Nifty Clear target for 25000 go long folk slong opportunity in nifty 50 .. keep your sl and NSE:NIFTY go long
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
Nifty : Expecting short term bearishnessThe price has now broken below both its 20-day and 50-day EMAs with momentum, signalling a shift in market character and underlying weakness.
At the same time, institutional flows have been unimpressive over the past several sessions — foreign institutions (FIIs) have been net sellers, while domestic institutions (DIIs) are offering only modest support.
From a valuation lens, the index trades at a P/E of ~22x, roughly in the ballpark of its historical average — not cheap enough to invoke a confident “value play.”
With Q2 earnings starting to trickle out from the second week of October, the key question is: will companies deliver meaningful upside surprises? In the absence of strong earnings triggers or fresh catalysts, there’s a heightened risk of further downside.
Thus, rather than chasing new swing positions now, a more prudent approach is to pause, reassess, and wait for clearer confirmation of stability or reversal before reentering.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Weak closing but market on the verge of being oversold.We saw a closing today that has dragged Nifty below Father line support and mid channel support of hourly chart. RSI is indicating that the market is oversold and there are slim chances of recovery from support near 24872. If 24872 is broken than we can see Nifty further slipping towards 24772, 24644 or even channel bottom near 24473. If 24473 is broken then market can end up in total bear grip.
Resistances for market seem to be near 24959 Mid channel resistance, followed by father line and Mother line resistance near 24999 and 24125. Closing above 25125 can take the market upwards towards 25215, 25343 and 25431. As of now 25431 is the channel top.
As of now shadow of the candle is neutral but with a tinge of red. Meaning we can have a flat to positive start but later market can become laggard again. For market to sustain upward momentum we need a closing above both Mother and Father line resistances on daily chart.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty levels - Sep 29, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty 50 Index Pattern Trade AnalysisNSE:NIFTY
A classic "Cup and Handle" pattern is emerging on the Nifty 50 5-minute chart, signaling a potential bullish continuation move.
Pattern Structure & Logic
Cup Formation: A rounded bottom formed after a sustained decline, showing that sellers exhausted and buyers slowly regained control.
Handle Formation: A smaller consolidation (pullback) near resistance, creating a fresh support zone before a breakout attempt.
Breakout Entry (24,790):
Entry is suggested above the pattern breakout level as this confirms buyers have regained control after absorbing selling pressure at resistance.
Volume generally increases at breakout, validating the move’s strength.
Trade Plan
Stop Loss (24,740.00):
Place initial risk below the handle’s low. This level acts as last support before pattern invalidation, allowing for tight risk management.
Target (24,990.00):
The target is set using the measured move logic (depth of cup added to the breakout line), matching strong supply/resistance area nearby.
This aligns with common pattern targets and intraday resistance bands.
Pattern Logic & Psychology
Bullish Implication:
The cup and handle shows shift from bearish to bullish sentiment, with consolidation (handle) confirming sellers are exhausted.
Breakout is confirmed when price closes above handle resistance on strong volume; traders seek upside momentum toward calculated pattern target.
Risk Management:
A stop below the handle low limits exposure on failed breakouts.
Trailing stops may be employed as price approaches the pattern target.
Nifty approaching major support zones very fast. We saw a slide in Nifty this week due to Tariff related concerns and H1B Visa related concerns. The announcements triggered major sell off from FIIs (Who are anyway on a sell path for a long time) and the retail investors. DII and probably HNIs too are buying every sell off which is helping the market from not having a catastrophic fall. Now Nifty is fast approaching the points which can be potential turnaround zones.
Supports For nifty remain at: 24501, 24209 Mother Line Support) falling below Mother line of weekly chart (Very strong support)(50 Weeks EMA) can help the bears to tighten the grip over the market. If we get a closing below 24209 the next support levels will be at 23912, 23116. In very unlikely circumstances Nifty can reach 21741 or 20936 (Father line support).
Resistance For Nifty remain at: 25030, 25516 (Trend line resistance)(Strong resistance), 26277 (Nifty All Time High). If and when we are able to close above 26277. Nifty will gallop quickly towards 27K or even 28K.
