Trade ideas
DowJones key support at 47530Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 48132
Resistance Level 2: 48276
Resistance Level 3: 48420
Support Level 1: 47530
Support Level 2: 47366
Support Level 3: 47185
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US30 Technical Breakdown – 12/04/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 12/04/2025
US30 pushed back into the 47,950–48,000 resistance zone after a clean trend continuation, with price now stalling near the highs. Bulls remain firmly in control as EMAs continue to slope upward, but momentum is slowing as we approach a major supply area 🔍📈.
📊 Market Behavior:
🔹 Strong push into 48,000 → buyers testing major resistance
🔹 EMAs wide + rising → bullish momentum still intact
🔹 Small consolidation forming → early signs of exhaustion
🔹 Higher lows consistently defended → bulls still holding structure
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance:
48,000 → major psychological level + current rejection
47,955 → intraday supply (current stall zone)
47,780 → key prior breakout level
🔹 Support:
47,720 → immediate intraday support
47,560 → secondary support / EMA zone
46,960 → deeper demand if trend breaks
🧠 Bias:
Bullish while above 47,720 📈
📈 Break & hold above 48,000 → continuation toward 48,200 → 48,350
📉 Break below 47,720 → opens path to 47,560 → 47,300
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Confirmed BoS
With the yesterday's fundamental US news releases and
Trump's speech, US30 bounced strongly.
The market violated a significant daily resistance cluster
and closed above that.
It opens a potential for more growth to a resistance based
on a current All-Time High.
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US30 SELL 4HUS30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
chart shows a well-structured bearish scenario, followed by a medium-term bullish reversal setup. combining Fibonacci retracement levels, time cycles, moving averages, and projected wave paths to map the market direction.
Below is a detailed breakdown:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
Price recently reached a local top near 48,127.
After this, the chart suggests expect a significant downward correction.
Price is fluctuating above the:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue 200 MA (long-term)
projected path shows a breakdown below these moving averages soon.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Important Zones)
From the recent high, your Fibonacci retracement levels are:
0.25 → 46,699
0.5 → 45,274
0.75 → 43,950
These levels align with your expected downward waves.
Major Support Zone
Large green zone near 41,700 – 42,200
This is where your final bearish wave ends
It also overlaps with a long-term Fibonacci cluster
This suggests it is the target bottom of the correction.
3️⃣ Bearish Projection (Red Wave Path)
chart shows multiple downward swings:
Initial drop from 48,127 → 45,274
Bounce to retest resistance
Deeper decline toward 44,000 – 43,500
Another bounce
Final capitulation to 41,700
🟥 Final Bearish Target:
~41,700
This matches the blue horizontal support line.
🔹 Duration of Bearish Cycle
174 bars (~41 days)
This suggests the decline completes around late January 2026.
4️⃣ Bullish Reversal Phase (Green + Black Path)
After reaching the bottom around 41,700, your chart shows two phases:
Phase 1 – Strong Rebound (Black Path)
A sharp rally into early February:
First rally to around 44,500 – 45,000
Short-term pullback
Then continuation higher
Phase 2 – Trend Recovery (Green Path)
Long-term green path shows:
A steady upward channel
Price aiming toward 48,000 – 49,000 again
The green dotted lines show alternative bullish scenarios
🔹 Total Recovery Time
258 bars (~58 days)
Targeting mid-March 2026 for a full recovery.
5️⃣ Interpretation of Moving Averages
Price will break below the moving averages during the correction.
Long-term recovery will push back above the:
50 MA (green)
100 MA (red)
200 MA (blue)
This confirms a trend reversal after the bottom is hit.
6️⃣ Summary of Your Outlook
📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Price expected to drop from the top
Multiple lower highs / lower lows
Target bottom: 41,700
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Consolidation & Reversal
Strong bounce after the bottom
Wave structure suggests accumulation
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
Recovery back toward all-time highs
Market structure returns to an uptrend by March 2026
✔️ Final Conclusion
chart suggests a full cycle:
Top formation near 48,127
Multi-wave decline (target 41,700)
41-day bearish cycle
Strong bullish reversal
Full recovery within ~58 days
This is a very clean Elliott-wave-style projection supported by Fibonacci and time cycles.
us30 buy ideaWe are looking at the US30 chart on the H4 timeframe for a buy setup. The current area where the market is trading (47270.1 – 47118.2), as soon as this zone breaks to the downside, there is a demand flip zone below (46586.5 – 46328.4). When the market comes down to this zone, we will move to the M15 timeframe and look for a buy signal from the refined zone on the M15 timeframe, and then we will take a buy trade.
