,869
0.5 – 21,383
0.75 – 18,993
These levels match the projected downward path.
Major support zone
Large green rectangular zone near 16,300 – 17,000
This is aligned with:
Long-term Fibonacci support
Previous accumulation zone
Blue dotted long-term rising trendline
This zone is likely the macro bottom of the cycle.
3️⃣ Moving Averages (Trend Signals)
using:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue MA (200-day long-term)
Current price is:
Breaking below the green and red MAs
Approaching the 200-day MA around 21,000
A break under the 200-day MA confirms a total trend shift to bearish.
4️⃣ Cycle Timing (Bars/Days)
chart marks three key cycles:
🔹 From the top to first support:
31 bars, 43 days
🔹 Next consolidation period:
30 bars, 42 days
🔹 Full correction phase to the bottom:
105 bars, 147 days
This indicates a highly structured time cycle, showing the correction may last until August–September 2026.
5️⃣ Expected Bearish Phase (Primary Scenario)
red path suggests:
Continued decline from current levels
Multiple lower highs and lower lows
A temporary bounce around 21,800
Then deeper drops toward 18,600 – 19,000
Extended capitulation down to the 16,300 zone (major support)
This zone is highlighted heavily, suggesting it is final bearish target.
6️⃣ Recovery Phase (Bullish Scenario)
After the bottom:
🟦 Bullish reversal zone: 16,300
The blue dotted line indicates:
A multi-month recovery
Strong upside momentum
Reestablishment of a long-term bullish trend
Possible return to previous highs later
This forms a textbook "macro correction → macro rally" cycle.
7️⃣ Summary of Your Market View
📉 Short-Term Bias: Strongly Bearish
Market breaking structure
Cycle timing supports continued decline
Price heading for deeper Fibonacci levels
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Bearish
Expecting multiple waves of selling
Target zone: 18,600 then 16,300
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
After the cycle completes, NAS100 should resume its uptrend
Blue dotted projection shows a long rally into late 2026 and 2027
✔️ Final Outlook
chart shows a well-planned, detailed scenario:
A multi-leg correction
Followed by a strong, long-term bullish cycle
The 16,300 zone is the “macro bottom”
Timing suggests bottoming around August–September 2026
analysis is consistent, logical, and follows smart technical principles.
NASDAQ100 Breakout Watch — Is a New Upside Leg Starting Now?📈 NASDAQ100 Swing Trade Opportunity — Bullish Breakout Play
🟩 Asset: NASDAQ100 (Index CFD)
⚡ Trade Type: Swing Trade — Bullish Plan Confirmed
🧭 Trade Thesis
The index has confirmed a bullish setup following a Triangle + Moving Average breakout, strengthening upward momentum and favoring dip-buying behavior.
To reflect the Thief layering method, this plan uses multiple staggered limit orders to accumulate positions efficiently across volatility pockets.
📌 Entry Plan (Thief Layering Method)
💰 Entry Style: “Any price level allowed — Thief uses layers”
Buy Limit Layers:
24,900
25,000
25,100
25,200
(Feel free to increase or customize layers to fit your personal risk and liquidity preference.)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL)
🔻 Thief SL: 24,500
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust SL based on your personal risk and strategy.
This is not a fixed recommendation, only a reference zone.
🎯 Target (TP)
⚡ The High-Voltage Electric Gate Zone around 26,200 acts as major resistance because of:
Overbought readings
High-liquidity trap behavior
Historical reversal probability
Exit with profits before heavy sellers activate.
Again — you decide your own TP based on your risk tolerance, not mine.
📊 Market Logic Behind the Move
Breakout structure confirmed
Trend continuation supported by triangle compression
Index ETF flows show short-covering + rotation back into tech
Momentum accelerates above 25,200 zones
Cleaner upside path until liquidity wall at 26,200
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insight)
1️⃣ NASDAQ:NDX / NASDAQ:QQQ
Direct ETF mirror of NASDAQ100
Useful for checking volume, market depth, and real-time breakout confirmation
2️⃣ SP:SPX / NYSE:ES (S&P 500)
High correlation (approx. 0.85+)
A strong SPX supports tech continuation; weakness warns of index-wide pullback
3️⃣ TVC:VIX (Volatility Index)
Inverse correlation
If VIX stays below key volatility thresholds, bullish NASDAQ continuation is more reliable
4️⃣ FX:USDOLLAR / DXY
Tech usually performs better when the Dollar weakens
A rising Dollar can slow or cap NASDAQ bullish momentum
5️⃣ TVC:US10Y / Yields
NASDAQ moves inversely with yields
If yields drop, NASDAQ accelerates
If yields spike, prepare for turbulence or failed breakouts
📘 Summary
Bullish plan confirmed via Triangle + MA Breakout
Thief layering entries positioned smartly into volatility
SL/TP guidance flexible for trader customization
Strong correlation checks available across SP:SPX , TVC:VIX , TVC:DXY & yields
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
USNAS100 | Breakout Setup Ahead of PowellOANDA:NAS100USD – Outlook
Wall Street futures slipped on Monday as investors turned cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later in the day.
Market participants will closely analyze Powell’s comments for any hints regarding the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts at this month’s policy meeting.
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ is trading inside a consolidation range between 25200 and 25290, showing a slightly bullish bias while holding above 25200.
A 1H close above 25290 will confirm bullish continuation toward 25430, and a breakout above 25560 opens the path for an extended rally toward 25980.
On the downside, a 1H close below 25200 will expose 25100, and a break below this level will trigger stronger bearish momentum toward 24810 → 24570.
Pivot Line: 25200
Support: 25100 · 24820 · 24570
Resistance: 25300 · 25420 · 25560
USNAS100 consolidating within a bearish trendThe USNAS100 is currently consolidating within a bearish trend. Wall Street’s main indexes are expected to open lower on Monday as investors move to the sidelines ahead of key economic data and a closely watched speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Markets are looking for clues regarding the Fed’s policy direction later this month.
From a technical perspective, US100 remains vulnerable to further downside If price closes below 24,990 and holds beneath this level, bearish momentum is likely to continue. In that scenario, the next support zones lie at: 24,800 TO 24,200
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
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