It has been a long wait to reach 27K so far after we reached the All time high of 26277 in September 24. 1 year on we are having negative returns on Nifty due to International wars, Indo-Pak war episode followed by Trump Tariff but ones the tide turns a bright upside awaits us. Indian GDP is still expected to grow at 6.5% as per IMF and many other agencies. The night will end and there will be daylight soon. Sometimes it is the darkest before the sun is about to shine. Keep the faith. Sectoral rotation is always advised.
Emphasise on sectors that will benefit from local consumption increase due to Income tax relief, GST relief and Government spending, Chip making, on Infra, Power and defense, Banking, NBFCs and Finances. Sometimes it is just the question of shifting the sail in the direction of the tailwind.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty50 Index - Intraday Technical Analysis - 29 Sept.NSE:NIFTY
Nifty is stabilizing near 24,673 after a steep drop, now oscillating around the lower band of its short-term range with minor bullish attempts off fresh lows.
Bullish (Long) Setup
Long Entry (24,777):
Enter long above 24,777, as this signals a breakout above resistance where prior sell-offs were absorbed and initiates reclaiming the short-term trend.
Additional long positions can be considered around 24,749 if supported by strong buying action on pullbacks.
Upside Targets:
24,802 (Target 1): Represents the first likely supply zone and intraday high; profit-booking can start here.
24,894 (Target 2): Upper mapped extension, marking the next area of resistance.
Stop Loss:
Use below 24,698 to manage risk on false breakouts.
Bearish (Short) Setup
Short Entry (24,721):
Short positions initiate on a break below 24,721, confirming sellers are in control and the recent recovery has failed.
Downside Targets:
24,507 (Target 1): Support/bounce region seen in prior sessions.
24,416 (Target 2): Lower range boundary if selling accelerates.
Stop Loss:
Shorts should be exited if price sustains above 24,777, as that would negate the breakdown.
Range/Neutral Logic
Zero Line (24,655):
Market sentiment shifts at 24,655; sustained action above indicates stabilization, while below it risks further drops.
Ranging price action likely if market oscillates between 24,698 and 24,721; avoid new exposures until a directional move confirms.
This analysis delivers discipline, clear entry/exit, and risk management for both trending and reversal intraday trades in Nifty 50
Follow Chart Pathik for more such insights on Nifty50 Index daily!
Nifty 50Nifty 50 Chart Analysis
As you can see on the chart, a falling wedge pattern is formed on the chart and at the same time an inverse head & shoulder pattern is also being formed, if the neckline of 24685 level is broken then the level of Nifty can be seen coming up to 24800.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 30, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 30, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Expiry drama continues, but no reversal in sight
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 31-point gap up, quickly filled the gap, and then added 50 points from the low to test 24,731.80 — the same level that acted as strong resistance yesterday. Once again, the index failed to cross this barrier, triggering a sell-off to 24,593, breaking below the PDL.
However, this breakdown turned out to be false, sparking a 90-point recovery back to the PDC at 24,677.50. Multiple attempts to reclaim the PDC failed. Post 2 PM, volatility spiked — with wild candles and sharp shadows around key levels like PDL, trapping both sides of traders.
Eventually, Nifty settled at 24,633.60, marking the 9th consecutive red close. While the fall seems to be slowing, there is still no sign of reversal yet.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap up +31 pts → gap filled early.
Bounce of +50 pts to test 24,731.80, yesterday’s resistance.
Sharp sell-off to 24,593 (below PDL).
False PDL breakdown → 90-pt recovery to PDC (24,677.5).
Multiple failures to reclaim PDC.
After 2 PM → wild, volatile candles with traps around PDL.
Closed at 24,633.60.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,668.55
High: 24,731.80
Low: 24,593.05
Close: 24,633.60
Change: −1.30 (−0.01%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Tiny red body → indecisive close.
Range: ~139 pts → lower than yesterday.
Long shadows on both ends → strong tussle between bulls and bears.
📚 Interpretation
Rejection repeated at 24,731.
False breakdown below PDL shows buyers defending.
Closing near mid-range with tiny body → indicates pause in momentum.
🕯Candle Type
Small-bodied candle with long shadows → Indecision candle / Doji-like structure.
