NIFTY short setupNifty short setup
Entry - 24644.00
Stop loss - 24671.00
Target - 24545.90
Risk Reward - 1:3.6
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
#NIFTY50 View for 5th AugNSE:NIFTY We see Nifty cycle from April low have ended, and currently correcting the rally. The first leg of the rally seem to have ended and currently should bounce in 3 waves higher and should potentially reverse for one more leg lower.And where it can find some potential buyers. We don't recommend Selling.
Some stocks are showing potential reversal signal like NSE:INDIANB Indian bank, NSE:PIDILITIND Pidilite, NSE:TATAPOWER Tata Power, NSE:TATASTEEL Tata steel to suggest the above view.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 05.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 05.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty trend directionNifty 24722 is showing inside bar pattern .resistance at 767 and 844. If high goes greater than yesterday high if 736 , wait for candle to reverse and fall below 736 for shorting opportunities with sl around near mentioned resistance.
Intraday Setup for Tuesday 05 August Market Structure Over Sentiment
The market is currently trading in a confusing zone, especially with negative global sentiment in the backdrop. But remember — that sentiment only matters if the Friday hourly low breaks. Until then, stay technical, stay objective
🧭 Market Structure Overview:
Daily Trend: Continues to form lower lows, indicating weakness in the broader trend.
Hourly Timeframe: Trading near key support, forming a triple bottom at 24,500 – an important level to watch for breakdown or bounce.
5-Minute Chart (Intraday): Showing signs of higher highs, suggesting short-term buying interest.
Key Intraday Levels (Nifty):
24,800 – Critical Resistance Zone
➤ Watch Price Action Closely Here
If reversal comes from this level, it may offer a high-probability shorting opportunity.
A breakout above 24,800 is tricky – may trigger false moves, so wait for confirmation.
24,640 – Scalp Short Opportunity
➤ A good level for a quick short, provided the momentum supports it.
Ideal for scalpers looking for small, sharp moves.
Final Note:
Don’t get influenced by noise. Let the structure guide your trades. As long as Friday’s hourly low holds, bulls have a reason to defend. Below that — bears take the lead.
NIFTY50 Closing Price: ₹24,722.75 (4th Aug 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4)Comprehensive Technical Analysis for NIFTY50
world wide web shunya trade
Closing Price: ₹24,722.75 (4th Aug 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4)
Time Frames:
Intraday: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H
Swing: 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly
1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis
Intraday (5M-4H)
4H: Bearish Engulfing at 24,722.75 signals rejection of highs.
1H: Dark Cloud Cover below 24,750 confirms weakness.
30M/15M: Shooting Stars at 24,720 indicate exhaustion.
5M: Three Black Crows pattern suggests strong bearish momentum.
Outlook: Bearish reversal likely if 24,700 breaks.
Swing (4H-Monthly)
Daily: Gravestone Doji at 24,722.75 warns of trend exhaustion.
Weekly: Bearish Harami after 3-week rally signals distribution.
Monthly: Long-legged Doji at all-time highs (24,800) indicates indecision.
2. Harmonic Patterns
Intraday
4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly completing at 24,722.75 (D-point).
PRZ: 24,700–24,750 (127.2% XA + 161.8% BC).
30M: Bullish Crab forming at 24,600 (secondary setup).
Swing
Daily: Bearish Gartley near 24,750 (78.6% XA retracement).
Weekly: Potential Bullish Bat at 24,500 if correction extends.
3. Elliott Wave Theory
Intraday
4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at 24,722.75.
Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from 24,200 → 24,722.75.
Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting 24,500 (Wave A).
1H: Sub-wave (v) ending with RSI divergence.
Swing
Daily: Wave 3 of primary bull cycle nearing completion at 24,750.
Weekly: Wave (iii) of larger impulse, expecting Wave (iv) correction to 24,300.
Monthly: Wave V of multi-year bull run, nearing major resistance at 24,800.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Intraday
Phase: Distribution (after markup from 24,200 → 24,722.75).
Signs: High volume at 24,722.75 (supply), failed upthrust above 24,750.
Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating.
Swing
Daily: Late Markup → Distribution at 24,750.
Weekly: Accumulation completed at 23,500; now in Markup but showing signs of exhaustion.
5. W.D. Gann Theory
Time Theory
Intraday: Key reversal windows:
UTC+4: 10:00–12:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal).
