US100 trade ideas
US100: Ready to rise further after good US dataUS100: Ready to rise further after good US data
Today the US reported very good data in general. Despite being preliminary data, they are still showing signs of a strong economy.
Tomorrow the US will report the final data and they have a good chance of being higher than expected.
Given that the US continues to have strong data despite the mess that Trump is creating, there is a good chance that the indices will continue to rise further. They are a clear indicator of the US economy. We must be careful of any manipulation that may occur or from Trump's comments.
US100 completed a clear bullish pattern and it could reach 23800 and 24100 soon
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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US initial jobless claims 229K vs 230K expected
US GDP 2nd estimate for Q2 3.3% vs 3.1% estimate
US PCE prices preliminary 2.0% vs 2.1% preliminary
PCE ex food and energy housing 2.2% versus 2.2% preliminary
Nasdaq 100 Awaits Breakout After Earnings ReactionUSNAS100 – Overview
On Thursday, the Nasdaq saw only slight moves as investors assessed Nvidia’s quarterly earnings. Price action is consolidating around a key support level.
Technical Outlook
If price holds above 23,560, bullish momentum remains in place, targeting 23,690 → 23,870.
A drop below 23,560 would keep the index range-bound between 23,560 – 23,435.
A confirmed breakdown requires a close below 23,435, which would signal bearish continuation.
Key Levels
Resistance: 23,560 – 23,435.
Support: 23,690 – 23,870.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reversal off Pullback Resistance"NAS100 is rising towards the sell entry at 23,679.28, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level ot the take profit.
Stop loss is at 23,939.64, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 23,292.38, which is a pullback support that alignss with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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A POTENTIAL SELL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN US100!!!I expect a potential decline in price of upto 3.5% from the price some of 23699.0. Technically, I can notice how price is gradually shifting in structure from intraday bullish to bearish! I expect price to decline significantly from that price zone. A sell opportunity is envisaged around that level of 23699.0
US100 – Elliott Wave Long-Term Outlook (Monthly)Key Points – US100 (Monthly, Elliott Wave)
🌐 Wave (1): Dot-com bubble peak (2000).
📉 Wave (2): Crash to 2002 lows.
🚀 Wave (3): Massive bull run (2009–2025), +4400%.
⚠️ Wave (4) – Expected Correction:
Possible 70–80% retracement.
Targets: 11,500 → 6,500 → 4,770–4,081.
📈 Wave (5) – Future Projection:
Potential long-term expansion toward 250,000+.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
Current support: 23,400.
Major resistance: 35,300.
Long-term target: 261,800
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Nas100 Trade Set Up Aug 27 2025FX:NAS100
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Price is making HH/HL in the 1h and is currently at a 1H FVG so if price closes above 50% of the FVG i will look for a 1m-2m IFVG to target higher BSL levels but if price closes under 50% of the 1h FVG i will look for sells towards SSL or PDL
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
The red indicated resistance will need serious quality and momentum to be breached.
Firstly, wait for a clear breakout, re-test and hold (show demand) of PIVOT zone.
Take profits at or before resistance zones.
and/or
If PIVOT sends the price back down,
I will wait to see price react to previous demand or support areas.
Keynote:
Even though BIG TF BIAS is bullish, price can always correct deeper to collect liquidity.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Nasdaq 100 Rebounds From Pivot Ahead of Nvidia EarningsUSNAS100 – Overview
Bullish Momentum Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
The Nasdaq 100 reversed from its pivot line and is showing renewed bullish momentum ahead of Nvidia’s earnings — a potential key catalyst for the index.
🔹 Technical Outlook
As long as price trades above 23,525, the bullish trend remains intact, with upside potential toward 23,690 → 23,870.
✅ A confirmed 1H close above 23,690 would strengthen bullish momentum and open the way to higher levels.
⚠️ A 1H close below 23,525 would weaken sentiment, with downside targets at 23,430 → 23,295.
🔹 Key Levels
Pivot: 23,525
Resistance: 23,690 – 23,870
Support: 23,430 – 23,295
✅ Summary:
USNAS100 is holding bullish momentum above the pivot, with Nvidia earnings acting as a major driver. Watch 23,525 as the decision level — staying above supports the bullish case, while a break below shifts focus back to 23,430 and 23,295.
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)The index is currently trading near the resistance level of 23,550.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
• A breakout and consolidation above 23,550 may support further upside toward 23,650 as the initial target, with a possible extension to 23,800 if momentum continues.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
• If the price fails to break and hold above 23,550, it is likely to head towards 23,375, which is considered a potential rebound zone.
NSDQ100 ovrsold rebound supported at 23350US equities advanced, with the S&P 500 +0.41%, closing just shy of record highs, as solid US data offset Fed uncertainty. Conference Board consumer confidence (97.4 vs. 96.5 exp) and core capital goods orders (+1.1% vs. +0.2% exp) signaled resilience, while the Richmond Fed index (-7 vs. -11 exp) improved.