Signals exhaustion but no confirmation of reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 173.37
IB Range: 95.80 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:50 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:2.1)
12:15 Long Trade – Trailing SL Hit (R:R 1:0.26)
13:20 Short Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.96)
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Bias remains bearish below 24,731. A decisive close above this level could trigger a short-term reversal. Until then, sideways-to-downtrend movement dominates with volatility around support zones.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24685 ~ 24675
24735
24750 ~ 24775
24868
24890 ~ 24915
Support Zones:
24600 ~ 24572
24500
24430 ~ 24400
💡 Final Thoughts
“In trading, sideways days are often the market’s way of loading energy. The trap candles test patience — the real move begins once levels finally break.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,654.70, closing with a sharp decline of -2.65%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
24,577 to 24,734 – This range will act as a crucial decision-making zone for trend continuation or reversal. A breakout from this zone is likely to set the market tone.
Support Levels:
Support 1 (S1): 24,343
Support 2 (S2): 24,031
Support 3 (S3): 23,763
Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1 (R1): 24,971
Resistance 2 (R2): 25,287
Resistance 3 (R3): 25,524
📈 Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty sustains above the pivot zone high of 24,734, it may witness fresh buying momentum. Upside targets include R1 (24,971), followed by R2 (25,287) and R3 (25,524).
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above the pivot low of 24,577 could invite selling pressure. On the downside, the index may test S1 (24,343), with extended weakness dragging it towards S2 (24,031) and S3 (23,763).
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
NIFTY Intraday Levels for 25th Sep 2025NIFTY Intraday Levels for 25th Sep 2025
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📊 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
NIFTY S/R for 3/10/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nifty Ocktober TDX Levels -Nifty commenced October with a bullish Marubozu candlestick.
Similarly, September also opened with a bullish Marubozu, which was followed by a fourteen-day rally of 1,000 points. We will observe whether a similar trend persists this October.
The market demonstrated strong resilience in September, remaining above the bullish zone despite significant geopolitical challenges. India’s current economic data continues to provide solid fundamental support.
If this higher low formation is maintained, it could pave the way for a higher high target. Market participants should consider positioning accordingly, as clarity is expected by next Monday.
Please monitor these key levels to remain aligned with market movements, especially in such volatile conditions where analysis and forecasts can change rapidly.
Nifty levels - Oct 01, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Market Weekly Wrap – Nifty & S&P 500 AnalysisNifty had a tough week, closing at 24654, down 673 points (-2.7%) from last week’s close. This was exactly in line with the downtrend warning I’ve been sharing over the past 3-4 weeks.
Key Highlights:
Weekly Range: High 25331 – Low 24629
Two-Week Correction: Down 3.15% from the recent high of 25448
Key Support Levels: 24474 / 24500 – watch closely!
If Nifty holds 24474/24500, we could see a short-term bounce of 1–2% toward 24950/25000.
But below 24300, brace for a deeper correction — Nifty could retest 23185 support levels.
Investor Tip:
The old saying still applies: "Be greedy when others are fearful."
This is a great time to start deploying capital — either by picking fundamentally strong stocks or through SIP/MF/ETF routes. If the market dips further, you’ll get opportunities to average your positions at better prices.
Sector to Watch Next Week: METALS — this sector looks strong and can outperform if market sentiment turns positive.
My Nifty Range for Next Week: 25050 – 24250
A breakout or breakdown beyond this range could trigger fast, directional moves.
US Markets – S&P 500 Update:
S&P 500 closed at 6643, down just 20 points, holding strong near its key Fibonacci support at 6568.
Upside Levels: Needs to sustain above 6689 for targets at 6780 / 6930 / 6959
Downside Risk: Below 6568, watch for 6502 / 6454 / 6376
Pro Tip: Keep a trailing stop-loss (SL) at 6524 to lock in profits
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Market correction was expected – use this opportunity wisely
✅ Watch 24474 support for potential bounce
✅ Metal sector could lead gains next week
✅ S&P 500 holding key support, but keep SLs in place
Nifty Short Term Analysis: Nifty Next Week. Nifty on chart looks very close to being oversold. some It and few Pharma companies are reaching the range were they seem oversold but when the chips are down they can stay that way for a long time. So we cant be sure if the fall will continue or persist. But some IT companies are already trading at mouth watering levels irrespective of H1B visa restriction/fee hike announcements. Pharma manufacturers have also taken the fall due to 100% Tariff on pharma announcement. However the point to be noted is that majority of Indian Pharma export to US is generic in nature and generic pharma is exempt from Tariff! Auto sector was still doing quite well in comparison. There is a new related to 20% stake sale to foreign investors in PSU Banks. Additionally there is a news related of Mega-merger of PSU Banks. Most of Auto purchase whether institutional or personal or corporate happens via Auto loans. So those who provide these loans can benefit. With reduction of GST and relief on Income tax front consumption will also increase. There are many NBFC which can also benefit because there is an increasing trend in buying goods on loan along with holidaying and leisure on loans. Defence spending is also set to increase for sure with ongoing tense environment in the neighbourhood. These are the sectors in my opinion which one must look at. With all these things in mind medium term outlook and long term outlook for India still remains positive.