Swing:
Daily: 8th Aug (4 days from close) for time squaring.
Weekly: 12th Aug (1 week) for cycle turn.
Square of 9
24,722.75 → Resistance Angles:
0° (24,750), 90° (24,850), 180° (25,000).
Support: 45° (24,500), 315° (24,250).
Angle Theory
4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from 24,200 low at 24,500. Price overextended.
Daily Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at 24,722.75 acting as resistance.
Squaring of Price & Time
Price Range: 24,200 → 24,722.75 (522.75 points).
Time Squaring: 522.75 hours from 24,200 low → 24,750 resistance.
Ranges in Harmony
Primary Range: 24,000–25,000 (1,000 points).
50% Retracement: 24,500 (critical support).
61.8% Retracement: 24,380.
Secondary Range: 24,500–24,750 (250 points).
Price & Time Forecasting
Intraday Targets:
Short-Term: 24,500 (61.8% Fib).
Extension: 24,380 (Gann 45° angle).
Swing Targets:
Weekly: 24,300 (Wave (iv) target).
Monthly: 23,800 (38.2% retracement of entire bull run).
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
Intraday (4H)
Cloud (Kumo): Price below Kumo (bearish).
Tenkan-sen: 24,700 (flat, resistance).
Kijun-sen: 24,650 (support).
Chikou Span: Below price (confirms bearish momentum).
Swing (Daily)
Cloud: Thick cloud resistance at 24,750–24,800.
Tenkan/Kijun: Bearish crossover at 24,700.
7. Indicators
Intraday
RSI (14): 68 (4H) → Overbought; divergence at highs.
Bollinger Bands: Price tagging upper band (24,750); contraction signals volatility.
VWAP: 24,680 (acting as dynamic resistance).
Moving Averages:
50 SMA: 24,600 (support).
200 EMA: 24,400 (major support).
Swing
Daily RSI: 72 (overbought, divergence).
Weekly BB: Upper band at 24,800 (resistance).
Monthly VWAP: 23,500 (major support).
200 WMA: 22,800 (long-term bull support).
Synthesized Forecast
Intraday (Next 24H)
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Trigger: Break below 24,700 (1H close).
Targets: 24,500 (T1), 24,380 (T2).
Timeline: 8–12 hours (UTC+4 22:00–02:00).
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Trigger: Sustained close above 24,750.
Target: 24,850 (Gann 90° angle).
Swing (1–4 Weeks)
Bearish Scenario:
Targets: 24,300 (Wave (iv)), 23,800 (38.2% retracement).
Timeline: 5–10 trading days.
Bullish Scenario:
Trigger: Close above 24,800.
Target: 25,200 (Gann 180° angle).
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.(world wide web shunya trade)
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya.Trade
world wide web shunya trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 4, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 4, 2025 – Monday 🔴
A Monday full of mind games.
Nifty opened with a slight positive gap and immediately tested the TC of CPR, but that optimism didn’t last long — sharp rejection took it to day’s low (24,554). What followed was a rollercoaster: a 100-point recovery, a 50-point pullback — all within 10 minutes. This wild price action defined the rest of the day.
Throughout the session, Nifty remained trapped within the CPR zone. Both sides experienced multiple fakeouts, especially around initial balance (IB) zones. Even when prices nudged toward R1, repeated failed attempts to break above reflected the market’s indecisiveness. The day finally closed near the high, but conviction was still lacking.
Many option buyers likely struggled due to deceptive shadows and unexpected fractal breakouts. The entire price action stayed within Friday’s range — forming an Inside Bar structure on the daily chart. This suggests a potential range breakout trade tomorrow.
The market faced resistance near the Fibonacci 0.618–0.786 retracement of the prior fall — aligning with 24,740–24,780 zones. A close above 24,780 tomorrow could shift momentum back in the bulls’ favour. If not, bears still hold the upper ground.
📈 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📊 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,596.05
High: 24,736.25
Low: 24,554.00
Close: 24,722.75
Change: +157.40 (+0.64%)
Candle Type:
🟢 Bullish Marubozu-like — reflects a strong control by buyers after early weakness.
