US100 trade ideas
nas100 4HTrading Outlooks for the Week Ahead
In this series of analyses, we review short-term trading outlooks and perspectives.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current price of the asset. The marketโs reaction to or breakout from these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight critical price levels ahead and the marketโs potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
US100 Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keep trading in
A strong uptrend and
The index is now trying
To breakout the key
Horizontal level of 23,940
So IF the breakout is
Confirmed we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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NASDAQ WILL FALL TO 22400 end even moreSo the economy in the US is weakening with every DATA released daily...this is not an easy situation for the FED to cut rates... the dollar is rising, although it should have fallen with anticipation that the FED cuts rates, gold is falling, oil prices are skyrocketing, US10Ys is on the rise...
Just to make sure you get me right, I am not mixing Nasdaq with economy, BUT, do not forget about FED and about MONEY which is borrowed with high rate in the hope of rate cut...now imagine what would happen if the next DATA, namely PCE and PCI come hotter, and i am pretty sure it will...all that borrowed "expensive" (with current rates) money will be dumped out of window...and that money sits ALSO in stock market, crypto, Gold etc...
Trading is not always about higher highs or technical trendlines; it is also about geopolitics, the economy, and monetary policy...
By the way, the current uptrend, which started from 22980 on Friday the 22nd of August, is broken today...another indicator for the upcoming bearish explosion
NASDAQ | H1 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Iโm watching the Cash100 for a potential double top that could set up a short opportunity. Price is currently making higher highs while RSI is making lower lows โ a clear sign of weakening buying momentum, also known as negative RSI divergence.
As further confluence, we have the FOMC tomorrow, and markets often prefer to de-risk ahead of such events. Also, there is a rising wedge on the S&P500 on the hourly chart and the chance that there is also a potential double top on the 30min timeframe.
โ
Conditions before entry:
- 30min candle must close within the range and at the correct level
- The closing candle must meet my required closure rate
- Ideally, volume should be lower (though Iโll allow an exception given it will be the U.S open)
- RSI should confirm with another divergence
๐ Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 2.9
Entry: 24,385.1
Stop Loss: 24,418.6
Take Profit 1 (50%): 24,290
Take Profit 2 (50%): 24,271
๐ก GTradingMethod Tip:
Patterns like double tops are powerful, but theyโre strongest when combined with momentum divergence. Always confirm multiple factors before entering.
๐ Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for the next update and feel free to share your thoughts below โ Iโd love to hear them.
๐ Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Nasdaq Eyes 24,240 ATH as PPI LoomsUSNAS100 โ Overview
The Nasdaq 100 maintained bullish momentum, retesting support at 23,695 before pushing higher again.
Technical Outlook:
๐ As long as price trades above the 23,870 pivot, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward a new ATH at 24,090 โ 24,240.
๐ If the PPI release comes in hotter than expected, it may weigh on the index. A confirmed stabilization below 23,860 would open the way for a pullback toward 23,690.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,870
Resistance: 24,090 โ 24,240
Support: 23,695 โ 23,510
Bias: Bullish above 23,870; bearish correction only if price stabilizes below 23,860, with deeper downside toward 23,690
USNASDEQ 100 Futures are Price consolidation High Top US100 futures are higher on Wednesday, extending gains after a cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The data eased inflation concerns, supporting risk sentiment. Oracle (ORCL) shares are surging, up more than 30% in pre-market trading following strong earnings and upbeat guidance.
The index remains bullish in structure. Price is expected to test the support area near 23,200. As long as the index holds above this level, momentum favours a move higher toward 24,200 in the next leg up.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
Central bank week ahead!Central bank week ahead! We've got interest rate decisions out from the Bank of Canada, FED, Bank of England and Bank of Japan.
BoC 17/09 - 25bps cut 94% - First on the chopping board is the BoC who are set to reduce interest rates by 0.25%. This comes amid steady inflation, holding below the 2% target and below recent expectations for an increase, currently at 1.9%. They've also seen unemployment rising to 7.1%, the highest level since 2021. The BoC has acknowledged the weakening labour market but are expected to follow a wait and see approach after todays cut. Current rates 2.75%
FED 17/09 - 25bps cut 98% - The FED's first rate decision after some very rocky labour market data and a surprise dovish tilt from Powell at Jackson Hole. Inflation remains sticky but the FED has stated that their current focus is set on labour market weakness. As well as the rates, we will also receive updated economic and interest rate projections, likely to carry much more weighting and longer term direction. In the economic projections we'll be looking out for the dot plot, GDP, employment and inflation to gauge future expectations for FED rates. This could undermine or support the rate cuts to trade with caution. Current rates 4.25-4.50%
BoE 18/09 - HOLD 100% - The BoE is set to hold rates steady at 4.00% amid elevated inflation data and recently positive labour market data. Inflation data came in lower than consensus earlier this week but still remains well above target at 3.8%. In the previous BoE meeting we saw a surprise hawkish tilt in the way of MPC voting.
