US100 trade ideas
US100 – London Session OutlookTrading Focus
The marked zones on the chart highlight areas where I look for small but quick intraday moves. There are two potential sell zones and two potential buy zones. If a zone breaks, I look for continuation trades on a retest of that same level.
This approach allows me to capture short, tactical opportunities with clear risk levels, while adapting quickly if price breaks structure.
Macro Update – Manufacturing Still Under Pressure
Yesterday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was released. The August figure came in at 48.7%, a slight improvement from July’s 48.0%, yet still below the 50% threshold that signals expansion. This indicates that U.S. manufacturing remains in contraction for the sixth consecutive month, though the slower pace points to some early signs of stabilization. New orders climbed back above 50%, suggesting demand may be recovering, but production and employment both weakened, and prices remained elevated, underscoring persistent cost pressures. Overall, the sector is still under strain, showing only tentative signs of recovery.
Market Sentiment
Overall, market sentiment is cautious. The rebound in new orders provides a hint of optimism, but weak production, soft labor data, and sticky input costs keep investors on edge. Traders remain defensive, seeking confirmation before committing risk in what is still a fragile backdrop.
What’s Next – JOLTS Job Openings
Today, all eyes are on the JOLTS Job Openings report, a key gauge of U.S. labor market strength.
A higher reading signals tight labor conditions, keeping wage and inflation pressures high and limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates.
A weaker reading suggests cooling demand for workers, supporting the case for easing.
This release has the potential to move markets quickly, adding another layer of volatility.
key levels for the nqIf the nq breaks 23362 we have enough information to wait for a shakeout and then enter. if it breaks 23210.7 we got to wait for a retracement and then a shakeout to sell. But, be aware that for sales the target should be more aggressive which means to cover on 23k, and just in case, we can leave a small portion of the position open but cover more than 70% because it might be the macro shakeout.
US 100 Buy-Stop, 4H/1D Close Above ResistanceUS 100 has closed above Resistance on 4 Hour and Daily Timeframe.
It is in Bullish Trend on Daily Timeframe. The trend is very likely to continue based on Technicals.
Moreover, it is likely that Federal Reserve will lower the interest rates in the Unied States. If that happens, financial markets will continue the upward trajectory. That however, is a long-term projection. Our trade setup here is just 1:1 but we can see more such trades in the future.
US100 Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 made a sharp
Move up and made a
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance of 23,375
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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Explaining Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levelsThis video is designed to help teach you why I use the Fibonacci Defense levels as components of price action and how I use Fibonacci retracement/extension levels (related to previous market trends).
Remember, the three components of price action are TIME, PRICE, & ENERGY.
If you don't understand how price is structured before attempting to use Fibonacci concepts, it's almost like trying to throw darts blindfolded.
You must break down the previous trends in order to try to understand what is happening with current price trends (expansion/contraction/phases).
Watch this video and I hope it helps all of you understand what the markets are doing and how to use Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levels more efficiently.
All types of technical analysis are validation tools - not guarantees. The only thing we get out of technical analysis is a way to validate or invalidate our expectations. A or B. Nothing else.
Get some.
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NAS100 Long Setup | Demand Zone ReactionPrice action on NAS100 has pulled back into a key demand zone after sweeping liquidity below short-term support ($$$). This area also aligns with previous imbalance fills, suggesting buyers may look to defend it once again.
📊 Technical Outlook
Price swept liquidity under prior support and tapped into demand.
Long idea is valid with risk defined below demand zone.
If buyers hold this zone, upside continuation is likely toward the 23,500–23,700 region.
🌐 Market Sentiment
Seasonality Risk: September is historically the weakest month for U.S. equities, often marked by heightened volatility.
Investor Sentiment: Surveys show mixed outlook — Fear & Greed Index remains in “Greed” (64), while AAII still reports more bears than bulls.
Macro Headlines: Fed uncertainty, tariff rulings, and over-reliance on tech remain short-term risks.
⚖️ Summary
Technically, NAS100 is sitting in a prime buy zone — liquidity grab + demand reaction setup. However, fundamentals still suggest caution, as September volatility could trigger deeper sweeps before a meaningful rally.
👉 For me, it’s a buy from demand with controlled risk. If bulls defend, we could see momentum shift back upward.
💬 What do you think — will bulls hold this level, or will September’s volatility push NAS100 even lower?
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the NASDAQ index started to decline and is currently heading to test the key support level at 23,000.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,000 and holds, it is likely to move lower towards the next support level at 22,700.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,260, holding above it may support further upside toward 23,350.
NASDAQ Eyes 23,565 Pivot as PCE Report LoomsNASDAQ – Update
The Nasdaq slipped on Friday as traders turned cautious ahead of the highly anticipated PCE inflation report, the Fed’s preferred gauge that could heavily influence the September rate decision. The release, expected before the bell, will likely set the near-term trend.
Technical Outlook:
The index reversed from resistance, showing signs of pressure ahead of the data.
A 1H close below 23,565 will confirm bearish continuation toward 23,435 → 23,295 → 23,170, especially if PCE comes in hotter than expected.
If the report is softer, bullish momentum may resume, targeting the ATH at 23,870, with extended resistance at 24,090.
Key Levels:
Support: 23,565, 23,435 – 23,295 – 23,170
Resistance: 23,690 – 23,870 – 24,090
📌 Bias: Neutral ahead of the PCE release. Expect high volatility and wait for confirmation at the pivot level before positioning.
NAS100 UPDATE - VERY IMPORTANT READ!Dear Friends in Trading,
INVESTING LIVE - IMPORTANT:
Equities start to get hit by bond market rumblings
The blow up in long-end yields is biting at broader market sentiment now
Stocks down
S&P 500 futures are now down 0.5% as markets are seeking shelter amid the blow up in bond yields. European indices are also sinking lower across the board with the DAX now down nearly 1% with the CAC 40 also turning early gains to losses now. It's all coming undone as we see long-end yields surge higher all across major economies.