Structure Breakdown:
Real Body: 126.70 pts (Bullish)
Upper Wick: 13.50 pts (Minor resistance near close)
Lower Wick: 42.05 pts (Early dip got bought aggressively)
Key Insight:
Closed near the high of the day — positive bias for tomorrow
Inside Bar formed – Expect a breakout trade
24,780+ closing will turn sentiment bullish
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 209.36
IB Range: 115.95 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Summary:
🕚 11:30 AM – Long Entry → SL Hit
🕛 12:30 PM – Long Entry → SL Hit
🕐 13:10 PM – Short Entry → SL Hit
Tough day — strategy got chopped in noise-heavy moves.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,780 ~ 24,795
24,860 ~ 24,880
Support Zones:
24,675 ~ 24,660
24,620
24,542 ~ 24,535
24,500
24,470 ~ 24,460
💭 Final Thoughts
"Markets love to test your patience before they reward your conviction."
Today was a lesson in restraint — avoid overtrading when structure lacks clarity. Inside bar gives us a clean slate for tomorrow. Let price lead.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Good comeback candle by Nifty today. Nifty fought back against the Tariff odds today and gained 157.4 points. The combination of Friday's candle and today's candle are forming a Bullish Harami kind of pattern. Harami in Japanese means pregnant woman. Usually this is a Bullish pattern but it requires a follow up positive candle in its support. So if we get a positive candle tomorrow then we can consider Friday's low as a good temporary support.
Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 24482 (Important Trend line resistance), 24317, 24186 (Father line support on daily chart), The zone between 23932 (final support, below this level Bears can take total control of the index).
Resistances for Nifty currently remain at: 24802, 24906 (Mother line resistance on daily chart), 25007, 25249-25346 (Important trend line resistance zone, a closing above 25346 will give control of the index to Bulls).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY 50 – 1D TF: Expanding Triangle DynamicsInside the triangle we saw a triangle again
Pattern: Classic Broadening wedge —higher highs & lower lows = volatility + indecision
Microstructure: Within the Triangle, a smaller broadening wedge formed, signaling coiling price before potential range expansion.
Sideways & expanding = distribution or re-accumulation phase. (For 1D TF Macro Triangle outlook scroll ↧)
Markers:
🥵Resistance
🥶Pivot
🤢Support
💪🏼⚠️Key levels
💥 Order block from Supply Line breakdown
🪂 Our main Man
❓U-🔻Turn Fake Out, lets see how it goes!
🚀 Let me know your views
Technical Insight
Broadening wedge 📐:
Often signals high emotional volatility— smart money accumulates in the chaos while retail gets whipsawed. Market is struggling to agree on fair value — hence breakout/breakdown traps are common.
Progressively a rejection from the supply💥 line zone could result in a lower high, leading to sharp retracement toward 24,000 or lower → our main man 🪂
Liquidity Grab Setup:
If NIFTY dips near 🪂 23,844 and forms a V-reversal, it could be a liquidity spring towards 25,350 🚀
🚫 Critical Checks to Avoid False Breakouts
Watch out 🪂💥❓
Liquidity Trap: Ignore breakouts with volume < 1.5x avg.
Expiry Week: Reduce position size (PCR/OI noise increases).
VIX Filter: No shorts if VIX < 15 (low volatility traps).
📊 Fundamental Alignment
Macro Tailwinds:
Q2 GDP prints strong: India remains among the fastest-growing economies.
FIIs have returned in phases post-June; DII participation remains robust.
Inflation cooling (CPI near 5%) + expectation of status quo on rates by RBI = positive for equities.
💹Risk Catalysts
Global volatility from US yields, Fed guidance, and oil prices could influence near-term moves.
Upcoming domestic events (elections, fiscal data, monsoon trend) may impact sentiment around key supply zones.
🛠️ Strategic Outlook
Validated (Bullish Continuation)
Setup: Bounce off 24,178 → breakout above 25,118 → reclaim 25,565
Bias: Bullish breakout
Trigger: Daily close above 25,565 with volume
Invalidated (Fakeout then Breakdown)
Setup: Pop above 25,118 → rejection from OB → lower high → flush toward 23,844 and Lower
Bias: Bearish
Trigger: Bearish engulfing near 25,350
Always DYOR,
See you on the other side
💡 Reflective Close:
In expanding structures, the real edge isn’t prediction — it’s patience.
Are you managing risk through structure or emotion through bias?
