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CLS CADCHF Analysis – Monthly, Daily, 1H📊 CLS CADCHF Analysis – Monthly, Daily, 1H
**Monthly (M):**
- A Clean Low Sweep (CLS) has been formed.
- The second candle is already confirmed.
**Daily (D):**
- Price has not yet reached the 50% retracement level.
- A Daily CLS has been formed.
- The second candle is currently developing.
**1-Hour (1H):**
- Market Structure Shift (MSS) has occurred.
- Price has already reached the 50% level.
**Trade Plan:**
- I’m waiting for price to retrace into the 61%–80% zone of 1H CLS before entering a long position.
- Target 1 (TP1): The 1H CLS range.
- Target 2 (TP2): 50% of the Monthly CLS, which aligns with a Key Level Fair Value Gap (KL FVG) and Key Level Previous Monthly Low (KL PML).
**Order Flow:**
- Currently bearish, so the ultimate goal is a conservative 50% retracement from the Monthly CLS.
OANDA:CADCHF
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CAD/CHF – Retracement PhaseCAD/CHF remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, with price still trading above the primary ascending trendline. The recent tap into a minor supply zone has triggered a controlled pullback, and price is currently reacting around the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from the latest impulse leg.
If buyers maintain control above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact and the market may look to resume upward movement. However, a break and clear acceptance below the trendline would likely open the door for a deeper correction toward the 0.382–0.50 Fibonacci zones, where prior demand and liquidity rest. The 0.618 retracement level stands as the critical structural decision point for medium-term trend continuation.
At this stage, the pair is in a retracement phase, and the next directional move will depend on how price resolves around these key technical areas. Monitoring reaction and order flow at each retracement zone will provide clarity on continuation versus deeper correction.
Key Technical Zones:
• Immediate Reaction Zone: 0.236
• Secondary Support Areas: 0.382 / 0.50
• Major Correction Zone: 0.618
CADCHF November 2025 fundamental analysisCanadian Dollar (CAD): Economic Headwinds and Continued Easing
Bank of Canada Policy
The Bank of Canada delivered another 25 basis point rate cut at its October 29 meeting, bringing the policy rate to 2.25%. This continues an aggressive easing cycle that has seen rates reduced by 225 basis points since June 2024, from a peak of 4.50% to the current 2.75%. Markets are pricing in current easing for the October meeting despite recent data showing 60,000 employment gains and headline inflation rising to 2.4%.
Economic Challenges
The BoC's dovish stance is driven by persistent concerns about the Canadian economic outlook. The third-quarter Business Outlook Survey showed that uncertainty around trade policy continues to weigh heavily on investment and hiring plans. The "future sales" indicator dropped back into negative territory for the first time in 2025, and 63% of firms expect either unchanged or reduced workforce levels—levels historically associated with unemployment rates of 7.3% or higher.
Canada's terms of trade have deteriorated significantly, with crude oil prices falling to multi-month lows. WTI crude is trading around $59-60 per barrel, down from earlier highs, removing a key pillar of support for the loonie.
November Outlook: Bearish
The Canadian Dollar faces a challenging November. USD/CAD has moved higher to the 1.40 handle, and while some analysts expect a return to 1.38 by year-end driven primarily by USD weakness, the path may be slow with potential spikes to 1.41. The loonie is expected to underperform against most G10 currencies, given the BoC's continued easing path and Canada's vulnerability to weak energy prices.
Swiss Franc (CHF): Safe Haven Supremacy Despite Zero Rates
Swiss National Bank Policy
The Swiss National Bank has maintained its policy rate at 0.00% and shows no inclination to move into negative territory despite franc strength. At its September meeting, the SNB notably refrained from describing the franc as "highly valued" or expressing concern over its appreciation—a significant shift in communication. This suggests the SNB has become more comfortable with franc strength, particularly as Switzerland's real exchange rate remains relatively stable due to low domestic inflation of just 0.2%.
Economic Environment
Switzerland's economy is projected to grow 1.5% in 2025 and 1.0% in 2026, with inflation expected to remain subdued at 0.2% in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026. The SNB characterized current policy settings as "appropriately expansionary" despite the 0% rate, and expressed confidence that inflation will remain within the 0-2% target range. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, with weaker growth prospects potentially limiting any hawkish policy adjustments.