France's 30-year yields are now above 4.50% for the first time since 2011 and that follows suit from the situation in the UK here. And as warned there, it was only a matter of time before the spillover impact hits at stocks today. And it's not just in Europe, we're seeing the same in Japan and also the US as well. From last week: The US yield curve continues to steepen post-Jackson Hole
These are testing times and if there's ever a good reason for a correction in stocks, this would be it.
Elsewhere, gold is also being dragged back down on the day as traders are seeking safety in the US dollar at the moment. The precious metal has pared earlier gains to $3,478 now. But if it is a case of truly focusing on the blow up in yields with a steepening of the yield curve, I reckon the play will be to buy gold on dips for the long haul.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100- OPPORTUNITY OF A LIFETIMETeam, I was patiently wait for the NAS100 hit 23200 - liquidity sweep before entering
NOW lets jump on board at 23220-23200 with STOP LOSS AT 23120
Target 1 at 23315 - take 50% partial and bring stop loss to BE
NEXT target at 23365-95 - take 30%
the rest at 23415-23550
LETS GO AND MAKE MILLION TOGETHER.
Nasdaq Under Pressure as Rally StallsThe Nasdaq is showing signs of weakness after its recent surge toward record highs. Profit-taking, especially at the end of the month, has weighed on tech stocks, while the broader market digests Powell’s dovish signals from Jackson Hole.
Despite optimism around potential rate cuts, valuations in the Nasdaq remain stretched, leaving the index vulnerable to corrections. Rising bond yields, even if off their peaks, are still creating headwinds for high-growth sectors.
Geopolitical concerns and renewed tariff discussions add another layer of uncertainty. At the same time, several heavyweight tech names have already reported earnings, removing a key driver of recent upside momentum.
Technically, the index is testing short-term support. If this level fails, a retracement toward 21,500 or even the 50-day moving average could follow. The daily chart has started to print rejection candles, hinting that buying pressure is fading.
While the long-term trend remains intact, short-term risks are building. Unless the Nasdaq can reclaim its highs quickly, a pullback looks increasingly likely as markets rebalance and investors take a more cautious stance.
NAS100 Bullish OutlookHi there,
The NAS100 on the H2 chart appears bullish, following the (B) sequence to HH (C), then potentially pulling back up to 24,431, with two price targets. Price is stretched and unstable. Volatility seems thin but bullish over the H4 and the daily timeframes.
There will need to be monitoring.
Happy Trading,
K.
NAS100 H4 | Bearish drop offNAS100 has rejected off the sell entry of 23,475.21, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 23,575.82, which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,110.94, which is a swing low suport that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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US100 – London Session Trade LevelsMarket Context
The Nasdaq-100 is currently trading within a consolidation pattern after being rejected around ~23,700. Momentum has slowed, and the market is searching for direction. During the London session, the focus is on intraday reactions around key levels. These zones may act as catalysts for either continuation or short-term reversals, depending on price action.
Sell Zones
23,465–23,480 (Asia high / sideways formation)
This zone represents the top of the Asian range and extends from a sideways structure.
A retest during London hours may trigger short-term selling momentum, especially if volume fades compared to Asian trading.
23,558–23,579 (4H consolidation)
A clear resistance area from the latest 4H consolidation, where several bullish attempts were previously absorbed.
If price fails to break this area with strong momentum, it is likely to act as a solid supply zone.
Buy Zones
23,320–23,338 (Yesterday’s low / sideways formation)
Represents yesterday’s low and a key intraday balance point.
If price dips into this area during London hours and shows absorption (e.g., long wicks / stronger CVD on the bid), it may serve as a springboard for a bounce.
23,115–23,140 (Strong 4H demand)
The strongest buy zone on the chart, aligning with both a structural support level and a prior reaction zone on 4H.
A test of this zone may indicate a “capitulation move,” where stronger buyers could be waiting.
Market Update and Sentiment Analysis
Overall Assessment
The Nasdaq-100 (US100) currently finds itself in uncertain territory. The technology sector, historically the driving force behind the index’s performance, faced headwinds toward the end of August. Rotation into small-cap equities, rising uncertainty ahead of key macroeconomic data and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, as well as weak technical signals, are all contributing to a mixed sentiment picture.
Market Developments
End of August: The Nasdaq-100 closed the month down approximately –1.2%, bringing the index to around 23,415. Despite the pullback, year-to-date performance remains up by roughly 10–11%.
Sector Rotation: The small-cap segment (Russell 2000) gained 7.3% in August, significantly outperforming the Nasdaq-100. The shift away from technology reflects both concerns about AI profitability and expectations of future rate cuts, which traditionally favor smaller companies.
Earnings Pressure: Weak earnings from companies such as Dell, Nvidia, and Marvell Technology disappointed the market. Margin pressure within the tech sector has raised concerns about growth prospects.
Macroeconomic Context
Data Sensitivity: The market is displaying extreme sensitivity to employment and inflation data. Even minor deviations in key figures can trigger significant price movements.
Federal Reserve: Investor attention is focused on the Fed’s upcoming rate decision. Expectations of a rate cut later in the year serve as a supportive factor, though uncertainty remains elevated.
Historical Pattern: September has traditionally been the weakest month for the Nasdaq index. This increases the risk of additional volatility in the weeks ahead.
For the London session, the focus is on short intraday moves around well-defined supply and demand zones. Given the broader negative bias in the market, traders should be extra cautious with longs — confirmation and strong absorption signals are key before entering buys.