2 members shifted from voting to cut to voting for a hold and the scales are expected to remain fairly heavy on the hold side tomorrow. The member voting and minutes will provide much needed context to the potential hold to come. Current rates 4.00%
BoJ 19/09 - HOLD 87% - Rounding a busy week off with the BoJ who is set to hold rates at 0.50%. There has been some hawkish comments from the BoJ in recent times as inflation holds around 3.1% and unemployment recovers from 2.5% to 2.3% but amid political turbulence a bold move from the BoJ in this decision is less likely. However the other potential would be for a surprise rate hike with a current probability of 11%. The BoJ is no stranger to surprises so will be looking out for any action or comments made to support future JPY strength or weakness. Current rates 0.50%
These fresh rates provide the opportunity for divergences between monetary policy. This could park the continuation higher for pairs such as EURUSD and GBPUSD if the fed sticks to a more dovish tilt and supports this in their economic projections.
Other currency pairs such as AUDCAD and AUDNZD provide some clear divergence with the RBA holding higher rates and the BoC and RBNZ cutting with lower rates. Any clear pullbacks within these assets could provide opportunity to get long and hold through for a bigger move
NAS100 Pullback into Fibonacci Zone: Watching for Bullish Break๐ NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Update ๐
The NAS100 is in a strong bullish trend ๐ข๐, clearly visible on the 4H chart โฐ with consistent higher highs and higher lows ๐ผ๐ผ.
Currently, price has pulled back ๐ฝ right into my optimal entry zone ๐ฏ based on the Fibonacci retracement ๐ข. From here, Iโll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure (BOS) ๐ on the 15M timeframe โฐ โ that would be my signal to look for a long entry ๐.
โ ๏ธ This breakdown is educational only and not financial advice. ๐
US100 Breaks All-Time High โ Bullish Targets Ahead!This 4-hour chart of the US100 (Nasdaq) shows a strong bullish trend supported by multiple breakouts (BO) and break of structure (BOS) signals over the past few weeks. After retesting and bouncing from key buyer activation zones, the price has consistently broken through previous resistance levels.
Most notably, the index has just broken above its previous all-time high around 23,976, signaling strong momentum and potential for further upside. The price is currently hovering near 24,089, with key short-term targets marked at:
Target : $24,284
Target : $24,396
Target : $24,511
These targets align with the upper boundary of a rising parallel channel, suggesting the bulls are in control for now.
The chart projects a continuation of this bullish move, with a stair-step rally expected if the current breakout holds. As long as the price stays above the breakout zone and respects the structure, the upside targets remain in play.
In short: US100 is showing solid bullish strength, breaking above its previous highs with clear upside potential.
Educational Idea.
Volume YepA repeating pattern whereby the Swing occurs bearish this time, but instead of a single eye, e wait for either a retracement to the gap that will form after the current 4H candle and continue bearish, or we wait to see what happens on a great bullish candle that we have that led to our setup failing, because that is where in this case Volume is.
NSDQ100 awaits Fed rate decision supported at 23940Nasdaq 100 Trading Takeaways
Fed in focus: Markets expect a 25bp cut today, though risks of larger/smaller moves exist with potential dissents on both dovish and hawkish sides. Trumpโs newly sworn-in appointee Miran may push for 50bp, while Schmid could dissent hawkishly. This adds event risk and volatility for tech stocks.
Macro backdrop: Trump state visit to the UK highlights investment pledges and a potential US-UK tech partnership, which could support sentiment in large-cap tech.
Market moves:
S&P 500 (-0.13%) pulled back from record highs.
Nasdaq leadership held firm: Magnificent 7 (+0.55%) hit a new record, showing resilience even as breadth weakened.
Broader weakness evident โ third straight day of more decliners than advancers.
Sector divergence: Energy (+1.73%) outperformed on higher Brent crude (+1.53%), but tech still provided upside leadership.
Implication for Nasdaq 100:
Short-term: Expect heightened sensitivity to Fed outcome โ dovish signals/50bp risk would boost mega-cap tech, while hawkish dissent could trigger profit-taking.
Medium-term: Tech remains the relative outperformer, with new highs in the Magnificent 7 signaling continued defensive growth positioning despite weaker breadth.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24470
Resistance Level 2: 24600
Resistance Level 3: 24800
Support Level 1: 23940
Support Level 2: 23760
Support Level 3: 23430
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