ID: 2025 - 0158.1.2025
Trade #15 of 2025 executed.
Trade entry at 140 DTE (days to expiration).
Excellent fills this morning, well under mid. Created a GTC working order two days ago and let price come to me. No chasing. There are TONS of external liquidity voids resting below.
Target profit is 5% ROI
Happy Trading!
-kevin
SPX500H2026 trade ideas
ES Supply And demand Break-Out Buy SignalTrading News:
- PPI (Producer Price Manufacturing Index) came out -0.1% vs its 0.3% forecasted number, suggesting lower cost of manufacturing and inflation.
ES:
- Stocks caught a bid from this number as investors use this as a "lock" for FED rate cuts and a higher chance for a 2nd cut before the end of the year.
- Over the last 6 months, when the price is expected to open above yesterday's high, the price has a 74% chance of pulling back and hitting yesterday's high. This gives traders an idea for a possible open short OR wait for a pullback back into the previous ATH/Support level and wait for confirmation.
- Over the last 6 months, if the first 1hr of the NY session is "green" then 75% of the time price will close green for the day. The same is true for the first 1hr candle of the NY session is "red" then 75% chance of day being red.
- Over the last 6 months, Wednesdays have held the highest chance of a "green day", sitting at 69% chance.
- Overall, I remain bullish on this market and would not consider shorting this market at this point—aggressive RB break-out level around the 6540 level on the 5-minute TF. Traders can also wait for price to pullback to this level and wait for confirmation.
ESG Investing & Green FinancePart I: Understanding ESG Investing
1. What is ESG?
ESG stands for Environmental, Social, and Governance. It is a framework used by investors to evaluate companies not just on financial performance, but also on how they manage sustainability, ethics, and accountability.
Environmental (E): Measures a company’s impact on the planet—carbon emissions, energy use, waste management, renewable energy adoption, water conservation, pollution control, etc.
Social (S): Assesses how a company treats people—its employees, customers, suppliers, and communities. Issues like labor rights, workplace diversity, data privacy, and community engagement fall here.
Governance (G): Evaluates how a company is managed—board diversity, executive pay, shareholder rights, transparency, anti-corruption policies, etc.
2. Origins of ESG Investing
The roots of ESG investing can be traced back to:
1960s–1970s: Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) emerged. Religious groups and ethical investors avoided companies linked to alcohol, tobacco, gambling, and weapons.
1980s–1990s: Activist investors started pressuring firms on issues like apartheid in South Africa. Many divested from companies operating there.
2000s: Climate change awareness grew, leading to greater focus on corporate environmental performance.
2015 onwards: The Paris Agreement, UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and growing public concern about climate change propelled ESG to mainstream finance.
3. ESG Investing vs. Traditional Investing
Aspect Traditional Investing ESG Investing
Focus Profit, ROI, growth Profit + sustainability + ethics
Metrics EPS, P/E ratio, ROE ESG scores + financial metrics
Time Horizon Short-to-medium term Long-term resilience
Risk Market risk, credit risk Market + climate + reputational risks
Part II: Key Drivers of ESG Investing
Climate Change and Sustainability Concerns
Rising global temperatures, extreme weather, and natural disasters highlight the risks of ignoring climate change.
Companies that fail to adapt may face legal, regulatory, and reputational risks.
Investor Demand
Millennials and Gen Z, who are more socially conscious, prefer investing in sustainable companies.
ESG-focused mutual funds and ETFs have seen record inflows.
Regulatory Pressure
Governments are mandating climate disclosures. For example, the EU’s Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) requires funds to disclose ESG risks.
Corporate Performance Data
Studies show that ESG-aligned companies often outperform peers in the long run due to lower risks, better brand image, and operational efficiency.
Part III: ESG Metrics and Ratings
1. ESG Rating Agencies
Several organizations provide ESG scores to companies, including:
MSCI ESG Ratings
Sustainalytics
Refinitiv
Bloomberg ESG Scores
Each agency uses different criteria, making ESG ratings inconsistent at times. For example, Tesla scores high on environment due to EV leadership, but lower on governance issues.