Could we see a drop from here?US30 is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 48,501.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 48,912.89
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 47,943.36
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
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Dow Jones Shows Neutrality After Reaching New HighsDespite the bullish movement the index experienced following the Federal Reserve’s decision in the United States, the beginning of this week has shown a renewed bearish move, with the last two sessions accumulating a decline of nearly 1%. This indicates that a new selling bias has started to emerge within the broader long-term uptrend. For now, the optimism driven by expectations of lower interest rates appears to be fading, and as we enter a period with fewer relevant economic data releases, the index may begin to show a phase of steady indecision as the market prepares for the end of the year. This environment could bring a period of neutrality in the Dow Jones price action over the coming trading sessions.
Long-Term Uptrend Holds
For several months, a broad upward trend has been sustained in the Dow Jones, progressively pushing the index toward the psychological zone of 50,000 points. So far, no significant bearish corrections have emerged that could threaten this structure, making it the most important technical element to monitor in the coming weeks.
However, in the short term, as the price has reached new highs, a constant zone of indecision has begun to appear, which may lead to short-term bearish corrections if buying pressure fails to remain strong.
RSI
Currently, the RSI remains consistently above the neutral 50 level, indicating that buying momentum continues to dominate the index’s short-term movements. However, it is important to note the emergence of lower highs in the RSI, while the Dow Jones price itself continues to register higher highs. This behavior suggests the formation of a bearish divergence, signaling a possible imbalance in momentum that could lead to minor bearish corrections in the next sessions.
MACD
The MACD histogram is gradually moving back toward the zero line, which suggests a scenario of balanced momentum in short-term moving averages. If this behavior continues, the Dow Jones price may enter a more prolonged phase of indecision, with less directional movement.
Key Levels to Watch
48,850 points – Main resistance:
The newest high, now acting as the most important resistance. Price movements that consistently break above this level would strengthen the bullish bias and could extend the current long-term uptrend.
48,051 points – Nearby barrier:
A short-term neutrality zone that may serve as support against potential bearish corrections.
47,156 points – Important support:
This level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average and represents the key support for bearish movements. If the price retraces back to this area, the dominant uptrend may begin to lose strength, potentially activating a period of neutrality and leading to a short-term sideways range.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
Dow Jones Scenario Two: Holding 48,208 Opens the Path HigherAs mentioned in my previous post, in scenario two, the 48,208 level remains critical.
If this level holds and is not broken, the market should work its way toward the 50,000 area.
From a fundamental perspective, this scenario also appears more aligned with current conditions.
I’ll continue monitoring price behavior around this zone and update the structure as it develops.
We’re with you step by step, because the market is dynamic — and I’m not a magician.
I need to observe price behavior in real time to make accurate projections.
US30 UPDATE📈 US30 UPDATE — Levels on Watch!
Price is reacting around an important zone, and this setup could get interesting from here 👀🔥
🔓 Entry Level: 48,467
❌ Stop Loss: 48,174
🎯 Target: 48,727
Market reaction at this level will be key. If momentum builds, price may extend toward the target zone, while risk remains defined below the stop.
What’s your take on US30 from here?
Bullish or bearish?
Share your thoughts below — let’s get a discussion going! ⬇️💬🔥
Your like/support helps this reach more traders 👍
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.
US30: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the US30 pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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US30 Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 48,497.6.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 47,110.8 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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DAILY chart idea us30I've never traded US30 before but i'm studying the charts and making projections. I've set alerts to draw my attention to the chart. I'm making this mostly for myself to see if i'm correct in my projection for this pullback thats currently happening. Once the pullback in complete there will be opportunity to buy.
Potential US30 Long Potential trade on US30
Trade: US30
Type: Long (Buy limit)
Entry: 48108.6 (0.5)
Entry : 47954.0 (0.382) (Major Brice point)
Entry: 47762.7 (0.236)
Sl: 47453.5
tp: 48463.3 (R/R 1/1)
tp: 49573.4 (R/R 2/1)
Confluence:
Break and retest of major price action area
On a daily up trend making (h/h and h/l)
Fib (From daily HL to HH
Fundamentals:
Fed rate cuts (weaken dollar making assets pump)
Decembers (Santa Rally Large amounts of Liquidity)
Trying to make sure I'm analyzing the charts properly






















