Scenario 2Scenario 2: Sideways 1H LTF, Bullish 4H HTF
Buy stop @ cambist red above (25208.8)
Risk 0.4%
R:R 1:1
Trade ideas
NSDQ100 Focus today on key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP)Tech stocks held steady yesterday, with the Nasdaq 100 little changed, as broader markets consolidated near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.003%) and STOXX 600 (+0.21%) both hovered just below their recent peaks, while the 10yr US Treasury yield slipped to a one-year low of 3.96%, supporting equity valuations.
The session’s standout move came from commodities, where gold (-5.3%) and silver (-7.1%) suffered their sharpest single-day declines in years, despite lower yields that would normally support precious metals. The drop appeared to be a technical correction after gold’s exceptional rally this year (+57% YTD).
On the macro front, sentiment was mixed. The US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, now the second longest in history, with few signs of resolution as President Trump urged Senate Republicans to hold firm. Meanwhile, Trump’s comments on trade offered some optimism — he suggested talks with China’s Xi Jinping could produce a “good deal,” though a meeting remains unconfirmed.
In corporate news, Anthropic and Google are reportedly discussing a multi-billion-dollar cloud computing deal, underscoring ongoing AI infrastructure investment — a potential positive for large-cap tech sentiment. Conversely, Apple faced minor headwinds amid reports that its foldable iPad project has hit development delays.
Overall:
The Nasdaq 100 remained stable as investors balanced easing yields, positive AI-sector momentum, and uncertainty over the government shutdown. Focus today will turn to key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP) and macro data for directional cues.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25200
Resistance Level 2: 25350
Resistance Level 3: 25466
Support Level 1: 24700
Support Level 2: 24400
Support Level 3: 24250
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
21 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPNOT A DAY FOR THE FAINT HEARTED
Study through the consolidation!
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The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
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US100 on the Edge – Will Bulls Finally Break the All-Time HighZone 1: All-Time High / Major Supply Zone
This area represents the top of the market structure and the current all-time high region. Price has tested this level multiple times, forming a tight consolidation directly beneath it. This behavior indicates strong buying pressure but also clear absorption from sellers. Until the market shows a decisive breakout with volume confirmation, this zone acts as a heavy supply level. Traders should be cautious — breakouts near all-time highs often trigger fake moves before continuation.
Zone 2: Short-Term Demand / Breakout Retest Zone
Zone 2 marks the first layer of demand formed after the most recent breakout attempt. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend structure, suggesting it’s a valid short-term support area. If price remains above this level, the bullish structure remains intact. However, a clean break below Zone 2 would likely open the door for a retracement toward Zone 3.
Zone 3: Strong Demand / Breakout Base
This zone represents the base of the breakout — Monday’s low — where buyers aggressively entered and drove price upward through prior resistance. It’s a key liquidity pocket and the foundation of the current move. As long as the market holds above this zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below, however, would signal that momentum has faded and could trigger a deeper correction.
Sentiment
After a strong start to the week, the Nas100 is trading with a tone of cautious optimism. Monday’s momentum carried into Tuesday as easing US–China trade tensions and solid performances from major tech names helped maintain positive sentiment. However, with the index hovering near record highs, investors have turned more selective and defensive.
The broader market tone remains constructive — risk appetite is still present, but confidence is fragile. Many traders are waiting for fresh catalysts from corporate earnings and macro data to confirm whether the recent rally has more room to run. The ongoing US government shutdown continues to cloud visibility, delaying key data releases and adding an element of uncertainty.
Overall, sentiment around the Nas100 is positive but tentative: the market is stable and supported by tech strength and improved trade signals, yet stretched valuations and the lack of new macro clarity keep investors cautious at the top.
20 OCT 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPSTUDY!!
WELCOME TO MY ONLINE JOURNAL
DISCLAIMER:
The owner of this page is an authorised Representative under supervision of TD MARKETS (PTY) LTD, an authorised Financial Services Provider (FSP No. 49128) licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (FAIS).
The FSP is licensed to provide advice and intermediary services in respect of Category I financial products, including but not limited to derivative instruments, long-term deposits, and short-term deposits.
All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
No guarantee is made regarding the accuracy or outcome of this trade idea.
If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
NASDAQ 100 MID-WEEK OPINION SHARING by MrPhotonIt still hasn't broken the all-time high level. In line with the latest news, I expect a 2%-2.3% correction in the first stage. If the price breaks the uptrend channel and falls below 24300, it is likely to consolidate IG:NASDAQ .
Bearish outlook on nasdaq Price to put the previous engineered liquidity, I would expect to see price fall lower to take out the origin of the move that went to take out the engineered bearish liquidity
NAS100USD GOLD MIRROR EQ.1) NAS100USD — SNIPER ZONES (live levels from your charts)
Context: previous-week pivots you provided earlier (Tuesday/Thursday) and current price ~ 25,185.