Resistance zone for Nifty with short term perspective seem to be at: 24849, 24980 is the father line, 25000 is an important resistance level and 25026 is the mother line. All the three resistances are close by. So once we get a closing above 25026 things will smoothen out and move towards 25146 or even 25304+ levels.
Support level for Nifty with short term perspective are at: 24640, 24509 and 24344.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY-FIBONAC SUPPORT& RESISTANCE LEVELSNIFTY :As per the Fib low/high levels in Sep,2025 the critical levels are
SEP-2025 :Low level :24400 Peak :25440
FIBONACCI : 61.8% Support levels :25050
50% Support level falls at around 24950-975 which should act as one of the major support
Next major 38% Fib retracement support lies at 24800
My approach would be
i) Sell on rise till it breaches 25228
ii)Sell below 25025 on 15 min basis for 24950 levels target .would get into aggressive buy only when NIFTY holds above 25228-250 on a closing basis (for educational purpose only)
Expecting a turnaround in Nifty from hereOk, so everything once again went as we planned yesterday. Sellers' volume in NSE:NIFTY was higher than buyers', which got reflected today.
We are totally rocking it with the index options trading!
Now, what I see today is that the index has found support on the 1-hour and weekly charts.
Plus, in the middle of the day, the sellers' volume was around 20 million, but by the end of the day, it dried up to only 6 million. That confirms the index has found support and is trying to bounce.
The support with confluence is at 24880. Closing above that today really gave a good hint.
However, I wouldn't jump to the long side unless and until the market confirms my view. So here is my strategy for tomorrow for playing index options:
The pivot for Nifty is at 24954. The PP is 0.25.
I would like to see Nifty opening above that pivot tomorrow if I plan to go long. Now, as the PP is wide, I can't expect a sharp move day. Rather, a consolidation here would be really good to go long for another few days. For the time being, my target would be 25050. The first batch of my long trade I will book near this point, and I will only hold positional longs, which I do with index futures + options strategy, if Nifty closes above this point on the daily chart.
One thing is for sure - I won't short the index from here on. At least wait for the bounce and see whose volume is bigger.
For the equity side - I will focus on minerals and specialty chemical industry stocks.
That's it for the day. Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
---
📊 Levels at a glance:
Pivot: 24954
Support: 24880
Resistance: 25050
Pivot Percentile: 0.25 (wide, hints at consolidation)
Bias: Wait for confirmation, bullish above pivot, no shorts from here
Sectors to watch: Minerals, Specialty Chemicals
Volume turnaround seen in Nifty on daily chart but...So as we’ve been studying for the past 3 days – NSE:NIFTY ’s candle kept closing red but the volume was with buyers. Yesterday, that clearly reflected with the index jumping +225 points in a sharp, clean move.
Cheers to those who trusted the commentary and took early entries! I did too.
The idea now is simple – hold on to that position until we see sellers’ volume with a green candle.
Now, let’s check the data for tomorrow:
– Pivot has moved up to 24770
– PP is wide, which signals a sideways to trending day with bullish tone intact
– Support for tomorrow is 24800
– Resistance for the day is 24930. Only if this level is breached and sustained for at least 1 hour can we expect a sharp move.
Any dip from here remains a buy opportunity as long as the index stays above the pivot at 24770, because the current candle is backed by buyers’ volume.
But keep this in mind – the net volume of the market is still in red. That means it’s not yet the time to open long-term portfolio positions. Wait for net volume to give a turnaround before building long-term stock holdings. Remember, we are still under the correction zone that began in September 2024.
