NDX - POTENTIAL PULLBACK IN PLAY - SHORT SHORT INTO LONGGood Morning,
Always trade with risk assessment in mind. You can lose money quickly without an exit strategy. I choose a 7% stop based on my risk.
We are looking for a .5% exhaustion gap into todays market to show initiation of the pullback.
Trade Safely
Enjoy!
Trade ideas
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQ Needs some sideways relief but remains bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) continues to extend the new Bullish Leg of its 5-month Channel Up, having turned the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support, in line with both previous Bullish Legs.
We still expect at least a +9.59% rise, targeting 26300, to be completed before the pattern's new Higher High is priced but as the 4H RSI turned overbought (red circle), we expect the price to slow down a little, maybe seeking the 4H MA50 again as it happened in July.
In any event, the long-term trend remains bullish, until the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) breaks.
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
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Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious Reversal From ATH, Momentum Turns Cautious
The NASDAQ reversed from its all-time high and remains below 26,175, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
โก๏ธ Below 26,175: Bearish bias toward 25,890 โ 25,700 โ 25,340.
โก๏ธ Above 26,245: Bullish continuation toward 26,500 โ 26,850.
Pivot POINT: 26,175
Support: 25,890 ยท 25,700 ยท 25,340
Resistance: 26,500 ยท 26,850 ยท 27,000
USNAS100 remains bearish while below 26,175, but a 1H close above 26,245 would confirm a bullish breakout toward higher targets.
NSDQ100 relief rally led by mega-cap tech.Nasdaq 100 Trading Summary
Tech sentiment has rebounded strongly after upbeat earnings from Amazon and Apple, reversing much of yesterdayโs selloff.
Amazon (+13% pre-market): Cloud revenue up +20% y/y, fastest growth since 2022 โ a major boost for one of the yearโs weakest Mag-7 names.
Apple (+2% pre-market): Forecasts 10โ12% revenue growth this quarter (vs +6% expected), driven by stronger iPhone demand.
US futures: Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.65%, erasing most of Thursdayโs losses.
Yesterdayโs decline stemmed from AI-capex worries after Meta (-11.3%) and Nvidia (-2%) fell on spending and China-sales concerns. Those fears are easing as investors refocus on strong earnings and resilient demand.
Other Headlines
Universal Music beat estimates on subscription revenue, supporting consumer-discretionary sentiment.
Beverage giants continue to struggle โ $830 bn in market value lost since 2021 amid shifting habits and tariffs.
UK retail: Growing backlash against chatbots may be hurting sales by billions, highlighting limits of AI adoption.
Outlook
Nasdaq 100 looks set for a relief rally led by mega-cap tech.
Focus today: follow-through buying in Amazon and Apple, stabilization in AI names (Meta, Nvidia), and overall positioning into month-end and key US inflation data later in the day.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?๐ฏ NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup ๐ฐ
๐ Asset Overview
NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index
Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup
๐ Technical Foundation
Bias: ๐ BULLISH CONFIRMED
The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up.
Current Market Structure:
We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead.
๐ The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy
Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" ๐
This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry:
Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
๐ฏ Layer 1: 24,800
๐ฏ Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level)
๐ฏ Layer 3: 25,200
๐ฏ Layer 4: 25,400
Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively.
Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes.
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management
Stop Loss Zone: 24,600
โ ๏ธ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk!
๐ฏ Profit Target
Primary Target: 26,000
Why this level?
Strong historical resistance zone
Overbought territory on multiple timeframes
Potential bull trap formation area
Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels
โ ๏ธ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! ๐ท
๐ Correlated Assets to Watch
These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar:
๐ SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows
๐ NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum
๐ NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction
๐ NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting
๐ NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative
๐ NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves
๐ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks
๐ TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally
Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors!
โก Key Technical Points
โ
LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift
โ
Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels
โ
Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream)
โ
Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning
โ
Institutional money flow indicators turning positive
โ ๏ธ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations.
๐ญ The Thief's Final Words
"In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." ๐
This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you.
Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us.
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NAS100 Trade Set Up Oct 30 2025Price is making LH/LL on the 15m and 1h so i am bearish but first i either want to see a pullback into 1h CISD to then look for internal structure to continue down but if price first sweep PDL and/or EQL, i will look for short buys back up before looking for sells back down
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100)The NASDAQ index continues its strong bullish trend, currently trading near a new all-time high around 26,140.
๐ A minor correction is expected toward the 26,000 support zone.
If the price breaks and holds below this level, a further decline toward 25,800 is likely.
๐ However, if the price bounces from 26,000, the index may retest the recent high or even create a new record high.
๐ก Key Trading Levels:
โ
Buy: On confirmed bounce from 26,000 or 25,800.
๐ป Sell: Below 26,000 after confirmation.
USNAS100 | Retest Phase Before Next Bullish LegUSNAS100 โ MARKET OVERVIEW | Bullish Bias With Possible Retest ๐บ๐ธ
The NASDAQ 100 recorded a new all-time high, maintaining strong bullish pressure, especially while trading above 25,890.
