Market insights
US100 London session US100 M15
Price is trading in a range (chop) between PDH and intraday support.
VWAP sits in the middle → no clear directional bias.
Longs: only on acceptance above PDH.
Shorts: on PDH rejection or VWAP breakdown.
Middle of the range = no trade.
Level breaks should be confirmed on a lower timeframe (3–5 min).
Look for retests of key levels after the break.
Once acceptance is confirmed, active position management is key.
NY Pr -open Bullish scenario
Longs considered only if price breaks and accepts above the key level
Acceptance defined as 5-minute close above the level
No trades on wicks or first touch
Target remains the weekly high
Execution managed on lower timeframe after acceptance
Bearish scenario (failure-based)
Shorts considered only if key levels reject price
Confirmation via 5-minute close below a swing low (BOS)
Indicates failed acceptance above resistance
Target set toward London low
No shorts taken without confirmed failure
No trades taken inside chop
Direction is reactive, not predictive
Bias shifts only after acceptance or failure is confirmed
Bearish Supply Zone On NASAQTwo Supply Zones, one in the extreme at the External high, and the other in the Internal High.
Could get a reaction from the internal high and continue to plough through to the extreme zone, or we could get a confirmation signal from that zone and continue with the bearish trend.
Battle of the trendsThis short term action today, appears to me to be the battle over whether to break the orange trend line, or brake out up to the blue (At least).
Im generally long term short, as per my previously published idea. I think this thing is going to 16-12k maybe in the next year. But keeping an eye on short term rallies to look where to increase or decrease position size.
NAS100 ChoppySupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declines hortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
NAS100 Intraday Rebound Setup (1H)After a strong downside sweep into the lower liquidity pocket, NAS100 is showing its first signs of stabilization on the 1-hour chart. Price has tapped directly into a confluence of demand and prior inefficiency, creating conditions for a corrective bounce back toward the nearest redistribution zone above.
The sharp wick and immediate reaction signal that sellers may be exhausting into support, giving buyers an opportunity for a short-term recovery move.
🔹 Entry: CMP
🔹 Target (TP): 25,818.90
🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): 25,064.75
This setup aims for a retracement into the mid-range supply cluster, offering a favorable reward relative to the tight invalidation below. A clean close above 25,560–25,620 would confirm early strength and increase the probability of continuation toward the main target.
However, a breakdown beneath 25,064 invalidates the bounce thesis outright and suggests deeper expansion toward the next demand levels.
Trade Management
Take partials as price enters 25,560–25,620
Move SL to break-even once price closes above 25,620
Full TP at 25,818.90 unless momentum shows signs of exhaustion earlier
⚠️ Financial Disclaimer (fun version):
Not financial advice. Just colorful candles and hopeful arrows. If you trade this without risk management, NAS100 may personally introduce you to high-speed downside action. Always DYOR.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
Price has reacted from the sell entry, aligning with pullback resistance.
Sell Entry: 25,088.86
Overlap resistance
Stop Loss: 25,371.64
Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 24,437.79
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
25.12.16 Nasdaq Continues Lower / Short-Only Strategy Explained Welcome to ACID TRADE.
Hello everyone, today is December 16, 2025, and this is my Nasdaq chart analysis.
My name is Acid.
Reference chart:
Monday’s Nasdaq Result
Following the break below the lower boundary of the range, Nasdaq dropped an additional 250 points.
This downside move has continued into the Asian session, confirming sustained bearish momentum.
For those who took short positions, this move represents a profit zone of approximately $5,000 from entry.
Reference chart:
Current Nasdaq Outlook
At this point, I consider Nasdaq to have entered the blue-box range marked on the left side of the chart.
A strong rebound would normally be expected from this area, but so far, there is no clear sign of a meaningful bounce.
If price continues to make lower lows, short positions remain the only valid trading approach at this time.
Downside levels remain open toward 24,564 and 24,331.
For today, I do not see a favorable long setup, so I will not be sharing a buy scenario.
Conclusion
Nasdaq is currently moving in a step-by-step bearish structure with continued lower lows.
Today’s strategy is to focus on short positions only, but limit trades to up to one hour before the U.S. market opens, as economic data will be released at that time.
Market conditions may change after the data release, but at the moment, long positions appear too aggressive.
For those looking for longs, I recommend waiting and observing for now rather than forcing entries.
Nasdaq MomentumFollowing the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision, the ''RSI'' on the 4-hour chart is near the oversold zone. Price action has respected the key support area, as evidenced by multiple long lower wicks, indicating strong buying interest at these levels. Additionally, the ''Institution Radar'' indicator suggests that volume is well synchronized with price movement, implying transparent market participation and confirming the bullish momentum. Overall, these factors collectively support the likelihood of a near-term upward price continuation.
NDX (Nasdaq 100) — 6-Month Macro Structure (2025–2026)NDX (Nasdaq 100) — 6-Month Macro Structure (2025–2026)
When viewed on the 6-month timeframe, the Nasdaq 100’s structure becomes exceptionally clear. This chart removes short-term volatility and exposes how price has transitioned from a post-2022 recovery phase into a fully established expansion regime.