2. Key Metrics
Carbon emissions (CO2e per unit revenue)
Percentage of renewable energy use
Diversity of board and management
Employee turnover and satisfaction
Transparency in financial reporting
Part IV: Green Finance
1. What is Green Finance?
Green finance refers to financial activities, investments, and instruments specifically designed to support environmentally sustainable projects. Unlike ESG, which is broad, green finance is narrower and directly focused on environmental impact.
Examples include:
Green Bonds (funds raised for renewable energy, clean transport, or sustainable water projects).
Climate Funds (investments in climate change mitigation/adaptation).
Sustainable Loans (corporate loans linked to sustainability targets).
2. Evolution of Green Finance
2007: The European Investment Bank issued the first green bond.
2015: The Paris Climate Agreement boosted funding for green projects.
Today: Green finance is a $2 trillion+ market, with rapid growth in Asia, Europe, and North America.
3. Green Finance vs. ESG Investing
Aspect Green Finance ESG Investing
Scope Narrow (environmental projects only) Broad (environment, social, governance)
Instruments Green bonds, loans, climate funds ESG funds, ETFs, stocks
Purpose Financing climate-friendly initiatives Screening and investing in sustainable companies
Part V: Examples and Case Studies
1. Tesla Inc. (Environment & Social Impact)
Pros: Market leader in EVs, promotes clean energy, reduces carbon dependency.
Cons: Criticism on governance (CEO dominance, workplace safety, and labor issues).
2. Unilever (ESG Leader)
Pioneered Sustainable Living Brands initiative.
Invested heavily in eco-friendly packaging, supply chain ethics, and community programs.
3. Apple Inc.
Committed to becoming carbon neutral by 2030.
Invests in renewable energy for data centers and supply chain sustainability.
4. Green Bonds by Governments
India: Issued sovereign green bonds to finance solar and wind energy.
China: One of the largest issuers of green bonds globally.
EU: Launched “NextGenerationEU” recovery fund with a strong green finance focus.
Part VI: Benefits of ESG & Green Finance
Risk Mitigation – Companies with strong ESG practices face fewer legal and reputational risks.
Long-Term Value Creation – Sustainable companies build resilience against climate and market shocks.
Better Investor Returns – ESG funds often outperform benchmarks over long horizons.
Positive Brand Image – Firms adopting ESG gain consumer trust and loyalty.
Access to Capital – Green finance instruments often come with lower borrowing costs.
Conclusion
ESG investing and green finance are not just trends—they are reshaping global financial markets. By embedding environmental, social, and governance considerations into investment decisions, stakeholders can drive capital towards sustainable and ethical businesses.
While challenges like greenwashing and lack of standardization remain, the direction is clear: the future of finance will be green, responsible, and impact-driven.
Investors, policymakers, and companies who embrace this shift early are likely to reap long-term benefits—not just in profits, but in contributing to a more sustainable planet.
ES1! — Analyses (Sep 10) - Key Zones SeyupsHTF remains bullish into a labeled weak‑high cluster. Tomorrow’s path likely pivots around 6523–6527 (ONH/PDH cluster). Two A++ plays only after event‑led volatility prints structure:
Two possibilities:
Continuation LONG on acceptance > 6537 → 6564/6583.
Fade SHORT on sweep into 6542–6548 + 5m and 15m bearish confirmation → 6526/6510/6502.
SMT check with NQ is required.
Continuation LONG (A++) — “Acceptance > 6537”
Sweep → 5m MSS up → 5m close above 6537 → retest 6531–6533 (derived 5m OB/FVG at prior close shelf) for entry.
Entry: 6532 ±1.
SL: 6524 (structure; back inside PDH/ONH cluster).
• TP1: 6564.25 (1H 1.272) → ~+32.3 pts ≈ 4.0R.
• TP2: 6583.50 (1H 1.618) → ~+51.5 pts ≈ 6.4R.
• TP3: 6668+ (4H fib region) — runner; trail by 15m/30m closes.
Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move to BE only after a 5m close through TP1 or new structure; time‑stop 45–60 min if no progress in a kill zone.
Fade SHORT (A++) — “Sweep 6542–6548”
This is counter‑HTF; require 5m MSS down + 15m bearish close before entry (your rule).