On the sector front, rotation is being seen in Defence and Media, while Finance and NBFC continue in high momentum for the short term.
FnO stocks with buyers’ volume up are:
NSE:BHARATFORG and NSE:BSE
You can look for intraday opportunities here. But for options trading, be mindful of pivotal entries and IVP. Sometimes these stocks take more than a day to move, so don’t be disheartened if they don’t react immediately. Keep them on watch and plan your entry to manage risk.
That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable tomorrow.
I truly hope you learn and earn a lot with me!
---
📊 Levels at a glance:
Pivot: 24770
Support: 24800
Resistance: 24930 (sustain 1 hour = sharp move)
Pivot Percentile: Wide (sideways to trending)
Bias: Bullish as long as index holds above pivot, buy dips backed by volume
Sectors to watch: NSE:NIFTY_IND_DEFENCE , NSE:CNXMEDIA , NSE:CNXFINANCE , NBFC
FnO Focus: #BHARATFORGE, #BSE
Domestic vs Global Markets1. Definition of Domestic and Global Markets
Domestic Market
A domestic market refers to the economic environment within a country's borders where goods, services, labor, and capital are exchanged. It is governed by local regulations, currency, taxation policies, and market structures. The domestic market serves as the primary platform for local businesses to sell products, engage consumers, and stimulate economic growth.
Examples:
India’s retail market primarily serving Indian consumers.
U.S. domestic stock market, such as NYSE or NASDAQ, dealing mainly in dollars.
Global Market
A global market (or international market) refers to the interconnected system of trade, finance, and investment across multiple countries. It involves cross-border exchange of goods, services, capital, and labor, influenced by global supply-demand dynamics, foreign currencies, international regulations, and geopolitical factors.
Examples:
The global oil market, where prices are determined internationally.
Forex market, which is inherently global, with currencies traded worldwide.
Companies like Apple, which sell products across multiple countries.
2. Key Characteristics
Domestic Market
Local Regulation: The market follows the country’s legal framework, tax policies, and consumer protection laws.
Single Currency: Transactions are primarily in the local currency, reducing foreign exchange risk.
Cultural Familiarity: Businesses have deeper knowledge of consumer behavior and local preferences.
Limited Exposure: Domestic markets are less impacted by global political or economic crises.
Global Market
Multiple Regulations: Operations span different countries, requiring compliance with diverse laws and standards.
Currency Fluctuations: Exposure to foreign exchange risk due to multiple currencies.
Wider Customer Base: Access to international consumers and markets increases potential revenue.
Higher Volatility: Global economic crises, geopolitical tensions, and trade policies can affect performance.
3. Advantages of Domestic Markets
Stability: Less affected by global economic shocks, providing consistent demand.
Regulatory Familiarity: Easier for businesses to comply with local laws and taxation.
Consumer Insight: Businesses can adapt products to local tastes and cultural nuances.
Lower Transaction Costs: No need to manage foreign exchange risks or international logistics.
Government Support: Domestic markets often benefit from incentives, subsidies, or protective tariffs.
4. Advantages of Global Markets
Market Expansion: Companies can access millions of new customers globally.
Diversification: Exposure to multiple markets reduces dependency on one economy.
Higher Profit Potential: International markets often have higher growth potential.
Learning Opportunities: Exposure to global trends fosters innovation and competitiveness.
Investment Access: Global financial markets provide opportunities for foreign capital and partnerships.
5. Challenges in Domestic Markets
Limited Growth: Once saturated, domestic markets may offer limited expansion opportunities.
High Local Competition: Localized industries may be competitive, making profit margins narrow.
Economic Vulnerability: Economic downturns in the country can significantly affect businesses.
Regulatory Constraints: Stringent local laws may limit flexibility.
6. Challenges in Global Markets
Currency Risk: Exchange rate fluctuations can erode profits.
Political Risk: Political instability in foreign countries can disrupt operations.
Cultural Barriers: Misunderstanding local customs can impact brand acceptance.
Logistics and Supply Chain: Managing international shipping, tariffs, and customs can be complex.
Regulatory Compliance: Adhering to multiple countries’ regulations increases costs and operational complexity.
7. Domestic vs Global Market Strategies
For Businesses in Domestic Markets
Focus on Brand Loyalty: Build strong local relationships.