The 2022 low remains the most important anchor on this chart. That level marked a true macro reset, not just a cyclical pullback. Every advance since then has been built on higher lows, with no structural damage to the broader trend. As long as price remains above that low, the larger cycle remains intact.
One of the most significant developments on this timeframe is the reclaim of the prior regime’s resistance near the 4,800 area. What once acted as a ceiling for years is now firmly beneath price and has effectively become long-term support. That transition alone signals that the market has moved into a new valuation environment.
Following the 2022 bottom, price began to consolidate and build acceptance in the mid-teens, forming what is now a clearly defined new regime acceptance zone. This area aligns with the deeper Fibonacci retracement levels and represents the first zone where buyers consistently defended value rather than chasing momentum. Multiple 6-month candles respecting this region confirm institutional participation.
From there, the index reclaimed the 1.618 expansion and continued higher without any meaningful structural pullback. The size and consistency of the bullish candles on this timeframe suggest sponsorship rather than speculation. Pullbacks remain shallow and corrective, not impulsive, which is characteristic of healthy expansion phases rather than late-cycle exhaustion.
Fibonacci expansions drawn from the 2022 low provide a useful framework for understanding where price is relative to the broader cycle. These levels are not predictive targets but reference points that reflect how price is already behaving. With the 1.618 level reclaimed, higher expansion zones naturally come into focus over the 2025–2026 horizon, provided structure remains intact.
The most important takeaway from this chart is that what appears extended or “expensive” on lower timeframes is simply ongoing price discovery when viewed through a macro lens. The 6-month structure supports continuation, with any future weakness better understood as re-accumulation unless the market decisively loses the 2022 low.
In short, the Nasdaq 100 is no longer trading within its old regime. It has accepted higher value, established new support zones, and continues to expand accordingly. Until proven otherwise, the path of least resistance remains higher.
Nasdaq has shaken off the volatility and ready for growthNasdaq had performed a red day on Friday, fueled by the decline to AI-related companies, as liquidity dries and the market lacks driving narratives.
Though, the bullish rally for techs might not be over: the temporary landing to the 20-day moving average was logical, but it looks rather like a technical liquidity shakeout rather than a bearish stance.
Volatility remains low, market breadth improves, and following the well-known statistical pattern called "Christmas rally", it's possible to observe Nasdaq moving to the other side of the range this and next week.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserach and never forget to manage your risk!
25.12.15 Nasdaq Analysis ScriptWelcome to ACID TRADE.
Hello everyone, today is December 15, 2025, and this is my Nasdaq market analysis.
My name is Acid.
Friday’s Analysis – Result Review
Reference chart:
Let’s begin by reviewing Friday’s analysis.
In the previous briefing, I stated that a break below 25,400 would likely trigger strong downside momentum, with 25,200 as the primary target.
As shown on the chart, Nasdaq dropped approximately 253 points in less than one hour, resulting in a profit zone of roughly $5,000 per contract.
This move confirmed that the downside structure and liquidity below 25,400 were valid.
Daily Chart Outlook
Reference chart:
Now let’s move to the daily timeframe.
Currently, Nasdaq has entered the Ichimoku cloud.
Price action within the cloud suggests that the market has not yet chosen a clear direction, but historically this structure allows for one-directional downside moves once bearish momentum expands.
From the current level, the lower boundary opens downside potential toward approximately 23,990, which represents nearly a 5% decline.
Additionally, Friday’s closing low and today’s early-session low are located at very similar levels.
This makes 25,147 a critical support — a clean break below this level would strongly indicate further downside continuation.
15-Minute Strategy – Long Scenario
Reference chart:
Let’s move on to today’s 15-minute trading strategy, starting with the bullish scenario.
For Nasdaq to resume an upside move, we need a break above the resistance trendline, combined with a break above the upper supply zone.
Following Friday’s sell-off, price is forming a short-term triangle compression.
However, this structure developed over a very short time period, which reduces its reliability.
Because of that, the focus should be on key price levels, not the pattern itself.
A bullish bias becomes valid only if price breaks above 25,400–25,430.
If this level is reclaimed, long positions can be considered.
Upside targets:
25,483 → 25,566 → hold for potential extension.
15-Minute Strategy – Short Scenario
Reference chart:
Now for the bearish scenario.
The short-term ascending trendline currently sits near 25,180, but its reliability is low since it aligns closely with recent lows formed on Friday and today.
From a strategic perspective, the cleaner short setup comes from a break below Friday’s low rather than an early trendline entry.
The downside target is based on the daily structure.
Specifically, the opening price of the strong bullish candle marked by the blue box.
This level is located near 25,027, which also aligns with the daily 60-period moving average.
If this level breaks, a move toward 25,027 within today’s session becomes highly probable.
Conclusion
Nasdaq remains in a high-risk decision zone inside the daily cloud.
A break below 25,147 increases the probability of downside acceleration.
Upside is only valid above 25,400–25,430 with confirmation.
Until a breakout occurs, expect range-bound volatility.
Trade the levels, not the emotion.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Continuation?Momentum: Bullish
The price has bounced off the buy entry, which is a pullback support and is also trading above the Ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry:25,511.55
Pullback support
Stop loss: 25,222.42
Overlap support
Take profit: 26,202.94
Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.






