Currently, the price appears to be entering a short-term retest phase toward 25,700 before resuming its upward momentum.
A confirmed 1H candle close above 25,890 will reinforce the bullish continuation, targeting 26,040 โ 26,200.
However, if the index trades below 25,890, a technical correction toward 25,700 is likely.
To confirm a bearish trend, the price must stabilize below 25,660, opening the path toward 25,340.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Line: 25,890
Support: 25,700 ยท 25,340
Resistance: 26,040 ยท 26,200
Outlook:
NASDAQ remains bullish above 25,890, but expect short-term volatility near record highs.
A daily close above 26,040 would signal renewed strength, while sustained trading below 25,660 could trigger a deeper correction phase.
NASDAQ Watching 24,975 for Fresh Bounce in Ongoing UptrendHey Traders,
In tomorrowโs trading session, we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around the 24,975 zone. NASDAQ remains in a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, approaching the key 24,975 support and resistance area that aligns with the ascending trend structure.
If buyers step in at this level, we could see a continuation of the bullish momentum in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe
NAS100 Bullish Trend ContinuationOne of two things will happen for Nasdaq today; we will either get our entries for longs in the current support zone or in demand. The latter seems higher probability.
But either way, the uptrend will resume as price continues to claim new All Time Highs.
If the current support continues to hold throughout NYSE, then perhaps wait for resistance to break and some follow-through to get higher probability entries.
USNAS100 Extends Rally to New All-Time Highs?USNAS100 | Bullish Continuation Toward New Highs
The index recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and has already stabilized above it, supporting further bullish momentum toward 25,400 โ 25,550.
The main driver behind the move remains strong corporate earnings.
However, to confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 1H candle below 25,170, which would expose 25,100 โ 25,010.
A sustained break below those levels could extend the decline toward 24,850.
Pivot Line: 25,230
Resistance: 25,400 โ 25,550
Support: 25,100 โ 25,010 โ 24,860
NASDAQ 100 Analysis !
The current price of the NASDAQ is $26,127, and my projection points to $32,000 in the coming months, entering 2026. This analysis is based exclusively on price action, following Al Brooks' methodology, through the technical analysis developed by Josias Baltazar, one of his closest students.
Use this projection as a reference for your decisions, whether in stocks or wherever you deem it appropriate.
I'll leave this analysis here... and I'll return in the future to see how it played out.
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200โ25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
NAS100 | Bearish Momentum Extends The Nasdaq 100 fell about 2.1% (~500 points) as projected, maintaining a bearish outlook while technology stocks continued to weigh on market sentiment.
Below 25,700: Bearish continuation towards 25,340 โ 25,230 โ 25,000.
Above 25,700: Short-term recovery towards 25,820 โ 26,170.
NAS100 | US100 (Nasdaq 4H) โ Technical OutlookUS100 (Nasdaq 4H) โ Technical Outlook
๐ Market Structure:
Price has recently formed a weak high around 26,200, rejecting from a premium / supply zone, signaling potential short-term bearish pressure.
The previous upward structure showed a BOS (Break of Structure) near 25,000, confirming bullish intent earlier โ but now momentum is slowing as price returns below the PDH (Previous Day High).
The current 4H candles show strong bearish reaction, indicating sellers defending the premium zone.
๐ Key Levels:
Supply Zone (Premium Area): 26,000 โ 26,200
Equilibrium Zone: Around 24,800 โ 25,000
Immediate Support: 25,800 (current PD level)
Weekly Pivot (PW): 25,400 (potential short-term target)
๐ EMA Confluence:
Price has rejected from above the 89 EMA (blue) and is now testing below it.
The 200 EMA (yellow) continues to trend upward, showing long-term bullish momentum, but the shorter EMAs suggest a short-term pullback.
As long as price stays below 89 EMA, bias remains bearish to neutral in the near term.
๐ฏ Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 โ Short-Term Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: 25,950 โ 26,100 (retest of premium area or EMA rejection)
Take Profit: 25,400 (PW)
Stop Loss: Above 26,250
Confluence: Supply zone + weak high + bearish EMA alignment
Scenario 2 โ Bullish Continuation (after retracement):
Wait for price to retrace to the equilibrium zone (24,800โ25,000)
Look for bullish reaction with confirmation from Stochastic RSI divergence
Target: Return to 26,000
๐ Indicators Insight:
Stochastic RSI: Currently dropping from overbought territory, indicating possible continuation of short-term downside.
Momentum slowing โ ideal for short retracement trades before potential reversal.
Summary:
US100 is rejecting from premium resistance near 26,200.
Short-term bias: bearish retracement toward 25,400 or deeper 25,000 equilibrium zone.
Long-term bias remains bullish, supported by 200 EMA structure โ watch for confirmation before re-entry buys.






