Entry: 6545 ±2 after confirmations.
SL: 6552 (above sweep high/5m OB).
• TP1: 6526.25 (PDH/ONH) → ~19 pts ≈ 2.7R.
• TP2: 6510 (derived 15m demand near VWAP band) → ~35 pts ≈ 5.0R.
• TP3: 6502 (ONL=VAL) → ~43 pts ≈ 6.1R.
• TP4: 6489.25 (PDL) → ~56 pts ≈ 8.0R.
Management: Scale ½ at TP1; move to BE only after a 5m close < 6526 and fresh LTF structure; trail above last 5m swing/VWAP.
Fundamentals (tomorrow — Eastern Time)
• 08:30 — PPI (Aug). BLS schedule confirms Sep 10 @ 08:30.
• 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (energy vol shock risk). Standard release Wednesdays 10:30; PDF posts after 1:00 pm.
• 13:00 — UST 10‑yr (reopening). Treasury’s tentative auction schedule shows Wed Sep 10; competitive close customarily 1:00 pm ET.
• Heads‑up (Thu): 08:30 — CPI (Aug) next day.
• FOMC next week: Sep 16–17.
ES - Week 37a small 1hr distribution trend is forming and price is lingering under last months high.
lets see which levels form this week and practice procedural analysis.
What is on the chart is comparative analysis. Comparing what has happened in the past with current price structures.
T.A - Technical Analysis in 4 parts
M.A. - Mental Analysis
C.A. - Comparative Analysis
R.A - Risk Analysis
P.A. - Procedural Analysis
WTO, IMF, and World Bank in Global Trading1. Historical Background of Global Trade Institutions
1.1 The Bretton Woods Conference (1944)
In the aftermath of World War II, world leaders recognized the need for a stable international economic order.
The Bretton Woods Conference, held in New Hampshire, USA, in 1944, gave birth to two major institutions: the IMF and the World Bank.
Their purpose was to rebuild war-torn economies, stabilize currencies, and finance reconstruction.
1.2 The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and WTO
In 1947, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was established to reduce tariffs and encourage trade liberalization.
GATT evolved over decades and was eventually replaced by the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995, which took on broader responsibilities in managing international trade rules.
Thus, the global economic framework today rests on three pillars: WTO (trade rules), IMF (financial stability), and World Bank (development financing).
2. World Trade Organization (WTO)
2.1 What is the WTO?
The WTO is the only global organization dealing with the rules of trade between nations. With over 160 member countries, it regulates trade agreements, monitors compliance, and settles disputes.
2.2 Core Objectives
Trade Liberalization – Reduce tariffs, quotas, and other barriers.
Predictability – Ensure stable trade policies through binding commitments.
Non-Discrimination – “Most-Favored Nation” (MFN) treatment, ensuring countries don’t discriminate among trade partners.
Fair Competition – Prevent unfair practices like dumping or subsidies.
Development – Provide special provisions for developing and least-developed countries.
2.3 WTO Functions in Global Trade
Negotiation Forum: Members negotiate trade deals (e.g., Doha Round).
Implementation and Monitoring: Ensures countries comply with trade agreements.
Dispute Settlement: Provides a legal framework to resolve trade conflicts.
Capacity Building: Assists developing nations with trade knowledge.
2.4 Impact of WTO on Global Trade
Dramatic reduction in average tariffs (from >30% in 1947 to <5% today).
Expansion of world trade, allowing developing countries like China, India, and Brazil to emerge as major players.
Legal dispute resolution prevents trade wars and supports stability.
2.5 Criticisms of WTO
Seen as favoring developed nations with stronger bargaining power.
Negotiation rounds often stall due to conflicting interests.
Critics argue WTO undermines national sovereignty by enforcing global rules.
3. International Monetary Fund (IMF)
3.1 What is the IMF?
The IMF is a global financial institution headquartered in Washington, D.C., with 190+ member countries. It ensures the stability of the international monetary system—exchange rates, payments, and cross-border capital flows.
3.2 Objectives of IMF
Exchange Rate Stability – Prevent currency crises and competitive devaluations.
Balance of Payments Assistance – Provide short-term loans to countries in crisis.
