NQ TOWARDS ALL TIME HIGHS Technical Analysis (Bullish Bias With Key Levels)
Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) continue to show a bullish structure as long as price holds above the 25539 support zone. The market has been forming higher lows on the intraday timeframes, signaling continued buyer interest near liquidity pockets. Your bullish target at 25822 aligns with the current momentum, as price has been respecting trendline support and rotating upward from demand zones created during previous New York sessions. A clean break and hold above 25822 could open the door for an extension into the next liquidity cluster, allowing buyers to push toward psychological levels above 25900.
However, despite the bullish bias, the 25539 support remains the critical line in the sand. If this level fails, it would signal that the market has accepted lower pricing and that sellers have absorbed buy-side liquidity. A decisive break below 25539—especially accompanied by high volume—would likely trigger short-term momentum shorts targeting the imbalance zones created during the last leg up. This shift would invalidate the bullish structure and potentially initiate a deeper retracement toward the previous week’s value area. Until then, bulls remain in control, but the reaction at 25539 will determine whether the trend continues or flips.
Fundamental Analysis
From a macro perspective, NQ remains supported by strong fundamentals driven primarily by the performance of large-cap tech companies, resilient corporate earnings, and ongoing investor expectations for future rate cuts. The Federal Reserve’s tone has recently shifted more dovish, indicating that although inflation remains sticky, monetary easing is still on the table for the upcoming quarters. This keeps growth sectors—especially technology—attractive, as lower interest rates improve future earnings projections and strengthen valuation models for high-beta stocks.
At the same time, markets remain sensitive to macroeconomic data releases such as CPI, PCE, and labor-market readings. Any upside surprise in inflation or stronger-than-expected employment data could temporarily pressure NQ, as it may delay the Fed’s easing timeline. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and shifts in semiconductor policy remain potential sources of volatility. Overall, while short-term fluctuations are expected, the fundamental backdrop continues to favor higher prices for Nasdaq-focused assets, supporting your bullish outlook until key support levels fail.
