US100 trade ideas
Potential Buy Zone for NAS100Trade what you see and not what you feel. This is what I see. There is a demand zone on 15 min which has not been balanced. There is also another demand zone below that one on 1hr time frame that has also not been balanced. Will wait for the market to retrace to the demand zone and if I get proper indications of going long on smaller TF I will take the long. I have a feeling though that the market might go to the lower demand zone because there is a potential formation of a H&S pattern forming. So, stop losses will be tight if I enter on the 15 min demand zone.
US100 – Today’s Key Trading ZonesHere are today’s trading zones for the US100. The levels are not fixed buy or sell signals, but decision areas where price often accelerates. Rejections can set up counter-trades, while clean breaks and retests can create continuation opportunities.
Zone 1
This area represents a major resistance close to the historical top. Price entering this zone carries a high probability of seller absorption and sharp rejection. A clean breakout and hold above would shift sentiment and open the door for new highs.
Zone 2
A key decision area from previous weekly highs. Often acts as a liquidity pool where breakout traps are common. A strong rejection can offer short opportunities, while a confirmed break and retest may flip the zone into support.
Zone 3
This level has repeatedly attracted strong reactions and carries high resting liquidity. Expect aggressive order flow here – either a sharp bounce for longs or, if broken, a continuation short on retest.
Zone 4
Formed around a strong 4H engulfing pattern and aligned with yesterday’s low. Buyers are likely to defend this level, making it a key intraday demand zone. A decisive break below would indicate seller dominance and could accelerate downside momentum.
Market Sentiment – Cautious Optimism
Overall sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong performance in Big Tech and expectations of a more dovish Fed. Still, the backdrop is fragile given broader macroeconomic signals, with investors balancing optimism against underlying economic risks.
Big Tech Drives the Market
Large-cap tech stocks led the market higher at record pace. Alphabet surged nearly 9%, Apple advanced 3–4%, and Tesla gained about 1.4%, boosted by a favorable antitrust ruling and strong technical momentum. Alphabet even reached a new record high, underscoring the sector’s ability to lift the entire index.
Macro Data – Mixed but Supportive
Weaker job openings data reinforced expectations of Fed rate cuts, a positive driver for growth stocks as lower bond yields support risk appetite. At the same time, the ISM Services PMI rose to 52.0, marking a third straight month of expansion and showing resilience in the services sector despite manufacturing weakness and a cooling labor market.
NAS100 UPDATE - Potential 4 Pre-Post NFPDear Friends in Trading,
1) NFP tomorrow - Be Safe.
2) TIP - Post NFP Mondays: (Applies to all instruments - Forex, Indices & Metals)
-----"ASIA + LONDON SESSION's PRICE ACTION IS BIG AND OPEN MOST OF THE TIME"-----
3) Keynotes:
a) As PA progresses, I add updates/notes on this post.
b) I do not say or even think I am right most of the time.
c) But I do share what I see freely.
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Let me know if anything is unclear?
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100 - Bullish IdeaWaiting for price to essentially reject the London Lows - most likely after news to then make another leg to the upside - It will require some liquidity of the sellers to then flip up - if price does not reject the LL and continues downside - I will wait for lower levels and a close about the London Lows to then take the buy to the upside - heavy news today so will see how it all plays out. So far, I am bullish for the play.
US100 on Shaky Ground – What Traders Should Watch TodayZones in Focus
The marked zones on the chart are not fixed buy or sell levels but decision areas where price is likely to accelerate and create short-term opportunities.
Red zones (potential supply): If price trades into these areas and shows rejection, it can set up short positions. A clean break above, however, flips the zone into potential support, opening the door for continuation longs.
Green zones (potential demand): If price reaches these areas and bounces sharply, it can provide long setups. A decisive break lower, by contrast, turns the zone into resistance, creating opportunities for continuation shorts on a retest.
The framework is built around letting price action on the 5-minute chart confirm the reaction: rejections favor counter-trades, while breakouts and retests favor continuation in the direction of the move.
The Market Is Sending Mixed Signals
The latest JOLTS report showed U.S. job openings falling to 7.18 million in July, below expectations of 7.38 million and down from 7.36 million in June. That makes it the lowest reading in ten months – and for the first time since the COVID era, there are more unemployed workers than available jobs.
For equities, this kind of data is a double-edged sword. On one hand, fewer openings cool the labor market and strengthen the case for earlier Fed rate cuts. On the other, if the trend deepens, it signals weaker economic momentum and risks feeding through to lower earnings growth.
Mood Check: Nasdaq Between Hope and Fear
The mood in the Nasdaq-100 is cautiously optimistic, yet undeniably fragile.
The bright side: Big Tech carried the index higher yesterday, with Alphabet rallying 9% and Apple 3–4%. That added roughly 1% to the Nasdaq-100 and reminded us how concentrated the index still is – a single positive headline can shift sentiment fast. At the same time, falling yields and softer labor data fuel hopes that the Fed may soon move toward cuts, a clear tailwind for growth stocks.
The risk side: Macro signals tell a different story. The ISM confirmed that manufacturing remains in contraction, and JOLTS made clear that the labor market is cooling. Inflation pressure may be easing, but so is economic momentum. That keeps investors defensive, even as the index rallies.