Policy Surveillance – Monitor global economic trends and provide policy advice.
Capacity Development – Offer training to strengthen economic institutions.
3.3 Functions in Global Trade
Financing Trade Deficits: Countries with shortages of foreign currency can borrow from IMF to finance imports.
Crisis Management: Provides emergency support during global shocks (e.g., Asian Financial Crisis 1997, Eurozone crisis, COVID-19 pandemic).
Exchange Rate Stability: Prevents destabilizing fluctuations that could disrupt trade.
Confidence Building: By backing countries with funds, IMF assures trading partners of stability.
3.4 IMF Tools
Lending Programs: Stand-By Arrangements, Extended Fund Facility, and Rapid Financing Instrument.
Special Drawing Rights (SDRs): International reserve asset to boost global liquidity.
Surveillance Reports: The World Economic Outlook and Global Financial Stability Report.
3.5 Impact of IMF on Global Trade
Prevents collapse of trade flows by ensuring liquidity.
Encourages trade-oriented reforms in developing countries.
Enhances investor confidence by stabilizing economies.
3.6 Criticisms of IMF
Conditionality: Loans often come with austerity measures, criticized for worsening poverty.
Western Dominance: Voting rights favor developed nations, especially the U.S. and Europe.
One-Size-Fits-All Policies: Structural adjustment programs have been criticized for imposing uniform economic models.
4. World Bank
4.1 What is the World Bank?
The World Bank Group (WBG) is a collection of five institutions, the most prominent being the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA). Its primary mission is poverty reduction and long-term development.
4.2 Objectives
Reconstruction & Development – Initially focused on post-war rebuilding, now on infrastructure and growth.
Poverty Reduction – Promote inclusive and sustainable development.
Financing Trade Infrastructure – Ports, roads, digital connectivity, and energy supply that enable trade.
Knowledge Sharing – Research and technical expertise.
4.3 Functions in Global Trade
Financing Development Projects: Infrastructure, education, health, energy.
Trade Facilitation: Improves logistics, reduces transaction costs.
Capacity Building: Helps developing nations integrate into global trade.
Risk Mitigation: Provides guarantees to encourage private investment.
4.4 Impact of World Bank on Trade
Building infrastructure that directly supports trade flows (e.g., transport corridors, ports).
Reducing bottlenecks and making exports competitive.
Encouraging private investment and entrepreneurship in developing markets.
4.5 Criticisms of World Bank
Projects sometimes cause displacement or environmental harm.
Critics argue the Bank pushes neoliberal reforms (privatization, deregulation).
Dependence on debt financing can burden poor countries.
5. Interrelationship Between WTO, IMF, and World Bank
These three institutions are often referred to as the “Bretton Woods Twins + WTO” or the pillars of global economic governance.
WTO → Creates the rules of trade.
IMF → Provides monetary stability for trade.
World Bank → Finances development to enable trade participation.
5.1 Coordination
WTO, IMF, and World Bank hold joint meetings to harmonize policies.
During crises (e.g., 2008 financial crash, COVID-19), they collaborated on stimulus and debt relief.
5.2 Complementary Roles
IMF stabilizes economies so they can continue trade.
World Bank builds the infrastructure that enables countries to trade.
WTO provides the legal framework that governs trade relations.
6. Case Studies
6.1 Asian Financial Crisis (1997)
IMF provided emergency loans to South Korea, Thailand, and Indonesia.
WTO prevented protectionist measures that could have worsened the crisis.
World Bank financed structural reforms in affected economies.
6.2 Global Financial Crisis (2008)
IMF expanded lending and increased SDR allocations.
World Bank financed countercyclical projects in developing countries.
WTO helped prevent a rise in tariffs and trade wars.
6.3 COVID-19 Pandemic (2020–2021)
IMF mobilized trillions in emergency support.
World Bank financed health programs, vaccine distribution, and digital infrastructure.
WTO monitored export restrictions on medical supplies and promoted trade facilitation.
7. Criticism of Global Economic Governance
Despite their contributions, these institutions face criticism:
Power Imbalance: Rich nations have more influence.
Conditionality and Sovereignty: Loans often reduce national autonomy.
Unequal Benefits: Global trade benefits are not equally distributed.