Cost Optimization: Streamline operations for local efficiency.
Market Research: Analyze local consumer trends thoroughly.
Policy Leverage: Utilize government incentives and subsidies.
For Businesses in Global Markets
Diversify Operations: Spread operations across different countries to reduce risk.
Hedging Currency Risk: Use financial instruments like forwards or options.
Cultural Adaptation: Localize products and marketing strategies.
Global Partnerships: Collaborate with local firms to ease market entry.
8. Economic Impact of Domestic vs Global Markets
Domestic Market Impact
Drives local employment and entrepreneurship.
Increases government revenue through taxes and tariffs.
Supports national economic stability, cushioning against global shocks.
Global Market Impact
Encourages economic integration and global cooperation.
Stimulates foreign investment inflows and technology transfer.
Can create volatility, as economies become interdependent.
9. Investment Considerations
Domestic Market Investment
Lower Risk: Investments are less exposed to foreign policy or currency fluctuations.
Predictable Returns: Local trends are easier to anticipate.
Examples: Investing in national stock exchanges or government bonds.
Global Market Investment
High Returns Potential: International diversification can offer superior returns.
Hedging Benefits: Helps mitigate domestic economic slowdown.
Examples: Global ETFs, foreign real estate, international stocks.
10. Case Studies
Domestic Success Story
Reliance Jio in India: Focused on penetrating India’s telecom market, leveraging local consumer behavior and government policies.
Global Success Story
Apple Inc.: Operates in over 100 countries, generates significant revenue internationally, and adapts products to local markets (e.g., dual SIM iPhones in Asia).
11. Technological Influence
Both markets are increasingly shaped by technology:
Domestic: E-commerce platforms, digital payments, local delivery systems.
Global: Cloud computing, international payment gateways, global logistics networks, and data analytics for multi-country market strategies.
12. Policy Implications
Governments shape market dynamics through:
Domestic Market: Subsidies, tariffs, local content requirements, and tax incentives.
Global Market: Trade agreements, export-import regulations, foreign investment rules, and geopolitical diplomacy.
13. Future Trends
Domestic Market:
Increased digital adoption.
Localized production (e.g., Make in India).
Enhanced consumer-focused innovation.
Global Market:
Greater global interconnectivity via technology and logistics.
Rising influence of emerging markets in global trade.
Sustainability and ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) shaping international investments.
14. Conclusion
Understanding domestic vs global markets is crucial for businesses, investors, and policymakers. Domestic markets offer stability, cultural familiarity, and lower risk, while global markets provide diversification, higher profit potential, and exposure to innovation and growth. Both markets are interlinked, with decisions in one often influencing the other. Businesses and investors must balance the benefits and challenges of each, leveraging technology, strategic partnerships, and risk management to thrive in today’s interconnected world.
Nifty 50 – Symmetrical Triangle SetupNifty is consolidating inside a large symmetrical triangle.
Support: 24,000–23,500 zone (rising trendline)
Resistance: 25,500–25,800 (falling trendline)
Volume: Contracting, confirming consolidation
Scenarios:
Above 25,800 → room toward 26,500–27,000
Below 24,000 → risk opens toward 22,500–22,000
Bias: Long-term trend is still up. Near-term, likely sideways between 24,000–25,800 until breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. I am not SEBI registered. Not investment advice.
26 /sept/2026tgt was hit .
now
yesteray
my levels was multiples time provide safety to retail trraders and stop to trade in stoploss hunting zone.
now level for today .
25900-25000 strict range follow for retailer traders safety avoid stoploss hunting .
put below 25900
call above 25000
tgt extend 50/100/200 points.
24 sep 2025 Nifty50 kye level
🔑 Key Levels (24-09-2025)
25,480 → Above 10m closing → Shot Cover Level (Bearish cover zone)
25,328 → Above 10m hold CE by Entry Level / Below 10m hold PE by Risky Zone
25,230 → Positive Trade View वर / Negative Trade View खाली
25,120 → Opening आधार (S1 CE Buy level / R1 PE Buy level)
25,018 → CE Buy by Level / PE Sell by Level
24,920 → CE Buy Safe Zone level
24,880 → Below 10m Unwinding level (Strong bearish)