Nifty levels - Aug 05, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty Bearish Setup: Watching 50–61.8% Fib Zone for Short EntryThis is more of an observation-based post rather than a trade setup.
It appears that Nifty, in its current bearish trend, is consistently respecting the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone before continuing downward. We’ve seen multiple pullbacks stall and reverse from this zone — making it a key area to watch.
🔸 If you're looking to short, avoid entering too early.
🔸 Let price pull back into the 50–61.8% zone, wait for structure or weakness to develop (e.g., reversal candles, BOS on lower timeframe), and then consider action.
🔸 Trying to catch tops or jumping in too soon can lead to poor entries and stop hunts.
This zone seems to be where sellers are stepping in with conviction.
Staying patient and respecting the structure can offer better entries and risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational and observational purposes only. I am not SEBI registered. Always do your own analysis before taking any trades.
Nifty intraday update1Nifty is negatively diverged and volume not in sync with move.will look for short opportunities between 660 - 690
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 04.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 04.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 4th:Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for August 4th:
The global market (based on the Dow Jones) has shown a moderately bearish sentiment,
while the local market continues to display a bearish tone. However, today, Gift Nifty indicates a positive opening.
What can we expect today?
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed with a negative bias.
However, today’s market is indicating a gap-up start of around 80 points. Structurally, if this gap-up doesn't sustain,
we can expect the correction to continue, possibly with some consolidation.
On the other hand, if the gap-up sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level with a solid candle or after some consolidation,
we can expect a pullback of at least 50% to 78% in the minor swing.
In this case, even if the market takes a pullback but fails to break the 38% Fibonacci level,
another round of correction may follow.
Nifty Extends Losing Streak: Is a Dead Cat Bounce Coming?The Nifty 50 dropped for the fifth week in a row, losing around 1.5%. Sectors like banks, IT, and consumer stocks are under pressure, and there are no big positive news to lift the market right now.
◉ Why is the Market Falling?
● Poor Q1 Results
Many big companies, especially in banking and IT, reported weaker-than-expected earnings. This disappointed investors and led to selling.
● U.S.–India Trade Trouble
The U.S. has added a 25% tax on Indian exports starting August 1. The two countries couldn’t agree on some trade issues, especially related to agriculture and dairy. This is bad news for export-focused companies.
● Weak Rupee
The rupee is near record lows against the U.S. dollar. This is because foreign investors are pulling money out of India. A weak rupee hurts sectors like IT and pharma, which earn in dollars.
◉ What the Charts Say?
The market has had a tough 5 weeks, but now it’s near a strong support level. This means a short-term bounce (dead cat bounce) is possible — a small recovery before another fall.
● Support at 24,500
There’s a large number of put option writers at this level. This means many traders are confident that Nifty won’t fall below 24,500 — so they’re willing to take that risk. This builds a strong support zone.
● Resistance at 24,700–24,800
There’s heavy call writing in this range. That means traders are betting Nifty won’t go above these levels. As a result, this area acts like a short-term ceiling or resistance.
Expect the Nifty to stay between these levels coming week unless some major news changes the game.
◉ Suggested Strategy
● For Traders: Stay cautious. Avoid aggressive long positions unless Nifty reclaims 25,000 decisively. Look for shorting opportunities near resistance zones with strict stop losses.
● For Investors: Stick to quality. Defensive pockets like FMCG, utilities, and select pharma may offer stability amid broader volatility.
Nifty 50 Outlook and Derivatives Analysis — 04 Aug 2025
1. Market Snapshot — Nifty 50 on 01 Aug 2025
On Friday, 1 August 2025, the Nifty 50 opened at 24,734.90, surged to an intraday high of 24,784.15, hit a low of 24,535.05, and closed at 24,565.35 — a net decline of 203 points or approximately –0.82% from the prior close (~ 24,768.35). The session began cautiously, briefly challenging early resistances before turning lower amid broad profit-taking. Selling intensified in the latter half of the day, as weak global cues dragged indices, causing price to revisit intraday lows near 24,535. Despite bulls’ attempt to reclaim the 24,780–24,800 zone, they were swiftly pushed back. The closing fall erased mid-week gains, reflecting scattered sectoral weakness. Volume levels were steady but breadth remained negative, pointing to limited conviction from buyers. In summary, a mixed start followed by technical weakness allowed the index to close below the opening mark, reinforcing a mildly bearish bias ahead of the new trading week.