Environmental Concerns: Development projects sometimes harm ecosystems.
8. The Future of WTO, IMF, and World Bank in Global Trade
8.1 Challenges Ahead
Rise of protectionism and trade wars (e.g., U.S.–China tensions).
Global inequality and debt crises in developing countries.
Climate change and sustainable development needs.
Digital trade and financial technology disrupting traditional models.
8.2 Possible Reforms
WTO: Reform dispute settlement system and include digital trade rules.
IMF: Greater representation for emerging economies, flexible conditionality.
World Bank: Stronger focus on climate resilience and sustainable infrastructure.
8.3 Long-Term Role
Together, these institutions will remain crucial in shaping the global trade system—balancing stability, growth, and inclusivity.
Conclusion
Global trade is the lifeblood of the interconnected world economy, but it requires strong institutions to ensure fairness, stability, and sustainability. The WTO provides the rules, the IMF ensures monetary stability, and the World Bank finances development that enables participation in trade.
Though criticized for inequities and structural biases, these institutions have prevented major global trade breakdowns, facilitated economic growth, and enabled developing nations to integrate into the global economy.
In the future, reforms are needed to make them more inclusive, transparent, and responsive to new challenges such as digital trade, climate change, and inequality. Yet, their centrality in global trading remains undisputed—without them, the world economy would be far more unstable, fragmented, and vulnerable to crisis.
long position on ES!Looking at yesterday‘s price action along with the general set trend of powell cutting interest rates in September and the positive outlook that earnings reports have had on the market. All my analysis suggest a up day tomorrow. even though there is a accumulation within the ROT model, I would say we would push out of the 6523 range and enter into the 40s and 50s before returning to lower liquidity!
Day 25 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Gold’s Rally Raises FlagsWelcome to Day 25 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today started strong with an overnight short and continued by taking longs at major support levels. With the FOMC blackout period in effect, I leaned bullish but stayed selective, waiting for the 5-min MOB to hit before entering. That trade paid off and I wrapped the day at +264.83.
Still, there’s a cautionary note: gold just hit a record high above $3,633/oz, and that could be signaling underlying stress in the markets. Something to keep an eye on as we move forward.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6480 = Remain Bullish
Below 6465 = Flip Bearish
📰 News Highlights
SPOT GOLD EXTENDS GAINS, LAST UP 1.3% TO HIT A RECORD HIGH OF $3,633.65/OZ
ES - September 8th - Daily Trade Plan - Evening SessionSeptember 7th - 5:50pm - Evening Update
Before you read my plan for September 8th. Please read my Weekly Trade Plan that is found in the related publication section. Those are the key levels that are very important from a big picture. On the daily trade plan, I want to drill into a 15 min time frame to show you the levels from the micro perspective. You can also read the Friday - September 5th plan for further details into what we were looking for. Friday sold off to Thursday's low, recovered and rallied into the late afternoon.
Tonight's evening session, I think we can continue to build a base and work higher above the immediate 6492 resistance to 6505-6510 area. I could see us then setting up for a leg lower to flush the 6452 level (Friday's Low) maybe even get below the white trend line to the 6444, 6438 levels and then reclaim the 6452 level. IF, not we might need to flush down to 6426 or just under and then reclaim that level to keep price moving higher.
Key Support Levels - 6453-58, 6443, 6427, 6370
Key Resistance Levels - 6492-96, 6507-09, 6520, 6542
I will post an update by 6am EST with an update based on the overnight session. We are in a weird spot here and ideally flushing Fridays low and reclaim would be high quality. Everything is level to level reclaims.
Couple of things about how I color code my levels.
1. Purple shows the weekly High/Low
2. Red shows the current overnight session High/Low (New chart out in am)
3. Blue shows the previous day's session Low
4. Yellow Levels are levels that show support and resistance levels of interest.
5. White shows the trendline from the August lows.
ES Futures Long Setup! Ride the Bullish Momentum!