Focus today is Nvidia earnings, which could be pivotal for NASDAQ 100 given its AI leadership and sensitivity to US-China trade tensions. Asian tech strength overnight reflects bullish positioning ahead of results.
Meanwhile, hedge funds are running record shorts in VIX, betting on low volatility—an extreme stance that has historically preceded sharp market moves, something to watch around Nvidia’s release.
In the UK, BoE’s Mann argued for keeping rates high for longer, but impact is limited for US tech trading focus.
For NASDAQ 100: near-record highs, tech sentiment riding on Nvidia, but positioning risk in volatility markets could amplify any surprise.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23700
Resistance Level 2: 23830
Resistance Level 3: 23920
Support Level 1: 23350
Support Level 2: 23250
Support Level 3: 23100
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US 100 – All Eyes on the NVIDIA Earnings UpdateLast week was a challenging one for US 100 traders who had to negotiate a period of increased volatility caused by concerns of the development of an AI bubble leading to over extended valuations for key technology companies, and then a headline speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium where he hinted at the potential for rate cuts later in the year. This saw prices drop 3% from opening levels at 23745 on Monday August 18th down to lows of 22970 on August 20th, before rebounding strongly on Friday, back up to current levels around 23545 (0730 BST).
While the potential for Fed rate cuts may still be an important driver for the US 100 index, traders are waiting for key future economic data updates to provide more clarity on whether a 25bps (0.25%) cut is possible when the Fed meet next on September 17th. Before then traders will be waiting on the Friday August 29th PCE Index release, (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge), Friday September 5th Non-farm Payrolls release, especially given how Chairman Powell indicated a link between the health of the US labour market and potential rate cuts, and then the next US CPI update on Thursday September 11th.
This data waiting game means volatility for the US 100 index could be determined this week by details provided by NVIDIA in their Q2 earnings update which is due after the market close later today. NVIDIA is the world’s biggest company by market capitalisation (circa $4.4 trillion) and is considered the bellwether for AI demand and revenue performance. While traders may be focused on judging actual earnings performance against expectations, they could also be looking for reassurance regarding the strength of AI spending, as a more cautious outlook for future earnings could bring a negative reaction to AI stocks in the US 100.
Being prepared for an extended period of volatility in the US 100 index may be a wise move.
Technical Update: Still Positive Sentiment into NVIDIA Earnings?
Although the US 100 index entered a correction phase from the August 13th high of 23986 to the August 20th low of 22970, the overall positive trend that began at the April 7th low of 16290, appears to remain intact.
As the chart above shows, since the April 7th low, the US 100 index has traced out a pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price. This suggests positive sentiment, with buyers appearing at higher levels after each pullback. As long as this pattern of rising lows continues, the outlook could be viewed as skewing risks toward further attempts at upward movement in price.
While positive sentiment does currently appear to remain in place, NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report has the potential to shift market sentiment. Therefore, it’s important to identify and monitor the next key support and resistance levels to be prepared in case an increase in volatility develops.
Potential Support Levels:
After finding support at 22970 on August 20th, traders are likely still watching this level. As long as prices continue to close above 22970, a more positive outlook could still be viewed as valid. However, a negative reaction to NVIDIA earnings if seen, may result in closes below this support level, even signal a sentiment shift toward the possibility of further price declines.
While a break below 22970 doesn’t guarantee further price weakness, it could open the door toward a test of 22678, the August 1st low, and potentially even 21375, which marks the June 23rd downside extreme.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Following the recent rebound from the August 20th low of 22970, the first key resistance is likely to be the all-time high of 23986 set on August 13th.
A close above this resistance level at 23986 could signal improving momentum and the potential for further attempts at price strength. If this break is sustained, traders may start to focus on levels at 24,421 and 24,665, corresponding to the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci extension levels, respectively.
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Nasdaq Intraday AnalysisOn the chart, Nasdaq is consolidating above crucial psychological support of 23500, creating a bullish cup & handle pattern
However, the prices despite Governor Cook's news failed to break the 0.618 Fib level (23586),
Still, Trump’s firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook has created majority in the Fed, which has risen prospects of deeper rate cuts.
And lower rates historically support tech stocks.
Therefore, if prices breaches the immediate resistance at 0.618 Fib level (23586), then the US tech index will continue its bullish momentum toward 23756–23,970.
What Indicators are indicating:
1) RSI is hovering in the buying zone near 58, showing momentum is recovering but not yet overbought — room for further upside.
2) Bollinger Bands are widening slightly and turning their trend toward up-side, hinting at increasing volatility and potential for breakout trades.
Overall bias: Buy on dips toward 23500–23450 zones with targets at 23756 and 23950 intraday.