SHORT TERM DOW - REVERSE (H & S ) PATTERN FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed
The chart shows a reverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) attempt.
Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are marked clearly.
But note: written that “8 out of 10 times H&S fails”, which is important — H&S is powerful, but also prone to false breakouts. AND FALSE BREAKOUT ITSELF IS VERY STONG SETUP!5
🔹 Short-Term Technical View
Structure:
Price attempted to form an inverse H&S, but neckline is not yet broken decisively.
Instead of breakout, Dow is showing weakness near the right shoulder.
Bearish Bias Active:
Failure of the reversal pattern often triggers sharp declines (trapped longs exit).
Breakdown projection is already plotted on your chart.
Target Zone:
Immediate downside target highlighted = 41,125.
That’s consistent with measuring the depth from head to neckline and projecting downward.
Invalidation:
If price reclaims and sustains above the neckline (~45,000–45,200 zone), the bearish view weakens.
🔹 Short-Term Trading Implication
Bias: Bearish as long as below neckline.
Target: 41,125 (short-term).
Stops: Above neckline (45,000+).
R:R: If entered near 44,600–44,800, reward to risk is favorable (2.5:1+).
✅ Conclusion
The Dow shows a failed inverse H&S, which typically results in downside continuation. Short-term target is 41,125, with risk managed above 45,000.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, index, or derivative. Trading carries significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own due diligence or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