2. Top Gainers & Losers — 01 Aug 2025 (Nifty 50 Stocks)
• Top Gainers: Clean Science (SCIEN), G R Infraprojects (GRINFRA), HDFC Bank (HDFCBANK), Vodafone Idea (IDEA), and Tata Motors (TATAMOTORS) were identified among Nifty 50’s top gainers based on high relative strength and trading momentum. Exact open prices or point-by-point moves were not disclosed in publicly available platforms.
• Top Losers: Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s, Adani Enterprises, Tata Steel, and Cipla were the largest decliners in the index, with losses ranging from –3% to –4.5% intraday. Sun Pharma led the downturn, falling approximately 4.5%, while Dr. Reddy’s and Tata Steel saw sharp cuts following weak results and sectoral headwinds.
Overall, sectors like pharma, metals, auto, and IT weakened sharply, whereas only PSU banks, select infra names, and defense-heavyweights displayed relative resilience. No Nifty stock posted gains above +3%; FMCG and life insurance stocks provided only modest support.
3. Support & Resistance for 04 Aug 2025 — OI & Range Analysis
• Max Call OI (Resistance): The ₹25,000 strike shows the highest open interest among call options for the upcoming weekly expiry, suggesting strong resistance and short interest around 24,900–25,000.
• Max Put OI (Support): The ₹24,500 put strike has the largest position buildup, implying a solid floor near 24,500.
• Trading Range: The implied trading band for Monday appears to be 24,500–25,000, within which price is expected to oscillate without fresh catalysts. A sustained break either below 24,500 (toward 24,200–24,300) or above 25,000 (toward 25,200–25,400) may reinforce directional momentum.
4. Technical Indicators & Timeframe Signals
▪ RSI (14 Day)
RSI is hovering around 40–42, indicating mild bearish pressure but not deeply oversold—implying limited momentum left for a sharp bounce.
▪ MACD
MACD remains negative with the MACD line below the signal line and shrinking red histogram bars, suggesting that while the downtrend persists, its momentum may be easing.
▪ Pivot Points (Classic Method)
Calculated from the previous session’s high, low, and close:
• Pivot ≈ 24,628,
• R₁ ≈ 24,721, R₂ ≈ 24,877,
• S₁ ≈ 24,472, S₂ ≈ 24,379.
Notably, R₂ (~24,877) aligns closely with OI resistance; S₁ (~24,472) is just below the key 24,500 support.
• A bullish demand zone exists around 24,500–24,550, where price consistently found buyers intraday—correlating with put OI at 24,500.
• A bearish supply zone forms near 24,900–25,000, where intraday rallies repeatedly failed—reinforced by high call OI at the 25,000 strike.
Traders may look for long entries near 24,550 with tight stops and consider trimming positions toward the high 24,900 levels.
5. Gann Outlook — Extended Support, Forecasted Resistance
Using Gann’s classic rules and midpoint levels:
• Midpoint of the 52 week range (≈ 26,277 high, ≈ 21,744 low) places a significant reference at ≈ 24,000, a level still respected as long as the index trades above it.
• Gann’s square of nine and angle methods highlight 25,000–25,100 as a natural resistance band—coincidentally matching the options-derived resistance zone.
• Downside remains capped near 24,000; below it, negative Gann-based extension targets emerge (e.g., approx. 23,800). Conversely, a hold above 24,500 could lead to a rebound toward 25,200–25,600, consistent with Gann-era time cycles and chart patterns.
Conclusion & Trading Outlook
As Nifty opens on 04 August 2025, it is snugly contained within a 24,500–25,000 trading channel. The index is attempting to stabilize near 24,565, down ~0.82% from Friday, while technical momentum tools (RSI, MACD) remain subdued. Support at ≈ 24,500 is anchored by strong put writing and order block demand; resistance at ≈ 25,000 is buttressed by call OI, pivot calculations, and Gann psychological significance.
With no breakout signals yet, expect range bound trading: dips should find support near 24,500, and rallies are likely to stall near 24,900–25,000 unless global triggers emerge. A breakdown below 24,500 may lead to 24,200–24,300; a clean break above 25,000 on volume could open pathways toward 25,200–25,400.
