Bull market Monthly green candleRecap: 1. Weekly RSI 30
2. Weekly bullish engulfing
3. S&P successfully defended oct 2022 trendline
Now: Monthly hammer candle
Next potential scenario: 20500 level could be the neckline/resistance level for a inverse head and shoulder, coinciding with the 20 weekly SMA as of now.
Next probable scenario: Expecting May monthly candle to be a continuation green candle.
Watch out december 2022 trendline acting as resistance
NDAQ100H2026 trade ideas
05/01/25 Morning RecapTake out ASIA high at London open (with just a wick maybe we can see a continuation higher?) +.5 SD Levels (2nd touch in the area of the day) and ElasticVolTTension +2 (Overbought on 5M tf)
If price shows sign of reversal down this can be a good short scalp. Let's see.
Confirmation entry: can be an IFVG on 5M or lower timeframes.
Target the daily open or the half way to.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19936.00
- PR Low: 19805.00
- NZ Spread: 292.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Wide previous session swing expanding week high and low
- Continuing to push highs back towards 20k
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 5/1)
- Session Open ATR: 662.61
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 241K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ - Point of Control - Stop and Up from here? This is the point of Control (most traded price) since the COVID crash.
Looks the same for the /YM Dow Jones continuous front month contract.
Why does this matter?
Because that is where the market stopped for COVID Crash - the point of control going back to 2008 GFC. (which I realized 6 months later) But NOT this time!
With that said - the /ES Futures are not quite to there - but interestingly and check yourself on a daily time frame the /ES Futures is at .618% Fib retracement.
That folks is confluence.
I'll it there for all to consider.
Nasdaq - In The Cards For Premium PricesIn comparison to S&P 500 and Dow Jones, Nasdaq is in the lead, steam rolling through short term buy stops this week which was a failure for ES and YM.
Going forward, i'd love to see how Sundays NWOG affects market structure and whether we continue to climb into the premium price range
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19611.75
- PR Low: 19563.25
- NZ Spread: 108.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
08:30 | GDP
09:45 | Chicago PMI
10:00 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
10:30 | Crude Inventories
Maintaining inside print week range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 4/30)
- Session Open ATR: 654.86
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 245K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -13.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-04-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: We see big bear spikes but no follow-through. Once every dip stalls, bears are out and bulls take over again and inching this higher. Tomorrow we either get a strong breakout above or below. As of now bulls are in full control, since bears have not traded below the prior’s day low for 6 consecutive trading days. Pain trade is up. Tomorrow is end of month, so I do think bulls want this monthly bar to be a big duck you to the bears and close it above 20000.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 19000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls want 20000. As long as they stay above 19379, they remain in control. Not a strong trend up but it’s making higher lows and higher highs. So buy pullbacks until it stops working. Do. Not. Buy. The. Highs.
Invalidation is below 19379.
bear case: Bears need to stop the higher highs and start making meaningful lower lows again. They are trying to get some selling going but on any decent resistance where market stalls, they run for the exits and bulls pump it higher. Bears are making money on selling new highs though. I turn bear again, once we drop below 19200. Neutral range is 19200 - 19700
Invalidation is above 19720.
short term: Can’t be anything but bullish. Bears could come around strongly any day, given that we only get bad news currently but so far, market does not care and we are squeezing hard. 20000 is the price to hit now.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Buying the spike down below 19400 and betting on a lower high. Shorting 19600 was decent because you could have down it all day and made a duckton of money.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:1.5X2:
Risking 1% to make 1.5%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.5%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice