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Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2022)Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2022)Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2022)

Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2022)

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MYMM2022 trade ideas

Market Maker Bull Hammer Weekly TemplateThe following template for a bull hammer weekly candle is as follows. Monday goes sideways. Mark off the high and low of Monday Tuesday is a complete down day Wednesday and Thursday form the mid week reversal Thursday and Friday close out the week at the highs Another thing I have noticed is that this type of weekly candle happened only 16 times since 2020 and 9/10 they occurred around a news event like FOMC,NFP, and CPI and/or a holiday. 4th of July happened 2 times in a row, New Years, and Easter. I will need to back test more on the bearish side of the coin to test more data
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
1
Market Maker Weekly Doji Templates (Outstanding 33% Chance)Going through this set of data since late 2021 or 140 weekly candles, I have discovered that an astounding number of weeks are of the Doji type ( 1 Out of 3 ) My previous post was about pin hammer bars and they represent 17% of all weekly candles. Between dojis and pin hammers, that is equal to 50% of all weekly candles. The other 50% of candles represent expansion bars (small, medium, and large) In most cases on a doji week, what ever price the week opens with, price will tend to go back and forth around that price for either a high of week sell or low of week buy. If this short week is indeed a doji, then it should rotate around the week's opening price of 39,160 And, since most weekly doji candles are roughly 350-600 ticks from the high to low, then that will be a good spot to look for reversals. I won't know how this week unfolds until it unfolds, I can only watch and react accordingly.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
by travis18haney
Elliott Wave Analysis Expects Dow Futures (YM) to Pullback in WaShort Term Elliott Wave in Dow Futures (YM) suggests rally from 4.19.2024 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 4.19.2024 low, wave ((i)) ended at 38801 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 37866. Index extends higher again in wave ((iii)) with internal subdivision as an impulse in lesser degree. The 1 hour chart below shows the subdivision of wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 38527 and dips in wave ii ended at 38037. Index then extended higher in wave iii towards 39127 and pullback in wave iv ended at 38936. Final leg wave v ended at 39781 which completed wave (i). Index then pullback in wave (ii) towards 39405 and extended higher in wave (iii) towards 40191. Wave (iv) pullback ended at 39955. Final leg wave (v) ended at 40213 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Expect wave ((iv)) pullback to unfold in 3 swing before Index resumes higher in wave ((v)). Near term, as far as pivot at 37847 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Dow Jones Weekly ATR EstimationsGoing through the weekly chart for the averages of how far Dow Jones can move in a week. The last 84 weeks averaged out to 937 ticks. This lines up with the medium sized candles. There are three types of weekly candles 1. Small Doji candle (28 occurrences) 2. Medium sized candle (47 occurrences) 3. Large expansion candle (9 occurrences) This small set of data sampled tells me that the vast majority of weekly candles have a medium sized move between 700-1200 ticks with the average of all 84 weeks being 937 ticks. Large sized expansion candles are rare with only 9 weekly candles exceeding 1400+ ticks Small doji style candles are also fairly common with 28 weeks being between 350-550 ticks Now that I know this information, the question is how to use it effectively in Live Time.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by travis18haney
High of the week sell off of Weekly Open and Golden PocketWith Monday and Tuesday off the books, we have the last three days left in this weekly template. I see an obvious peak formation high printed on Monday and to me, this looks like Monday will set the high of the week. The opening price of the week is at the neckline of that peak formation high. It also coincides inside the golden pocket of Mondays range as well. To me, this looks like a down/doji weekly candle that will be printed. Small doji weekly candles have a range of about 350-500 ticks from high to low. If Monday is indeed the high of the week, then 500 ticks down will be at 39,700 and at around 1.5 times the range expansion of Mondays high to low range. I will place a sell limit at 40,150 on the hourly chart I will place a stop loss of 75 ticks above the "high of the week" if it holds. I will place my target at 1X range expansion at 296 ticks