🚀 **ES Futures Long Setup! Ride the Bullish Momentum!** 🚀
📊 **TRADE IDEA – E-mini S\&P 500 (ES)**
**💡 Direction:** LONG
**🎯 Entry Price:** 6489.75 (Market Open)
**🛑 Stop Loss:** 6440.60 (ATR-based, \~49 pts)
**📈 Take Profit:** 6588.06 (2:1 R\:R)
**📏 Position Size:** 1 contract (scale per risk tolerance)
**💪 Confidence:** 62%
**🔥 Trade Rationale:**
* Price above 10/20/50/200 SMAs & EMA9/21 → bullish alignment ✅
* ATR-aware stop protects against volatility ⚡
* Reward-to-risk ratio 2:1 for controlled upside 💹
* Cautiously bullish: MACD short-term mixed, but overall trend supports a long
**⚠️ Key Risks:**
* Negative MACD histogram → possible short-term pullback
* ATR high → dollar risk per contract larger
* Price near 20-day high → monitor for resistance
* Economic data releases can increase volatility
**📌 Execution Notes:**
* Enter at market open at 6489.75
* ATR-based stop below 6440.6
* Target 6588.06, consider scaling out or partial profit taking
💥 **Don’t miss this ES long trade with defined risk & high upside potential!**
ES - Weekly Trading Plan - September 8th-12thSeptember 7th - 11:40am EST - Weekly Post
Recap of last week's plan - I stated on Saturday August 30th - "I do believe we can still rally up to 6547, 6563+ this week, but IF, we lose the 6369 level, that would be a big blow to bulls, and it would need to be sharp reclaim back inside the white trendline to keep momentum." (See Related Publications section)
We had a low volume Labor Day holiday, but when institutions came back on Tuesday around 10am EST we set the weekly low at 6371.75, reclaimed the white trend line and we climbed all week into our first target of 6547 and made a high of the week of 6542 on Friday and sold off.
(I post a more detailed daily plan - follow me so you don't miss my daily updates).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What is the plan for this week? Remember, Institutions hunt for levels to run stops and then take that level higher or lower. You can review my daily trade plan from Friday and see that I was anticipating a potential sell off after the open. Retail traders were bullish, got caught offsides, Institutions start to sell, all the retail long stops got taken out and Institutions stepped in on Friday afternoon and flushed Thursday's low of 6458 while everyone thought we were going much lower, created a short squeeze and we ended Friday around the 6490 level.
Our weekly low was 6371.75 with a high of 6542 put in on Friday. The white trend line continues to be sold below and then taken higher. I anticipate trapping this week as we look towards the FOMC on 17th and Quarterly Window Dressing by Institutions with the following economic events this week:
Wednesday - September 10th - PPI
Thursday - September 11th - CPI
We have to stay bullish until proven otherwise, last week 6369 was the key level to hold and we did. This week 6410-6425 really needs to hold. I could see us pulling back into the 6425-6435 zone, trapping and moving us higher. The first big level I will be looking for a flush and reclaim is 6453-6458 area, that was last Thursday and Friday's levels. Since we have produced some nice rallies from this area, we could bounce, flush down to 6430-35, catch everyone offsides and then rally higher. (I will go into more detail on Monday Daily Trade Plan)
Key Support Levels - 6370, 6427, 6443, 6453-58
Key Resistance Levels - 6496, 6507-09, 6520, 6542
Target Levels for Week - 6567, IF, price wants it we could go higher to 6597, 6615 but those are not my main targets for the week as the white trendline around 6567 should be a strong resistance.
We could see a similar cycle to last week, drop Monday down to one of the key support levels, flush and take us higher to the white trendline (6567) area and then sell of Friday like we did this week.
Follow to read my daily trade plan - I will send out tonight's Sunday Session Open Trade Plan by 5pm EST.
MES1! WEEK 37 SEPT 7TH Looking for MON. TUE, WED HIGH of the week trading above $6500. LOOK TO TAKE SELLS FROM THE PREMIUM END OF THE CURRENT DEALING RANGE.
THERE ARE RELATIVE EQUAL LOWS AT $6430 AND $6365.
IF -- PRICE CAN NOT GET BLOW THE DISCOUNT RANGE THEN YOU ARE OFF SIDE AND SHOULD LOOK TO BUY FOR HIGHER PRICES.