November Outlook: Bullish
The Swiss franc's safe-haven status provides strong support in November's uncertain environment. EUR/CHF has been trading around 0.92-0.93, and analysts expect the pair to gradually appreciate toward 0.96 over the next 12 months, implying modest franc weakness against the euro. However, against the dollar, the franc is expected to strengthen significantly, with USD/CHF forecasts suggesting 0.77 within a year, with downside risks toward 0.75 or even 0.73. The franc's outperformance has persisted despite substantial interest rate differentials, demonstrating the power of safe-haven flows in the current geopolitical environment.
Verdict
The ever-stable CHF is posed to continue its straight outperformance of the economically challenged CAD in November. CAD/CHF is therefore a SELL .
Analysis of CAD/CHFThe chart of this pair has a very clean and educational setup.
The previous trend was strongly bearish — so clear that it’s easily noticeable at first glance.
What’s the rule we’ve set? **Never open a position against the trend.**
Now, the price has managed to break a long and valid trendline after quite some time, and it has already made a pullback.
Despite that, we still don’t open any positions until we get confirmation.
And when do we get that confirmation? When the price can break above the **0.57630** level — that’s when we can confirm a potential trend reversal is forming.
Personally, I would prefer to see a fake move at this point — a rejection and a drop back below the trendline — so I can take a short position, as it would carry less risk.
CADCHF — Daily vs 4H ChartCADCHF — Daily vs 4H Chart 📉
The overall trend remains bearish, and I don’t see any sign of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) yet.
On the 4H timeframe, I notice a short-term bullish move, but I expect a bearish reaction from the Daily “Orange” resistance zones.
I’ll look to sell once a clear price-action confirmation appears.
Target: Nearest psychological level
🎯 Goal 001 → 0.55200
OANDA:CADCHF
CADCHF A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on CADCHFand concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.5687 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target -0.5677
Safe Stop Loss - 0.5692
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADCHF Forming Descending ChannelCADCHF is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel on the daily timeframe, signaling a prolonged bearish trend. However, the recent price action near the lower boundary of the channel suggests potential exhaustion of selling pressure and a possible reversal setup. The pair has bounced strongly from the lower trendline, and if price breaks above the upper boundary of this channel around the 0.5700–0.5720 zone, it could confirm a bullish breakout. This would open the door for a potential recovery toward 0.5900 and possibly 0.6000 in the coming weeks, offering attractive buy-side opportunities for swing traders.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining underlying strength due to rising oil prices and stable economic performance, while the Swiss franc remains under slight pressure as risk sentiment improves globally. The Bank of Canada’s firm stance on controlling inflation continues to support CAD, whereas the Swiss National Bank maintains a cautious policy approach, limiting CHF’s upside. With commodity demand increasing and global markets showing risk-on momentum, CADCHF could see renewed bullish energy if the technical breakout aligns with these macroeconomic factors.
Traders should watch for a clear daily close above 0.5720 for confirmation of a breakout from the falling channel. As long as the pair stays above 0.5650, the bullish scenario remains valid. This setup offers a potential reversal opportunity from a prolonged downtrend, positioning CADCHF for a profitable upside move in the medium term.
CADCHF BEARISHCADCHF short position
bearish on the daily and 4hr timeframes overall.
there's been a correction and then a rejection of 0.56998 level.
I'm waiting for the market to open then I will watch to see if the market pushes up any higher to get a better entry if not I will be entering a short position with around a 30 pip SL and around 60 pip TP.
CADCHF Forms Bearish Channel- Sellers Target 0.5620 ZoneCADCHF Forms Bearish Channel- Sellers Target 0.5620 Zone
CADCHF shows a rising channel pattern (bearish flag formation) following a strong impulsive downward move.
This indicates that the recent bullish correction might be coming to an end, and CADCHF could resume its prior bearish trend.
The price appears to have rejected the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
Key Targets:
First target: 0.5660
Second target: 0.5640
Final target: 0.5620
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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