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by travis18haney
Dow Jones (US30):🔴Is it bearish..?!🔴Hello trader By examining Dow Jones on the weekly and 4-hour chart we can figure out the chart is bearish and there is sell-side liquidity that can be defined as targets for smart money. In this chart, the price failed to create an all-time high and dropped, the price made the bearish breaker and respected it and shifted the market structure. Now we can see the bearish order block with bearish FVG that makes an important resistance, If the price reaches this zone we can look for a sell position in a lower time frame. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️27/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by VahidTradingCR
1
Dow Jones Looking For Next Higher Low Sell OffI had anticipated that Monday was going to be the high in my previous post. I initially thought it was going to pullback a little bit higher before a sell off but today it based lower and then sold off. I am still bearish short term and will be looking for the next higher low to position myself short at least down to 39,650 to take out that small range back on May 14th Funny how price is floating above that low just waiting for it to be taken out. The average weekly candle on the Dow is 937 ticks. That will place the low somewhere at 39,250 area, roughly.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by travis18haney
1
Week of May 12 - AAPL/BTC/DJI/VIX/10yr Last week we had record low volume on indexes as they drifted higher. There as a drought of news to move the market - and the volume was reminiscent of a holiday week. Indexes The DJI went vertical to fill the last weekly imbalance we had that was MOST in the premium of the swing. From HERE - we are at a major deciding point. The weekly chart still is bearish and we need to confirm this was just our back-test. CBOT_MINI:YM1! needs to respect this weekly FVG and starting heading lower confirming this as our "lower high". Wicks above and outside the weekly FVG are permitted - but notice how they closed the weekly candle INSIDE the FVG - this means that the FVG is still being respected. IF we can get confirmation of this being the lower high as set - the next logical targets are the April Lows/LOY. The scam-ridden CME_MINI:NQ1! didn't do much this week but flop around inside a 2% range. I have no clear weekly bias on Nasdaq so I can't really comment too much on it. The best thing I can see is that NASDAQ:AAPL is holding up here, but its ready to drop lower into the gap that was created. Once that happens, the market will go with it. So far, its just a series of lower lows and lower highs. Sectors One thing I want to touch on - is where we are in the cycle. The way we can identify this, is that we can look at typical "late cycle" charts on Energy/Materials/Metals and compare them to the SPX. When you see these sectors rallying - its typically near/at the market tops. Here is chart of $XLB/$XLI/$XLE/$XLP/ When you see Materials/Industrials/Energy/Staples all running up like this - it means that money is moving from things like tech and communication services - and into "safer" sectors. Bitcoin One of my favorite things to look at for a risk-apatite gauge is Bitcoin. Weekly BTC is down by 17%. IF it doesn't bounce from down here and soon - a new bear market will begin. This week will give us CPI/PCE reports mid week that will be the key driver for the next market move. VIX Another concerning thing for bulls is the fact that the VIX is now near its yearly lows, and indexes aren't making ATH. Again - This all smells super trappy as the market is setting up for the move during the mid-week inflation report releases. Interest Rates Rates are rolling over. The 10year continued its march lower this week and is now respecting bearish FVGs which is what we want to see. Half the reason that markets were able to drift higher this past week was due to the rates market being stable. This Bond trade is a longer term swing as I think that rates will crater during the coming recession. So far - the 2/10 spread remains inverted for 2 years now. This is a RECORD duration and depth of yield curve inversion. This spread has a 100% accuracy rate when it comes to predicting recessions. Note the dates in the vertical white bars - once the 2s/10s un-invert - we have a recession 100% of the time. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; We saw YM pop into our MOST premium weekly IRL level - from here I will be looking for 4hr charts to displace lower and start the march towards nLOY. Looking for interest rates to continue to march lower - this will be bullish for indexes (at first) as indexes tend to ignore WHY rates are dropping for a little while. BTC needs to make a stand here - or its going to enter another bear market. Until next week - We'll be watching.
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Short
by Baero-Trading