Key levels (use these to draw horizontal zones on 1D / 4H / 1H / 15m)
Pivot Resistance (Prev Tue High): 25,228 (R1)
Immediate Resistance cluster: 25,250 – 25,300 (R2)
Current Bias / Mid: 25,185 (mid)
Support (session swing): 24,800 – 24,750 (S1)
Lower structural support (Prev Thurs Low): 23,998 (S2)
Draw these on 1D and 4H. On 1H/15m use the exact same horizontal lines and highlight the small intraday confluence zones inside them.
A — Bullish Sniper (Breakout + Pullback)
Trigger: Price closes above 25,228 on 15m or 1H and then pulls back into 25,150–25,200 zone (confluence: fib, VWAP or 1H/15m trendline).
Entry: Limit buy in 25,150–25,200 on the pullback (or market on confirmed rejection of the zone).
Stop: 25,100 (15–50 pts below entry depending timeframe; typical stop = 25–50 pts).
TP ladder:
TP1 = +30 pts → ~25,180–25,230 (close partial)
TP2 = +60 pts → ~25,260–25,320 (second partial)
TP3 = +100 pts → ~25,350–25,400 (final take)
R:R guideline: Aim ≥2.5:1 on full ladder (scale out).
Confirmation: Finviz breadth green & TimeMirror projection from Gold (see gold confirmation below) → increase size.
B — Bearish Sniper (Breakdown + Retest)
Trigger: Clear break and close below 24,800 with momentum OR rejection at 25,250 fails and price falls back under 24,800.
Entry: Sell on retest of 24,800–24,770 (rejection candle on 15m/1H).
Stop: 25,020 (approx 220 pts above, tighten for intraday to 25,000 if aggressive).
TP ladder:
TP1 = 24,500 (-30–50 pts)
TP2 = 24,200 (-100 pts)
TP3 = 23,900 (target S2 area)
Risk control: If CFTC shows net-long expanding (small-cap strength) or Finviz breadth strongly bullish, skip or reduce size.
C — Intraday Micro-Sniper (15m / 5m)
Range play between 25,228 and 24,800.
Entries: Look for wick rejections at zone edges on M15/M5. Tight stops (10–20 pts). TP small (20–40 pts). Only 1–2 units max per day.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 21 2025Price took PDH and is currently failing to break out of a strong daily resistance area so i will be looking for sells towards 4h FVG and SSL
Nasdaq short I think nq is going to go down and a retest in to that lower area is needed for a refuel to the upside.
US100 shortlooks like that the market wants to "fight" against the liquidity that has been built yesterday... NY-opening I love u <3 xD
NASDAQ (US100) Analysis:The NASDAQ index recently tested its all-time high and is now showing signs of a potential corrective pullback after a strong bullish run.
📉 Expected scenario:
The price may retrace toward the 24,900 demand zone, which serves as an important support area.
If the index bounces from this level, it could resume its upward movement to form a new high.
However, if the price breaks below 24,900 and holds, a deeper move toward 24,600 is likely.
📈 Best buy zone: On a confirmed rebound from 24,900
📍 Best sell zone: On a confirmed rebound from 25,100, or Below 24,900 after confirmation
US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout
After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated.
However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken.
If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
• The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in.
• A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising.
• That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs.
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🎯 Personal View
The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset.
A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up.
If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions.
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💬 In summary:
The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally.
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Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US100 Consolidates Below All-Time Highs-Can Bulls Break Through?US100 – 4H Technical Zone Analysis
Zone 1: All-Time High
This area represents the current all-time high and a clear supply zone where sellers previously absorbed aggressive buying pressure. It remains the strongest resistance in the current structure, a breakout above must be confirmed by sustained acceptance and volume before it can be trusted. Otherwise, this level continues to offer short opportunities or liquidity traps for late buyers.
Zone 2: Key Demand
This zone served as resistance before the most recent breakout and now acts as the first layer of demand. It’s a technical “flip zone,” where buyers stepped in to defend structure after the breakout attempt. As long as price holds above Zone 2, short-term bullish momentum remains valid. A clean break back below, however, would suggest a failed breakout and likely pull price toward deeper liquidity below.
Zone 3: Strong Buy Zone
This zone represents Monday’s low, the point where buyers stepped in decisively and drove the breakout move higher. It’s effectively the foundation of the current leg up and acts as a strong demand pocket created by institutional buying. As long as price remains above this area, market structure stays firmly bullish. A clean break below would invalidate the recent bullish impulse and indicate weakening buyer control.
Today’s market mood and outlook for US100
The US100 is holding a cautiously optimistic tone today, extending the strength seen on Monday. Yesterday’s rally was fueled by gains in major tech names, particularly Apple, alongside renewed hopes for progress in US–China trade relations and growing expectations of future Fed rate cuts.
That optimism continues into today, though investors remain wary. Falling oil prices and concerns about slowing global demand are tempering enthusiasm, and with the US government shutdown still delaying key data releases, visibility remains limited.
Overall, sentiment stays positive but measured, markets are leaning risk-on, supported by tech momentum and easing trade tensions, yet the rally remains vulnerable to any negative macro or geopolitical surprises.