Suggested strategy:
• Consider shorts near 24,900–25,000 with tight stops just above 25,050.
• Explore longs near 24,500–24,550, with stops sub 24,450 targeting 24,700–24,800.
Traders should remain focussed on cues from U.S. markets, currency moves, FII flows, and commodity cycles—these often influence directional biases in the early part of each week. For now, the bias remains cautiously bearish, though technical oversold signals plus firming near term support may offer a tradable rebound setup if news flows improve.
Conclusion-
Disclosure: The publisher of this idea is not a SEBI registered analyst. The information shared here is solely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The publisher does not endorse social media shares on any platform.
NIFTY Toot Sakta Hai?! | US-Russia War Impact ExplainedHey traders,
Serious geopolitical tension is brewing between the U.S. and Russia, and if things escalate, we could see a major shake-up in global markets — including our very own Nifty 50.
Here’s my view:
🔹 24,500 is the immediate level to watch.
If this breaks down with volume, 24,000 is next, and things could get ugly quickly.
🔻 In a worst-case escalation, Nifty may drop all the way to 23,500 – 21,000.
Yes — that deep. And it won’t be a straight line.
💡 My trading strategy?
I’m avoiding heavy longs
Hedging with puts
Staying in cash or safe sectors
Watching global cues, especially crude oil and the India VIX
📉 Protect capital first — opportunities will come later.
Like, comment your view, and don’t forget to subscribe for more real-time market updates. Stay sharp, stay safe!
#Nifty #StockMarketIndia #USRussiaWar #Geopolitics #NiftyAnalysis #TradingStrategy
renderwithme | Nifty 50 Under Preasure#Current Market Snapshot
Index Value: As of July 31, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at approximately 24,565.35 INR, down 0.82% in the past 24 hours.
Recent Performance: Weekly: Down 1.78%.
Monthly: Down 4.00%.
Yearly: Down 1.86%.
Historical Context: The index hit its all-time high of 26,277.35 INR on September 27, 2024, but has since faced downward pressure.
#Technical Analysis
Trend: The Nifty 50 is currently in a bearish phase, with a five-week losing streak, the longest in two years, as over 35 of its constituent stocks posted losses.
The index is trading within a descending channel, with support around 24,475 and resistance at 25,925. A break above 25,925 could signal upside momentum toward, while a drop below 24,400 may indicate further weakness.
Key Indicators:Moving Averages: Mixed signals—30-minute charts show a "Strong Buy," while daily charts indicate a "Strong Sell." Weekly and monthly charts lean toward "Buy."
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Likely in the neutral-to-bearish zone (exact value unavailable), suggesting no extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Support/Resistance:
Support at 24,475; resistance at 24,925–25,900. A sustained move above 25,000 is critical for bullish sentiment.
#Fundamental Factors
Market Sentiment: Heavy foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows (₹25,000 crore over eight sessions) have pressured the index, though domestic institutional investors (DIIs) have countered with net buying (e.g., ₹6,372.71 crore on a recent session).
Sectors like pharma, textiles, auto components, and electronics faced selling pressure due to trade concerns, particularly U.S. tariff fears under President Trump.
Earnings Impact: Strong Q1 earnings from companies like Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Steel provided some support, but weak global cues and sector-specific challenges (e.g., pharma with Sun Pharmaceutical’s 5% drop) weighed on the index.
Global Context: The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady, with no rate cut expected in September, adds uncertainty. Asian markets are also cautious due to trade tensions.
Sectoral PerformanceWeak Sectors: Metals, Oil & Gas, Technology, Pharma, and Textiles saw significant losses.
Resilient Stocks: Stocks like Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Steel showed strength amid the downturn.
Nifty Constituents: The index includes blue-chip companies like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance Industries, and Tata Motors, which are critical to its movement.
Trading Strategy
Sell on Weakness: Sell below 24,600 with targets at 24,510, 24,380, and 24,150 (stop-loss: 24,860).
Long-Term: The current dip offers attractive valuations for quality investments. A buy-on-dips strategy is recommended if the index holds above 24,475, with potential for a rally toward 26,000 if it sustains above 25,250.
Risk Management: High volatility (India VIX noted in broader market context) and FII outflows warrant caution. Use stop-losses to mitigate risks.
Key RisksGlobal Trade Tensions: U.S. tariffs and geopolitical concerns could continue to drive FII outflows.