The Bigger Picture
Taken together, US100 sentiment is leaning positive in the near term, but the foundation is shaky. Gains are being driven more by mega-cap strength and expectations of rate relief than by broad economic resilience. Until the macro backdrop turns more convincingly, every rally remains vulnerable.
nas retest longim on fire today, made about 4k usd in the morning session.
but im looking at this one, conditions, looking for uk to dump, then usa to pump back up,
will look at 5 mins candles to see entry. i want to see some wicks or support.
if doesn't dump before USA timezone, i rather stay out as we got 3 news tonight, looking very choppy, likely will stay out of usa market today, just price action and take some small wins here and there.
my scalping im on 7 trading day win streak, about 80% winrate.
Potential move based on ICT analysis for US100Agree or Disagree? Saw a lot of liquidity that the markets did not take out (1H SL). Break out of DAILY bullish trendline and the selling opportunity is starting to enter the room. This was not a fundamental analysis, so anything that goes against this analysis, is all independent on what happens in economic news
WHY I THINK NASDAQ WOULD CONTINUE ITS BUYS
Big tech is still crushing earnings, AI plays are heating up, and the semis? Still running. Every dip lately is getting bought up fast, and that tells me one thing: smart money is still in the game.
We’ve got a potential rate cut on the horizon, inflation’s cooling off, and the market is pricing in more upside. Structure-wise, we’re seeing higher lows and breakouts across key levels.
Unless something major shakes the market, I’m staying bullish here. Momentum, fundamentals, and sentiment are all lining up. Buyers aren’t done — not even close.
ict conceptsTrading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
USNAS100 remains in a consolidation phase with a downside biasThe USNAS100 remains in a consolidation phase with a downside bias, following a slight price slip on Friday, as traders turned cautious ahead of the PCE inflation report — the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation This Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, due pre-market, is highly anticipated and may play a pivotal role in shaping the Federal Reserve's September rate decision.
Price action remains below key resistance levels As long as the index fails to break above resistance, the bias remains bearish A downside break from consolidation could target 22,540 in the short term.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck,
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US100 Trading Plan ¦ Layering Strategy + Macro Sentiment Drivers🚀 NASDAQ100 / US100 Index – Thief Money Heist Plan 🎭
📌 Plan: Bullish Swing / Scalping Setup
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), here’s the heist-style breakdown for US100 🔑:
🏴☠️ Entry Style (Thief Layering Strategy)
Using layered limit orders for flexibility & precision:
• 23200.0
• 23250.0
• 23300.0
• 23350.0
(You may increase limit layers based on your strategy & risk appetite)
📉 Moving Average Pullback Entry Plan
• Buy entries on pullbacks to the Fibo level 382 Triangular Moving average zone.
• Look for bullish candles confirming the bounce from these MAs.
• This offers better risk-to-reward by catching momentum on retracements instead of chasing highs.
❓ Why This Works?
• Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets.
• Institutional traders & algos track them heavily, making them high-probability zones.
• Combining with layering entries = higher flexibility + reduced risk of mistimed single entry.
🛡️ Stop Loss (Protect the Vault)
• Thief SL: @23000.0
• Reminder: Adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (Escape Zone)
• Overbought + Trap Zone ahead!
• Escape target: @23750.0
• Note: Don’t rely only on my TP — secure profits at your own pace and risk.
📊 US100 Index CFD Real-Time Data Sep 03
📈 Daily Change: +133.47 (+0.57%)
📅 Monthly Performance: +0.76%
📆 Yearly Performance: +23.48%
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
📊 Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral)
🧐 Interpretation: Market sentiment is balanced, showing neither extreme fear nor greed. Investors are cautious but not panicked.
🧠 Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment
👥 Retail Traders: Moderately bullish (55% Long, 45% Short)
🏦 Institutional Traders: Slightly cautious (50% Long, 50% Short)
🔑 Key Drivers: Mixed signals from manufacturing data and upcoming labor market reports.
📉📈 Fundamental & Macro Score
📊 Macro Score: 6/10
Manufacturing PMI (48.7) still in contraction but improving.
Labor market data (JOLTS) awaited for clarity.
⚡ Volatility Score: 5/10 (Moderate)
VIX near average levels, indicating stable expectations.
💧 Liquidity Score: 7/10
Strong volume and breadth in large-cap tech stocks.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
✅ Bullish (Long): 60%
Supported by strong yearly gains and resilience in big tech.
⚠️ Bearish (Short): 40%
Concerns over manufacturing contraction and inflation pressures.
💡 Key Takeaways
📈 US100 is trending mildly positive today (+0.57%).
😐 Sentiment is neutral—no extreme fear or greed.
📊 Macro data hints at cautious optimism but watch for upcoming labor reports.
🐂 Overall bias leans slightly bullish for long-term holders.
📊 Related Pairs to Watch
FOREXCOM:SPX500
TVC:DJI
TVC:VIX
NASDAQ:NDX
FX:USDOLLAR
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#NASDAQ100 #US100 #NDX #SPX500 #DJI #TradingView #SwingTrade #ScalpTrading #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis
NAS100 UPDATE - BULLS or TRAP?Dear Friends in Trading,
JOLT's Event Today - Be Safe!
Keynote:
Strong demand or strong correction?
Can price stabilize above 23550 to respect structure?
Untouched liquidity between 22900 - 22600.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.