Nasdaq Long Position Nasdaq has reached my set target of $25,000, a minor correction occurred but nonetheless we still in the bull run. Will Nasdaq reach $26,000? Let's wait and see
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Get Ready for Breakout
Nasdaq index is currently testing a resistance based on a current
all-time high.
With a high probability, the market is going to break that.
A daily candle close above will confirm a violation.
A further growth will be expected at least to 25500 level then.
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NASDAQ This bullish squeeze can push it to 26300.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 23 Low on its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). It appears that the index is getting out of the red Bearish Leg, which on the whole pattern serves as a Bull Flag for the next rally (Bullish Leg). Once the 4H RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg.
The last such RSI Lower Highs break-out was on June 23 when a similar 4H MA50/ 100 Bullish Squeeze took place. That was almost in the middle of a +14.63% rally in total before the index pulled back to its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As a result, once the 4H RSI break-out is finalized, we expect this run to reach at least 26300 (+14.63%).
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Clown market deserves the best tricksCan Trump save the world again by the end of the day? In this market anything is possible. It looks like the weekly open will hold.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Oct 20 2025I want to see price sweep BSL/London highs then make internal bearish structure on the 1m/5m forming a IFVG and CISD to take sells toward SSL/Asia lows
USNAS100 | Weakness Persists Below PivotUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Bias Below 25,035
USNAS100 has stabilized below the pivot zone at 25,035, indicating potential downside movement toward 24,860.
A break below 24,860 would strengthen the bearish trend, targeting 24,750 → 24,510 in the short term.
On the other hand, if price closes a 1H candle above 25,035, it would confirm a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25,200 → 25,400.
Pivot: 25,035
Support: 24,860 – 24,750 – 24,510
Resistance: 25,200 – 25,400 – 25,540
NASDAQ 100 Resistance Reaction and Countertrend Short SetupThe NASDAQ 100 has rallied strongly and is now trading near the top of its current range 📊. Price is approaching a key resistance level, and I’m expecting a potential reaction from liquidity above the highs, followed by a retracement back to equilibrium — around 50% of the current price swing 📉.|
A countertrend short setup could be considered here, with the option to take partial profits early to reduce risk 💡. Full details of the trade idea and execution are explained clearly in the video.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for a Decisive Week?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. As long as the Nasdaq is in its range, you can be a seller at the top of the range and a buyer at the bottom. If this range is broken, you can look for new trends in the Nasdaq.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September 2025 will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 a.m. New York time (4:00 p.m. Tehran time). This release comes as most other economic data have been delayed due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, which has suspended normal operations.
The CPI report is particularly important for the U.S. Social Security Administration, as it serves as the basis for calculating annual adjustments to retirement benefits and other statutory payments.
In a statement released on Friday, the agency confirmed that it would temporarily recall a limited number of furloughed employees to ensure the timely publication of the CPI report. Originally scheduled for October 15, the release has now been rescheduled for October 24.
This CPI release will be among the few remaining economic datasets published by federal agencies during the shutdown. Since October 1, most data-producing institutions have ceased operations amid political deadlock between Democrats and Republicans that has halted large portions of federal services.
With the federal shutdown continuing, U.S. markets are increasingly relying on private-sector data to gauge the state of the economy. In the upcoming week, indicators such as housing sales and private manufacturing surveys will be released, serving as alternative references for traders and analysts.
Without access to official government data, investors, businesses, and consumers face a heightened level of uncertainty, making it difficult to plan for spending, hiring, and saving decisions.
The CPI report could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, as the FOMC will have access to the data ahead of its October 28–29 policy meeting. Fed officials are currently debating whether to cut interest rates further, and if so, how quickly.
In September, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to support a weakening labor market by reducing borrowing costs across short-term loans. Another rate cut is widely expected in October, though elevated inflation could slow or prevent further easing.
The Chief Financial Officer of Bank of America (BOFA) stated that the bank expects two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of this year.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned about downside risks to the labor market, sparking speculation that he might have had early access to the yet-unreleased September employment report. However, a closer examination of his remarks shows no confirmation or denial of such access.
The key takeaway from Powell’s speech was his firm reaffirmation of market expectations for a rate cut later this month, delivered without any sign of hesitation or opposition — a clear and confident signal to investors.
In another commentary, Bank of America highlighted that the current boom in AI data centers is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. The bank attributed today’s expansion to strong semiconductor utilization, healthy cash flows, lower valuations, and a more favorable interest rate environment.
Nonetheless, it acknowledged ongoing concerns about excessive spending and stretched valuations in certain AI sectors.
Finally, the October Bank of America investor survey revealed that recession fears have fallen to their lowest level since February 2022, while optimism about economic growth has seen its strongest jump since 2020:
• 33% expect a “no-landing” scenario (up from 18%)
• 54% foresee a “soft landing” (down from 67%)
• 8% anticipate a “hard landing” (down from 10%).