Volatility: Persistent sectoral pressure and global economic uncertainty may lead to further downside.
Rupee Movement: The Indian rupee’s recent gain (10 paise to 87.53) provides some stability, but currency fluctuations could impact foreign investment.
Derivatives: Nifty 50 futures and options (e.g., HDFC Bank Options, ICICI Bank Futures) are active, but high risk.
Mutual Funds: Consider funds like ICICI Prudential India Opportunities Fund or Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund for diversified exposure.
ConclusionThe Nifty 50 is under pressure due to FII outflows, sectoral challenges, and global uncertainties, with a bearish short-term outlook. However, domestic demand and strong earnings from select companies provide some resilience. Traders should monitor key levels (24,475 support, 25,925 resistance) and adopt a cautious approach with strict risk management. Long-term investors may find current valuations appealing for selective buying, particularly if the index stabilizes above 25,000.For real-time updates, track the Nifty 50on renderwithme page
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
Nifty view 1-hour WXYXZ correction observed. The next move is expected towards the 25,050–25,200 zone. Direction will be confirmed based on market reaction.
If the reaction is negative, a Wave B structure is possible.
I am not strongly bearish, but I have a slightly bullish outlook, with a potential move towards the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone.
,
,
,
<><>
<>>
I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Weekly Market Wrap – Nifty Slides, Global Sentiment WeakensNifty ended the week on a bearish note, closing at 24,565, down 270 points or nearly 1.1% from last week's close. It touched a high of 24,956 and a low of 24,535, perfectly respecting the range I shared last week: 25,300–24,400.
As I highlighted earlier, the inverted hammer formation gave the bears an upper hand—and the index corrected 1.74% from the recent highs. My view continues to favor caution, with the expected trading range for the upcoming week at 25,000–24,100.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 24,400 (key bounce area), followed by 24,100 / 23,900 in case of further breakdown.
Resistance Zone: Upside capped near 25,000.
If the market holds 24,400 around 6th–7th August, expect a short-term bounce. However, if this level is breached, expect dips to 24,100 or 23,900, which could offer short-covering opportunities.
Global Cues:
The S&P 500 also had a rough week, closing at 6,238, down 2.5% week-on-week. This decline sparked a wave of selling across global markets. The 6,200 level is crucial—if it holds, we might see a rebound globally, including in Indian equities. Below that, 6,100 remains the breakout retest zone, which I believe should provide some cushion.
💡 Strategy Going Forward:
Focus on stocks showing relative strength in this falling market—they’ll likely lead the rally once sentiment turns.
Avoid chasing rallies, and watch for signs of bottoming out near key support zones.
Keep an eye on global indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones, as their stability will dictate near-term direction for Indian markets.
Stay sharp, stay prepared. Let the bears have their moment, but be ready to pounce when the tide turns.
Nifty August 1st week analysisThe Nifty index looks positive for the upcoming week, despite global uncertainties and tariffs. This is a bold take, but my chart analysis supports it. The charts do not indicate a fall below 24,200 in the coming week. Three short-covering levels are marked: 24,448, 24,339, and 24,215. On the upside, a key level to watch is 24,635. If Nifty crosses and sustains above 24,635, we can expect upward momentum to continue toward 24,900–25,000. All levels are marked in the chart posted.
Reverse cup and Handle kind of structure formed in NiftyIn the short term time frame Nifty is seen to be forming reverse cup and handle kind of structure this is considered very bearish structure. However for this bear fest to manifest Nifty needs to close below 24543 or 24417. These 2 levels can save Nifty if not we will see it going into the bear grip.
Thus the most important supports for Nifty remain at 24543 and 24417. Below this level the supports for Nifty will be at 24248, 23989, 23789 and finally major support are is near 23442.
Important resistance areas for Nifty remain at 24652, 24821 (Mother Line Resistance), 24935, 25011 (Father Line Resistance), 25101 and finally 25249. Above 25249 Bulls can become very active.
Till the trade deal chess board and Tariffs do not relent or there is some other very important positive news Nifty will remain under pressure. Let us hope that 24253 or 24417 save us. Long term outlook on Nifty still remains positive. Long term investors should look at the tariff related event as a news that will slowly subside and give way to the Bullish outlook which has been prevailing in the market for decades all together.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