CALANDER EVENT
TUES
-10AM - PMI (HIGH)
- 2PM - TRUMP SPEAKS
WED
-10AM - JOLT's JOB OPENING (HIGH)
THUR
-8:30AM - NF- EMPLOYMENT CHANGE (HIGH)
-10AM - PMI (HIGH)
FRIDAY
-8:30AM - NFP / UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (HIGH)
- UNEMPLOYMENT CHANGE (HIGH)
-4PM - TRUMP SPEAKES
Note - find 6pm=6am dealing range.
- note any smaller ranges within the DR that we can trade form on the 15m.5m.or 1m
FED Rate Cuts Aren’t the Blessing You Think — History Proves ItIn this video I ll take you thru historical macro events and we will see how it all rhymes with current markets conditions.
Here is link to my initial article with the data
Remember: Macro takes time to play and price can be going for months before the crash happens watch charts Im mentioning and whole picture will starts to show to you.
Stay safe and protect your wealth and family. Next 5 years of the 4th Turning can be violent not only on the markets.
David Perk
Stock Index: The AI Bubble That Will Burst!ES
S&P 500 futures finishes up 0.23% as economic slowdown worries cloud rate-cut optimism. From a technical perspective, this week marks the third consecutive where ES has been trading inside of 11 Aug 25 bullish spinning top candle indicating weakness of bulls after reaching uncharted territory of $6,541.75 all-time highs.
Such signs point to a short-term retracement down into discount arrays but I am not here trying to guess the top. If it does occur, $6,355.00 is an area of interest but on an overall basis, I want to be neutral until Sunday’s opening price / opening gap.
NQ
Nasdaq follows with a 0.93% gain but with the same issue of price trading within a range, in this case, since the 4th Aug 25 weekly bullish marabozu was printed, I would not want to put my money on a continued run as of yet. Preeing short-term retracements with a discount array @ $22,781.75 is being watched closely and for the time being, I want to be neutral
YM
Dow Jones closes -0.37% lower this week with the intermediate highs of $45,887 still in tact. Will the monthly buyside liquidity pool be used to suck in unexpected bull traders before repricing to HTF discount arrays?
If I am to see a decline in the 3 stock index pairs, YM will be the pair to lookout for as the front-running market.
Automating TradingView Alerts to Tradovate (Step 1: Webhook + JSWelcome to the first video on my channel, Quant by Boji.
In this series, I’m walking you through how to build a complete end-to-end automation pipeline that takes alerts from TradingView and turns them into real trades on Tradovate, with confirmations sent to Telegram.
In this first episode, I cover the foundation:
Creating an indicator in TradingView using Pine Script
Adding the alertcondition() function so alerts know when to fire
Setting up an alert in TradingView with the Webhook URL
Writing a JSON message in the alert so your server has all the data it needs
By the end of this video, you’ll understand how TradingView can send structured alerts directly to your server, which is the first step in connecting it all to Tradovate.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. I’m not providing financial advice. Futures trading carries substantial risk, so always start in paper trading and do your own due diligence.
🔔 Subscribe and follow along — in the next episode, I’ll show you how to capture these alerts on AWS and move closer to live automation.
Day 24 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$264 Overnight WinWelcome to Day 24 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today was all about patience and levels. I noticed the market had already made a huge move yesterday, so I bet it couldn’t push much further overnight. I shorted at 6525 and woke up to a $250+ profit by market open.
That was enough for me — the plan worked perfectly, so I stayed mostly on the sidelines for the rest of the day. Both our overnight level and yesterday’s level played out exactly as expected, which made this a clean session.
Closed the day at +264.83.
📰 News Highlights
U.S. ADDS FEWER-THAN-EXPECTED 22,000 JOBS IN AUGUST, BOOSTING ODDS OF 50BPS CUT
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6470 = Remain Bullish
Below 6450 = Flip Bearish
return to support during uptrend presents a cheap entry 1->3 : push up marking 2
as proven buyers
3->4 : return to proven buyers
next?
* hidden bull divergence
* behind vpoc 1->3 swing(s)
*uptrend continuation
*bullish bar entry at support
*zone trading 75% probability follow through to profit, though the invalid is below our stop as the zones are too big to align stop with zone stop also